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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Middleton

Carlisle 2–2 Northampton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.75 fair 2.69
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.60
Away 2.63 fair 2.85
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Northampton
18 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 2
6 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (237 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 10.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 15:29
Northampton before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.20scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:26
Carlisle all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.20
1.45 Goals conceded 1.30
2.20 Total goals 2.50
11.55 Shots 12.45
3.60 Shots on target 4.15
13.35 Shots faced 12.90
5.50 Corners 4.45
5.20 Corners against 4.35
10.25 Fouls 9.60
1.90 Yellow cards 1.55
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

15% Wins 40%
30% Draws 10%
55% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
25% Over 2.5 goals 60%
15% Over 3.5 goals 20%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 45%
5% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

5% Wins 25%
55% Draws 35%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 65%
20% Over 1.5 goals 30%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Northampton all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:11
Northampton before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.89scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:13
Carlisle at home away Northampton

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 0.89
1.10 Goals conceded 1.44
1.90 Total goals 2.33
12.30 Shots 11.00
3.90 Shots on target 3.22
11.60 Shots faced 14.44
6.80 Corners 4.22
3.90 Corners against 4.78
8.70 Fouls 10.89
1.60 Yellow cards 2.44
0.10 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

20% Wins 33%
40% Draws 0%
40% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 67%
10% Over 2.5 goals 56%
0% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
10% Clean sheets 22%
40% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
50% Losses 33%
60% Over 0.5 goals 67%
10% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Blackpool – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 1.98
28.11.23 Reading – Carlisle 5–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
25.11.23 Carlisle – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Carlisle – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.98 1.88
28.10.23 Cambridge – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
24.10.23 Carlisle – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Portsmouth – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Bolton – Carlisle 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.207.00 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Northampton – Fleetwood Town 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Northampton – Portsmouth 0–3 (0–2) 3.403.602.10 2.05 1.75
28.11.23 Blackpool – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.206.50 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Northampton – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Northampton – Burton 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.08 1.73
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Northampton – Leyton Orient 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.15 1.67
21.10.23 Bolton – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.75 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Carlisle – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Carlisle – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.98 1.88
24.10.23 Carlisle – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.05 1.75
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Carlisle – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
05.08.23 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 2.08 1.73

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Blackpool – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.206.50 1.88 1.98
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Bolton – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.753.75 1.88 1.98
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.23 Exeter – Northampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.30 2.15 1.67
16.09.23 Port Vale – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Cheltenham – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.05 1.80
12.08.23 Wigan – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.75 2.05
08.05.23E3 Tranmere – Northampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.82

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle winsDrawsNorthampton wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23E3 Carlisle – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.50 1.50
20.12.22E3 Northampton – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
12.03.22E3 Carlisle – Northampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.37 2.35 1.57
30.10.21E3 Northampton – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.50 2.30 1.60

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 13 6 1 34 16 +18 45
2 Bolton 19 12 3 4 37 20 +17 39
3 Stevenage 21 11 6 4 31 20 +11 39
4 Peterboro 20 11 5 4 40 20 +20 38
5 Oxford 20 11 4 5 32 22 +10 37
6 Derby 19 11 3 5 34 16 +18 36
7 Barnsley 19 10 4 5 37 21 +16 34
8 Blackpool 21 9 6 6 36 25 +11 33
9 Wigan 20 9 4 7 30 23 +7 31
10 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 26 20 +6 31
11 Charlton 19 7 6 6 32 27 +5 27
12 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 13 27 -14 27
13 Northampton 20 8 2 10 24 26 -2 26
14 Bristol Rvs 19 6 7 6 25 24 +1 25
15 Wycombe 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
16 Leyton Orient 20 5 7 8 18 27 -9 22
17 Port Vale 19 6 4 9 15 27 -12 22
18 Cambridge 20 5 6 9 16 27 -11 21
19 Burton 20 5 5 10 17 29 -12 20
20 Reading 20 5 3 12 24 34 -10 18
21 Exeter 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
22 Fleetwood Town 19 4 4 11 18 34 -16 16
23 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 15 29 -14 15
24 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 28 -17 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 11 7 3 1 16 10 +6 24
2 Peterboro 10 7 2 1 25 7 +18 23
3 Blackpool 12 7 2 3 25 13 +12 23
4 Bolton 10 7 1 2 23 13 +10 22
5 Charlton 11 6 2 3 23 15 +8 20
6 Wigan 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
7 Shrewsbury 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
8 Oxford 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
9 Derby 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 5 1 13 9 +4 17
11 Northampton 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
12 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 15 8 +7 15
13 Reading 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
14 Cambridge 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
15 Bristol Rvs 9 3 5 1 15 9 +6 14
16 Barnsley 9 4 1 4 19 12 +7 13
17 Burton 10 3 3 4 11 13 -2 12
18 Wycombe 10 3 2 5 10 13 -3 11
19 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
20 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
21 Port Vale 8 3 0 5 6 8 -2 9
22 Exeter 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
23 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 5 13 -8 8
24 Fleetwood Town 9 2 1 6 8 17 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 11 7 1 3 18 11 +7 22
2 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
3 Barnsley 10 6 3 1 18 9 +9 21
4 Derby 10 6 1 3 19 10 +9 19
5 Oxford 11 6 1 4 17 15 +2 19
6 Bolton 9 5 2 2 14 7 +7 17
7 Lincoln 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
8 Peterboro 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
9 Port Vale 11 3 4 4 9 19 -10 13
10 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
11 Leyton Orient 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
12 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
13 Bristol Rvs 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
14 Blackpool 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
15 Northampton 9 3 0 6 8 13 -5 9
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
17 Exeter 9 3 0 6 7 20 -13 9
18 Burton 10 2 2 6 6 16 -10 8
19 Shrewsbury 11 2 2 7 3 18 -15 8
20 Charlton 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
21 Cambridge 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 6
22 Cheltenham 10 1 2 7 6 15 -9 5
23 Carlisle 10 1 2 7 7 18 -11 5
24 Reading 9 1 0 8 8 21 -13 3

