Rochdale 0–1 Carlisle – England League Two, 28 Jan 2023

Match facts

Rochdale Carlisle

9 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 6

13 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (309 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

26% 25% 49%

RochdaleDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 0–1 11.2% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Rochdale before this match, all matches

0.74points / match

0.81scored / match

1.52conceded / match

5 5 17

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 22:41

Carlisle before this match, all matches

1.73points / match

1.62scored / match

1.00conceded / match

12 9 5

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:26

Rochdale all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.62

1.52 Goals conceded 1.00

2.33 Total goals 2.62

8.48 Shots 11.73

2.93 Shots on target 4.23

12.33 Shots faced 11.00

4.26 Corners 5.23

5.33 Corners against 4.58

10.78 Fouls 9.31

1.85 Yellow cards 1.31

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

19% Wins 46%

19% Draws 35%

63% Losses 19%

96% Over 0.5 goals 88%

59% Over 1.5 goals 77%

44% Over 2.5 goals 50%

11% Over 3.5 goals 23%

11% Over 4.5 goals 15%

7% Over 5.5 goals 8%

48% Both teams scored 58%

15% Clean sheets 38%

41% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 38%

37% Draws 38%

48% Losses 23%

81% Over 0.5 goals 81%

26% Over 1.5 goals 35%

4% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rochdale all matches

1

L

1

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

3

4

L

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

L

Carlisle all matches

3

D

4

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

Rochdale before this match, at home

0.62points / match

0.85scored / match

1.54conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:20

Carlisle before this match, away

1.46points / match

1.69scored / match

1.23conceded / match

5 4 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:16

Rochdale at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.69

1.54 Goals conceded 1.23

2.38 Total goals 2.92

9.38 Shots 10.15

3.23 Shots on target 3.77

10.69 Shots faced 13.38

4.85 Corners 4.08

4.23 Corners against 5.46

10.54 Fouls 9.69

1.85 Yellow cards 1.46

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

15% Wins 38%

15% Draws 31%

69% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

69% Over 1.5 goals 92%

54% Over 2.5 goals 62%

8% Over 3.5 goals 23%

8% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

69% Both teams scored 69%

8% Clean sheets 23%

23% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 31%

46% Draws 31%

38% Losses 38%

77% Over 0.5 goals 85%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rochdale at home

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

W

1

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

Carlisle away

1

D

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

2

W

3

D

4

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Rochdale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.23	Hartlepool – Rochdale	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.10	1.70
14.01.23	Rochdale – Colchester	1–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
10.01.23	Bradford – Rochdale	1–2 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	2.02	1.83
07.01.23	Rochdale – Newport County	1–1 (1–0)	3.40	3.25	2.25	2.15	1.67
02.01.23	Barrow – Rochdale	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.15	1.67
29.12.22	Doncaster – Rochdale	4–3 (3–2)	2.10	3.30	3.80	2.15	1.67
26.12.22	Rochdale – Hartlepool	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Rochdale – Harrogate	1–4 (1–1)	2.37	3.40	3.00	2.00	1.85
19.11.22	Sutton – Rochdale	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.07	1.72
12.11.22	Rochdale – Mansfield	0–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.05	1.75

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
01.01.23	Doncaster – Carlisle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.05	1.75
29.12.22	Crewe – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
26.12.22	Carlisle – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70
20.12.22	Northampton – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
03.12.22	Carlisle – Sutton	1–1 (1–1)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.66
19.11.22	Salford – Carlisle	1–4 (0–1)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
12.11.22	Carlisle – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.25	1.61
08.11.22	Harrogate – Carlisle	3–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.07	1.72

