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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: O Langford

Carlisle 0–3 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 3.30 fair 3.30
Draw 3.40 fair 3.75
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.32
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.18

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Swindon
17 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 3
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (362 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.12 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 11.3% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.77scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 23:42
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 46:38
Carlisle all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.77 Goals scored 1.53
1.40 Goals conceded 1.27
2.17 Total goals 2.80
11.43 Shots 13.27
3.63 Shots on target 4.90
12.10 Shots faced 11.50
4.83 Corners 5.43
4.67 Corners against 4.77
11.60 Fouls 10.17
1.47 Yellow cards 1.77
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
33% Draws 33%
47% Losses 27%
83% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 83%
47% Over 2.5 goals 57%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
40% Both teams scored 70%
30% Clean sheets 23%
47% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 13%
40% Draws 60%
43% Losses 27%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
30% Over 1.5 goals 27%
10% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Swindon all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
1.07points / match
0.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:15
Swindon before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.67scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:21
Carlisle at home away Swindon

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.67
1.00 Goals conceded 1.40
1.67 Total goals 3.07
11.93 Shots 12.33
3.13 Shots on target 5.07
10.87 Shots faced 10.13
5.33 Corners 5.07
4.53 Corners against 4.67
11.87 Fouls 10.67
1.07 Yellow cards 1.87
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

20% Wins 53%
47% Draws 20%
33% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 93%
20% Over 2.5 goals 60%
13% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 73%
40% Clean sheets 13%
53% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 20%
47% Draws 60%
40% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 47%
33% Over 1.5 goals 27%
7% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Colchester – Carlisle 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.25 1.61
08.02.22 Carlisle – Port Vale 1–3 (1–2) 3.103.202.40 2.40 1.53
01.02.22 Salford – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.25 1.61
29.01.22 Carlisle – Sutton 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.252.62 2.15 1.66
22.01.22 Forest Green – Carlisle 3–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.05 1.75
18.01.22 Carlisle – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.65
15.01.22 Carlisle – Crawley Town 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.40 2.07 1.72
08.01.22 Carlisle – Bradford 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.87 2.15 1.66
01.01.22 Scunthorpe – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.50 2.20 1.65
11.12.21 Stevenage – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.303.00 2.25 1.61

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22 Swindon – Scunthorpe 3–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
08.02.22 Tranmere – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.07 1.72
05.02.22 Swindon – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.05 1.75
01.02.22 Swindon – Crawley Town 1–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 1.85 2.00
29.01.22 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
22.01.22 Swindon – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.00
15.01.22 Port Vale – Swindon 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.70
11.01.22 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (3–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
01.01.22 Swindon – Northampton 5–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
29.12.21 Swindon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 2.00 1.85

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Carlisle – Port Vale 1–3 (1–2) 3.103.202.40 2.40 1.53
29.01.22 Carlisle – Sutton 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.252.62 2.15 1.66
18.01.22 Carlisle – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.65
15.01.22 Carlisle – Crawley Town 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.40 2.07 1.72
08.01.22 Carlisle – Bradford 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.87 2.15 1.66
27.11.21 Carlisle – Walsall 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.10 1.70
23.11.21 Carlisle – Harrogate 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.70
13.11.21 Carlisle – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.15 1.66
23.10.21 Carlisle – Oldham 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.15 1.66
16.10.21 Carlisle – Tranmere 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.10 1.70

