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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Toner

Bolton 1–0 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.86 fair 2.39
Draw 3.60 fair 3.74
Away 3.60 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Cardiff
17 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 3
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.38scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:15
Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.75scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:10
Bolton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.75
1.15 Goals conceded 0.83
2.54 Total goals 2.58
16.85 Shots 14.00
5.46 Shots on target 4.75
7.00 Shots faced 14.00
6.77 Corners 4.92
4.00 Corners against 5.33
11.62 Fouls 11.08
1.69 Yellow cards 1.92
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 67%
38% Draws 17%
23% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
8% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 42%
15% Clean sheets 50%
23% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 25%
31% Draws 42%
38% Losses 33%
69% Over 0.5 goals 67%
15% Over 1.5 goals 25%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Cardiff all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.33points / match
2.17scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:4
Cardiff before this match, away
2.20points / match
1.00scored / match
0.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:1
Bolton at home away Cardiff

Per match

2.17 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 0.20
2.83 Total goals 1.20
18.00 Shots 12.00
5.50 Shots on target 2.40
6.67 Shots faced 15.00
7.17 Corners 4.20
4.17 Corners against 5.80
11.33 Fouls 8.80
1.33 Yellow cards 1.20
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

67% Wins 60%
33% Draws 40%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 40%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
17% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 20%
33% Clean sheets 80%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 20%
17% Draws 60%
17% Losses 20%
83% Over 0.5 goals 40%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.25 Huddersfield – Bolton 1–2 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 1.85 2.00
11.10.25 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25
27.09.25 Northampton – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.76 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Bolton – Wigan 4–1 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.03 1.83
13.09.25 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.93 1.93
06.09.25 Bolton – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (1–0) 1.463.906.25 2.05 1.75
30.08.25 Blackpool – Bolton 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.20 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Bolton – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.505.00 2.05 1.75
20.08.25 Bolton – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.105.25 1.70 2.10

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25
20.09.25 Bolton – Wigan 4–1 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.03 1.83
06.09.25 Bolton – AFC Wimbledon 3–0 (1–0) 1.463.906.25 2.05 1.75
23.08.25 Bolton – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.505.00 2.05 1.75
20.08.25 Bolton – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.105.25 1.70 2.10
09.08.25 Bolton – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.73 2.08
03.05.25 Bolton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.85
18.04.25 Bolton – Wycombe 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.252.75 2.05 1.75
08.04.25 Bolton – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.904.33 1.75 2.05
05.04.25 Bolton – Bristol Rvs 1–0 (0–0) 1.384.757.00 1.60 2.30

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38
18.04.25E1 Sheffield United – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.756.00 1.95 1.90
08.04.25E1 Preston – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.10 1.73
05.04.25E1 QPR – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.67
15.03.25E1 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.303.80 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 12 8 2 2 21 10 +11 26
2 Stevenage 11 8 1 2 17 9 +8 25
3 Bradford 12 7 4 1 22 15 +7 25
4 AFC Wimbledon 13 8 1 4 19 14 +5 25
5 Stockport 13 7 4 2 19 14 +5 25
6 Lincoln 12 7 3 2 18 10 +8 24
7 Bolton 13 5 5 3 18 15 +3 20
8 Huddersfield 12 6 1 5 18 15 +3 19
9 Mansfield 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18
10 Barnsley 11 5 3 3 18 16 +2 18
11 Northampton 13 5 2 6 10 12 -2 17
12 Doncaster 13 5 2 6 12 18 -6 17
13 Exeter 14 5 1 8 14 14 0 16
14 Wigan 13 4 4 5 16 17 -1 16
15 Luton 12 5 1 6 14 15 -1 16
16 Leyton Orient 13 4 2 7 20 23 -3 14
17 Reading 13 3 5 5 14 18 -4 14
18 Rotherham 12 4 2 6 12 16 -4 14
19 Wycombe 13 3 4 6 15 16 -1 13
20 Port Vale 13 3 4 6 11 12 -1 13
21 Plymouth 13 4 1 8 17 23 -6 13
22 Burton 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
23 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 9 20 -11 10
24 Blackpool 13 2 3 8 11 21 -10 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 6 5 1 0 13 7 +6 16
2 Cardiff 7 5 0 2 16 9 +7 15
3 Stevenage 5 5 0 0 8 1 +7 15
4 Bolton 6 4 2 0 13 4 +9 14
5 Lincoln 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
6 Stockport 7 4 2 1 9 5 +4 14
7 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
8 Wigan 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
9 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
10 Doncaster 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
11 Rotherham 6 3 2 1 8 6 +2 11
12 Mansfield 5 3 1 1 10 5 +5 10
13 Exeter 7 3 1 3 11 7 +4 10
14 Northampton 6 3 1 2 6 3 +3 10
15 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 10 8 +2 10
16 Reading 6 3 1 2 6 6 0 10
17 Blackpool 7 2 3 2 10 11 -1 9
18 Luton 6 3 0 3 5 6 -1 9
19 Leyton Orient 6 2 2 2 11 7 +4 8
20 Wycombe 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
21 Plymouth 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
22 Burton 7 2 1 4 5 10 -5 7
23 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
24 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 0 3 10 10 0 12
2 Cardiff 5 3 2 0 5 1 +4 11
3 Stockport 6 3 2 1 10 9 +1 11
4 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
5 Stevenage 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
6 Bradford 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
7 Port Vale 7 2 2 3 6 5 +1 8
8 Barnsley 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
9 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
10 Luton 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7
11 Northampton 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
12 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
13 Plymouth 6 2 0 4 9 13 -4 6
14 Exeter 7 2 0 5 3 7 -4 6
15 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
16 Bolton 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
17 Leyton Orient 7 2 0 5 9 16 -7 6
18 Doncaster 6 2 0 4 3 11 -8 6
19 Burton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
20 Wycombe 7 1 2 4 6 9 -3 5
21 Reading 7 0 4 3 8 12 -4 4
22 Wigan 6 0 3 3 6 12 -6 3
23 Rotherham 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 3
24 Blackpool 6 0 0 6 1 10 -9 0