Rochdale at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.23	Rochdale – Colchester	1–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
07.01.23	Rochdale – Newport County	1–1 (1–0)	3.40	3.25	2.25	2.15	1.67
26.12.22	Rochdale – Hartlepool	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Rochdale – Harrogate	1–4 (1–1)	2.37	3.40	3.00	2.00	1.85
12.11.22	Rochdale – Mansfield	0–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.05	1.75
08.11.22	Rochdale – Salford	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.70
22.10.22	Rochdale – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.15	1.66
15.10.22	Rochdale – Barrow	2–1 (1–0)	2.62	3.20	2.75	2.20	1.65
01.10.22	Rochdale – Doncaster	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.02	1.83
13.09.22	Rochdale – Leyton Orient	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.50	2.25	2.10	1.70

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.01.23	Doncaster – Carlisle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.05	1.75
29.12.22	Crewe – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
20.12.22	Northampton – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
19.11.22	Salford – Carlisle	1–4 (0–1)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
08.11.22	Harrogate – Carlisle	3–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.07	1.72
29.10.22	Tranmere – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.15	1.66
25.10.22	Stockport – Carlisle	2–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.40	4.00	2.25	1.61
08.10.22	Hartlepool – Carlisle	1–3 (1–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.10	1.70
27.09.22	Grimsby – Carlisle	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.20	4.00	2.15	1.66
24.09.22	Newport County – Carlisle	1–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Rochdale winsDrawsCarlisle wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.09.22E3	Carlisle – Rochdale	3–3 (1–1)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.70
29.03.22E3	Rochdale – Carlisle	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.70
01.03.22E3	Carlisle – Rochdale	2–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.07	1.72

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	27	17	6	4	36	16	+20	57
2	Stevenage	26	16	7	3	39	18	+21	55
3	Northampton	26	13	7	6	40	28	+12	46
4	Carlisle	26	12	9	5	42	26	+16	45
5	Salford	26	12	6	8	35	25	+10	42
6	Swindon	26	11	8	7	33	25	+8	41
7	Bradford	26	11	8	7	31	25	+6	41
8	Barrow	26	12	4	10	32	30	+2	40
9	Mansfield	26	11	6	9	36	35	+1	39
10	Stockport	25	11	5	9	35	23	+12	38
11	Walsall	24	10	7	7	30	22	+8	37
12	Doncaster	25	11	4	10	30	35	-5	37
13	AFC Wimbledon	26	9	9	8	29	28	+1	36
14	Sutton	27	10	6	11	27	35	-8	36
15	Tranmere	26	9	8	9	28	23	+5	35
16	Grimsby	24	8	6	10	26	32	-6	30
17	Crewe	24	7	9	8	20	28	-8	30
18	Colchester	28	7	6	15	27	36	-9	27
19	Newport County	26	6	8	12	24	30	-6	26
20	Harrogate	25	6	6	13	32	40	-8	24
21	Crawley Town	24	5	7	12	26	39	-13	22
22	Hartlepool	27	5	7	15	27	50	-23	22
23	Gillingham	25	4	8	13	11	28	-17	20
24	Rochdale	27	5	5	17	22	41	-19	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	14	12	1	1	27	6	+21	37
2	Leyton Orient	14	10	3	1	20	4	+16	33
3	Carlisle	13	7	5	1	20	10	+10	26
4	Sutton	13	8	2	3	16	12	+4	26
5	Barrow	13	8	1	4	19	11	+8	25
6	Northampton	13	7	3	3	20	13	+7	24
7	Walsall	12	7	2	3	19	11	+8	23
8	Swindon	13	6	4	3	19	10	+9	22
9	Stockport	13	6	4	3	17	10	+7	22
10	Doncaster	12	7	1	4	19	16	+3	22
11	Bradford	13	5	5	3	17	13	+4	20
12	Mansfield	13	5	5	3	21	19	+2	20
13	Tranmere	13	5	4	4	18	12	+6	19
14	AFC Wimbledon	12	5	4	3	14	11	+3	19
15	Salford	13	5	4	4	15	13	+2	19
16	Crewe	13	5	4	4	14	13	+1	19
17	Colchester	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1	17
18	Harrogate	13	4	4	5	18	20	-2	16
19	Crawley Town	12	5	1	6	15	17	-2	16
20	Grimsby	12	3	5	4	13	15	-2	14
21	Hartlepool	13	3	5	5	13	21	-8	14
22	Gillingham	12	3	4	5	6	12	-6	13
23	Newport County	13	3	3	7	11	16	-5	12
24	Rochdale	13	2	2	9	11	20	-9	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	13	7	3	3	16	12	+4	24
2	Salford	13	7	2	4	20	12	+8	23
3	Northampton	13	6	4	3	20	15	+5	22
4	Bradford	13	6	3	4	14	12	+2	21
5	Carlisle	13	5	4	4	22	16	+6	19
6	Mansfield	13	6	1	6	15	16	-1	19
7	Swindon	13	5	4	4	14	15	-1	19
8	Stevenage	12	4	6	2	12	12	0	18
9	AFC Wimbledon	14	4	5	5	15	17	-2	17
10	Stockport	12	5	1	6	18	13	+5	16
11	Tranmere	13	4	4	5	10	11	-1	16
12	Grimsby	12	5	1	6	13	17	-4	16
13	Barrow	13	4	3	6	13	19	-6	15
14	Doncaster	13	4	3	6	11	19	-8	15
15	Walsall	12	3	5	4	11	11	0	14
16	Newport County	13	3	5	5	13	14	-1	14
17	Rochdale	14	3	3	8	11	21	-10	12
18	Crewe	11	2	5	4	6	15	-9	11
19	Colchester	14	3	1	10	12	20	-8	10
20	Sutton	14	2	4	8	11	23	-12	10
21	Harrogate	12	2	2	8	14	20	-6	8
22	Hartlepool	14	2	2	10	14	29	-15	8
23	Gillingham	13	1	4	8	5	16	-11	7
24	Crawley Town	12	0	6	6	11	22	-11	6

