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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Oldham

Bolton 3–2 Barnsley

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 1.82
Draw 3.80 fair 4.28
Away 4.75 fair 4.62
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Barnsley
23 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
11 Corners 1
13 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (344 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.27scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 38:27
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.62scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:43
Bolton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 1.62
0.90 Goals conceded 1.65
2.17 Total goals 3.27
16.47 Shots 11.62
4.77 Shots on target 3.88
8.60 Shots faced 12.15
6.30 Corners 5.27
3.90 Corners against 5.42
10.33 Fouls 11.27
1.50 Yellow cards 1.96
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

47% Wins 38%
33% Draws 27%
20% Losses 35%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 88%
40% Over 2.5 goals 65%
10% Over 3.5 goals 54%
3% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 65%
33% Clean sheets 8%
23% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 35%
40% Draws 31%
30% Losses 35%
60% Over 0.5 goals 85%
13% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.27points / match
1.73scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:9
Barnsley before this match, away
1.08points / match
1.15scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:23
Bolton at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.15
0.60 Goals conceded 1.77
2.33 Total goals 2.92
18.40 Shots 10.23
5.40 Shots on target 3.62
7.53 Shots faced 14.08
7.20 Corners 5.46
3.27 Corners against 6.77
9.40 Fouls 10.23
1.53 Yellow cards 1.77
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

67% Wins 23%
27% Draws 38%
7% Losses 38%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 85%
53% Over 2.5 goals 62%
13% Over 3.5 goals 46%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 62%
40% Clean sheets 8%
20% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 31%
40% Draws 23%
20% Losses 46%
60% Over 0.5 goals 92%
20% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 AFC Wimbledon – Bolton 0–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.86 2.08 1.73
27.01.26 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.424.007.00 1.75 2.05
24.01.26 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 1.494.205.75 1.65 2.20
20.01.26 Stevenage – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.05 2.15 1.67
17.01.26 Wigan – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.15 2.10 1.70
10.01.26 Peterboro – Bolton 3–1 (1–0) 2.823.602.20 1.85 1.95
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25
01.01.26 Doncaster – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.601.81 1.80 2.00
29.12.25 Bolton – Mansfield 0–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.25 Bolton – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 1.354.507.50 1.70 2.10

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.26 Barnsley – Northampton 2–2 (1–1) 1.663.604.50 1.90 1.95
31.01.26 Barnsley – Stevenage 3–1 (2–1) 2.403.302.75 2.15 1.67
27.01.26 Cardiff – Barnsley 4–0 (2–0) 1.613.804.75 1.62 2.25
24.01.26 Reading – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.602.82 1.73 2.08
17.01.26 Barnsley – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.20 1.73 2.08
01.01.26 Wigan – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.40 2.08 1.73
29.12.25 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.50 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Barnsley – Mansfield 2–3 (2–1) 1.863.503.75 1.75 2.05
20.12.25 Exeter – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.10 1.83 2.03
13.12.25 Barnsley – Leyton Orient 3–2 (1–2) 2.103.602.95 1.67 2.15