Bolton   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bradford 12 3 9 1.8 1.2 7 4 1 22 15 25
2 16 Leyton Orient 13 5 8 1.5 1.8 4 2 7 20 23 14
3 4 AFC Wimbledon 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 8 1 4 19 14 25
4 8 Huddersfield 12 5 7 1.5 1.2 6 1 5 18 15 19
5 18 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.0 1.3 4 2 6 12 16 14
6 21 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.3 1.8 4 1 8 17 23 13
7 1 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 8 2 2 21 10 26
8 5 Stockport 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 4 2 19 14 25
9 9 Mansfield 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18
10 10 Barnsley 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 5 3 3 18 16 18
11 12 Doncaster 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 5 2 6 12 18 17
12 19 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 3 4 6 15 16 13
13 22 Burton 12 6 6 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
14 23 Peterboro 12 6 6 0.8 1.7 3 1 8 9 20 10
15 7 Bolton 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 5 5 3 18 15 20
16 14 Wigan 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 16 17 16
17 15 Luton 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 5 1 6 14 15 16
18 17 Reading 13 8 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 5 14 18 14
19 2 Stevenage 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 8 1 2 17 9 25
20 6 Lincoln 12 8 4 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 10 24
21 13 Exeter 14 10 4 1.0 1.0 5 1 8 14 14 16
22 20 Port Vale 13 9 4 0.8 0.9 3 4 6 11 12 13
23 24 Blackpool 13 9 4 0.8 1.6 2 3 8 11 21 9
24 11 Northampton 13 10 3 0.8 0.9 5 2 6 10 12 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 5 0 2 16 9 15
2 3 Bradford 6 1 5 2.2 1.2 5 1 0 13 7 16
3 8 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
4 22 Burton 7 3 4 0.7 1.4 2 1 4 5 10 7
5 6 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
6 7 Bolton 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 2 0 13 4 14
7 9 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 1 10 5 10
8 10 Barnsley 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 1 1 10 8 10
9 12 Doncaster 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
10 13 Exeter 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 3 11 7 10
11 16 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 2 11 7 8
12 18 Rotherham 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 1 8 6 11
13 19 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
14 20 Port Vale 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
15 21 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
16 24 Blackpool 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 2 3 2 10 11 9
17 4 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
18 5 Stockport 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 4 2 1 9 5 14
19 14 Wigan 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
20 17 Reading 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 1 2 6 6 10
21 23 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
22 2 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.6 0.2 5 0 0 8 1 15
23 11 Northampton 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 3 1 2 6 3 10
24 15 Luton 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 3 0 3 5 6 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 AFC Wimbledon 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 4 0 3 10 10 12
2 16 Leyton Orient 7 2 5 1.3 2.3 2 0 5 9 16 6
3 3 Bradford 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
4 5 Stockport 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 2 1 10 9 11
5 15 Luton 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7
6 18 Rotherham 6 2 4 0.7 1.7 1 0 5 4 10 3
7 21 Plymouth 6 2 4 1.5 2.2 2 0 4 9 13 6
8 23 Peterboro 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
9 2 Stevenage 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
10 8 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
11 9 Mansfield 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
12 10 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
13 12 Doncaster 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 2 0 4 3 11 6
14 14 Wigan 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 3 6 12 3
15 17 Reading 7 4 3 1.1 1.7 0 4 3 8 12 4
16 19 Wycombe 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 1 2 4 6 9 5
17 7 Bolton 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
18 11 Northampton 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
19 22 Burton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 6 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
21 13 Exeter 7 6 1 0.4 1.0 2 0 5 3 7 6
22 20 Port Vale 7 6 1 0.9 0.7 2 2 3 6 5 8
23 24 Blackpool 6 5 1 0.2 1.7 0 0 6 1 10 0
24 1 Cardiff 5 5 0 1.0 0.2 3 2 0 5 1 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51