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Tranmere – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.07 1.72
29.01.22 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
15.01.22 Port Vale – Swindon 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.70
11.01.22 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (3–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
11.12.21 Barrow – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Leyton Orient – Swindon 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77
30.10.21 Oldham – Swindon 1–3 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 2.10 1.70
19.10.21 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72
09.10.21 Forest Green – Swindon 0–2 (0–0) 1.833.754.20 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle winsDrawsSwindon wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.08.21E3 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 30 19 9 2 61 24 +37 66
2 Northampton 31 16 7 8 38 25 +13 55
3 Tranmere 32 16 7 9 33 22 +11 55
4 Exeter 30 14 11 5 45 30 +15 53
5 Sutton 31 14 8 9 45 37 +8 50
6 Mansfield 29 14 7 8 39 32 +7 49
7 Newport County 31 13 9 9 49 41 +8 48
8 Swindon 30 12 10 8 46 38 +8 46
9 Port Vale 28 12 8 8 41 29 +12 44
10 Salford 31 12 8 11 35 29 +6 44
11 Bristol Rvs 29 11 8 10 38 39 -1 41
12 Bradford 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
13 Crawley Town 30 11 7 12 37 41 -4 40
14 Hartlepool 30 11 7 12 30 38 -8 40
15 Harrogate 30 10 8 12 47 48 -1 38
16 Leyton Orient 29 7 12 10 38 29 +9 33
17 Stevenage 32 7 12 13 30 46 -16 33
18 Walsall 30 8 8 14 31 39 -8 32
19 Rochdale 28 6 13 9 35 38 -3 31
20 Barrow 31 7 10 14 30 39 -9 31
21 Colchester 31 7 10 14 28 44 -16 31
22 Carlisle 30 6 10 14 23 42 -19 28
23 Oldham 29 6 8 15 28 46 -18 26
24 Scunthorpe 31 4 10 17 22 53 -31 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tranmere 16 12 0 4 23 10 +13 36
2 Mansfield 17 11 3 3 29 18 +11 36
3 Forest Green 15 11 2 2 27 10 +17 35
4 Northampton 16 10 2 4 22 10 +12 32
5 Sutton 16 9 4 3 24 14 +10 31
6 Hartlepool 15 9 4 2 21 13 +8 31
7 Exeter 15 8 5 2 24 14 +10 29
8 Bristol Rvs 15 8 2 5 22 18 +4 26
9 Newport County 14 7 4 3 29 17 +12 25
10 Salford 15 6 6 3 17 12 +5 24
11 Stevenage 16 6 6 4 21 19 +2 24
12 Port Vale 15 6 5 4 19 13 +6 23
13 Leyton Orient 15 6 4 5 24 11 +13 22
14 Harrogate 15 5 5 5 24 21 +3 20
15 Bradford 15 4 8 3 21 18 +3 20
16 Walsall 16 5 5 6 21 22 -1 20
17 Swindon 15 4 7 4 21 17 +4 19
18 Rochdale 13 3 7 3 17 15 +2 16
19 Crawley Town 14 4 4 6 17 21 -4 16
20 Barrow 16 3 7 6 16 20 -4 16
21 Carlisle 15 3 7 5 10 15 -5 16
22 Colchester 14 3 6 5 14 18 -4 15
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 4 8 11 21 -10 13
24 Oldham 14 3 3 8 18 26 -8 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 15 8 7 0 34 14 +20 31
2 Swindon 15 8 3 4 25 21 +4 27
3 Exeter 15 6 6 3 21 16 +5 24
4 Crawley Town 16 7 3 6 20 20 0 24
5 Northampton 15 6 5 4 16 15 +1 23
6 Newport County 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
7 Port Vale 13 6 3 4 22 16 +6 21
8 Salford 16 6 2 8 18 17 +1 20
9 Bradford 16 5 5 6 15 18 -3 20
10 Sutton 15 5 4 6 21 23 -2 19
11 Tranmere 16 4 7 5 10 12 -2 19
12 Harrogate 15 5 3 7 23 27 -4 18
13 Colchester 17 4 4 9 14 26 -12 16
14 Rochdale 15 3 6 6 18 23 -5 15
15 Bristol Rvs 14 3 6 5 16 21 -5 15
16 Barrow 15 4 3 8 14 19 -5 15
17 Oldham 15 3 5 7 10 20 -10 14
18 Mansfield 12 3 4 5 10 14 -4 13
19 Walsall 14 3 3 8 10 17 -7 12
20 Carlisle 15 3 3 9 13 27 -14 12
21 Leyton Orient 14 1 8 5 14 18 -4 11
22 Hartlepool 15 2 3 10 9 25 -16 9
23 Stevenage 16 1 6 9 9 27 -18 9
24 Scunthorpe 16 1 6 9 11 32 -21 9