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.26 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.424.007.00 1.75 2.05
24.01.26 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 1.494.205.75 1.65 2.20
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25
29.12.25 Bolton – Mansfield 0–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.25 Bolton – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 1.354.507.50 1.70 2.10
13.12.25 Bolton – Exeter 2–1 (0–1) 1.414.506.25 1.67 2.15
22.11.25 Bolton – Bradford 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.10 1.65 2.20
08.11.25 Bolton – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 1.663.754.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.26 Cardiff – Barnsley 4–0 (2–0) 1.613.804.75 1.62 2.25
24.01.26 Reading – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.602.82 1.73 2.08
01.01.26 Wigan – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.40 2.08 1.73
20.12.25 Exeter – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.10 1.83 2.03
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Stockport – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.60 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Doncaster – Barnsley 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.502.95 1.73 2.08
18.10.25 Bradford – Barnsley 2–2 (2–1) 2.013.603.20 1.62 2.25
04.10.25 Wycombe – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 1.913.603.50 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Blackpool – Barnsley 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.502.55 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25E2 Barnsley – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.45 1.67 2.15
12.04.25E2 Barnsley – Bolton 4–1 (2–0) 3.303.752.00 1.70 2.10
26.12.24E2 Bolton – Barnsley 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.753.40 1.67 2.15
05.03.24E2 Barnsley – Bolton 2–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.90 1.95
03.02.24E2 Bolton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.83 2.03
02.01.23E2 Barnsley – Bolton 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
15.10.22E2 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 29 18 6 5 52 29 +23 60
2 Lincoln 29 17 7 5 48 29 +19 58
3 Bolton 30 14 10 6 38 27 +11 52
4 Stockport 29 15 7 7 42 35 +7 52
5 Bradford 29 14 7 8 37 33 +4 49
6 Huddersfield 30 14 6 10 51 40 +11 48
7 Luton 30 13 6 11 40 35 +5 45
8 Stevenage 28 11 9 8 30 27 +3 42
9 Wycombe 29 10 10 9 36 31 +5 40
10 Reading 28 10 10 8 39 35 +4 40
11 Mansfield 27 10 8 9 36 30 +6 38
12 Peterboro 29 12 2 15 37 39 -2 38
13 Exeter 28 11 4 13 33 30 +3 37
14 Barnsley 26 10 7 9 42 43 -1 37
15 Plymouth 29 11 4 14 36 42 -6 37
16 AFC Wimbledon 28 10 5 13 29 36 -7 35
17 Doncaster 29 9 6 14 33 46 -13 33
18 Blackpool 29 9 5 15 35 42 -7 32
19 Leyton Orient 29 9 5 15 40 49 -9 32
20 Burton 30 8 8 14 33 45 -12 32
21 Wigan 28 7 10 11 29 34 -5 31
22 Rotherham 28 8 7 13 31 40 -9 31
23 Northampton 29 8 6 15 26 38 -12 30
24 Port Vale 28 5 7 16 22 40 -18 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 15 12 1 2 35 16 +19 37
2 Lincoln 15 11 3 1 31 14 +17 36
3 Bolton 15 10 4 1 26 9 +17 34
4 Bradford 14 10 2 2 22 12 +10 32
5 Huddersfield 15 9 4 2 29 13 +16 31
6 Luton 16 9 4 3 24 14 +10 31
7 Wycombe 15 8 3 4 26 15 +11 27
8 Stockport 15 8 3 4 22 19 +3 27
9 Reading 15 7 5 3 20 16 +4 26
10 Stevenage 13 6 6 1 14 7 +7 24
11 Exeter 13 7 2 4 20 12 +8 23
12 Barnsley 13 7 2 4 27 20 +7 23
13 Leyton Orient 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
14 Blackpool 15 6 4 5 24 21 +3 22
15 Mansfield 13 6 3 4 21 12 +9 21
16 Peterboro 15 6 2 7 21 18 +3 20
17 Rotherham 14 5 5 4 18 19 -1 20
18 Doncaster 14 5 4 5 20 21 -1 19
19 Wigan 13 5 3 5 12 10 +2 18
20 Northampton 14 5 3 6 14 14 0 18
21 Plymouth 15 5 3 7 16 20 -4 18
22 Burton 15 5 3 7 17 22 -5 18
23 AFC Wimbledon 13 4 3 6 10 10 0 15
24 Port Vale 14 2 4 8 13 19 -6 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 14 7 4 3 20 16 +4 25
2 Cardiff 14 6 5 3 17 13 +4 23
3 Lincoln 14 6 4 4 17 15 +2 22
4 AFC Wimbledon 15 6 2 7 19 26 -7 20
5 Plymouth 14 6 1 7 20 22 -2 19
6 Stevenage 15 5 3 7 16 20 -4 18
7 Peterboro 14 6 0 8 16 21 -5 18
8 Bolton 15 4 6 5 12 18 -6 18
9 Mansfield 14 4 5 5 15 18 -3 17
10 Huddersfield 15 5 2 8 22 27 -5 17
11 Bradford 15 4 5 6 15 21 -6 17
12 Reading 13 3 5 5 19 19 0 14
13 Luton 14 4 2 8 16 21 -5 14
14 Exeter 15 4 2 9 13 18 -5 14
15 Burton 15 3 5 7 16 23 -7 14
16 Barnsley 13 3 5 5 15 23 -8 14
17 Doncaster 15 4 2 9 13 25 -12 14
18 Wycombe 14 2 7 5 10 16 -6 13
19 Wigan 15 2 7 6 17 24 -7 13
20 Northampton 15 3 3 9 12 24 -12 12
21 Port Vale 14 3 3 8 9 21 -12 12
22 Rotherham 14 3 2 9 13 21 -8 11
23 Blackpool 14 3 1 10 11 21 -10 10
24 Leyton Orient 14 3 0 11 17 32 -15 9

