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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.25 fair 2.46
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.19
Away 3.25 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Burton
18 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 2
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.94scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:28
Burton before this match, all matches
0.74points / match
1.32scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:40
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Burton

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.32
1.56 Goals conceded 2.11
2.50 Total goals 3.42
8.89 Shots 13.16
3.89 Shots on target 4.00
13.94 Shots faced 13.79
3.72 Corners 6.11
5.33 Corners against 5.26
10.00 Fouls 11.11
1.72 Yellow cards 1.37
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

22% Wins 16%
11% Draws 26%
67% Losses 58%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 84%
50% Over 2.5 goals 58%
28% Over 3.5 goals 37%
11% Over 4.5 goals 26%
0% Over 5.5 goals 21%
44% Both teams scored 58%
17% Clean sheets 11%
44% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 26%
33% Draws 47%
44% Losses 26%
78% Over 0.5 goals 58%
39% Over 1.5 goals 32%
6% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Burton all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
0.44points / match
0.78scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:17
Burton before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.67scored / match
2.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:22
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Burton

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.67
1.89 Goals conceded 2.44
2.67 Total goals 4.11
9.00 Shots 12.67
3.67 Shots on target 3.78
13.22 Shots faced 15.89
3.56 Corners 5.22
5.11 Corners against 5.00
10.89 Fouls 11.89
1.78 Yellow cards 1.44
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.44
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

11% Wins 11%
11% Draws 22%
78% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
44% Over 2.5 goals 78%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
56% Both teams scored 78%
0% Clean sheets 11%
44% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%
22% Draws 44%
56% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 56%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.11.22 Barnsley – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.15 1.66
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.87 2.25 1.61
25.10.22 Charlton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–0) 1.663.804.75 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Plymouth 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.502.15 1.85 2.00
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Shrewsbury – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.25 1.61
01.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.00 1.85

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
29.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 4–2 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
22.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Wycombe 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Plymouth 1–4 (0–3) 3.303.502.15 1.85 2.00
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
01.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.402.37 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.83 2.02
16.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.60
06.08.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.70
23.04.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.95 1.90

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 4–2 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
23.04.22 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.22E2 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.05
20.11.21E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.704.50 1.88 1.98

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 20 13 4 3 39 24 +15 43
2 Ipswich 20 12 6 2 39 20 +19 42
3 Sheffield Weds 19 12 4 3 35 16 +19 40
4 Barnsley 19 10 3 6 25 16 +9 33
5 Bolton 19 9 5 5 22 16 +6 32
6 Peterboro 20 10 1 9 35 25 +10 31
7 Portsmouth 17 7 8 2 26 18 +8 29
8 Derby 18 8 5 5 23 16 +7 29
9 Port Vale 20 8 5 7 23 28 -5 29
10 Exeter 20 7 5 8 32 30 +2 26
11 Lincoln 18 6 8 4 21 21 0 26
12 Wycombe 19 7 4 8 25 24 +1 25
13 Bristol Rvs 20 6 7 7 31 34 -3 25
14 Cheltenham 19 7 4 8 16 21 -5 25
15 Oxford 19 6 6 7 25 21 +4 24
16 Charlton 20 5 9 6 30 28 +2 24
17 Fleetwood Town 20 4 11 5 21 20 +1 23
18 Shrewsbury 19 6 5 8 17 21 -4 23
19 Accrington 19 5 5 9 19 30 -11 20
20 Cambridge 19 6 2 11 18 30 -12 20
21 Morecambe 20 2 9 9 16 31 -15 15
22 Milton Keynes Dons 18 4 2 12 17 28 -11 14
23 Burton 19 3 5 11 25 40 -15 14
24 Forest Green 19 3 5 11 16 38 -22 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 9 0 1 19 7 +12 27
2 Peterboro 10 7 1 2 22 6 +16 22
3 Sheffield Weds 10 6 3 1 23 11 +12 21
4 Bolton 10 6 2 2 14 8 +6 20
5 Ipswich 10 5 4 1 17 8 +9 19
6 Charlton 10 4 4 2 20 13 +7 16
7 Derby 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
8 Barnsley 9 5 1 3 13 9 +4 16
9 Exeter 10 5 1 4 17 15 +2 16
10 Cheltenham 10 5 1 4 11 12 -1 16
11 Portsmouth 9 3 6 0 14 8 +6 15
12 Port Vale 10 4 3 3 12 11 +1 15
13 Lincoln 9 2 7 0 11 8 +3 13
14 Bristol Rvs 10 3 4 3 15 17 -2 13
15 Cambridge 10 4 1 5 9 13 -4 13
16 Wycombe 9 3 3 3 14 11 +3 12
17 Oxford 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
18 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 9 8 +1 11
19 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 8 11 -3 11
20 Accrington 9 2 3 4 12 16 -4 9
21 Burton 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9
22 Morecambe 10 1 5 4 7 15 -8 8
23 Forest Green 9 2 0 7 5 17 -12 6
24 Milton Keynes Dons 9 1 1 7 7 17 -10 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 7 2 1 22 12 +10 23
2 Sheffield Weds 9 6 1 2 12 5 +7 19
3 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 12 7 +5 17
4 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 20 17 +3 16
5 Portsmouth 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
6 Port Vale 10 4 2 4 11 17 -6 14
7 Derby 10 3 4 3 9 6 +3 13
8 Wycombe 10 4 1 5 11 13 -2 13
9 Lincoln 9 4 1 4 10 13 -3 13
10 Oxford 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
11 Fleetwood Town 10 2 6 2 12 12 0 12
12 Bolton 9 3 3 3 8 8 0 12
13 Bristol Rvs 10 3 3 4 16 17 -1 12
14 Shrewsbury 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
15 Accrington 10 3 2 5 7 14 -7 11
16 Exeter 10 2 4 4 15 15 0 10
17 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 1 5 10 11 -1 10
18 Cheltenham 9 2 3 4 5 9 -4 9
19 Peterboro 10 3 0 7 13 19 -6 9
20 Charlton 10 1 5 4 10 15 -5 8
21 Forest Green 10 1 5 4 11 21 -10 8
22 Morecambe 10 1 4 5 9 16 -7 7
23 Cambridge 9 2 1 6 9 17 -8 7
24 Burton 9 1 2 6 15 22 -7 5

