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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Mulhall

Burton 5–1 Northampton

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.74
Draw 3.05 fair 3.49
Away 3.25 fair 2.87
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Northampton
15 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 7
12 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 11.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
0.90scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 18:26
Northampton before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.05scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:21
Burton all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.05
1.30 Goals conceded 1.05
2.20 Total goals 2.10
11.75 Shots 8.80
3.35 Shots on target 2.90
13.00 Shots faced 13.15
4.85 Corners 5.05
5.95 Corners against 4.45
11.30 Fouls 10.45
1.80 Yellow cards 1.30
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

30% Wins 40%
30% Draws 15%
40% Losses 45%
85% Over 0.5 goals 90%
55% Over 1.5 goals 65%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
25% Over 3.5 goals 15%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 40%
35% Clean sheets 35%
45% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 10%
40% Draws 55%
30% Losses 35%
60% Over 0.5 goals 55%
25% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Northampton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.10points / match
0.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:14
Northampton before this match, away
1.11points / match
0.89scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:11
Burton at home away Northampton

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 0.89
1.40 Goals conceded 1.22
2.00 Total goals 2.11
11.50 Shots 8.56
3.10 Shots on target 2.78
12.20 Shots faced 14.67
5.10 Corners 5.44
4.70 Corners against 4.89
10.30 Fouls 10.89
1.70 Yellow cards 1.11
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

30% Wins 33%
20% Draws 11%
50% Losses 56%
80% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
20% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
10% Both teams scored 33%
40% Clean sheets 33%
70% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 56%
40% Losses 44%
60% Over 0.5 goals 44%
30% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Burton – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 2.00 1.80
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–4 (0–2) 2.653.302.45 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.95 1.85 2.00
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.402.95 2.08 1.73
25.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
18.10.25 Burton – Peterboro 0–1 (0–0) 2.323.402.75 1.80 2.00
11.10.25 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.25 Northampton – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.053.30 2.50 1.50
13.12.25 Peterboro – Northampton 2–1 (1–0) 2.013.303.50 2.05 1.75
09.12.25 Northampton – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.05 2.00 1.85
29.11.25 Plymouth – Northampton 0–3 (0–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Northampton – Mansfield 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.252.10 2.25 1.62
25.10.25 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62
21.10.25 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Doncaster – Northampton 1–2 (1–0) 1.763.604.20 2.10 1.70
11.10.25 Northampton – Rotherham 1–2 (1–0) 2.013.303.50 2.20 1.65

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Burton – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–4 (0–2) 2.653.302.45 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.95 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Burton – Peterboro 0–1 (0–0) 2.323.402.75 1.80 2.00
11.10.25 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05
27.09.25 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Peterboro – Northampton 2–1 (1–0) 2.013.303.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Plymouth – Northampton 0–3 (0–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
21.10.25 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 2.00 1.85
18.10.25 Doncaster – Northampton 1–2 (1–0) 1.763.604.20 2.10 1.70
04.10.25 Port Vale – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.33 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Wycombe – Northampton 2–0 (1–0) 1.763.404.50 2.08 1.73
30.08.25 Leyton Orient – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 1.683.804.50 2.10 1.70
16.08.25 Stevenage – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.673.405.50 2.25 1.62
02.08.25 Wigan – Northampton 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.103.60 2.40 1.53
26.04.25 Crawley Town – Northampton 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.50 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsNorthampton wins
4matches
1.25goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25E2 Burton – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.15 1.67
31.08.24E2 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
24.02.24E2 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
11.11.23E2 Northampton – Burton 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.08 1.73

