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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Reading 1–0 Northampton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.67 fair 1.99
Draw 4.00 fair 4.34
Away 5.00 fair 3.74
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Northampton
13 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (465 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.81 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.41scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 55:57
Northampton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.28scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 51:60
Reading all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.28
1.46 Goals conceded 1.50
2.87 Total goals 2.78
12.23 Shots 10.50
4.54 Shots on target 3.65
12.56 Shots faced 13.15
4.90 Corners 3.95
5.72 Corners against 4.85
12.54 Fouls 10.15
2.15 Yellow cards 1.70
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

33% Wins 38%
23% Draws 20%
44% Losses 43%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 78%
54% Over 2.5 goals 55%
36% Over 3.5 goals 28%
18% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 5%
64% Both teams scored 55%
23% Clean sheets 20%
15% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 30%
41% Draws 38%
31% Losses 33%
77% Over 0.5 goals 70%
41% Over 1.5 goals 35%
21% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Northampton all matches
Reading before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 34:21
Northampton before this match, away
1.05points / match
1.25scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 25:39
Reading at home away Northampton

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.25
1.05 Goals conceded 1.95
2.75 Total goals 3.20
14.15 Shots 9.30
5.00 Shots on target 3.25
11.10 Shots faced 14.30
5.40 Corners 3.25
4.95 Corners against 5.30
12.20 Fouls 10.50
1.90 Yellow cards 2.25
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
20% Draws 15%
30% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 85%
45% Over 2.5 goals 65%
30% Over 3.5 goals 35%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
55% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 15%
10% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 30%
40% Draws 35%
25% Losses 35%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Reading – Cambridge 4–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Reading – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
02.03.24 Carlisle – Reading 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 2.00 1.85
24.02.24 Reading – Shrewsbury 2–3 (2–3) 1.853.604.33 2.00 1.85
20.02.24 Reading – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
17.02.24 Portsmouth – Reading 4–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.67 2.15
13.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.45 1.80 2.03
10.02.24 Reading – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 1.75 2.05
06.02.24 Stevenage – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.93 1.93

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.03.24 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Wycombe – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.00 1.85
12.03.24 Northampton – Blackpool 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
09.03.24 Cambridge – Northampton 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Peterboro – Northampton 5–1 (3–1) 1.365.257.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Northampton – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.63 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
20.02.24 Oxford – Northampton 2–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Northampton – Bristol Rvs 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.90 1.95
13.02.24 Leyton Orient – Northampton 4–3 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 2.05 1.75

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Reading – Cambridge 4–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Reading – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Reading – Shrewsbury 2–3 (2–3) 1.853.604.33 2.00 1.85
20.02.24 Reading – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
10.02.24 Reading – Charlton 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.20 1.75 2.05
27.01.24 Reading – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.75 2.05 1.75
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
23.12.23 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.93 1.93
12.12.23 Reading – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.502.45 1.93 1.93

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Wycombe – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.00 1.85
09.03.24 Cambridge – Northampton 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Peterboro – Northampton 5–1 (3–1) 1.365.257.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
20.02.24 Oxford – Northampton 2–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
13.02.24 Leyton Orient – Northampton 4–3 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 2.05 1.75
03.02.24 Portsmouth – Northampton 4–1 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.88 1.98
23.01.24 Charlton – Northampton 2–3 (2–2) 1.913.604.00 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 Lincoln – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.65
26.12.23 Stevenage – Northampton 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.605.50 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsNorthampton wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E2 Northampton – Reading 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.602.90 2.00 1.85

