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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Carlisle 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.61
Draw 3.20 fair 3.49
Away 2.90 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 1.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Burton
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 11.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
0.79scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:17
Burton before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Carlisle all matches all matches Burton

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 1.07
1.21 Goals conceded 1.21
2.00 Total goals 2.29
11.00 Shots 9.86
3.21 Shots on target 2.86
13.64 Shots faced 13.14
5.29 Corners 3.50
5.43 Corners against 4.93
10.36 Fouls 11.93
2.07 Yellow cards 2.57
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 36%
36% Draws 29%
50% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 50%
7% Clean sheets 21%
50% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 14%
64% Draws 50%
29% Losses 36%
57% Over 0.5 goals 64%
21% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Burton all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.86points / match
0.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:8
Burton before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:8
Carlisle at home away Burton

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 0.71
1.14 Goals conceded 1.14
1.86 Total goals 1.86
11.00 Shots 7.57
3.14 Shots on target 2.29
11.86 Shots faced 13.57
6.71 Corners 2.57
4.14 Corners against 4.71
8.71 Fouls 11.14
1.57 Yellow cards 2.57
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 29%
14% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
57% Draws 57%
43% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
14% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Portsmouth – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Bolton – Carlisle 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.207.00 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Wycombe – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
09.09.23 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
26.08.23 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Burton – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Carlisle – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Carlisle – Peterboro 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.601.95 1.85 2.00
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
19.08.23 Carlisle – Exeter 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.08.23 Carlisle – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.08 1.73
05.08.23 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 2.08 1.73
29.04.23E3 Carlisle – Salford 2–3 (0–2) 2.303.253.25 1.98 1.88
18.04.23E3 Carlisle – Stockport 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.102.50 2.50 1.50
15.04.23E3 Carlisle – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.60 2.50 1.50

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Portsmouth 13 9 4 0 22 8 +14 31 WWWWWW
2 Oxford 12 9 1 2 24 10 +14 28 WWWWWD
3 Barnsley 13 7 2 4 26 13 +13 23 LWLWWD
4 Bolton 12 7 2 3 21 16 +5 23 LDWWLW
5 Peterboro 13 6 4 3 20 14 +6 22 WDWDWD
6 Stevenage 14 6 4 4 18 15 +3 22 WLLWLD
7 Blackpool 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20 WWLDWD
8 Wycombe 12 6 2 4 18 17 +1 20 WLWLWD
9 Burton 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19 DDWWWW
10 Charlton 12 5 3 4 21 14 +7 18 DWDWDW
11 Derby 12 5 3 4 18 12 +6 18 DWDWDL
12 Lincoln 12 5 3 4 15 12 +3 18 DLWLLW
13 Leyton Orient 13 5 3 5 12 16 -4 18 DWLWWD
14 Port Vale 13 5 3 5 11 20 -9 18 LDLLLD
15 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 7 13 -6 17 LDLWDW
16 Wigan 12 5 1 6 17 17 0 16 WLLLLW
17 Exeter 13 5 1 7 11 16 -5 16 WLLLLL
18 Bristol Rvs 12 4 3 5 17 17 0 15 WWLWLL
19 Cambridge 13 4 3 6 12 15 -3 15 DDLLDL
20 Northampton 12 4 1 7 12 13 -1 13 LLWWLL
21 Carlisle 14 2 5 7 11 17 -6 11 LLDWLL
22 Reading 12 3 1 8 9 19 -10 10 WLDLLL
23 Fleetwood Town 12 2 2 8 8 19 -11 8 LDWWLL
24 Cheltenham 13 1 2 10 2 20 -18 5 LLLLDW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Portsmouth 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20 DWWWWW
2 Charlton 8 5 1 2 19 10 +9 16 LWWWDW
3 Oxford 7 5 1 1 13 5 +8 16 WLWWWD
4 Bolton 8 5 1 2 15 13 +2 16 LWDWLW
5 Blackpool 7 4 2 1 12 5 +7 14 DDWWLW
6 Peterboro 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14 LDWWWD
7 Shrewsbury 7 4 1 2 5 4 +1 13 WLLDWW
8 Burton 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11 DLDWWW
9 Cambridge 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11 LWWDLD
10 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 9 2 +7 10 WWDWL
11 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10 LWWWD
12 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10 LWDWW
13 Stevenage 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10 DDDLWD
14 Leyton Orient 6 3 1 2 6 9 -3 10 LWLWWD
15 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9 WWWLL
16 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8 DLDWW
17 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7 LDWLLW
18 Exeter 7 2 1 4 4 8 -4 7 WLWLLL
19 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6 WLLWLL
20 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6 WLWL
21 Carlisle 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6 DLWLDL
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5 LLWDD
23 Cheltenham 7 1 1 5 2 12 -10 4 LLLLDW
24 Fleetwood Town 6 1 0 5 2 11 -9 3 LLLWLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barnsley 7 5 2 0 13 3 +10 17 WWWWWD
2 Derby 7 4 1 2 14 7 +7 13 WLWWDL
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12 LWWWW
4 Stevenage 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12 WLWWLL
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11 WDDWW
6 Wigan 8 3 1 4 12 11 +1 10 WLLLLW
7 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 12 -1 10 WWLLWD
8 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9 WLWWLL
9 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 6 16 -10 9 WWDLLD
10 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8 WWLLDD
11 Leyton Orient 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8 LDWDLW
12 Burton 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8 LDLWDW
13 Lincoln 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 DWDLLW
14 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7 WDLW
15 Bristol Rvs 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7 WLWLLL
16 Northampton 6 2 0 4 5 6 -1 6 LWLWLL
17 Blackpool 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6 DLLWDD
18 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5 DLLLDW
19 Carlisle 7 1 2 4 6 9 -3 5 LDDLWL
20 Cambridge 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4 WLLDLL
21 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 2 9 -7 4 LWLLLD
22 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2 LLDD
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1 LLDLLL
24 Reading 7 0 0 7 4 17 -13 0 LLLLLL

