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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Barnsley 5–0 Luton

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.05 fair 2.32
Draw 3.40 fair 3.92
Away 2.15 fair 3.19
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Barnsley Luton
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 4
13 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Barnsley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
BarnsleyDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.54scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:18
Luton before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:15
Barnsley all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 1.20
1.38 Goals conceded 1.00
2.92 Total goals 2.20
11.62 Shots 12.53
4.00 Shots on target 3.93
12.85 Shots faced 9.20
5.54 Corners 6.67
5.38 Corners against 3.53
11.92 Fouls 11.27
2.15 Yellow cards 1.80
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

46% Wins 47%
23% Draws 13%
31% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
77% Over 1.5 goals 60%
54% Over 2.5 goals 40%
46% Over 3.5 goals 20%
15% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 27%
8% Clean sheets 53%
31% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 27%
46% Draws 40%
23% Losses 33%
69% Over 0.5 goals 60%
46% Over 1.5 goals 20%
8% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley all matches
Luton all matches
Barnsley before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:9
Luton before this match, away
1.63points / match
1.63scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:9
Barnsley at home away Luton

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded 1.13
3.17 Total goals 2.75
11.83 Shots 11.00
4.00 Shots on target 3.75
10.67 Shots faced 10.50
5.50 Corners 6.50
3.67 Corners against 3.50
13.00 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
17% Draws 13%
33% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 38%
0% Clean sheets 50%
33% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 25%
67% Draws 38%
17% Losses 38%
50% Over 0.5 goals 63%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Doncaster – Barnsley 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.502.95 1.73 2.08
25.10.25 Barnsley – Rotherham 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.603.90 1.70 2.10
18.10.25 Bradford – Barnsley 2–2 (2–1) 2.013.603.20 1.62 2.25
04.10.25 Wycombe – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 1.913.603.50 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Barnsley – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.503.25 1.80 2.00
20.09.25 Blackpool – Barnsley 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.502.55 1.73 2.08
13.09.25 Barnsley – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 1.763.804.20 1.62 2.25
30.08.25 Barnsley – Huddersfield 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.35 1.75 2.05
23.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.30 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Peterboro – Barnsley 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.15 1.60 2.30

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.11.25 Luton – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.493.906.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
18.10.25 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.25 Blackpool – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.10 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Luton – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.704.50 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85

Barnsley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Barnsley – Rotherham 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.603.90 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Barnsley – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.503.25 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Barnsley – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 1.763.804.20 1.62 2.25
30.08.25 Barnsley – Huddersfield 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.35 1.75 2.05
16.08.25 Barnsley – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.45 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
26.04.25 Barnsley – Shrewsbury 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.105.50 1.62 2.25
21.04.25 Barnsley – Peterboro 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.502.90 1.44 2.70
12.04.25 Barnsley – Bolton 4–1 (2–0) 3.303.752.00 1.70 2.10
01.04.25 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 1.903.503.90 1.80 2.00

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Stockport – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.253.50 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
04.10.25 Stevenage – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.25 Blackpool – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.10 2.05 1.75
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
18.04.25E1 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Barnsley winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22E1 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
17.08.21E1 Barnsley – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 16 8 4 4 20 15 +5 28
2 Stockport 16 8 4 4 22 20 +2 28
3 Bradford 15 7 6 2 24 18 +6 27
4 Bolton 15 7 5 3 23 15 +8 26
5 Cardiff 14 8 2 4 22 14 +8 26
6 Stevenage 13 8 2 3 18 11 +7 26
7 AFC Wimbledon 15 8 1 6 19 20 -1 25
8 Luton 15 7 2 6 18 15 +3 23
9 Mansfield 15 6 4 5 22 17 +5 22
10 Huddersfield 14 7 1 6 21 19 +2 22
11 Rotherham 16 6 4 6 18 18 0 22
12 Burton 16 6 4 6 16 19 -3 22
13 Barnsley 13 6 3 4 20 18 +2 21
14 Wycombe 16 5 5 6 22 17 +5 20
15 Northampton 15 6 2 7 12 14 -2 20
16 Leyton Orient 16 6 2 8 24 28 -4 20
17 Wigan 15 4 6 5 18 19 -1 18
18 Reading 15 4 6 5 16 19 -3 18
19 Doncaster 16 5 3 8 15 23 -8 18
20 Exeter 16 5 2 9 16 17 -1 17
21 Peterboro 15 5 1 9 18 22 -4 16
22 Plymouth 16 5 1 10 19 28 -9 16
23 Blackpool 16 4 3 9 16 24 -8 15
24 Port Vale 17 3 5 9 11 20 -9 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 8 6 2 0 18 4 +14 20
2 Lincoln 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Bradford 8 5 2 1 14 9 +5 17
4 Huddersfield 8 5 1 2 14 7 +7 16
5 Stevenage 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
6 Cardiff 7 5 0 2 16 9 +7 15
7 Rotherham 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
8 Wycombe 8 4 2 2 16 8 +8 14
9 Mansfield 7 4 2 1 13 6 +7 14
10 Leyton Orient 8 4 2 2 14 8 +6 14
11 Stockport 8 4 2 2 9 8 +1 14
12 Reading 8 4 2 2 8 7 +1 14
13 Wigan 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
14 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 1 2 9 5 +4 13
15 Northampton 8 4 1 3 8 5 +3 13
16 Blackpool 8 3 3 2 13 12 +1 12
17 Exeter 8 3 2 3 12 8 +4 11
18 Doncaster 8 3 2 3 10 9 +1 11
19 Peterboro 8 3 1 4 12 10 +2 10
20 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
21 Luton 7 3 1 3 5 6 -1 10
22 Burton 8 3 1 4 6 10 -4 10
23 Plymouth 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
24 Port Vale 9 1 3 5 5 11 -6 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 8 4 2 2 13 12 +1 14
2 Luton 8 4 1 3 13 9 +4 13
3 Burton 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
4 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 0 4 10 15 -5 12
5 Barnsley 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
6 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 6 5 +1 11
7 Lincoln 8 3 2 3 6 7 -1 11
8 Bradford 7 2 4 1 10 9 +1 10
9 Stevenage 7 3 1 3 9 9 0 10
10 Plymouth 9 3 0 6 11 18 -7 9
11 Mansfield 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
12 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
13 Rotherham 8 2 1 5 5 10 -5 7
14 Northampton 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
15 Doncaster 8 2 1 5 5 14 -9 7
16 Wycombe 8 1 3 4 6 9 -3 6
17 Huddersfield 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6
18 Exeter 8 2 0 6 4 9 -5 6
19 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
20 Bolton 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
21 Leyton Orient 8 2 0 6 10 20 -10 6
22 Wigan 8 0 5 3 8 14 -6 5
23 Reading 7 0 4 3 8 12 -4 4
24 Blackpool 8 1 0 7 3 12 -9 3