Bolton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 30 12 18 1.7 1.3 14 6 10 51 40 48
2 19 Leyton Orient 29 11 18 1.4 1.7 9 5 15 40 49 32
3 20 Burton 30 12 18 1.1 1.5 8 8 14 33 45 32
4 5 Bradford 29 12 17 1.3 1.1 14 7 8 37 33 49
5 14 Barnsley 26 9 17 1.6 1.7 10 7 9 42 43 37
6 1 Cardiff 29 13 16 1.8 1.0 18 6 5 52 29 60
7 4 Stockport 29 13 16 1.4 1.2 15 7 7 42 35 52
8 22 Rotherham 28 12 16 1.1 1.4 8 7 13 31 40 31
9 2 Lincoln 29 14 15 1.7 1.0 17 7 5 48 29 58
10 7 Luton 30 15 15 1.3 1.2 13 6 11 40 35 45
11 12 Peterboro 29 14 15 1.3 1.3 12 2 15 37 39 38
12 17 Doncaster 29 14 15 1.1 1.6 9 6 14 33 46 33
13 18 Blackpool 29 15 14 1.2 1.4 9 5 15 35 42 32
14 11 Mansfield 27 14 13 1.3 1.1 10 8 9 36 30 38
15 15 Plymouth 29 16 13 1.2 1.4 11 4 14 36 42 37
16 3 Bolton 30 18 12 1.3 0.9 14 10 6 38 27 52
17 9 Wycombe 29 17 12 1.2 1.1 10 10 9 36 31 40
18 10 Reading 28 16 12 1.4 1.2 10 10 8 39 35 40
19 13 Exeter 28 16 12 1.2 1.1 11 4 13 33 30 37
20 16 AFC Wimbledon 28 16 12 1.0 1.3 10 5 13 29 36 35
21 23 Northampton 29 17 12 0.9 1.3 8 6 15 26 38 30
22 24 Port Vale 28 16 12 0.8 1.4 5 7 16 22 40 22
23 8 Stevenage 28 18 10 1.1 1.0 11 9 8 30 27 42
24 21 Wigan 28 20 8 1.0 1.2 7 10 11 29 34 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 15 4 11 2.3 1.1 12 1 2 35 16 37
2 2 Lincoln 15 6 9 2.1 0.9 11 3 1 31 14 36
3 14 Barnsley 13 4 9 2.1 1.5 7 2 4 27 20 23
4 18 Blackpool 15 6 9 1.6 1.4 6 4 5 24 21 22
5 20 Burton 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 7 17 22 18
6 3 Bolton 15 7 8 1.7 0.6 10 4 1 26 9 34
7 4 Stockport 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 22 19 27
8 5 Bradford 14 6 8 1.6 0.9 10 2 2 22 12 32
9 6 Huddersfield 15 7 8 1.9 0.9 9 4 2 29 13 31
10 7 Luton 16 8 8 1.5 0.9 9 4 3 24 14 31
11 12 Peterboro 15 7 8 1.4 1.2 6 2 7 21 18 20
12 17 Doncaster 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 5 4 5 20 21 19
13 22 Rotherham 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 5 5 4 18 19 20
14 9 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.7 1.0 8 3 4 26 15 27
15 11 Mansfield 13 6 7 1.6 0.9 6 3 4 21 12 21
16 19 Leyton Orient 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
17 24 Port Vale 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 2 4 8 13 19 10
18 10 Reading 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 7 5 3 20 16 26
19 13 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 0.9 7 2 4 20 12 23
20 15 Plymouth 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 5 3 7 16 20 18
21 23 Northampton 14 9 5 1.0 1.0 5 3 6 14 14 18
22 16 AFC Wimbledon 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 3 6 10 10 15
23 8 Stevenage 13 11 2 1.1 0.5 6 6 1 14 7 24
24 21 Wigan 13 11 2 0.9 0.8 5 3 5 12 10 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 14 3 11 1.2 2.3 3 0 11 17 32 9
2 6 Huddersfield 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 5 2 8 22 27 17
3 5 Bradford 15 6 9 1.0 1.4 4 5 6 15 21 17
4 16 AFC Wimbledon 15 6 9 1.3 1.7 6 2 7 19 26 20
5 20 Burton 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 3 5 7 16 23 14
6 4 Stockport 14 6 8 1.4 1.1 7 4 3 20 16 25
7 8 Stevenage 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 5 3 7 16 20 18
8 14 Barnsley 13 5 8 1.2 1.8 3 5 5 15 23 14
9 22 Rotherham 14 6 8 0.9 1.5 3 2 9 13 21 11
10 7 Luton 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 4 2 8 16 21 14
11 12 Peterboro 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 6 0 8 16 21 18
12 15 Plymouth 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 6 1 7 20 22 19
13 17 Doncaster 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 4 2 9 13 25 14
14 23 Northampton 15 8 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 9 12 24 12
15 2 Lincoln 14 8 6 1.2 1.1 6 4 4 17 15 22
16 10 Reading 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 3 5 5 19 19 14
17 11 Mansfield 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 4 5 5 15 18 17
18 13 Exeter 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 4 2 9 13 18 14
19 21 Wigan 15 9 6 1.1 1.6 2 7 6 17 24 13
20 1 Cardiff 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 6 5 3 17 13 23
21 9 Wycombe 14 9 5 0.7 1.1 2 7 5 10 16 13
22 18 Blackpool 14 9 5 0.8 1.5 3 1 10 11 21 10
23 24 Port Vale 14 9 5 0.6 1.5 3 3 8 9 21 12
24 3 Bolton 15 11 4 0.8 1.2 4 6 5 12 18 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51