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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Carlisle 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.61
Draw 3.20 fair 3.49
Away 2.90 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 1.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Burton
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 11.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
0.79scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:17
Burton before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Carlisle all matches all matches Burton

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 1.07
1.21 Goals conceded 1.21
2.00 Total goals 2.29
11.00 Shots 9.86
3.21 Shots on target 2.86
13.64 Shots faced 13.14
5.29 Corners 3.50
5.43 Corners against 4.93
10.36 Fouls 11.93
2.07 Yellow cards 2.57
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 36%
36% Draws 29%
50% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 50%
7% Clean sheets 21%
50% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 14%
64% Draws 50%
29% Losses 36%
57% Over 0.5 goals 64%
21% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Burton all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.86points / match
0.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:8
Burton before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:8
Carlisle at home away Burton

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 0.71
1.14 Goals conceded 1.14
1.86 Total goals 1.86
11.00 Shots 7.57
3.14 Shots on target 2.29
11.86 Shots faced 13.57
6.71 Corners 2.57
4.14 Corners against 4.71
8.71 Fouls 11.14
1.57 Yellow cards 2.57
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 29%
14% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
57% Draws 57%
43% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
14% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Portsmouth – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Bolton – Carlisle 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.207.00 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Wycombe – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
26.08.23 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Burton – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Carlisle – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
05.08.23 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 2.08 1.73
29.04.23E3 Carlisle – Salford 2–3 (0–2) 2.303.253.25 1.98 1.88
18.04.23E3 Carlisle – Stockport 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.102.50 2.50 1.50
15.04.23E3 Carlisle – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.50 1.50

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31
2 Oxford 12 9 1 2 24 10 +14 28
3 Barnsley 13 7 2 4 26 13 +13 23
4 Bolton 12 7 2 3 21 16 +5 23
5 Peterboro 13 6 4 3 20 14 +6 22
6 Stevenage 14 6 4 4 18 15 +3 22
7 Blackpool 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
8 Wycombe 12 6 2 4 18 17 +1 20
9 Burton 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19
10 Charlton 12 5 3 4 21 14 +7 18
11 Derby 12 5 3 4 18 12 +6 18
12 Lincoln 12 5 3 4 15 12 +3 18
13 Leyton Orient 13 5 3 5 12 16 -4 18
14 Port Vale 13 5 3 5 11 20 -9 18
15 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 7 13 -6 17
16 Wigan 12 5 1 6 17 17 0 16
17 Exeter 13 5 1 7 11 16 -5 16
18 Bristol Rvs 12 4 3 5 17 17 0 15
19 Cambridge 13 4 3 6 12 15 -3 15
20 Northampton 12 4 1 7 12 13 -1 13
21 Carlisle 14 2 5 7 11 17 -6 11
22 Reading 12 3 1 8 9 19 -10 10
23 Fleetwood Town 12 2 2 8 8 19 -11 8
24 Cheltenham 13 1 2 10 2 20 -18 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Charlton 8 5 1 2 19 10 +9 16
3 Oxford 7 5 1 1 13 5 +8 16
4 Bolton 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16
5 Blackpool 7 4 2 1 12 5 +7 14
6 Peterboro 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14
7 Shrewsbury 7 4 1 2 5 4 +1 13
8 Burton 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
9 Cambridge 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11
10 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 9 2 +7 10
11 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
12 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
14 Leyton Orient 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10
15 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
16 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
17 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
18 Exeter 7 2 1 4 4 8 -4 7
19 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
20 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
21 Carlisle 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
23 Cheltenham 7 1 1 5 2 12 -10 4
24 Fleetwood Town 6 1 0 5 2 11 -9 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17
2 Derby 7 4 1 2 14 7 +7 13
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
4 Stevenage 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Wigan 8 3 1 4 12 11 +1 10
7 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 12 -1 10
8 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9
9 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 6 16 -10 9
10 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
11 Leyton Orient 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
12 Burton 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
13 Lincoln 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
14 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
15 Bristol Rvs 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
16 Northampton 6 2 0 4 5 6 -1 6
17 Blackpool 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
18 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
19 Carlisle 7 1 2 4 6 9 -3 5
20 Cambridge 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
21 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 2 9 -7 4
22 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 7 0 0 7 4 17 -13 0

Carlisle   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 12 3 9 2.0 0.8 9 1 2 24 10 28
2 4 Bolton 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 7 2 3 21 16 23
3 8 Wycombe 12 4 8 1.5 1.4 6 2 4 18 17 20
4 10 Charlton 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 3 4 21 14 18
5 16 Wigan 12 4 8 1.4 1.4 5 1 6 17 17 16
6 6 Stevenage 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 4 18 15 22
7 1 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31
8 3 Barnsley 13 7 6 2.0 1.0 7 2 4 26 13 23
9 7 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
10 9 Burton 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19
11 11 Derby 12 6 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 4 18 12 18
12 18 Bristol Rvs 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 5 17 17 15
13 22 Reading 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 3 1 8 9 19 10
14 5 Peterboro 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 20 14 22
15 12 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 4 15 12 18
16 13 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 5 12 16 18
17 14 Port Vale 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 5 3 5 11 20 18
18 17 Exeter 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 1 7 11 16 16
19 20 Northampton 12 7 5 1.0 1.1 4 1 7 12 13 13
20 19 Cambridge 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 6 12 15 15
21 23 Fleetwood Town 12 8 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 8 8 19 8
22 24 Cheltenham 13 10 3 0.2 1.5 1 2 10 2 20 5
23 15 Shrewsbury 13 11 2 0.5 1.0 5 2 6 7 13 17
24 21 Carlisle 14 12 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 7 11 17 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bolton 8 1 7 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16
2 10 Charlton 8 1 7 2.4 1.2 5 1 2 19 10 16
3 2 Oxford 7 2 5 1.9 0.7 5 1 1 13 5 16
4 3 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
5 7 Blackpool 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 2 1 12 5 14
6 9 Burton 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
7 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
8 5 Peterboro 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14
9 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10
10 16 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
11 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
12 20 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
13 6 Stevenage 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
14 8 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
15 11 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 12 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 1 1 9 2 10
17 17 Exeter 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 2 1 4 4 8 7
18 19 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11
19 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.3 1.8 1 0 5 2 11 3
20 24 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.3 1.7 1 1 5 2 12 4
21 14 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
22 15 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 4 1 2 5 4 13
23 22 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
24 21 Carlisle 7 7 0 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Wycombe 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 3 11 12 10
2 6 Stevenage 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12
3 16 Wigan 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 1 4 12 11 10
4 22 Reading 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 0 7 4 17 0
5 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
6 11 Derby 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 1 2 14 7 13
7 14 Port Vale 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 2 3 3 6 16 9
8 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 12 Lincoln 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
10 17 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9
11 18 Bristol Rvs 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
12 3 Barnsley 7 5 2 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17
13 4 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
14 5 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
15 7 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
16 9 Burton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
17 13 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
18 19 Cambridge 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
19 20 Northampton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 4 5 6 6
20 21 Carlisle 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 1 2 4 6 9 5
21 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
22 10 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
23 15 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.3 1.5 1 1 4 2 9 4
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44