Carlisle 1–0 Colchester – England League Two, 18 Feb 2023

Match facts

Carlisle Colchester

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 0

1 Corners 5

7 Fouls 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (360 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.95

Home / Draw / Away

52% 25% 23%

CarlisleDrawColchester

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.6% 1–1 12% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

1.68points / match

1.55scored / match

1.03conceded / match

14 10 7

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 48:32

Colchester before this match, all matches

1.09points / match

0.97scored / match

1.19conceded / match

9 8 15

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 31:38

Carlisle all matches all matches Colchester

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.97

1.03 Goals conceded 1.19

2.58 Total goals 2.16

11.90 Shots 8.69

4.42 Shots on target 3.19

10.58 Shots faced 11.09

5.45 Corners 4.47

4.19 Corners against 5.19

9.16 Fouls 11.97

1.48 Yellow cards 1.81

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

45% Wins 28%

32% Draws 25%

23% Losses 47%

87% Over 0.5 goals 97%

71% Over 1.5 goals 63%

48% Over 2.5 goals 38%

26% Over 3.5 goals 16%

16% Over 4.5 goals 3%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

52% Both teams scored 53%

39% Clean sheets 19%

23% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 28%

39% Draws 47%

23% Losses 25%

77% Over 0.5 goals 72%

32% Over 1.5 goals 31%

13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

D

4

L

Colchester all matches

1

2

L

1

W

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

D

Carlisle before this match, at home

1.81points / match

1.56scored / match

1.00conceded / match

8 5 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:16

Colchester before this match, away

1.00points / match

0.94scored / match

1.31conceded / match

5 1 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:21

Carlisle at home away Colchester

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 0.94

1.00 Goals conceded 1.31

2.56 Total goals 2.25

13.50 Shots 6.81

5.06 Shots on target 2.50

8.44 Shots faced 11.63

6.44 Corners 3.13

3.50 Corners against 5.25

8.56 Fouls 11.81

1.38 Yellow cards 2.06

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 31%

31% Draws 6%

19% Losses 63%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

63% Over 1.5 goals 56%

44% Over 2.5 goals 44%

31% Over 3.5 goals 19%

19% Over 4.5 goals 6%

13% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 50%

44% Clean sheets 13%

25% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 38%

44% Draws 38%

13% Losses 25%

75% Over 0.5 goals 81%

38% Over 1.5 goals 31%

19% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

3

W

2

3

L

D

1

D

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

4

L

Colchester away

1

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
11.02.23	AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
28.01.23	Rochdale – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
01.01.23	Doncaster – Carlisle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.05	1.75
29.12.22	Crewe – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
26.12.22	Carlisle – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70

Colchester all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.23	Colchester – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.30	1.60
11.02.23	Grimsby – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.10	1.70
04.02.23	Colchester – Barrow	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	3.00	2.30	1.60
28.01.23	Hartlepool – Colchester	1–2 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.15	1.67
24.01.23	Colchester – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.15	1.67
21.01.23	Colchester – Gillingham	0–2 (0–2)	2.38	3.00	3.40	2.60	1.48
14.01.23	Rochdale – Colchester	1–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
07.01.23	Harrogate – Colchester	1–3 (0–2)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.10	1.70
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Colchester – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.75	2.35	1.57

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
26.12.22	Carlisle – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70
03.12.22	Carlisle – Sutton	1–1 (1–1)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.66
12.11.22	Carlisle – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.25	1.61
22.10.22	Carlisle – Leyton Orient	2–3 (1–2)	2.75	3.20	2.60	2.30	1.60
15.10.22	Carlisle – Doncaster	3–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70