Milton Keynes Dons   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 20 7 13 1.9 1.2 13 4 3 39 24 43
2 6 Peterboro 20 7 13 1.8 1.2 10 1 9 35 25 31
3 13 Bristol Rvs 20 8 12 1.6 1.7 6 7 7 31 34 25
4 2 Ipswich 20 9 11 1.9 1.0 12 6 2 39 20 42
5 9 Port Vale 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 8 5 7 23 28 29
6 10 Exeter 20 9 11 1.6 1.5 7 5 8 32 30 26
7 23 Burton 19 8 11 1.3 2.1 3 5 11 25 40 14
8 12 Wycombe 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 4 8 25 24 25
9 24 Forest Green 19 9 10 0.8 2.0 3 5 11 16 38 14
10 19 Accrington 19 10 9 1.0 1.6 5 5 9 19 30 20
11 20 Cambridge 19 10 9 0.9 1.6 6 2 11 18 30 20
12 21 Morecambe 20 11 9 0.8 1.6 2 9 9 16 31 15
13 22 Milton Keynes Dons 18 9 9 0.9 1.6 4 2 12 17 28 14
14 3 Sheffield Weds 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 12 4 3 35 16 40
15 4 Barnsley 19 11 8 1.3 0.8 10 3 6 25 16 33
16 8 Derby 18 10 8 1.3 0.9 8 5 5 23 16 29
17 15 Oxford 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 6 6 7 25 21 24
18 16 Charlton 20 12 8 1.5 1.4 5 9 6 30 28 24
19 7 Portsmouth 17 10 7 1.5 1.1 7 8 2 26 18 29
20 17 Fleetwood Town 20 13 7 1.1 1.0 4 11 5 21 20 23
21 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 6 5 8 17 21 23
22 5 Bolton 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 9 5 5 22 16 32
23 14 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.8 1.1 7 4 8 16 21 25
24 11 Lincoln 18 13 5 1.2 1.2 6 8 4 21 21 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 2.3 1.1 6 3 1 23 11 21
2 6 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.2 0.6 7 1 2 22 6 22
3 8 Derby 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
4 10 Exeter 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 1 4 17 15 16
5 13 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 3 4 3 15 17 13
6 1 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.9 0.7 9 0 1 19 7 27
7 9 Port Vale 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 3 3 12 11 15
8 12 Wycombe 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 3 3 3 14 11 12
9 15 Oxford 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
10 19 Accrington 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 2 3 4 12 16 9
11 24 Forest Green 9 4 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 7 5 17 6
12 2 Ipswich 10 6 4 1.7 0.8 5 4 1 17 8 19
13 4 Barnsley 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 5 1 3 13 9 16
14 5 Bolton 10 6 4 1.4 0.8 6 2 2 14 8 20
15 7 Portsmouth 9 5 4 1.6 0.9 3 6 0 14 8 15
16 14 Cheltenham 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 5 1 4 11 12 16
17 16 Charlton 10 6 4 2.0 1.3 4 4 2 20 13 16
18 18 Shrewsbury 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 2 4 8 11 11
19 21 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 1 5 4 7 15 8
20 22 Milton Keynes Dons 9 5 4 0.8 1.9 1 1 7 7 17 4
21 23 Burton 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9
22 17 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 2 5 3 9 8 11
23 20 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.3 4 1 5 9 13 13
24 11 Lincoln 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 2 7 0 11 8 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.0 1.7 4 4 2 20 17 16
2 2 Ipswich 10 3 7 2.2 1.2 7 2 1 22 12 23
3 6 Peterboro 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 3 0 7 13 19 9
4 23 Burton 9 2 7 1.7 2.4 1 2 6 15 22 5
5 9 Port Vale 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 4 2 4 11 17 14
6 13 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.6 1.7 3 3 4 16 17 12
7 20 Cambridge 9 3 6 1.0 1.9 2 1 6 9 17 7
8 10 Exeter 10 5 5 1.5 1.5 2 4 4 15 15 10
9 12 Wycombe 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 4 1 5 11 13 13
10 21 Morecambe 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 1 4 5 9 16 7
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 5 10 11 10
12 24 Forest Green 10 5 5 1.1 2.1 1 5 4 11 21 8
13 4 Barnsley 10 6 4 1.2 0.7 5 2 3 12 7 17
14 16 Charlton 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 1 5 4 10 15 8
15 17 Fleetwood Town 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 2 6 2 12 12 12
16 19 Accrington 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 5 7 14 11
17 7 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
18 11 Lincoln 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 4 1 4 10 13 13
19 15 Oxford 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
20 18 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
21 3 Sheffield Weds 9 7 2 1.3 0.6 6 1 2 12 5 19
22 5 Bolton 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 3 3 3 8 8 12
23 8 Derby 10 8 2 0.9 0.6 3 4 3 9 6 13
24 14 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 4 5 9 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51