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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Drysdale

Reading 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.00 fair 3.26
Draw 3.80 fair 4.12
Away 1.85 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Derby
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 0
6 Corners 6
14 Fouls 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (325 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
1.31scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 34:42
Derby before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.85scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 50:26
Reading all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.85
1.62 Goals conceded 0.96
2.92 Total goals 2.81
12.38 Shots 13.30
4.62 Shots on target 4.74
13.27 Shots faced 10.11
4.69 Corners 7.00
6.12 Corners against 5.37
12.54 Fouls 10.93
2.19 Yellow cards 1.85
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

27% Wins 59%
23% Draws 19%
50% Losses 22%
96% Over 0.5 goals 93%
77% Over 1.5 goals 78%
58% Over 2.5 goals 59%
38% Over 3.5 goals 33%
19% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
65% Both teams scored 56%
15% Clean sheets 41%
23% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 41%
38% Draws 44%
31% Losses 15%
85% Over 0.5 goals 70%
46% Over 1.5 goals 33%
27% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Derby all matches
Reading before this match, at home
1.62points / match
1.62scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:15
Derby before this match, away
2.07points / match
1.86scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:13
Reading at home away Derby

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.86
1.15 Goals conceded 0.93
2.77 Total goals 2.79
13.92 Shots 12.64
5.08 Shots on target 4.93
11.77 Shots faced 11.21
4.54 Corners 7.29
5.15 Corners against 6.00
12.62 Fouls 11.21
2.15 Yellow cards 1.64
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

46% Wins 64%
23% Draws 14%
31% Losses 21%
92% Over 0.5 goals 93%
77% Over 1.5 goals 71%
46% Over 2.5 goals 57%
31% Over 3.5 goals 36%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 7%
62% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 43%
15% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 43%
31% Draws 43%
23% Losses 14%
92% Over 0.5 goals 71%
38% Over 1.5 goals 43%
23% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Wigan – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.23 Cheltenham – Reading 2–2 (2–2) 2.753.402.55 2.00 1.85
26.12.23 Peterboro – Reading 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.506.50 1.60 2.30
23.12.23 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Lincoln – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
12.12.23 Reading – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.502.45 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Reading – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.75 2.05
28.11.23 Reading – Carlisle 5–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
25.11.23 Wycombe – Reading 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.20 1.83 2.03

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
23.12.23 Reading – Wigan 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.93 1.93
12.12.23 Reading – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.502.45 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Reading – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.75 2.05
28.11.23 Reading – Carlisle 5–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
07.11.23 Reading – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.70 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Reading – Portsmouth 2–3 (2–2) 3.403.502.10 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Reading – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.93 1.93
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Reading – Bolton 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.83 2.03

