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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Robinson

Luton 1–0 Doncaster

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.68 fair 2.06
Draw 3.70 fair 3.88
Away 4.50 fair 3.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Doncaster
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 3
13 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (105 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawDoncaster
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.9% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.38scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:9
Doncaster before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.11scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:10
Luton all matches all matches Doncaster

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.11
1.13 Goals conceded 1.11
2.50 Total goals 2.22
13.25 Shots 11.78
4.13 Shots on target 2.44
9.38 Shots faced 9.33
7.50 Corners 5.22
3.75 Corners against 5.44
11.38 Fouls 10.89
2.00 Yellow cards 1.56
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 56%
0% Draws 11%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
25% Over 3.5 goals 11%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 44%
50% Clean sheets 33%
13% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 22%
38% Draws 67%
38% Losses 11%
63% Over 0.5 goals 33%
25% Over 1.5 goals 22%
13% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Doncaster all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:4
Doncaster before this match, away
1.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:6
Luton at home away Doncaster

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 2.25
16.00 Shots 10.00
4.75 Shots on target 2.25
8.25 Shots faced 11.00
8.50 Corners 6.75
4.25 Corners against 6.50
10.00 Fouls 11.50
1.50 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 75%
25% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 25%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Doncaster away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Lincoln – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.05 2.10 1.70
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83

Doncaster all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Doncaster – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–0) 1.763.304.75 2.30 1.60
13.09.25 Wigan – Doncaster 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.502.82 2.35 1.57
06.09.25 Doncaster – Bradford 3–1 (3–1) 2.153.303.10 2.05 1.75
30.08.25 Doncaster – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 1.664.004.33 2.05 1.75
23.08.25 Port Vale – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.002.60 2.15 1.67
19.08.25 Huddersfield – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.60 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Doncaster – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.302.88 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 Mansfield – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
02.08.25 Doncaster – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 2.00 1.85
03.05.25E3 Notts County – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.402.90 1.67 2.15

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
12.04.25E1 Luton – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 1.95 1.90
01.03.25E1 Luton – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.80

Doncaster away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Wigan – Doncaster 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.502.82 2.35 1.57
23.08.25 Port Vale – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.002.60 2.15 1.67
19.08.25 Huddersfield – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.60 1.93 1.93
09.08.25 Mansfield – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
03.05.25E3 Notts County – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.402.90 1.67 2.15
18.04.25E3 Tranmere – Doncaster 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.402.00 1.93 1.93
15.04.25E3 Salford – Doncaster 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.30 2.03 1.83
05.04.25E3 Cheltenham – Doncaster 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.701.70 1.98 1.88
15.03.25E3 Crewe – Doncaster 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.302.20 2.08 1.73
04.03.25E3 Bromley – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.302.05 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 9 7 1 1 15 8 +7 22
2 Bradford 9 6 2 1 17 11 +6 20
3 Lincoln 9 5 3 1 14 9 +5 18
4 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 0 4 14 12 +2 18
5 Cardiff 8 5 2 1 13 5 +8 17
6 Huddersfield 9 5 1 3 15 11 +4 16
7 Barnsley 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
8 Doncaster 9 5 1 3 10 10 0 16
9 Stockport 9 4 3 2 14 12 +2 15
10 Bolton 9 3 5 1 14 8 +6 14
11 Luton 8 4 0 4 11 9 +2 12
12 Wigan 9 3 3 3 14 13 +1 12
13 Mansfield 9 3 2 4 13 12 +1 11
14 Leyton Orient 10 3 2 5 13 18 -5 11
15 Northampton 8 3 1 4 5 8 -3 10
16 Exeter 9 3 0 6 10 11 -1 9
17 Plymouth 9 3 0 6 11 18 -7 9
18 Wycombe 10 2 2 6 11 13 -2 8
19 Port Vale 9 2 2 5 8 10 -2 8
20 Reading 8 2 2 4 9 13 -4 8
21 Rotherham 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
22 Blackpool 8 2 1 5 8 14 -6 7
23 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
24 Burton 7 1 2 4 5 10 -5 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 5 4 1 0 9 2 +7 13
2 Bradford 4 4 0 0 10 5 +5 12
3 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
4 Stevenage 4 4 0 0 6 1 +5 12
5 Bolton 5 3 2 0 11 3 +8 11
6 Lincoln 5 3 2 0 11 6 +5 11
7 Wigan 4 3 1 0 9 2 +7 10
8 Barnsley 4 3 1 0 10 6 +4 10
9 Doncaster 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
10 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 10 4 +6 9
11 Mansfield 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
12 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
13 Stockport 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
14 Northampton 4 2 1 1 3 1 +2 7
15 Blackpool 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
16 Rotherham 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
17 Exeter 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
18 Luton 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
19 Plymouth 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
20 Reading 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
21 Leyton Orient 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
22 Port Vale 5 1 1 3 5 7 -2 4
23 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
24 Burton 4 1 1 2 2 5 -3 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
2 Cardiff 4 2 2 0 3 1 +2 8
3 Bradford 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
4 Stockport 5 2 2 1 8 8 0 8
5 Lincoln 4 2 1 1 3 3 0 7
6 Luton 4 2 0 2 7 5 +2 6
7 Barnsley 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
8 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
9 Doncaster 4 2 0 2 3 6 -3 6
10 Leyton Orient 5 2 0 3 6 11 -5 6
11 Port Vale 4 1 1 2 3 3 0 4
12 Mansfield 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
13 Bolton 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
14 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
15 Exeter 5 1 0 4 2 6 -4 3
16 Northampton 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
17 Plymouth 4 1 0 3 5 11 -6 3
18 Peterboro 5 1 0 4 4 10 -6 3
19 Reading 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
20 Wigan 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2
21 Burton 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
22 Wycombe 5 0 1 4 4 8 -4 1
23 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 1 7 -6 0
24 Blackpool 4 0 0 4 1 8 -7 0