Carlisle   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 21 8 13 1.7 1.2 9 6 6 36 25 33
2 11 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 6 6 32 27 27
3 5 Oxford 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 11 4 5 32 22 37
4 13 Northampton 20 8 12 1.2 1.3 8 2 10 24 26 26
5 20 Reading 20 8 12 1.2 1.7 5 3 12 24 34 18
6 2 Bolton 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 12 3 4 37 20 39
7 3 Stevenage 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 11 6 4 31 20 39
8 4 Peterboro 20 9 11 2.0 1.0 11 5 4 40 20 38
9 6 Derby 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 11 3 5 34 16 36
10 7 Barnsley 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 10 4 5 37 21 34
11 9 Wigan 20 9 11 1.5 1.1 9 4 7 30 23 31
12 15 Wycombe 19 8 11 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
13 22 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 4 11 18 34 16
14 1 Portsmouth 20 10 10 1.7 0.8 13 6 1 34 16 45
15 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.8 1.4 5 5 10 17 29 20
16 10 Lincoln 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 6 26 20 31
17 14 Bristol Rvs 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 6 7 6 25 24 25
18 16 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 5 7 8 18 27 22
19 18 Cambridge 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 16 27 21
20 17 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 6 4 9 15 27 22
21 21 Exeter 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
22 12 Shrewsbury 21 15 6 0.6 1.3 8 3 10 13 27 27
23 24 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.5 3 4 12 11 28 13
24 23 Carlisle 20 15 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 11 15 29 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 12 3 9 2.1 1.1 7 2 3 25 13 23
2 11 Charlton 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 6 2 3 23 15 20
3 2 Bolton 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 7 1 2 23 13 22
4 13 Northampton 11 4 7 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 4 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.5 0.7 7 2 1 25 7 23
6 5 Oxford 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
7 7 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.1 1.3 4 1 4 19 12 13
8 9 Wigan 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
9 1 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 7 3 1 16 10 24
10 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
11 16 Leyton Orient 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11
12 19 Burton 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 4 11 13 12
13 20 Reading 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
14 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 2 1 6 8 17 7
15 3 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 5 1 13 9 17
16 10 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 4 3 2 15 8 15
17 14 Bristol Rvs 9 5 4 1.7 1.0 3 5 1 15 9 14
18 15 Wycombe 10 6 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 5 10 13 11
19 12 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
20 18 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
21 17 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 5 6 8 9
22 21 Exeter 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9
23 24 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 5 5 13 8
24 23 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stevenage 11 4 7 1.6 1.0 7 1 3 18 11 22
2 15 Wycombe 9 2 7 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
3 20 Reading 9 2 7 0.9 2.3 1 0 8 8 21 3
4 5 Oxford 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 17 15 19
5 6 Derby 10 4 6 1.9 1.0 6 1 3 19 10 19
6 22 Fleetwood Town 10 4 6 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
7 1 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
8 4 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
9 7 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 6 3 1 18 9 21
10 9 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
11 13 Northampton 9 4 5 0.9 1.4 3 0 6 8 13 9
12 17 Port Vale 11 6 5 0.8 1.7 3 4 4 9 19 13
13 18 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 1.6 1 3 6 7 16 6
14 21 Exeter 9 4 5 0.8 2.2 3 0 6 7 20 9
15 8 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
16 10 Lincoln 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
17 11 Charlton 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
18 14 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
19 19 Burton 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 6 6 16 8
20 23 Carlisle 10 6 4 0.7 1.8 1 2 7 7 18 5
21 24 Cheltenham 10 6 4 0.6 1.5 1 2 7 6 15 5
22 2 Bolton 9 6 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 2 14 7 17
23 12 Shrewsbury 11 8 3 0.3 1.6 2 2 7 3 18 8
24 16 Leyton Orient 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51