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.22E1 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
29.09.21E1 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 28 16 8 4 43 25 +18 56
2 Peterboro 27 16 7 4 54 29 +25 55
3 Bolton 26 17 3 6 46 25 +21 54
4 Derby 27 16 5 6 50 26 +24 53
5 Barnsley 27 15 7 5 51 30 +21 52
6 Oxford 27 15 4 8 45 31 +14 49
7 Stevenage 26 13 7 6 38 25 +13 46
8 Blackpool 28 13 6 9 46 33 +13 45
9 Wigan 28 12 6 10 38 31 +7 42
10 Northampton 27 12 4 11 35 36 -1 40
11 Leyton Orient 27 10 8 9 29 31 -2 38
12 Lincoln 28 8 10 10 30 30 0 34
13 Bristol Rvs 27 9 7 11 36 38 -2 34
14 Cambridge 26 8 7 11 23 33 -10 31
15 Burton 28 8 7 13 25 38 -13 31
16 Charlton 28 7 9 12 42 44 -2 30
17 Wycombe 27 7 9 11 30 36 -6 30
18 Port Vale 25 8 6 11 28 38 -10 30
19 Exeter 28 8 6 14 19 39 -20 30
20 Shrewsbury 28 9 3 16 18 39 -21 30
21 Reading 26 7 6 13 34 42 -8 27
22 Cheltenham 26 6 5 15 19 35 -16 23
23 Carlisle 28 4 8 16 23 43 -20 20
24 Fleetwood Town 27 4 6 17 23 48 -25 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 15 10 2 3 32 14 +18 32
2 Bolton 14 10 1 3 29 17 +12 31
3 Peterboro 13 8 4 1 31 12 +19 28
4 Wigan 14 9 1 4 20 11 +9 28
5 Portsmouth 14 8 4 2 19 15 +4 28
6 Derby 13 7 3 3 24 13 +11 24
7 Barnsley 14 7 3 4 27 17 +10 24
8 Oxford 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24
9 Northampton 14 7 3 4 20 15 +5 24
10 Cambridge 14 7 3 4 15 15 0 24
11 Burton 14 6 4 4 16 14 +2 22
12 Shrewsbury 14 7 1 6 14 16 -2 22
13 Stevenage 12 5 6 1 17 10 +7 21
14 Reading 13 6 3 4 21 15 +6 21
15 Charlton 15 6 3 6 28 23 +5 21
16 Bristol Rvs 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
17 Leyton Orient 13 5 3 5 11 17 -6 18
18 Lincoln 13 4 5 4 17 12 +5 17
19 Exeter 14 4 5 5 8 11 -3 17
20 Port Vale 12 5 1 6 17 16 +1 16
21 Wycombe 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
22 Cheltenham 13 4 3 6 12 18 -6 15
23 Carlisle 14 3 5 6 13 18 -5 14
24 Fleetwood Town 14 2 2 10 10 25 -15 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 14 9 2 3 26 13 +13 29
2 Portsmouth 14 8 4 2 24 10 +14 28
3 Barnsley 13 8 4 1 24 13 +11 28
4 Peterboro 14 8 3 3 23 17 +6 27
5 Stevenage 14 8 1 5 21 15 +6 25
6 Oxford 14 8 1 5 23 19 +4 25
7 Bolton 12 7 2 3 17 8 +9 23
8 Leyton Orient 14 5 5 4 18 14 +4 20
9 Lincoln 15 4 5 6 13 18 -5 17
10 Northampton 13 5 1 7 15 21 -6 16
11 Wigan 14 3 5 6 18 20 -2 14
12 Wycombe 14 3 5 6 15 19 -4 14
13 Bristol Rvs 14 4 2 8 16 24 -8 14
14 Port Vale 13 3 5 5 11 22 -11 14
15 Blackpool 13 3 4 6 14 19 -5 13
16 Exeter 14 4 1 9 11 28 -17 13
17 Fleetwood Town 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10
18 Charlton 13 1 6 6 14 21 -7 9
19 Burton 14 2 3 9 9 24 -15 9
20 Cheltenham 13 2 2 9 7 17 -10 8
21 Shrewsbury 14 2 2 10 4 23 -19 8
22 Cambridge 12 1 4 7 8 18 -10 7
23 Reading 13 1 3 9 13 27 -14 6
24 Carlisle 14 1 3 10 10 25 -15 6