Rochdale Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	27	11	16	1.0	1.9	5	7	15	27	50	22
2	9	Mansfield	26	11	15	1.4	1.3	11	6	9	36	35	39
3	20	Harrogate	25	10	15	1.3	1.6	6	6	13	32	40	24
4	3	Northampton	26	12	14	1.5	1.1	13	7	6	40	28	46
5	12	Doncaster	25	11	14	1.2	1.4	11	4	10	30	35	37
6	4	Carlisle	26	13	13	1.6	1.0	12	9	5	42	26	45
7	21	Crawley Town	24	11	13	1.1	1.6	5	7	12	26	39	22
8	7	Bradford	26	14	12	1.2	1.0	11	8	7	31	25	41
9	14	Sutton	27	15	12	1.0	1.3	10	6	11	27	35	36
10	24	Rochdale	27	15	12	0.8	1.5	5	5	17	22	41	20
11	2	Stevenage	26	15	11	1.5	0.7	16	7	3	39	18	55
12	8	Barrow	26	15	11	1.2	1.2	12	4	10	32	30	40
13	10	Stockport	25	14	11	1.4	0.9	11	5	9	35	23	38
14	16	Grimsby	24	13	11	1.1	1.3	8	6	10	26	32	30
15	18	Colchester	28	17	11	1.0	1.3	7	6	15	27	36	27
16	5	Salford	26	16	10	1.3	1.0	12	6	8	35	25	42
17	6	Swindon	26	16	10	1.3	1.0	11	8	7	33	25	41
18	11	Walsall	24	14	10	1.2	0.9	10	7	7	30	22	37
19	13	AFC Wimbledon	26	16	10	1.1	1.1	9	9	8	29	28	36
20	17	Crewe	24	14	10	0.8	1.2	7	9	8	20	28	30
21	15	Tranmere	26	17	9	1.1	0.9	9	8	9	28	23	35
22	19	Newport County	26	18	8	0.9	1.2	6	8	12	24	30	26
23	1	Leyton Orient	27	20	7	1.3	0.6	17	6	4	36	16	57
24	23	Gillingham	25	22	3	0.4	1.1	4	8	13	11	28	20