Luton   Doncaster

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bradford 9 2 7 1.9 1.2 6 2 1 17 11 20
2 4 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 6 0 4 14 12 18
3 14 Leyton Orient 10 4 6 1.3 1.8 3 2 5 13 18 11
4 6 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 5 1 3 15 11 16
5 9 Stockport 9 4 5 1.6 1.3 4 3 2 14 12 15
6 12 Wigan 9 4 5 1.6 1.4 3 3 3 14 13 12
7 13 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 3 2 4 13 12 11
8 17 Plymouth 9 4 5 1.2 2.0 3 0 6 11 18 9
9 18 Wycombe 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 6 11 13 8
10 1 Stevenage 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 7 1 1 15 8 22
11 5 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 5 2 1 13 5 17
12 7 Barnsley 8 4 4 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
13 8 Doncaster 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 5 1 3 10 10 16
14 11 Luton 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 4 0 4 11 9 12
15 16 Exeter 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 0 6 10 11 9
16 19 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 2 2 5 8 10 8
17 20 Reading 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 4 9 13 8
18 21 Rotherham 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
19 23 Peterboro 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
20 24 Burton 7 3 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 4 5 10 5
21 3 Lincoln 9 6 3 1.6 1.0 5 3 1 14 9 18
22 22 Blackpool 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 2 1 5 8 14 7
23 10 Bolton 9 7 2 1.6 0.9 3 5 1 14 8 14
24 15 Northampton 8 7 1 0.6 1.0 3 1 4 5 8 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bradford 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 4 0 0 10 5 12
2 5 Cardiff 4 0 4 2.5 1.0 3 0 1 10 4 9
3 3 Lincoln 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 3 2 0 11 6 11
4 7 Barnsley 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 3 1 0 10 6 10
5 16 Exeter 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 0 2 8 5 6
6 19 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 1 3 5 7 4
7 4 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
8 6 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 4 1 0 9 2 13
9 8 Doncaster 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
10 9 Stockport 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
11 10 Bolton 5 3 2 2.2 0.6 3 2 0 11 3 11
12 12 Wigan 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 3 1 0 9 2 10
13 13 Mansfield 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
14 14 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
15 17 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
16 18 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
17 20 Reading 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
18 21 Rotherham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
19 22 Blackpool 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
20 24 Burton 4 2 2 0.5 1.2 1 1 2 2 5 4
21 1 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 4 0 0 6 1 12
22 11 Luton 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
23 23 Peterboro 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
24 15 Northampton 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 1 1 3 1 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
2 14 Leyton Orient 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 2 0 3 6 11 6
3 1 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
4 2 Bradford 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
5 6 Huddersfield 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
6 9 Stockport 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 2 1 8 8 8
7 11 Luton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 0 2 7 5 6
8 12 Wigan 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2
9 13 Mansfield 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
10 17 Plymouth 4 1 3 1.2 2.8 1 0 3 5 11 3
11 18 Wycombe 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 1 4 4 8 1
12 23 Peterboro 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 4 4 10 3
13 8 Doncaster 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 2 0 2 3 6 6
14 20 Reading 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
15 21 Rotherham 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 0 4 1 7 0
16 24 Burton 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
17 7 Barnsley 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
18 15 Northampton 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3
19 16 Exeter 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 0 4 2 6 3
20 19 Port Vale 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 1 2 3 3 4
21 22 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 0 4 1 8 0
22 3 Lincoln 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 2 1 1 3 3 7
23 5 Cardiff 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 2 0 3 1 8
24 10 Bolton 4 4 0 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51