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 39 24 11 4 63 32 +31 83
2 Derby 40 24 6 10 69 35 +34 78
3 Bolton 39 22 8 9 71 43 +28 74
4 Peterboro 38 21 8 9 74 46 +28 71
5 Barnsley 38 20 11 7 70 48 +22 71
6 Oxford 39 18 9 12 62 52 +10 63
7 Stevenage 39 17 11 11 51 40 +11 62
8 Lincoln 39 16 13 10 56 33 +23 61
9 Blackpool 39 17 9 13 57 42 +15 60
10 Wigan 39 17 7 15 53 48 +5 58
11 Leyton Orient 39 16 10 13 44 44 0 58
12 Northampton 40 15 8 17 51 60 -9 53
13 Wycombe 38 13 11 14 50 49 +1 50
14 Bristol Rvs 38 14 8 16 48 57 -9 50
15 Reading 39 13 9 17 55 57 -2 48
16 Exeter 39 13 8 18 33 52 -19 47
17 Charlton 39 10 15 14 57 58 -1 45
18 Shrewsbury 39 13 5 21 29 55 -26 44
19 Burton 39 10 9 20 31 51 -20 39
20 Cambridge 38 10 9 19 32 55 -23 39
21 Port Vale 38 9 9 20 36 61 -25 36
22 Cheltenham 37 9 8 20 30 50 -20 35
23 Fleetwood Town 39 7 13 19 41 61 -20 34
24 Carlisle 39 5 9 25 35 69 -34 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 13 4 2 34 20 +14 43
2 Bolton 19 13 3 3 42 22 +20 42
3 Derby 20 12 4 4 35 18 +17 40
4 Blackpool 19 11 5 3 38 17 +21 38
5 Wigan 20 12 2 6 27 17 +10 38
6 Peterboro 19 11 4 4 44 21 +23 37
7 Lincoln 20 9 7 4 34 13 +21 34
8 Reading 20 10 4 6 34 21 +13 34
9 Oxford 19 9 6 4 34 22 +12 33
10 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 35 28 +7 32
11 Northampton 20 9 5 6 26 21 +5 32
12 Stevenage 19 8 7 4 22 15 +7 31
13 Wycombe 20 8 6 6 29 25 +4 30
14 Leyton Orient 19 8 4 7 20 25 -5 28
15 Charlton 19 7 5 7 32 27 +5 26
16 Bristol Rvs 18 7 5 6 26 23 +3 26
17 Cambridge 19 7 5 7 17 20 -3 26
18 Shrewsbury 20 8 2 10 17 25 -8 26
19 Exeter 20 6 7 7 14 19 -5 25
20 Burton 19 6 4 9 17 22 -5 22
21 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
22 Port Vale 19 5 3 11 22 28 -6 18
23 Fleetwood Town 20 4 5 11 20 31 -11 17
24 Carlisle 20 3 6 11 19 35 -16 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 11 7 2 29 12 +17 40
2 Barnsley 18 11 6 1 35 20 +15 39
3 Derby 20 12 2 6 34 17 +17 38
4 Peterboro 19 10 4 5 30 25 +5 34
5 Bolton 20 9 5 6 29 21 +8 32
6 Stevenage 20 9 4 7 29 25 +4 31
7 Leyton Orient 20 8 6 6 24 19 +5 30
8 Oxford 20 9 3 8 28 30 -2 30
9 Lincoln 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
10 Bristol Rvs 20 7 3 10 22 34 -12 24
11 Blackpool 20 6 4 10 19 25 -6 22
12 Exeter 19 7 1 11 19 33 -14 22
13 Northampton 20 6 3 11 25 39 -14 21
14 Wycombe 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 Wigan 19 5 5 9 26 31 -5 20
16 Charlton 20 3 10 7 25 31 -6 19
17 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
18 Port Vale 19 4 6 9 14 33 -19 18
19 Fleetwood Town 19 3 8 8 21 30 -9 17
20 Burton 20 4 5 11 14 29 -15 17
21 Reading 19 3 5 11 21 36 -15 14
22 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 24 -13 13
23 Cambridge 19 3 4 12 15 35 -20 13
24 Carlisle 19 2 3 14 16 34 -18 9

