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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: N Hair

Burton 3–0 Bolton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 2.78
Draw 3.90 fair 3.67
Away 1.66 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Bolton
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (130 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 0–1 10.6% 1–0 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.70scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:15
Bolton before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.45scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:11
Burton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 1.45
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.20 Total goals 2.45
12.10 Shots 17.00
3.10 Shots on target 5.18
13.50 Shots faced 6.55
5.80 Corners 6.82
6.10 Corners against 4.00
12.00 Fouls 11.27
1.50 Yellow cards 1.45
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

20% Wins 36%
30% Draws 45%
50% Losses 18%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 27%
20% Over 3.5 goals 9%
10% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 64%
30% Clean sheets 18%
50% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 36%
30% Draws 36%
40% Losses 27%
70% Over 0.5 goals 64%
30% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Bolton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.80points / match
0.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:9
Bolton before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:7
Burton at home away Bolton

Per match

0.40 Goals scored 0.60
1.80 Goals conceded 1.40
2.20 Total goals 2.00
12.20 Shots 15.80
3.00 Shots on target 4.80
12.20 Shots faced 6.40
5.60 Corners 6.40
4.40 Corners against 3.80
11.40 Fouls 11.20
1.60 Yellow cards 1.60
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 0%
20% Draws 60%
60% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 0%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 0%
80% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
20% Draws 60%
60% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 40%
40% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Doncaster – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.754.50 1.95 1.90
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Huddersfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.75 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
09.08.25 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25
27.09.25 Northampton – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.76 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Bolton – Wigan 4–1 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.03 1.83
13.09.25 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.93 1.93
06.09.25 Bolton – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (1–0) 1.463.906.25 2.05 1.75
30.08.25 Blackpool – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.20 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Bolton – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.505.00 2.05 1.75
20.08.25 Bolton – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.105.25 1.70 2.10
16.08.25 Barnsley – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.45 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Bolton – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.73 2.08

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98
29.04.25 Burton – Wigan 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.60 1.48
26.04.25 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.00 2.00 1.85
21.04.25 Burton – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 4.004.001.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.25 Burton – Huddersfield 3–0 (2–0) 3.253.252.20 2.00 1.85
01.04.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.55 2.10 1.70

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Northampton – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.76 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 Blackpool – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.20 1.85 2.00
16.08.25 Barnsley – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.45 1.67 2.15
03.08.25 Stockport – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.95 1.90
26.04.25 Peterboro – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.752.50 1.57 2.35
21.04.25 Lincoln – Bolton 4–2 (2–2) 3.203.302.25 2.05 1.75
12.04.25 Barnsley – Bolton 4–1 (2–0) 3.303.752.00 1.70 2.10
01.04.25 Wigan – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.102.38 2.35 1.57
29.03.25 Blackpool – Bolton 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.80 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBolton wins
8matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25E2 Burton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.88 1.98
19.10.24E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.507.50 1.57 2.35
01.01.24E2 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
26.08.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
18.04.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 10 8 1 1 17 8 +9 25
2 Bradford 11 7 3 1 20 13 +7 24
3 Cardiff 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
4 Lincoln 11 6 3 2 17 10 +7 21
5 AFC Wimbledon 11 7 0 4 16 12 +4 21
6 Huddersfield 11 6 1 4 17 13 +4 19
7 Stockport 11 5 4 2 17 14 +3 19
8 Bolton 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
9 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
10 Doncaster 11 5 2 4 11 12 -1 17
11 Luton 11 5 1 5 14 13 +1 16
12 Mansfield 11 4 3 4 16 14 +2 15
13 Northampton 11 4 2 5 8 10 -2 14
14 Wigan 11 3 4 4 15 16 -1 13
15 Plymouth 11 4 1 6 16 19 -3 13
16 Port Vale 11 3 3 5 10 10 0 12
17 Exeter 11 4 0 7 11 12 -1 12
18 Rotherham 11 3 2 6 11 16 -5 11
19 Leyton Orient 11 3 2 6 16 22 -6 11
20 Reading 10 2 4 4 11 15 -4 10
21 Wycombe 11 2 3 6 13 15 -2 9
22 Burton 10 2 3 5 7 15 -8 9
23 Blackpool 11 2 2 7 10 19 -9 8
24 Peterboro 11 2 1 8 8 20 -12 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 5 5 0 0 8 1 +7 15
2 Bradford 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
3 Bolton 6 4 2 0 13 4 +9 14
4 Huddersfield 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
5 Cardiff 6 4 0 2 14 8 +6 12
6 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
7 Lincoln 6 3 2 1 11 7 +4 11
8 Doncaster 6 3 2 1 8 5 +3 11
9 Mansfield 5 3 1 1 10 5 +5 10
10 Wigan 5 3 1 1 9 4 +5 10
11 Northampton 6 3 1 2 6 3 +3 10
12 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 10 8 +2 10
13 Luton 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
14 Wycombe 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
15 Stockport 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
16 Rotherham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
17 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
18 Plymouth 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
19 Reading 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
20 Exeter 5 2 0 3 8 6 +2 6
21 Leyton Orient 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
23 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
24 Burton 5 1 1 3 2 9 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 5 3 2 0 5 1 +4 11
2 Stockport 6 3 2 1 10 9 +1 11
3 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
4 Stevenage 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
5 Bradford 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
6 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
7 Port Vale 5 2 1 2 5 3 +2 7
8 Luton 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7
9 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
10 Plymouth 5 2 0 3 9 11 -2 6
11 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
12 Exeter 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
13 Doncaster 5 2 0 3 3 7 -4 6
14 Leyton Orient 6 2 0 4 9 15 -6 6
15 Burton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
16 Mansfield 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
17 Northampton 5 1 1 3 2 7 -5 4
18 Reading 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3
19 Bolton 5 0 3 2 3 7 -4 3
20 Wigan 6 0 3 3 6 12 -6 3
21 Rotherham 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 3
22 Peterboro 6 1 0 5 5 12 -7 3
23 Wycombe 5 0 1 4 4 8 -4 1
24 Blackpool 5 0 0 5 1 9 -8 0