Colchester away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Grimsby – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.10	1.70
28.01.23	Hartlepool – Colchester	1–2 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Rochdale – Colchester	1–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
07.01.23	Harrogate – Colchester	1–3 (0–2)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.10	1.70
26.12.22	Gillingham – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.10	3.25	2.50	1.50
10.12.22	Sutton – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.10	1.70
03.12.22	Mansfield – Colchester	2–1 (1–1)	1.90	3.75	4.00	1.90	1.90
12.11.22	Crewe – Colchester	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
01.11.22	Barrow – Colchester	3–1 (2–0)	1.90	3.40	4.20	2.25	1.61
22.10.22	Newport County – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Carlisle winsDrawsColchester wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.08.22E3	Colchester – Carlisle	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.10	1.70
12.02.22E3	Colchester – Carlisle	2–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.25	1.61
07.08.21E3	Carlisle – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	32	20	7	5	42	19	+23	67
2	Stevenage	29	16	9	4	43	23	+20	57
3	Carlisle	31	14	10	7	48	32	+16	52
4	Northampton	31	14	10	7	44	31	+13	52
5	Mansfield	30	14	7	9	47	37	+10	49
6	Salford	31	14	7	10	41	31	+10	49
7	Stockport	30	14	6	10	44	29	+15	48
8	Bradford	29	13	9	7	37	28	+9	48
9	Doncaster	30	14	4	12	36	40	-4	46
10	Sutton	31	12	8	11	32	38	-6	44
11	Swindon	30	11	9	10	38	34	+4	42
12	Tranmere	31	11	8	12	32	30	+2	41
13	AFC Wimbledon	30	10	11	9	30	29	+1	41
14	Barrow	31	12	5	14	34	40	-6	41
15	Walsall	28	10	10	8	31	24	+7	40
16	Grimsby	28	10	6	12	32	36	-4	36
17	Colchester	32	9	8	15	31	38	-7	35
18	Crewe	29	8	11	10	25	36	-11	35
19	Newport County	29	8	9	12	29	33	-4	33
20	Harrogate	29	7	7	15	35	45	-10	28
21	Gillingham	29	6	9	14	17	34	-17	27
22	Crawley Town	28	6	8	14	32	46	-14	26
23	Hartlepool	31	6	8	17	31	56	-25	26
24	Rochdale	31	5	6	20	25	47	-22	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	16	12	3	1	23	5	+18	39
2	Stevenage	15	12	1	2	29	9	+20	37
3	Sutton	15	9	3	3	18	13	+5	30
4	Carlisle	16	8	5	3	25	16	+9	29
5	Stockport	15	8	4	3	22	13	+9	28
6	Doncaster	15	9	1	5	22	17	+5	28
7	Mansfield	15	7	5	3	27	20	+7	26
8	Northampton	16	7	5	4	21	15	+6	26
9	Salford	16	7	5	4	19	15	+4	26
10	Tranmere	15	7	4	4	20	12	+8	25
11	Barrow	15	8	1	6	19	14	+5	25
12	Walsall	13	7	3	3	20	12	+8	24
13	Bradford	15	6	6	3	20	14	+6	24
14	Swindon	15	6	5	4	22	15	+7	23
15	AFC Wimbledon	14	6	5	3	15	11	+4	23
16	Crewe	17	6	5	6	17	19	-2	23
17	Crawley Town	14	6	2	6	20	21	-1	20
18	Colchester	16	4	7	5	16	17	-1	19
19	Gillingham	14	5	4	5	9	13	-4	19
20	Newport County	15	4	4	7	15	19	-4	16
21	Harrogate	15	4	4	7	19	24	-5	16
22	Hartlepool	15	3	6	6	16	25	-9	15
23	Grimsby	13	3	5	5	13	16	-3	14
24	Rochdale	15	2	3	10	12	22	-10	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	16	8	4	4	19	14	+5	28
2	Northampton	15	7	5	3	23	16	+7	26
3	Bradford	14	7	3	4	17	14	+3	24
4	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	23	16	+7	23
5	Salford	15	7	2	6	22	16	+6	23
6	Mansfield	15	7	2	6	20	17	+3	23
7	Grimsby	15	7	1	7	19	20	-1	22
8	Stockport	15	6	2	7	22	16	+6	20
9	Stevenage	14	4	8	2	14	14	0	20
10	Swindon	15	5	4	6	16	19	-3	19
11	AFC Wimbledon	16	4	6	6	15	18	-3	18
12	Doncaster	15	5	3	7	14	23	-9	18
13	Newport County	14	4	5	5	14	14	0	17
14	Walsall	15	3	7	5	11	12	-1	16
15	Colchester	16	5	1	10	15	21	-6	16
16	Tranmere	16	4	4	8	12	18	-6	16
17	Barrow	16	4	4	8	15	26	-11	16
18	Sutton	16	3	5	8	14	25	-11	14
19	Harrogate	14	3	3	8	16	21	-5	12
20	Crewe	12	2	6	4	8	17	-9	12
21	Rochdale	16	3	3	10	13	25	-12	12
22	Hartlepool	16	3	2	11	15	31	-16	11
23	Gillingham	15	1	5	9	8	21	-13	8
24	Crawley Town	14	0	6	8	12	25	-13	6