Carlisle   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Oxford 12 3 9 2.0 0.8 9 1 2 24 10 28 OOOOOU
2 4 Bolton 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 7 2 3 21 16 23 OUUOOO
3 8 Wycombe 12 4 8 1.5 1.4 6 2 4 18 17 20 UOUOOO
4 10 Charlton 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 3 4 21 14 18 UOUOOO
5 16 Wigan 12 4 8 1.4 1.4 5 1 6 17 17 16 OOOOUU
6 6 Stevenage 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 4 18 15 22 OOOUOU
7 1 Portsmouth 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 9 4 0 22 8 31 OOOOUU
8 3 Barnsley 13 7 6 2.0 1.0 7 2 4 26 13 23 OOUOUU
9 7 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20 OUOOOU
10 9 Burton 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19 UUOOUO
11 11 Derby 12 6 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 4 18 12 18 UUUOUU
12 18 Bristol Rvs 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 5 17 17 15 UOUOOO
13 22 Reading 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 3 1 8 9 19 10 OOUOOO
14 5 Peterboro 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 20 14 22 OUUUUO
15 12 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 4 15 12 18 UOUUUU
16 13 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 5 12 16 18 UUUOUU
17 14 Port Vale 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 5 3 5 11 20 18 OUUOUU
18 17 Exeter 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 1 7 11 16 16 UOUOUU
19 20 Northampton 12 7 5 1.0 1.1 4 1 7 12 13 13 UOUOUO
20 19 Cambridge 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 6 12 15 15 UUOOUU
21 23 Fleetwood Town 12 8 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 8 8 19 8 OUUUOU
22 24 Cheltenham 13 10 3 0.2 1.5 1 2 10 2 20 5 OOUUUU
23 15 Shrewsbury 13 11 2 0.5 1.0 5 2 6 7 13 17 UUOUUU
24 21 Carlisle 14 12 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 7 11 17 11 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Bolton 8 1 7 1.9 1.6 5 1 2 15 13 16 OOUOOO
2 10 Charlton 8 1 7 2.4 1.2 5 1 2 19 10 16 OOOOOO
3 2 Oxford 7 2 5 1.9 0.7 5 1 1 13 5 16 OOOOOU
4 3 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6 OOOUOU
5 7 Blackpool 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 2 1 12 5 14 UUOOOO
6 9 Burton 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11 UUUOOO
7 1 Portsmouth 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20 UOOOUU
8 5 Peterboro 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14 OUOUUO
9 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 3 1 2 6 9 10 OUOUOU
10 16 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6 OUOO
11 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8 UOUOO
12 20 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7 UOUUOO
13 6 Stevenage 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10 UOUOUU
14 8 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10 OOUUU
15 11 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5 OOUUU
16 12 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 1 1 9 2 10 OOUUU
17 17 Exeter 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 2 1 4 4 8 7 OOUUUU
18 19 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11 OUUUOU
19 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 0.3 1.8 1 0 5 2 11 3 UUOUOU
20 24 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.3 1.7 1 1 5 2 12 4 UUOUUU
21 14 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9 UUUOU
22 15 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 4 1 2 5 4 13 OUUUUU
23 22 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10 UUUOU
24 21 Carlisle 7 7 0 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Wycombe 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 3 11 12 10 OUOOOO
2 6 Stevenage 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12 OUOOOO
3 16 Wigan 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 1 4 12 11 10 OOOOUU
4 22 Reading 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 0 7 4 17 0 OUOOOO
5 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12 UOOOO
6 11 Derby 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 1 2 14 7 13 OOUOUU
7 14 Port Vale 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 2 3 3 6 16 9 OOUOUU
8 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11 OUUOO
9 12 Lincoln 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 OUUOUU
10 17 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9 OUUUOO
11 18 Bristol Rvs 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7 OUUUOO
12 3 Barnsley 7 5 2 1.9 0.4 5 2 0 13 3 17 UUOOUU
13 4 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7 OUOU
14 5 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8 UOUOUU
15 7 Blackpool 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6 UOUUOU
16 9 Burton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8 OUUOUU
17 13 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8 OUOUUU
18 19 Cambridge 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4 UUOUOU
19 20 Northampton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 4 5 6 6 OUUUUO
20 21 Carlisle 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 1 2 4 6 9 5 UOUUOU
21 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5 UOUOUU
22 10 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2 UOUU
23 15 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.3 1.5 1 1 4 2 9 4 UUUUOU
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10