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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Drysdale

Notts County 3–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.83 fair 2.26
Draw 4.20 fair 4.74
Away 3.75 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 3.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.36

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Notts County Swindon
10 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 5
13 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (118 league matches this season so far).
Result Notts County to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.38
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.79
Home / Draw / Away
Notts CountyDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.1% 1–1 8% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Notts County before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.30scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 23:19
Swindon before this match, all matches
2.11points / match
2.89scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 26:14
Notts County all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

2.30 Goals scored 2.89
1.90 Goals conceded 1.56
4.20 Total goals 4.44
12.50 Shots 14.11
4.80 Shots on target 5.89
12.50 Shots faced 14.00
6.20 Corners 5.78
4.50 Corners against 5.00
7.80 Fouls 9.56
2.60 Yellow cards 2.33
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

60% Wins 56%
20% Draws 44%
20% Losses 0%
90% Over 0.5 goals 89%
90% Over 1.5 goals 89%
70% Over 2.5 goals 78%
60% Over 3.5 goals 56%
40% Over 4.5 goals 33%
30% Over 5.5 goals 33%
80% Both teams scored 67%
20% Clean sheets 33%
10% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 67%
30% Draws 22%
30% Losses 11%
80% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County all matches
Swindon all matches
Notts County before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 12:7
Swindon before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.25scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:8
Notts County at home away Swindon

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded 2.00
4.75 Total goals 4.25
12.50 Shots 13.75
6.25 Shots on target 5.25
13.00 Shots faced 15.75
6.75 Corners 5.50
6.50 Corners against 6.25
8.25 Fouls 12.25
3.50 Yellow cards 3.00
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 75%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
100% Over 2.5 goals 75%
75% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 25%
100% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Notts County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Colchester – Notts County 5–4 (3–1) 3.603.602.00 1.67 2.15
23.09.23 Notts County – Forest Green 4–3 (2–0) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
15.09.23 Salford – Notts County 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.57 2.35
09.09.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.60 2.30
02.09.23 Notts County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Notts County – Tranmere 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.75 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Doncaster – Notts County 1–3 (0–1) 4.333.751.83 1.70 2.10
15.08.23 Morecambe – Notts County 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.751.80 1.70 2.10
12.08.23 Notts County – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.734.004.75 1.70 2.10
05.08.23 Sutton – Notts County 5–1 (2–0) 4.754.001.67 1.62 2.25

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.08.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 6–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Swindon – Crewe 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
08.05.23 Swindon – Crawley Town 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25

Notts County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Notts County – Forest Green 4–3 (2–0) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
02.09.23 Notts County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Notts County – Tranmere 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.75 1.65 2.20
12.08.23 Notts County – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 1.734.004.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.23EC Notts County – York 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.40 2.88
15.04.23EC Notts County – Woking 3–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.00 1.80 2.00
07.04.23EC Notts County – Wealdstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.36 3.10
25.03.23EC Notts County – Scunthorpe 4–0 (2–0) 1.205.7510.00 1.44 2.70
14.03.23EC Notts County – Eastleigh 3–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30
11.03.23EC Notts County – Dorking 3–1 (1–1) 1.137.5017.00 1.30 3.50

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
10.04.23 Tranmere – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.90 2.15 1.67
01.04.23 Hartlepool – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 1.95 1.90
18.03.23 Rochdale – Swindon 4–4 (2–2) 3.253.402.20 2.08 1.73
14.03.23 Walsall – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.75 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 10 6 2 2 23 19 +4 20
2 Crawley Town 10 6 2 2 20 17 +3 20
3 Swindon 9 5 4 0 26 14 +12 19
4 Gillingham 10 6 1 3 9 9 0 19
5 Mansfield 10 4 6 0 17 9 +8 18
6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 5 1 19 10 +9 17
7 Crewe 10 4 5 1 24 17 +7 17
8 Stockport 10 5 2 3 20 13 +7 17
9 Wrexham 10 4 4 2 23 23 0 16
10 Barrow 9 4 3 2 11 9 +2 15
11 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 2 4 16 16 0 14
12 Morecambe 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
13 Walsall 10 4 2 4 15 17 -2 14
14 Bradford 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
15 Accrington 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
16 Harrogate 10 4 1 5 9 11 -2 13
17 Newport County 10 3 2 5 18 21 -3 11
18 Colchester 9 3 1 5 15 15 0 10
19 Grimsby 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
20 Salford 10 3 1 6 13 17 -4 10
21 Doncaster 10 2 2 6 11 19 -8 8
22 Forest Green 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7
23 Tranmere 10 2 0 8 13 19 -6 6
24 Sutton 10 1 1 8 12 24 -12 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Crawley Town 6 5 0 1 13 5 +8 15
2 Swindon 5 4 1 0 17 6 +11 13
3 Notts County 4 4 0 0 12 7 +5 12
4 Crewe 5 3 2 0 13 8 +5 11
5 Morecambe 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
6 Wrexham 6 3 2 1 20 16 +4 11
7 Mansfield 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
8 Accrington 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
9 Gillingham 5 3 1 1 5 5 0 10
10 Stockport 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
11 Newport County 5 2 2 1 11 8 +3 8
12 Grimsby 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
13 Bradford 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8
14 Barrow 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
15 Colchester 5 2 1 2 10 10 0 7
16 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
17 Walsall 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
18 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 3 1 9 7 +2 6
19 Tranmere 5 2 0 3 9 7 +2 6
20 Harrogate 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
21 Doncaster 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
22 Sutton 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
23 Salford 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
24 Forest Green 6 0 0 6 4 15 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
2 Stockport 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
3 Gillingham 5 3 0 2 4 4 0 9
4 Mansfield 6 1 5 0 10 7 +3 8
5 Barrow 6 2 2 2 5 5 0 8
6 Notts County 6 2 2 2 11 12 -1 8
7 Forest Green 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
8 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 11 11 0 7
9 Walsall 6 2 1 3 10 12 -2 7
10 Harrogate 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
11 Crewe 5 1 3 1 11 9 +2 6
12 Swindon 4 1 3 0 9 8 +1 6
13 Salford 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
14 Bradford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
15 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 3 7 -4 5
16 Crawley Town 4 1 2 1 7 12 -5 5
17 Colchester 4 1 0 3 5 5 0 3
18 Accrington 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
19 Morecambe 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
20 Newport County 5 1 0 4 7 13 -6 3
21 Doncaster 5 1 0 4 6 12 -6 3
22 Grimsby 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5 2
23 Tranmere 5 0 0 5 4 12 -8 0
24 Sutton 5 0 0 5 6 17 -11 0