Carlisle   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Newport County 31 11 20 1.6 1.3 13 9 9 49 41 48
2 15 Harrogate 30 12 18 1.6 1.6 10 8 12 47 48 38
3 8 Swindon 30 13 17 1.5 1.3 12 10 8 46 38 46
4 23 Oldham 29 12 17 1.0 1.6 6 8 15 28 46 26
5 4 Exeter 30 14 16 1.5 1.0 14 11 5 45 30 53
6 13 Crawley Town 30 14 16 1.2 1.4 11 7 12 37 41 40
7 5 Sutton 31 17 14 1.5 1.2 14 8 9 45 37 50
8 6 Mansfield 29 15 14 1.3 1.1 14 7 8 39 32 49
9 11 Bristol Rvs 29 15 14 1.3 1.3 11 8 10 38 39 41
10 17 Stevenage 32 18 14 0.9 1.4 7 12 13 30 46 33
11 19 Rochdale 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 6 13 9 35 38 31
12 22 Carlisle 30 16 14 0.8 1.4 6 10 14 23 42 28
13 12 Bradford 31 18 13 1.2 1.2 9 13 9 36 36 40
14 18 Walsall 30 17 13 1.0 1.3 8 8 14 31 39 32
15 21 Colchester 31 18 13 0.9 1.4 7 10 14 28 44 31
16 1 Forest Green 30 18 12 2.0 0.8 19 9 2 61 24 66
17 9 Port Vale 28 16 12 1.5 1.0 12 8 8 41 29 44
18 14 Hartlepool 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 11 7 12 30 38 40
19 20 Barrow 31 19 12 1.0 1.3 7 10 14 30 39 31
20 24 Scunthorpe 31 19 12 0.7 1.7 4 10 17 22 53 22
21 2 Northampton 31 20 11 1.2 0.8 16 7 8 38 25 55
22 10 Salford 31 20 11 1.1 0.9 12 8 11 35 29 44
23 16 Leyton Orient 29 19 10 1.3 1.0 7 12 10 38 29 33
24 3 Tranmere 32 25 7 1.0 0.7 16 7 9 33 22 55
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Newport County 14 3 11 2.1 1.2 7 4 3 29 17 25
2 23 Oldham 14 4 10 1.3 1.9 3 3 8 18 26 12
3 6 Mansfield 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 11 3 3 29 18 36
4 13 Crawley Town 14 5 9 1.2 1.5 4 4 6 17 21 16
5 15 Harrogate 15 6 9 1.6 1.4 5 5 5 24 21 20
6 18 Walsall 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 5 6 21 22 20
7 4 Exeter 15 7 8 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 14 29
8 8 Swindon 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 4 7 4 21 17 19
9 11 Bristol Rvs 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 8 2 5 22 18 26
10 5 Sutton 16 9 7 1.5 0.9 9 4 3 24 14 31
11 12 Bradford 15 8 7 1.4 1.2 4 8 3 21 18 20
12 14 Hartlepool 15 8 7 1.4 0.9 9 4 2 21 13 31
13 17 Stevenage 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 6 4 21 19 24
14 16 Leyton Orient 15 9 6 1.6 0.7 6 4 5 24 11 22
15 19 Rochdale 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 3 7 3 17 15 16
16 20 Barrow 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 3 7 6 16 20 16
17 1 Forest Green 15 10 5 1.8 0.7 11 2 2 27 10 35
18 2 Northampton 16 11 5 1.4 0.6 10 2 4 22 10 32
19 3 Tranmere 16 11 5 1.4 0.6 12 0 4 23 10 36
20 9 Port Vale 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 6 5 4 19 13 23
21 10 Salford 15 10 5 1.1 0.8 6 6 3 17 12 24
22 21 Colchester 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 3 6 5 14 18 15
23 24 Scunthorpe 15 11 4 0.7 1.4 3 4 8 11 21 13
24 22 Carlisle 15 12 3 0.7 1.0 3 7 5 10 15 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Carlisle 15 4 11 0.9 1.8 3 3 9 13 27 12
2 7 Newport County 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
3 8 Swindon 15 6 9 1.7 1.4 8 3 4 25 21 27
4 15 Harrogate 15 6 9 1.5 1.8 5 3 7 23 27 18
5 21 Colchester 17 8 9 0.8 1.5 4 4 9 14 26 16
6 4 Exeter 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 6 6 3 21 16 24
7 19 Rochdale 15 7 8 1.2 1.5 3 6 6 18 23 15
8 24 Scunthorpe 16 8 8 0.7 2.0 1 6 9 11 32 9
9 1 Forest Green 15 8 7 2.3 0.9 8 7 0 34 14 31
10 5 Sutton 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 5 4 6 21 23 19
11 9 Port Vale 13 6 7 1.7 1.2 6 3 4 22 16 21
12 13 Crawley Town 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 6 20 20 24
13 17 Stevenage 16 9 7 0.6 1.7 1 6 9 9 27 9
14 23 Oldham 15 8 7 0.7 1.3 3 5 7 10 20 14
15 2 Northampton 15 9 6 1.1 1.0 6 5 4 16 15 23
16 10 Salford 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 6 2 8 18 17 20
17 11 Bristol Rvs 14 8 6 1.1 1.5 3 6 5 16 21 15
18 12 Bradford 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 5 5 6 15 18 20
19 20 Barrow 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 3 8 14 19 15
20 6 Mansfield 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 10 14 13
21 14 Hartlepool 15 10 5 0.6 1.7 2 3 10 9 25 9
22 16 Leyton Orient 14 10 4 1.0 1.3 1 8 5 14 18 11
23 18 Walsall 14 10 4 0.7 1.2 3 3 8 10 17 12
24 3 Tranmere 16 14 2 0.6 0.8 4 7 5 10 12 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51