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 20 13 2 5 37 22 +15 41
2 Lincoln 21 11 5 5 30 22 +8 38
3 Bradford 20 10 7 3 29 20 +9 37
4 Stevenage 19 10 5 4 24 15 +9 35
5 Stockport 20 10 5 5 28 25 +3 35
6 Bolton 20 9 7 4 28 19 +9 34
7 Huddersfield 21 9 4 8 35 31 +4 31
8 Luton 21 8 5 8 26 28 -2 29
9 Wycombe 21 7 7 7 28 22 +6 28
10 Barnsley 18 8 4 6 30 27 +3 28
11 Leyton Orient 21 8 4 9 34 34 0 28
12 Northampton 20 8 3 9 21 21 0 27
13 AFC Wimbledon 20 8 3 9 24 29 -5 27
14 Wigan 20 6 8 6 22 23 -1 26
15 Reading 20 6 7 7 24 26 -2 25
16 Peterboro 20 8 1 11 24 27 -3 25
17 Plymouth 21 8 1 12 26 33 -7 25
18 Rotherham 21 6 6 9 21 27 -6 24
19 Burton 20 6 6 8 18 26 -8 24
20 Exeter 20 7 2 11 21 20 +1 23
21 Mansfield 20 6 5 9 24 26 -2 23
22 Blackpool 21 6 5 10 24 30 -6 23
23 Doncaster 21 6 4 11 21 35 -14 22
24 Port Vale 20 3 6 11 13 24 -11 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 11 8 2 1 20 10 +10 26
2 Bolton 10 7 3 0 20 5 +15 24
3 Cardiff 10 8 0 2 26 14 +12 24
4 Bradford 10 7 2 1 17 9 +8 23
5 Wycombe 11 6 2 3 21 12 +9 20
6 Leyton Orient 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
7 Huddersfield 10 5 3 2 18 11 +7 18
8 Stevenage 9 5 3 1 11 5 +6 18
9 Reading 11 5 3 3 13 12 +1 18
10 Exeter 10 5 2 3 16 8 +8 17
11 Wigan 10 5 2 3 11 7 +4 17
12 Northampton 11 5 2 4 13 10 +3 17
13 Barnsley 8 5 1 2 18 11 +7 16
14 Rotherham 11 4 4 3 15 15 0 16
15 Luton 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
16 Stockport 10 4 3 3 11 12 -1 15
17 Mansfield 10 4 2 4 15 12 +3 14
18 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
19 Doncaster 11 4 2 5 13 17 -4 14
20 Peterboro 10 4 1 5 14 12 +2 13
21 Blackpool 10 3 4 3 15 17 -2 13
22 Burton 10 3 2 5 6 14 -8 11
23 Plymouth 10 3 1 6 9 14 -5 10
24 Port Vale 10 1 3 6 5 12 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 10 6 2 2 17 13 +4 20
2 Stevenage 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17
3 Cardiff 10 5 2 3 11 8 +3 17
4 Plymouth 11 5 0 6 17 19 -2 15
5 Bradford 10 3 5 2 12 11 +1 14
6 Luton 11 4 2 5 16 18 -2 14
7 Burton 10 3 4 3 12 12 0 13
8 Huddersfield 11 4 1 6 17 20 -3 13
9 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 1 6 14 22 -8 13
10 Lincoln 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
11 Barnsley 10 3 3 4 12 16 -4 12
12 Peterboro 10 4 0 6 10 15 -5 12
13 Northampton 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
14 Blackpool 11 3 1 7 9 13 -4 10
15 Bolton 10 2 4 4 8 14 -6 10
16 Port Vale 10 2 3 5 8 12 -4 9
17 Wigan 10 1 6 3 11 16 -5 9
18 Mansfield 10 2 3 5 9 14 -5 9
19 Leyton Orient 10 3 0 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Wycombe 10 1 5 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Rotherham 10 2 2 6 6 12 -6 8
22 Doncaster 10 2 2 6 8 18 -10 8
23 Reading 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
24 Exeter 10 2 0 8 5 12 -7 6