Barnsley   Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bradford 15 5 10 1.6 1.2 7 6 2 24 18 27
2 16 Leyton Orient 16 6 10 1.5 1.8 6 2 8 24 28 20
3 2 Stockport 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 8 4 4 22 20 28
4 10 Huddersfield 14 5 9 1.5 1.4 7 1 6 21 19 22
5 11 Rotherham 16 7 9 1.1 1.1 6 4 6 18 18 22
6 21 Peterboro 15 6 9 1.2 1.5 5 1 9 18 22 16
7 7 AFC Wimbledon 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 8 1 6 19 20 25
8 12 Burton 16 8 8 1.0 1.2 6 4 6 16 19 22
9 14 Wycombe 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 5 5 6 22 17 20
10 19 Doncaster 16 8 8 0.9 1.4 5 3 8 15 23 18
11 22 Plymouth 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 10 19 28 16
12 5 Cardiff 14 7 7 1.6 1.0 8 2 4 22 14 26
13 9 Mansfield 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 6 4 5 22 17 22
14 13 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 3 4 20 18 21
15 1 Lincoln 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 20 15 28
16 4 Bolton 15 9 6 1.5 1.0 7 5 3 23 15 26
17 8 Luton 15 9 6 1.2 1.0 7 2 6 18 15 23
18 23 Blackpool 16 10 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 9 16 24 15
19 24 Port Vale 17 11 6 0.6 1.2 3 5 9 11 20 14
20 17 Wigan 15 10 5 1.2 1.3 4 6 5 18 19 18
21 18 Reading 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 4 6 5 16 19 18
22 20 Exeter 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 5 2 9 16 17 17
23 6 Stevenage 13 9 4 1.4 0.8 8 2 3 18 11 26
24 15 Northampton 15 11 4 0.8 0.9 6 2 7 12 14 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bradford 8 2 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 1 14 9 17
2 5 Cardiff 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 5 0 2 16 9 15
3 10 Huddersfield 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 1 2 14 7 16
4 11 Rotherham 8 3 5 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
5 14 Wycombe 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 4 2 2 16 8 14
6 21 Peterboro 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 3 1 4 12 10 10
7 1 Lincoln 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
8 4 Bolton 8 4 4 2.2 0.5 6 2 0 18 4 20
9 12 Burton 8 4 4 0.8 1.2 3 1 4 6 10 10
10 16 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 4 2 2 14 8 14
11 19 Doncaster 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 2 3 10 9 11
12 23 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.6 1.5 3 3 2 13 12 12
13 24 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.6 1.2 1 3 5 5 11 6
14 2 Stockport 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 2 9 8 14
15 9 Mansfield 7 4 3 1.9 0.9 4 2 1 13 6 14
16 13 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
17 20 Exeter 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 3 12 8 11
18 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
19 7 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 2 9 5 13
20 15 Northampton 8 6 2 1.0 0.6 4 1 3 8 5 13
21 17 Wigan 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
22 18 Reading 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 2 8 7 14
23 6 Stevenage 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
24 8 Luton 7 6 1 0.7 0.9 3 1 3 5 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Stockport 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 2 2 13 12 14
2 7 AFC Wimbledon 8 2 6 1.2 1.9 4 0 4 10 15 12
3 16 Leyton Orient 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 2 0 6 10 20 6
4 8 Luton 8 3 5 1.6 1.1 4 1 3 13 9 13
5 22 Plymouth 9 4 5 1.2 2.0 3 0 6 11 18 9
6 3 Bradford 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 2 4 1 10 9 10
7 9 Mansfield 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
8 10 Huddersfield 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6
9 11 Rotherham 8 4 4 0.6 1.2 2 1 5 5 10 7
10 12 Burton 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
11 13 Barnsley 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
12 19 Doncaster 8 4 4 0.6 1.8 2 1 5 5 14 7
13 21 Peterboro 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
14 6 Stevenage 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 1 3 9 9 10
15 14 Wycombe 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 1 3 4 6 9 6
16 17 Wigan 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 0 5 3 8 14 5
17 18 Reading 7 4 3 1.1 1.7 0 4 3 8 12 4
18 1 Lincoln 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 3 2 3 6 7 11
19 4 Bolton 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
20 15 Northampton 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
21 20 Exeter 8 6 2 0.5 1.1 2 0 6 4 9 6
22 23 Blackpool 8 6 2 0.4 1.5 1 0 7 3 12 3
23 24 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
24 5 Cardiff 7 6 1 0.9 0.7 3 2 2 6 5 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40