Burton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bradford 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 3 1 20 13 24
2 18 Rotherham 11 4 7 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 16 11
3 19 Leyton Orient 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 3 2 6 16 22 11
4 5 AFC Wimbledon 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 7 0 4 16 12 21
5 6 Huddersfield 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 1 4 17 13 19
6 7 Stockport 11 5 6 1.5 1.3 5 4 2 17 14 19
7 12 Mansfield 11 5 6 1.5 1.3 4 3 4 16 14 15
8 15 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.5 1.7 4 1 6 16 19 13
9 21 Wycombe 11 5 6 1.2 1.4 2 3 6 13 15 9
10 24 Peterboro 11 5 6 0.7 1.8 2 1 8 8 20 7
11 3 Cardiff 11 6 5 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
12 9 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
13 11 Luton 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 5 1 5 14 13 16
14 14 Wigan 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 4 4 15 16 13
15 22 Burton 10 5 5 0.7 1.5 2 3 5 7 15 9
16 1 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.7 0.8 8 1 1 17 8 25
17 4 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.5 0.9 6 3 2 17 10 21
18 10 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 5 2 4 11 12 17
19 16 Port Vale 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 3 3 5 10 10 12
20 17 Exeter 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 4 0 7 11 12 12
21 20 Reading 10 6 4 1.1 1.5 2 4 4 11 15 10
22 23 Blackpool 11 7 4 0.9 1.7 2 2 7 10 19 8
23 8 Bolton 11 8 3 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
24 13 Northampton 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 2 5 8 10 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Cardiff 6 1 5 2.3 1.3 4 0 2 14 8 12
2 2 Bradford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
3 4 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 3 2 1 11 7 11
4 6 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
5 8 Bolton 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 2 0 13 4 14
6 9 Barnsley 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 1 1 10 8 10
7 12 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 1 10 5 10
8 16 Port Vale 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
9 17 Exeter 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 0 3 8 6 6
10 18 Rotherham 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
11 21 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
12 22 Burton 5 2 3 0.4 1.8 1 1 3 2 9 4
13 23 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
14 5 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
15 7 Stockport 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
16 10 Doncaster 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 2 1 8 5 11
17 14 Wigan 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 1 9 4 10
18 15 Plymouth 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
19 19 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
20 20 Reading 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
21 24 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
22 1 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.6 0.2 5 0 0 8 1 15
23 11 Luton 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
24 13 Northampton 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 3 1 2 6 3 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 6 1 5 1.5 2.5 2 0 4 9 15 6
2 2 Bradford 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
3 5 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
4 7 Stockport 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 2 1 10 9 11
5 11 Luton 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7
6 15 Plymouth 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 0 3 9 11 6
7 18 Rotherham 6 2 4 0.7 1.7 1 0 5 4 10 3
8 24 Peterboro 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 0 5 5 12 3
9 1 Stevenage 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
10 6 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
11 12 Mansfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
12 14 Wigan 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 3 6 12 3
13 21 Wycombe 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 1 4 4 8 1
14 9 Barnsley 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
15 10 Doncaster 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 2 0 3 3 7 6
16 20 Reading 5 3 2 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3
17 22 Burton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
18 4 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
19 13 Northampton 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 1 1 3 2 7 4
20 16 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 2 1 2 5 3 7
21 17 Exeter 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
22 23 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.2 1.8 0 0 5 1 9 0
23 3 Cardiff 5 5 0 1.0 0.2 3 2 0 5 1 11
24 8 Bolton 5 5 0 0.6 1.4 0 3 2 3 7 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51