Reading   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 27 9 18 1.7 1.1 15 4 8 45 31 49
2 16 Charlton 28 10 18 1.5 1.6 7 9 12 42 44 30
3 2 Peterboro 27 10 17 2.0 1.1 16 7 4 54 29 55
4 8 Blackpool 28 11 17 1.6 1.2 13 6 9 46 33 45
5 10 Northampton 27 10 17 1.3 1.3 12 4 11 35 36 40
6 4 Derby 27 11 16 1.9 1.0 16 5 6 50 26 53
7 5 Barnsley 27 11 16 1.9 1.1 15 7 5 51 30 52
8 1 Portsmouth 28 13 15 1.5 0.9 16 8 4 43 25 56
9 13 Bristol Rvs 27 12 15 1.3 1.4 9 7 11 36 38 34
10 21 Reading 26 11 15 1.3 1.6 7 6 13 34 42 27
11 7 Stevenage 26 12 14 1.5 1.0 13 7 6 38 25 46
12 24 Fleetwood Town 27 13 14 0.9 1.8 4 6 17 23 48 18
13 3 Bolton 26 13 13 1.8 1.0 17 3 6 46 25 54
14 9 Wigan 28 16 12 1.4 1.1 12 6 10 38 31 42
15 17 Wycombe 27 15 12 1.1 1.3 7 9 11 30 36 30
16 18 Port Vale 25 13 12 1.1 1.5 8 6 11 28 38 30
17 11 Leyton Orient 27 16 11 1.1 1.1 10 8 9 29 31 38
18 14 Cambridge 26 15 11 0.9 1.3 8 7 11 23 33 31
19 15 Burton 28 17 11 0.9 1.4 8 7 13 25 38 31
20 12 Lincoln 28 18 10 1.1 1.1 8 10 10 30 30 34
21 20 Shrewsbury 28 18 10 0.6 1.4 9 3 16 18 39 30
22 23 Carlisle 28 18 10 0.8 1.5 4 8 16 23 43 20
23 19 Exeter 28 19 9 0.7 1.4 8 6 14 19 39 30
24 22 Cheltenham 26 17 9 0.7 1.3 6 5 15 19 35 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Charlton 15 3 12 1.9 1.5 6 3 6 28 23 21
2 3 Bolton 14 4 10 2.1 1.2 10 1 3 29 17 31
3 8 Blackpool 15 5 10 2.1 0.9 10 2 3 32 14 32
4 2 Peterboro 13 4 9 2.4 0.9 8 4 1 31 12 28
5 5 Barnsley 14 5 9 1.9 1.2 7 3 4 27 17 24
6 6 Oxford 13 4 9 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24
7 4 Derby 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 7 3 3 24 13 24
8 10 Northampton 14 6 8 1.4 1.1 7 3 4 20 15 24
9 1 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 8 4 2 19 15 28
10 13 Bristol Rvs 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 9 Wigan 14 8 6 1.4 0.8 9 1 4 20 11 28
12 18 Port Vale 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 5 1 6 17 16 16
13 20 Shrewsbury 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 7 1 6 14 16 22
14 21 Reading 13 7 6 1.6 1.2 6 3 4 21 15 21
15 24 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 10 10 25 8
16 7 Stevenage 12 7 5 1.4 0.8 5 6 1 17 10 21
17 11 Leyton Orient 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 5 3 5 11 17 18
18 12 Lincoln 13 8 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 4 17 12 17
19 14 Cambridge 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 7 3 4 15 15 24
20 15 Burton 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 4 16 14 22
21 17 Wycombe 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
22 22 Cheltenham 13 8 5 0.9 1.4 4 3 6 12 18 15
23 23 Carlisle 14 10 4 0.9 1.3 3 5 6 13 18 14
24 19 Exeter 14 11 3 0.6 0.8 4 5 5 8 11 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 8 1 5 23 19 25
2 7 Stevenage 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 8 1 5 21 15 25
3 10 Northampton 13 4 9 1.2 1.6 5 1 7 15 21 16
4 21 Reading 13 4 9 1.0 2.1 1 3 9 13 27 6
5 1 Portsmouth 14 6 8 1.7 0.7 8 4 2 24 10 28
6 2 Peterboro 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 8 3 3 23 17 27
7 4 Derby 14 6 8 1.9 0.9 9 2 3 26 13 29
8 13 Bristol Rvs 14 6 8 1.1 1.7 4 2 8 16 24 14
9 24 Fleetwood Town 13 5 8 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10
10 5 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.8 1.0 8 4 1 24 13 28
11 8 Blackpool 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 4 6 14 19 13
12 17 Wycombe 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 3 5 6 15 19 14
13 9 Wigan 14 8 6 1.3 1.4 3 5 6 18 20 14
14 11 Leyton Orient 14 8 6 1.3 1.0 5 5 4 18 14 20
15 14 Cambridge 12 6 6 0.7 1.5 1 4 7 8 18 7
16 15 Burton 14 8 6 0.6 1.7 2 3 9 9 24 9
17 16 Charlton 13 7 6 1.1 1.6 1 6 6 14 21 9
18 18 Port Vale 13 7 6 0.8 1.7 3 5 5 11 22 14
19 19 Exeter 14 8 6 0.8 2.0 4 1 9 11 28 13
20 23 Carlisle 14 8 6 0.7 1.8 1 3 10 10 25 6
21 12 Lincoln 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 5 6 13 18 17
22 20 Shrewsbury 14 10 4 0.3 1.6 2 2 10 4 23 8
23 22 Cheltenham 13 9 4 0.5 1.3 2 2 9 7 17 8
24 3 Bolton 12 9 3 1.4 0.7 7 2 3 17 8 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38