Swindon 0–1 Stevenage – England League Two, 25 Apr 2023

Match facts

Swindon Stevenage

9 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 4

7 Fouls 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (523 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.13

Home / Draw / Away

40% 28% 33%

SwindonDrawStevenage

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 11.6% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.35scored / match

1.19conceded / match

15 13 15

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 58:51

Stevenage before this match, all matches

1.77points / match

1.33scored / match

0.91conceded / match

21 13 9

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 57:39

Swindon all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.33

1.19 Goals conceded 0.91

2.53 Total goals 2.23

12.56 Shots 13.77

4.30 Shots on target 4.42

11.60 Shots faced 8.44

5.33 Corners 5.21

4.84 Corners against 3.28

9.47 Fouls 11.63

1.84 Yellow cards 1.95

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

35% Wins 49%

30% Draws 30%

35% Losses 21%

88% Over 0.5 goals 91%

67% Over 1.5 goals 65%

47% Over 2.5 goals 40%

16% Over 3.5 goals 19%

16% Over 4.5 goals 9%

12% Over 5.5 goals 0%

51% Both teams scored 49%

30% Clean sheets 37%

30% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 35%

56% Draws 44%

21% Losses 21%

63% Over 0.5 goals 67%

33% Over 1.5 goals 23%

19% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

2

L

D

4

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

D

1

W

5

1

W

Stevenage all matches

3

1

W

1

W

D

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

W

1

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.43points / match

1.38scored / match

1.05conceded / match

8 6 7

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:22

Stevenage before this match, away

1.24points / match

0.90scored / match

1.10conceded / match

5 11 5

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:23

Swindon at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.90

1.05 Goals conceded 1.10

2.43 Total goals 2.00

12.67 Shots 13.38

4.38 Shots on target 3.86

9.86 Shots faced 10.00

5.76 Corners 4.81

3.86 Corners against 3.48

8.38 Fouls 11.86

1.86 Yellow cards 2.14

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

38% Wins 24%

29% Draws 52%

33% Losses 24%

86% Over 0.5 goals 86%

62% Over 1.5 goals 71%

48% Over 2.5 goals 29%

19% Over 3.5 goals 10%

19% Over 4.5 goals 5%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 57%

43% Clean sheets 19%

29% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 19%

67% Draws 43%

14% Losses 38%

52% Over 0.5 goals 71%

38% Over 1.5 goals 19%

19% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

1

2

L

5

W

3

D

2

L

3

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

4

L

D

1

W

Stevenage away

1

D

2

D

2

L

3

2

W

2

L

D

1

D

1

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	AFC Wimbledon – Swindon	1–5 (1–3)	2.50	3.25	2.88	2.10	1.70
18.04.23	Swindon – Bradford	1–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.00	1.85
15.04.23	Swindon – Barrow	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.15	1.67
10.04.23	Tranmere – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.15	1.67
07.04.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–4 (1–3)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.00	1.85
01.04.23	Hartlepool – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.60	1.95	1.90
25.03.23	Swindon – Stockport	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.70
18.03.23	Rochdale – Swindon	4–4 (2–2)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.08	1.73
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75

Stevenage all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Mansfield – Stevenage	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.80	2.25	1.62
18.04.23	Stevenage – Doncaster	1–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.20	9.50	1.95	1.90
15.04.23	Stevenage – AFC Wimbledon	2–1 (1–1)	1.62	3.60	6.50	2.15	1.67
10.04.23	Hartlepool – Stevenage	1–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.15	1.67
07.04.23	Stevenage – Colchester	1–1 (0–1)	1.65	3.50	6.00	2.15	1.67
01.04.23	Northampton – Stevenage	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.10	2.90	2.40	1.53
25.03.23	Stevenage – Salford	1–3 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75
18.03.23	Carlisle – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.25	1.62
14.03.23	Stevenage – Crewe	1–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.50	8.00	1.95	1.90
11.03.23	Stevenage – Walsall	3–1 (3–1)	1.75	3.40	5.25	2.40	1.53