Burton   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 21 7 14 1.7 1.5 9 4 8 35 31 31
2 11 Leyton Orient 21 8 13 1.6 1.6 8 4 9 34 34 28
3 1 Cardiff 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 13 2 5 37 22 41
4 16 Peterboro 20 8 12 1.2 1.4 8 1 11 24 27 25
5 3 Bradford 20 9 11 1.4 1.0 10 7 3 29 20 37
6 5 Stockport 20 9 11 1.4 1.2 10 5 5 28 25 35
7 10 Barnsley 18 7 11 1.7 1.5 8 4 6 30 27 28
8 13 AFC Wimbledon 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 8 3 9 24 29 27
9 18 Rotherham 21 10 11 1.0 1.3 6 6 9 21 27 24
10 23 Doncaster 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 6 4 11 21 35 22
11 2 Lincoln 21 11 10 1.4 1.0 11 5 5 30 22 38
12 8 Luton 21 11 10 1.2 1.3 8 5 8 26 28 29
13 9 Wycombe 21 11 10 1.3 1.0 7 7 7 28 22 28
14 17 Plymouth 21 11 10 1.2 1.6 8 1 12 26 33 25
15 19 Burton 20 10 10 0.9 1.3 6 6 8 18 26 24
16 21 Mansfield 20 10 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 9 24 26 23
17 22 Blackpool 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 10 24 30 23
18 6 Bolton 20 12 8 1.4 0.9 9 7 4 28 19 34
19 12 Northampton 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 8 3 9 21 21 27
20 15 Reading 20 12 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 7 24 26 25
21 20 Exeter 20 13 7 1.1 1.0 7 2 11 21 20 23
22 24 Port Vale 20 13 7 0.7 1.2 3 6 11 13 24 15
23 4 Stevenage 19 13 6 1.3 0.8 10 5 4 24 15 35
24 14 Wigan 20 14 6 1.1 1.1 6 8 6 22 23 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 10 1 9 2.6 1.4 8 0 2 26 14 24
2 9 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.9 1.1 6 2 3 21 12 20
3 18 Rotherham 11 4 7 1.4 1.4 4 4 3 15 15 16
4 2 Lincoln 11 5 6 1.8 0.9 8 2 1 20 10 26
5 3 Bradford 10 4 6 1.7 0.9 7 2 1 17 9 23
6 7 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 3 2 18 11 18
7 16 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 4 1 5 14 12 13
8 22 Blackpool 10 4 6 1.5 1.7 3 4 3 15 17 13
9 23 Doncaster 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 4 2 5 13 17 14
10 6 Bolton 10 5 5 2.0 0.5 7 3 0 20 5 24
11 10 Barnsley 8 3 5 2.2 1.4 5 1 2 18 11 16
12 11 Leyton Orient 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
13 19 Burton 10 5 5 0.6 1.4 3 2 5 6 14 11
14 21 Mansfield 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 4 2 4 15 12 14
15 5 Stockport 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 3 11 12 15
16 12 Northampton 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 5 2 4 13 10 17
17 15 Reading 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 3 13 12 18
18 17 Plymouth 10 6 4 0.9 1.4 3 1 6 9 14 10
19 20 Exeter 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 2 3 16 8 17
20 24 Port Vale 10 6 4 0.5 1.2 1 3 6 5 12 6
21 8 Luton 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
22 13 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.1 0.8 4 2 3 10 7 14
23 4 Stevenage 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 3 1 11 5 18
24 14 Wigan 10 8 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 3 11 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 11 3 8 1.5 1.8 4 1 6 17 20 13
2 11 Leyton Orient 10 2 8 1.6 2.3 3 0 7 16 23 9
3 13 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 8 1.3 2.0 4 1 6 14 22 13
4 5 Stockport 10 3 7 1.7 1.3 6 2 2 17 13 20
5 8 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 16 18 14
6 10 Barnsley 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 3 3 4 12 16 12
7 16 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.0 1.5 4 0 6 10 15 12
8 17 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.5 1.7 5 0 6 17 19 15
9 3 Bradford 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 3 5 2 12 11 14
10 19 Burton 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 4 3 12 12 13
11 21 Mansfield 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 3 5 9 14 9
12 23 Doncaster 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 6 8 18 8
13 2 Lincoln 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
14 4 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17
15 12 Northampton 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
16 14 Wigan 10 6 4 1.1 1.6 1 6 3 11 16 9
17 15 Reading 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
18 18 Rotherham 10 6 4 0.6 1.2 2 2 6 6 12 8
19 1 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 3 11 8 17
20 6 Bolton 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 2 4 4 8 14 10
21 9 Wycombe 10 7 3 0.7 1.0 1 5 4 7 10 8
22 20 Exeter 10 7 3 0.5 1.2 2 0 8 5 12 6
23 22 Blackpool 11 8 3 0.8 1.2 3 1 7 9 13 10
24 24 Port Vale 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 5 8 12 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38