Notts County   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Crewe 10 1 9 2.4 1.7 4 5 1 24 17 17
2 17 Newport County 10 1 9 1.8 2.1 3 2 5 18 21 11
3 21 Doncaster 10 2 8 1.1 1.9 2 2 6 11 19 8
4 1 Notts County 10 3 7 2.3 1.9 6 2 2 23 19 20
5 2 Crawley Town 10 3 7 2.0 1.7 6 2 2 20 17 20
6 3 Swindon 9 2 7 2.9 1.6 5 4 0 26 14 19
7 8 Stockport 10 3 7 2.0 1.3 5 2 3 20 13 17
8 9 Wrexham 10 3 7 2.3 2.3 4 4 2 23 23 16
9 13 Walsall 10 3 7 1.5 1.7 4 2 4 15 17 14
10 15 Accrington 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13
11 24 Sutton 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 1 8 12 24 4
12 6 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 1.9 1.0 4 5 1 19 10 17
13 11 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 4 2 4 16 16 14
14 12 Morecambe 9 3 6 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
15 22 Forest Green 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7
16 23 Tranmere 10 4 6 1.3 1.9 2 0 8 13 19 6
17 5 Mansfield 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 4 6 0 17 9 18
18 18 Colchester 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 1 5 15 15 10
19 20 Salford 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 3 1 6 13 17 10
20 14 Bradford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 4 3 11 12 13
21 19 Grimsby 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
22 4 Gillingham 10 7 3 0.9 0.9 6 1 3 9 9 19
23 10 Barrow 9 6 3 1.2 1.0 4 3 2 11 9 15
24 16 Harrogate 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 1 5 9 11 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Wrexham 6 0 6 3.3 2.7 3 2 1 20 16 11
2 7 Crewe 5 0 5 2.6 1.6 3 2 0 13 8 11
3 15 Accrington 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
4 22 Forest Green 6 1 5 0.7 2.5 0 0 6 4 15 0
5 1 Notts County 4 0 4 3.0 1.8 4 0 0 12 7 12
6 2 Crawley Town 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 5 0 1 13 5 15
7 3 Swindon 5 1 4 3.4 1.2 4 1 0 17 6 13
8 17 Newport County 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 2 1 11 8 8
9 6 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 1 3 1 9 7 6
10 12 Morecambe 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
11 20 Salford 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
12 21 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
13 23 Tranmere 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 0 3 9 7 6
14 4 Gillingham 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 3 1 1 5 5 10
15 5 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
16 8 Stockport 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
17 10 Barrow 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
18 11 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
19 13 Walsall 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
20 14 Bradford 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8
21 18 Colchester 5 3 2 2.0 2.0 2 1 2 10 10 7
22 24 Sutton 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
23 16 Harrogate 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 0 2 5 4 6
24 19 Grimsby 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Stockport 5 0 5 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
2 13 Walsall 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 1 3 10 12 7
3 17 Newport County 5 0 5 1.4 2.6 1 0 4 7 13 3
4 21 Doncaster 5 0 5 1.2 2.4 1 0 4 6 12 3
5 24 Sutton 5 0 5 1.2 3.4 0 0 5 6 17 0
6 7 Crewe 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 1 3 1 11 9 6
7 11 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 4 2.2 2.2 2 1 2 11 11 7
8 1 Notts County 6 3 3 1.8 2.0 2 2 2 11 12 8
9 2 Crawley Town 4 1 3 1.8 3.0 1 2 1 7 12 5
10 3 Swindon 4 1 3 2.2 2.0 1 3 0 9 8 6
11 5 Mansfield 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 1 5 0 10 7 8
12 6 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
13 12 Morecambe 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
14 18 Colchester 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 0 3 5 5 3
15 19 Grimsby 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 3 5 10 2
16 23 Tranmere 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 0 5 4 12 0
17 14 Bradford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
18 15 Accrington 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
19 16 Harrogate 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
20 20 Salford 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
21 4 Gillingham 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 3 0 2 4 4 9
22 9 Wrexham 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 1 2 1 3 7 5
23 10 Barrow 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 2 5 5 8
24 22 Forest Green 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51