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.23	Swindon – Bradford	1–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.00	1.85
15.04.23	Swindon – Barrow	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.15	1.67
07.04.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–4 (1–3)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.00	1.85
25.03.23	Swindon – Stockport	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.70
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
25.02.23	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65

Stevenage away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.23	Mansfield – Stevenage	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.80	2.25	1.62
10.04.23	Hartlepool – Stevenage	1–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.15	1.67
01.04.23	Northampton – Stevenage	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.10	2.90	2.40	1.53
18.03.23	Carlisle – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	Rochdale – Stevenage	2–0 (2–0)	4.75	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.70
28.02.23	AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage	2–3 (1–0)	4.00	3.00	2.10	2.60	1.48
18.02.23	Stockport – Stevenage	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.35	1.57
14.02.23	Newport County – Stevenage	2–2 (1–1)	3.00	3.20	2.50	2.25	1.62
04.02.23	Sutton – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.30	2.25	1.62
14.01.23	Harrogate – Stevenage	1–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.08	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Swindon winsDrawsStevenage wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

0%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.10.22E3	Stevenage – Swindon	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.30	5.00	2.02	1.83
29.12.21E3	Swindon – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.00	1.85
04.09.21E3	Stevenage – Swindon	1–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	3.10	2.30	1.60

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	43	25	12	6	58	29	+29	87
2	Northampton	44	22	14	8	60	40	+20	80
3	Stevenage	43	21	13	9	57	39	+18	76
4	Stockport	44	21	12	11	61	36	+25	75
5	Carlisle	44	20	15	9	63	39	+24	75
6	Salford	44	21	9	14	69	51	+18	72
7	Bradford	43	19	15	9	56	38	+18	72
8	Mansfield	43	20	12	11	68	51	+17	72
9	Barrow	44	18	8	18	46	49	-3	62
10	Swindon	43	15	13	15	58	51	+7	58
11	Tranmere	44	15	12	17	44	46	-2	57
12	Sutton	44	15	12	17	44	53	-9	57
13	Grimsby	43	14	13	16	46	54	-8	55
14	Newport County	43	13	14	16	47	50	-3	53
15	Gillingham	44	13	13	18	34	47	-13	52
16	Doncaster	44	15	7	22	44	63	-19	52
17	Walsall	44	11	18	15	44	48	-4	51
18	Crewe	42	12	15	15	41	53	-12	51
19	Colchester	44	12	13	19	44	48	-4	49
20	AFC Wimbledon	44	11	14	19	47	58	-11	47
21	Harrogate	43	10	15	18	53	64	-11	45
22	Crawley Town	44	11	12	21	47	69	-22	45
23	Hartlepool	44	8	15	21	48	76	-28	39
24	Rochdale	44	8	10	26	41	68	-27	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	22	15	6	1	32	10	+22	51
2	Stevenage	22	16	2	4	38	16	+22	50
3	Northampton	22	12	6	4	30	18	+12	42
4	Stockport	22	11	8	3	31	15	+16	41
5	Carlisle	22	11	8	3	32	18	+14	41
6	Barrow	22	12	3	7	29	18	+11	39
7	Gillingham	22	11	5	6	20	18	+2	38
8	Sutton	22	11	4	7	25	20	+5	37
9	Bradford	22	9	9	4	32	22	+10	36
10	Tranmere	22	10	6	6	27	19	+8	36
11	Mansfield	21	9	8	4	35	27	+8	35
12	Salford	22	10	5	7	28	22	+6	35
13	Walsall	22	8	9	5	26	18	+8	33
14	Crewe	21	9	6	6	27	23	+4	33
15	Crawley Town	22	9	6	7	31	30	+1	33
16	Doncaster	22	10	1	11	26	30	-4	31
17	Swindon	21	8	6	7	29	22	+7	30
18	Colchester	22	6	9	7	25	21	+4	27
19	Harrogate	22	6	9	7	30	31	-1	27
20	AFC Wimbledon	22	7	6	9	25	29	-4	27
21	Grimsby	21	5	10	6	21	25	-4	25
22	Newport County	21	6	6	9	23	25	-2	24
23	Hartlepool	22	4	10	8	24	35	-11	22
24	Rochdale	22	4	5	13	25	37	-12	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	22	10	8	4	30	22	+8	38
2	Salford	22	11	4	7	41	29	+12	37
3	Mansfield	22	11	4	7	33	24	+9	37
4	Bradford	21	10	6	5	24	16	+8	36
5	Leyton Orient	21	10	6	5	26	19	+7	36
6	Carlisle	22	9	7	6	31	21	+10	34
7	Stockport	22	10	4	8	30	21	+9	34
8	Grimsby	22	9	3	10	25	29	-4	30
9	Newport County	22	7	8	7	24	25	-1	29
10	Swindon	22	7	7	8	29	29	0	28
11	Stevenage	21	5	11	5	19	23	-4	26
12	Barrow	22	6	5	11	17	31	-14	23
13	Colchester	22	6	4	12	19	27	-8	22
14	Tranmere	22	5	6	11	17	27	-10	21
15	Doncaster	22	5	6	11	18	33	-15	21
16	AFC Wimbledon	22	4	8	10	22	29	-7	20
17	Sutton	22	4	8	10	19	33	-14	20
18	Harrogate	21	4	6	11	23	33	-10	18
19	Walsall	22	3	9	10	18	30	-12	18
20	Crewe	21	3	9	9	14	30	-16	18
21	Rochdale	22	4	5	13	16	31	-15	17
22	Hartlepool	22	4	5	13	24	41	-17	17
23	Gillingham	22	2	8	12	14	29	-15	14
24	Crawley Town	22	2	6	14	16	39	-23	12