Reading   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 39 13 26 1.6 1.3 18 9 12 62 52 63
2 4 Peterboro 38 13 25 1.9 1.2 21 8 9 74 46 71
3 5 Barnsley 38 14 24 1.8 1.3 20 11 7 70 48 71
4 2 Derby 40 17 23 1.7 0.9 24 6 10 69 35 78
5 12 Northampton 40 18 22 1.3 1.5 15 8 17 51 60 53
6 14 Bristol Rvs 38 16 22 1.3 1.5 14 8 16 48 57 50
7 17 Charlton 39 17 22 1.5 1.5 10 15 14 57 58 45
8 1 Portsmouth 39 18 21 1.6 0.8 24 11 4 63 32 83
9 3 Bolton 39 18 21 1.8 1.1 22 8 9 71 43 74
10 15 Reading 39 18 21 1.4 1.5 13 9 17 55 57 48
11 23 Fleetwood Town 39 19 20 1.1 1.6 7 13 19 41 61 34
12 7 Stevenage 39 20 19 1.3 1.0 17 11 11 51 40 62
13 9 Blackpool 39 20 19 1.5 1.1 17 9 13 57 42 60
14 13 Wycombe 38 20 18 1.3 1.3 13 11 14 50 49 50
15 21 Port Vale 38 20 18 0.9 1.6 9 9 20 36 61 36
16 24 Carlisle 39 21 18 0.9 1.8 5 9 25 35 69 24
17 10 Wigan 39 22 17 1.4 1.2 17 7 15 53 48 58
18 20 Cambridge 38 21 17 0.8 1.4 10 9 19 32 55 39
19 11 Leyton Orient 39 23 16 1.1 1.1 16 10 13 44 44 58
20 16 Exeter 39 23 16 0.8 1.3 13 8 18 33 52 47
21 8 Lincoln 39 24 15 1.4 0.8 16 13 10 56 33 61
22 18 Shrewsbury 39 24 15 0.7 1.4 13 5 21 29 55 44
23 19 Burton 39 24 15 0.8 1.3 10 9 20 31 51 39
24 22 Cheltenham 37 23 14 0.8 1.4 9 8 20 30 50 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 19 5 14 2.3 1.1 11 4 4 44 21 37
2 5 Barnsley 20 6 14 1.8 1.4 9 5 6 35 28 32
3 6 Oxford 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 9 6 4 34 22 33
4 3 Bolton 19 6 13 2.2 1.2 13 3 3 42 22 42
5 17 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 7 32 27 26
6 1 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 13 4 2 34 20 43
7 2 Derby 20 8 12 1.8 0.9 12 4 4 35 18 40
8 9 Blackpool 19 8 11 2.0 0.9 11 5 3 38 17 38
9 14 Bristol Rvs 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 26 23 26
10 8 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.7 0.7 9 7 4 34 13 34
11 12 Northampton 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 6 26 21 32
12 15 Reading 20 11 9 1.7 1.1 10 4 6 34 21 34
13 21 Port Vale 19 10 9 1.2 1.5 5 3 11 22 28 18
14 23 Fleetwood Town 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 4 5 11 20 31 17
15 24 Carlisle 20 11 9 0.9 1.8 3 6 11 19 35 15
16 10 Wigan 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 12 2 6 27 17 38
17 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 8 4 7 20 25 28
18 13 Wycombe 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 29 25 30
19 18 Shrewsbury 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 8 2 10 17 25 26
20 22 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
21 7 Stevenage 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 8 7 4 22 15 31
22 16 Exeter 20 14 6 0.7 0.9 6 7 7 14 19 25
23 19 Burton 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 17 22 22
24 20 Cambridge 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 7 5 7 17 20 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Stevenage 20 7 13 1.4 1.2 9 4 7 29 25 31
2 12 Northampton 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 11 25 39 21
3 6 Oxford 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 3 8 28 30 30
4 15 Reading 19 7 12 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 21 36 14
5 2 Derby 20 9 11 1.7 0.8 12 2 6 34 17 38
6 4 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.3 10 4 5 30 25 34
7 14 Bristol Rvs 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 7 3 10 22 34 24
8 20 Cambridge 19 8 11 0.8 1.8 3 4 12 15 35 13
9 23 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 3 8 8 21 30 17
10 5 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 11 6 1 35 20 39
11 13 Wycombe 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
12 16 Exeter 19 9 10 1.0 1.7 7 1 11 19 33 22
13 1 Portsmouth 20 11 9 1.4 0.6 11 7 2 29 12 40
14 10 Wigan 19 10 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 26 31 20
15 17 Charlton 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 3 10 7 25 31 19
16 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.7 1.4 4 5 11 14 29 17
17 21 Port Vale 19 10 9 0.7 1.7 4 6 9 14 33 18
18 24 Carlisle 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 2 3 14 16 34 9
19 3 Bolton 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 6 29 21 32
20 9 Blackpool 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 10 19 25 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 1.2 0.9 8 6 6 24 19 30
22 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
23 8 Lincoln 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27
24 22 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.3 3 4 12 11 24 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51