Carlisle Colchester

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	31	13	18	1.0	1.8	6	8	17	31	56	26
2	5	Mansfield	30	13	17	1.6	1.2	14	7	9	47	37	49
3	20	Harrogate	29	13	16	1.2	1.6	7	7	15	35	45	28
4	22	Crawley Town	28	12	16	1.1	1.6	6	8	14	32	46	26
5	3	Carlisle	31	16	15	1.5	1.0	14	10	7	48	32	52
6	4	Northampton	31	16	15	1.4	1.0	14	10	7	44	31	52
7	9	Doncaster	30	15	15	1.2	1.3	14	4	12	36	40	46
8	7	Stockport	30	16	14	1.5	1.0	14	6	10	44	29	48
9	10	Sutton	31	17	14	1.0	1.2	12	8	11	32	38	44
10	16	Grimsby	28	14	14	1.1	1.3	10	6	12	32	36	36
11	24	Rochdale	31	17	14	0.8	1.5	5	6	20	25	47	21
12	2	Stevenage	29	16	13	1.5	0.8	16	9	4	43	23	57
13	8	Bradford	29	16	13	1.3	1.0	13	9	7	37	28	48
14	11	Swindon	30	17	13	1.3	1.1	11	9	10	38	34	42
15	6	Salford	31	19	12	1.3	1.0	14	7	10	41	31	49
16	14	Barrow	31	19	12	1.1	1.3	12	5	14	34	40	41
17	17	Colchester	32	20	12	1.0	1.2	9	8	15	31	38	35
18	18	Crewe	29	17	12	0.9	1.2	8	11	10	25	36	35
19	12	Tranmere	31	21	10	1.0	1.0	11	8	12	32	30	41
20	13	AFC Wimbledon	30	20	10	1.0	1.0	10	11	9	30	29	41
21	15	Walsall	28	18	10	1.1	0.9	10	10	8	31	24	40
22	19	Newport County	29	19	10	1.0	1.1	8	9	12	29	33	33
23	1	Leyton Orient	32	24	8	1.3	0.6	20	7	5	42	19	67
24	21	Gillingham	29	24	5	0.6	1.2	6	9	14	17	34	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Northampton	16	7	9	1.3	0.9	7	5	4	21	15	26
2	5	Mansfield	15	6	9	1.8	1.3	7	5	3	27	20	26
3	20	Harrogate	15	6	9	1.3	1.6	4	4	7	19	24	16
4	23	Hartlepool	15	6	9	1.1	1.7	3	6	6	16	25	15
5	2	Stevenage	15	7	8	1.9	0.6	12	1	2	29	9	37
6	22	Crawley Town	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	6	2	6	20	21	20
7	3	Carlisle	16	9	7	1.6	1.0	8	5	3	25	16	29
8	9	Doncaster	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	9	1	5	22	17	28
9	11	Swindon	15	8	7	1.5	1.0	6	5	4	22	15	23
10	18	Crewe	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	6	5	6	17	19	23
11	24	Rochdale	15	8	7	0.8	1.5	2	3	10	12	22	9
12	7	Stockport	15	9	6	1.5	0.9	8	4	3	22	13	28
13	8	Bradford	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	6	6	3	20	14	24
14	10	Sutton	15	9	6	1.2	0.9	9	3	3	18	13	30
15	12	Tranmere	15	9	6	1.3	0.8	7	4	4	20	12	25
16	14	Barrow	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	8	1	6	19	14	25
17	15	Walsall	13	7	6	1.5	0.9	7	3	3	20	12	24
18	16	Grimsby	13	7	6	1.0	1.2	3	5	5	13	16	14
19	19	Newport County	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	4	4	7	15	19	16
20	6	Salford	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	7	5	4	19	15	26
21	17	Colchester	16	11	5	1.0	1.1	4	7	5	16	17	19
22	1	Leyton Orient	16	12	4	1.4	0.3	12	3	1	23	5	39
23	13	AFC Wimbledon	14	11	3	1.1	0.8	6	5	3	15	11	23
24	21	Gillingham	14	12	2	0.6	0.9	5	4	5	9	13	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	16	7	9	0.9	1.9	3	2	11	15	31	11
2	3	Carlisle	15	7	8	1.5	1.1	6	5	4	23	16	23
3	5	Mansfield	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	7	2	6	20	17	23
4	7	Stockport	15	7	8	1.5	1.1	6	2	7	22	16	20
5	9	Doncaster	15	7	8	0.9	1.5	5	3	7	14	23	18
6	10	Sutton	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	8	14	25	14
7	16	Grimsby	15	7	8	1.3	1.3	7	1	7	19	20	22
8	22	Crawley Town	14	6	8	0.9	1.8	0	6	8	12	25	6
9	6	Salford	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	7	2	6	22	16	23
10	8	Bradford	14	7	7	1.2	1.0	7	3	4	17	14	24
11	13	AFC Wimbledon	16	9	7	0.9	1.1	4	6	6	15	18	18
12	17	Colchester	16	9	7	0.9	1.3	5	1	10	15	21	16
13	20	Harrogate	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	3	3	8	16	21	12
14	24	Rochdale	16	9	7	0.8	1.6	3	3	10	13	25	12
15	4	Northampton	15	9	6	1.5	1.1	7	5	3	23	16	26
16	11	Swindon	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	16	19	19
17	14	Barrow	16	10	6	0.9	1.6	4	4	8	15	26	16
18	2	Stevenage	14	9	5	1.0	1.0	4	8	2	14	14	20
19	18	Crewe	12	7	5	0.7	1.4	2	6	4	8	17	12
20	1	Leyton Orient	16	12	4	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	19	14	28
21	12	Tranmere	16	12	4	0.8	1.1	4	4	8	12	18	16
22	15	Walsall	15	11	4	0.7	0.8	3	7	5	11	12	16
23	19	Newport County	14	10	4	1.0	1.0	4	5	5	14	14	17
24	21	Gillingham	15	12	3	0.5	1.4	1	5	9	8	21	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.