Swindon Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	21	Harrogate	43	19	24	1.2	1.5	10	15	18	53	64	45
2	23	Hartlepool	44	21	23	1.1	1.7	8	15	21	48	76	39
3	8	Mansfield	43	21	22	1.6	1.2	20	12	11	68	51	72
4	22	Crawley Town	44	22	22	1.1	1.6	11	12	21	47	69	45
5	6	Salford	44	24	20	1.6	1.2	21	9	14	69	51	72
6	10	Swindon	43	23	20	1.3	1.2	15	13	15	58	51	58
7	16	Doncaster	44	24	20	1.0	1.4	15	7	22	44	63	52
8	20	AFC Wimbledon	44	24	20	1.1	1.3	11	14	19	47	58	47
9	2	Northampton	44	25	19	1.4	0.9	22	14	8	60	40	80
10	24	Rochdale	44	25	19	0.9	1.5	8	10	26	41	68	34
11	5	Carlisle	44	26	18	1.4	0.9	20	15	9	63	39	75
12	7	Bradford	43	25	18	1.3	0.9	19	15	9	56	38	72
13	12	Sutton	44	26	18	1.0	1.2	15	12	17	44	53	57
14	13	Grimsby	43	25	18	1.1	1.3	14	13	16	46	54	55
15	3	Stevenage	43	26	17	1.3	0.9	21	13	9	57	39	76
16	4	Stockport	44	27	17	1.4	0.8	21	12	11	61	36	75
17	18	Crewe	42	25	17	1.0	1.3	12	15	15	41	53	51
18	9	Barrow	44	28	16	1.0	1.1	18	8	18	46	49	62
19	14	Newport County	43	27	16	1.1	1.2	13	14	16	47	50	53
20	17	Walsall	44	29	15	1.0	1.1	11	18	15	44	48	51
21	19	Colchester	44	29	15	1.0	1.1	12	13	19	44	48	49
22	11	Tranmere	44	31	13	1.0	1.0	15	12	17	44	46	57
23	1	Leyton Orient	43	32	11	1.3	0.7	25	12	6	58	29	87
24	15	Gillingham	44	34	10	0.8	1.1	13	13	18	34	47	52