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Northampton	13	5	8	1.5	1.0	7	3	3	20	13	24
2	9	Mansfield	13	5	8	1.6	1.5	5	5	3	21	19	20
3	20	Harrogate	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	4	4	5	18	20	16
4	2	Stevenage	14	7	7	1.9	0.4	12	1	1	27	6	37
5	12	Doncaster	12	5	7	1.6	1.3	7	1	4	19	16	22
6	22	Hartlepool	13	6	7	1.0	1.6	3	5	5	13	21	14
7	24	Rochdale	13	6	7	0.8	1.5	2	2	9	11	20	8
8	6	Swindon	13	7	6	1.5	0.8	6	4	3	19	10	22
9	7	Bradford	13	7	6	1.3	1.0	5	5	3	17	13	20
10	8	Barrow	13	7	6	1.5	0.8	8	1	4	19	11	25
11	11	Walsall	12	6	6	1.6	0.9	7	2	3	19	11	23
12	15	Tranmere	13	7	6	1.4	0.9	5	4	4	18	12	19
13	16	Grimsby	12	6	6	1.1	1.2	3	5	4	13	15	14
14	17	Crewe	13	7	6	1.1	1.0	5	4	4	14	13	19
15	21	Crawley Town	12	6	6	1.2	1.4	5	1	6	15	17	16
16	4	Carlisle	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	7	5	1	20	10	26
17	14	Sutton	13	8	5	1.2	0.9	8	2	3	16	12	26
18	18	Colchester	14	9	5	1.1	1.1	4	5	5	15	16	17
19	5	Salford	13	9	4	1.2	1.0	5	4	4	15	13	19
20	10	Stockport	13	9	4	1.3	0.8	6	4	3	17	10	22
21	19	Newport County	13	9	4	0.8	1.2	3	3	7	11	16	12
22	1	Leyton Orient	14	11	3	1.4	0.3	10	3	1	20	4	33
23	13	AFC Wimbledon	12	9	3	1.2	0.9	5	4	3	14	11	19
24	23	Gillingham	12	11	1	0.5	1.0	3	4	5	6	12	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	14	5	9	1.0	2.1	2	2	10	14	29	8
2	4	Carlisle	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	5	4	4	22	16	19
3	9	Mansfield	13	6	7	1.2	1.2	6	1	6	15	16	19
4	10	Stockport	12	5	7	1.5	1.1	5	1	6	18	13	16
5	12	Doncaster	13	6	7	0.8	1.5	4	3	6	11	19	15
6	13	AFC Wimbledon	14	7	7	1.1	1.2	4	5	5	15	17	17
7	14	Sutton	14	7	7	0.8	1.6	2	4	8	11	23	10
8	20	Harrogate	12	5	7	1.2	1.7	2	2	8	14	20	8
9	21	Crawley Town	12	5	7	0.9	1.8	0	6	6	11	22	6
10	3	Northampton	13	7	6	1.5	1.2	6	4	3	20	15	22
11	5	Salford	13	7	6	1.5	0.9	7	2	4	20	12	23
12	7	Bradford	13	7	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	4	14	12	21
13	18	Colchester	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	3	1	10	12	20	10
14	8	Barrow	13	8	5	1.0	1.5	4	3	6	13	19	15
15	16	Grimsby	12	7	5	1.1	1.4	5	1	6	13	17	16
16	24	Rochdale	14	9	5	0.8	1.5	3	3	8	11	21	12
17	1	Leyton Orient	13	9	4	1.2	0.9	7	3	3	16	12	24
18	2	Stevenage	12	8	4	1.0	1.0	4	6	2	12	12	18
19	6	Swindon	13	9	4	1.1	1.2	5	4	4	14	15	19
20	11	Walsall	12	8	4	0.9	0.9	3	5	4	11	11	14
21	17	Crewe	11	7	4	0.5	1.4	2	5	4	6	15	11
22	19	Newport County	13	9	4	1.0	1.1	3	5	5	13	14	14
23	15	Tranmere	13	10	3	0.8	0.8	4	4	5	10	11	16
24	23	Gillingham	13	11	2	0.4	1.2	1	4	8	5	16	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.