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	21	Harrogate	22	9	13	1.4	1.4	6	9	7	30	31	27
2	24	Rochdale	22	10	12	1.1	1.7	4	5	13	25	37	17
3	2	Northampton	22	11	11	1.4	0.8	12	6	4	30	18	42
4	3	Stevenage	22	11	11	1.7	0.7	16	2	4	38	16	50
5	8	Mansfield	21	10	11	1.7	1.3	9	8	4	35	27	35
6	22	Crawley Town	22	11	11	1.4	1.4	9	6	7	31	30	33
7	23	Hartlepool	22	11	11	1.1	1.6	4	10	8	24	35	22
8	7	Bradford	22	12	10	1.5	1.0	9	9	4	32	22	36
9	10	Swindon	21	11	10	1.4	1.0	8	6	7	29	22	30
10	16	Doncaster	22	12	10	1.2	1.4	10	1	11	26	30	31
11	9	Barrow	22	13	9	1.3	0.8	12	3	7	29	18	39
12	18	Crewe	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	9	6	6	27	23	33
13	5	Carlisle	22	14	8	1.5	0.8	11	8	3	32	18	41
14	6	Salford	22	14	8	1.3	1.0	10	5	7	28	22	35
15	12	Sutton	22	14	8	1.1	0.9	11	4	7	25	20	37
16	13	Grimsby	21	13	8	1.0	1.2	5	10	6	21	25	25
17	14	Newport County	21	13	8	1.1	1.2	6	6	9	23	25	24
18	20	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.1	1.3	7	6	9	25	29	27
19	4	Stockport	22	15	7	1.4	0.7	11	8	3	31	15	41
20	11	Tranmere	22	15	7	1.2	0.9	10	6	6	27	19	36
21	17	Walsall	22	15	7	1.2	0.8	8	9	5	26	18	33
22	19	Colchester	22	15	7	1.1	1.0	6	9	7	25	21	27
23	1	Leyton Orient	22	16	6	1.5	0.5	15	6	1	32	10	51
24	15	Gillingham	22	18	4	0.9	0.8	11	5	6	20	18	38

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Salford	22	10	12	1.9	1.3	11	4	7	41	29	37
2	20	AFC Wimbledon	22	10	12	1.0	1.3	4	8	10	22	29	20
3	23	Hartlepool	22	10	12	1.1	1.9	4	5	13	24	41	17
4	8	Mansfield	22	11	11	1.5	1.1	11	4	7	33	24	37
5	21	Harrogate	21	10	11	1.1	1.6	4	6	11	23	33	18
6	22	Crawley Town	22	11	11	0.7	1.8	2	6	14	16	39	12
7	4	Stockport	22	12	10	1.4	1.0	10	4	8	30	21	34
8	5	Carlisle	22	12	10	1.4	1.0	9	7	6	31	21	34
9	10	Swindon	22	12	10	1.3	1.3	7	7	8	29	29	28
10	12	Sutton	22	12	10	0.9	1.5	4	8	10	19	33	20
11	13	Grimsby	22	12	10	1.1	1.3	9	3	10	25	29	30
12	16	Doncaster	22	12	10	0.8	1.5	5	6	11	18	33	21
13	2	Northampton	22	14	8	1.4	1.0	10	8	4	30	22	38
14	7	Bradford	21	13	8	1.1	0.8	10	6	5	24	16	36
15	14	Newport County	22	14	8	1.1	1.1	7	8	7	24	25	29
16	17	Walsall	22	14	8	0.8	1.4	3	9	10	18	30	18
17	18	Crewe	21	13	8	0.7	1.4	3	9	9	14	30	18
18	19	Colchester	22	14	8	0.9	1.2	6	4	12	19	27	22
19	9	Barrow	22	15	7	0.8	1.4	6	5	11	17	31	23
20	24	Rochdale	22	15	7	0.7	1.4	4	5	13	16	31	17
21	3	Stevenage	21	15	6	0.9	1.1	5	11	5	19	23	26
22	11	Tranmere	22	16	6	0.8	1.2	5	6	11	17	27	21
23	15	Gillingham	22	16	6	0.6	1.3	2	8	12	14	29	14
24	1	Leyton Orient	21	16	5	1.2	0.9	10	6	5	26	19	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.