Accrington 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons – England League Two, 21 Oct 2023

Match facts

Accrington Milton Keynes Dons

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 4

24 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).

Result Accrington to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.62

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.36

Home / Draw / Away

47% 23% 30%

AccringtonDrawMilton Keynes Dons

Under / Over 2.5 goals

39% 61%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches

1.54points / match

1.46scored / match

1.38conceded / match

6 2 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:18

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.46scored / match

1.54conceded / match

4 4 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:20

Accrington all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.46

1.38 Goals conceded 1.54

2.85 Total goals 3.00

13.92 Shots 14.77

4.08 Shots on target 4.23

13.23 Shots faced 13.46

5.08 Corners 4.85

5.08 Corners against 6.23

12.31 Fouls 10.15

2.23 Yellow cards 2.31

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.85

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

46% Wins 31%

15% Draws 31%

38% Losses 38%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

92% Over 1.5 goals 77%

62% Over 2.5 goals 62%

23% Over 3.5 goals 31%

8% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

62% Both teams scored 77%

15% Clean sheets 15%

23% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 38%

23% Draws 23%

31% Losses 38%

85% Over 0.5 goals 85%

31% Over 1.5 goals 46%

0% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

L

4

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

2

W

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

D

1

2

L

2

D

Accrington before this match, at home

1.86points / match

1.86scored / match

1.43conceded / match

4 1 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:10

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away

1.14points / match

1.71scored / match

1.86conceded / match

2 2 3

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:13

Accrington at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.71

1.43 Goals conceded 1.86

3.29 Total goals 3.57

14.86 Shots 14.71

4.57 Shots on target 4.71

12.29 Shots faced 14.57

4.71 Corners 4.86

4.71 Corners against 5.86

12.43 Fouls 9.57

2.00 Yellow cards 2.43

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

57% Wins 29%

14% Draws 29%

29% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 86%

100% Over 1.5 goals 86%

86% Over 2.5 goals 71%

29% Over 3.5 goals 43%

14% Over 4.5 goals 29%

0% Over 5.5 goals 14%

71% Both teams scored 86%

14% Clean sheets 14%

14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 29%

0% Draws 29%

29% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 86%

29% Over 1.5 goals 43%

0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home

2

5

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

2

1

W

3

L

4

1

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

Milton Keynes Dons away

1

D

1

L

D

5

3

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.10.23	Grimsby – Accrington	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	1.90	1.95
07.10.23	Accrington – Forest Green	2–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.75	3.30	1.73	2.08
03.10.23	Morecambe – Accrington	1–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.75	1.88	1.98
30.09.23	Accrington – Stockport	1–3 (0–2)	3.50	3.40	2.05	1.80	2.00
23.09.23	Tranmere – Accrington	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.85	2.00
16.09.23	Accrington – Sutton	4–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.83	2.03
09.09.23	Accrington – Mansfield	0–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.85	2.00
02.09.23	Notts County – Accrington	3–1 (1–1)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.57	2.35
26.08.23	Salford – Accrington	1–2 (0–2)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.88	1.98
19.08.23	Accrington – Harrogate	2–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.10.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85
07.10.23	Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.08	1.73
03.10.23	Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.60	1.90	1.95
30.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.00	1.85	2.00
23.09.23	Sutton – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.60	1.83	2.03
16.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Stockport	1–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.75	2.25	1.80	2.00
09.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.60	2.30	1.60	2.30
02.09.23	Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons	3–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.75	2.05
26.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Doncaster	2–1 (2–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	1.90	1.95
19.08.23	Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons	2–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.05	1.75

Accrington at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.10.23	Accrington – Forest Green	2–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.75	3.30	1.73	2.08
30.09.23	Accrington – Stockport	1–3 (0–2)	3.50	3.40	2.05	1.80	2.00
16.09.23	Accrington – Sutton	4–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.83	2.03
09.09.23	Accrington – Mansfield	0–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.85	2.00
19.08.23	Accrington – Harrogate	2–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85
15.08.23	Accrington – Barrow	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.90	2.15	1.67
05.08.23	Accrington – Newport County	3–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.70
29.04.23E2	Accrington – Cambridge	1–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	2.05	1.75
18.04.23E2	Accrington – Peterboro	1–2 (0–2)	4.75	3.80	1.73	1.88	1.98
15.04.23E2	Accrington – Fleetwood Town	2–5 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.70

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.10.23	Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.08	1.73
03.10.23	Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.60	1.90	1.95
23.09.23	Sutton – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.60	1.83	2.03
02.09.23	Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons	3–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.75	2.05
19.08.23	Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons	2–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.05	1.75
15.08.23	Crawley Town – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–1)	3.00	3.30	2.38	2.03	1.83
05.08.23	Wrexham – Milton Keynes Dons	3–5 (1–2)	1.67	3.75	5.25	1.83	2.03
07.05.23E2	Burton – Milton Keynes Dons	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.88	1.98
22.04.23E2	Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.40	3.00	2.15	1.67
10.04.23E2	Derby – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2

Accrington winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins

4matches

1.75goals / match

0%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23E2	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	0–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
20.08.22E2	Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.83	2.02
08.01.22E2	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	1.93	1.93
28.08.21E2	Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.75	2.05

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	13	8	2	3	26	14	+12	26
2	Notts County	13	7	3	3	28	25	+3	24
3	Mansfield	13	5	8	0	21	10	+11	23
4	Crewe	13	6	5	2	30	21	+9	23
5	Wrexham	13	6	5	2	27	25	+2	23
6	Swindon	12	6	4	2	29	18	+11	22
7	Gillingham	13	7	1	5	12	16	-4	22
8	AFC Wimbledon	13	5	6	2	20	11	+9	21
9	Accrington	13	6	2	5	19	18	+1	20
10	Crawley Town	12	6	2	4	20	20	0	20
11	Bradford	13	5	4	4	14	14	0	19
12	Walsall	14	5	4	5	22	25	-3	19
13	Morecambe	11	5	3	3	15	13	+2	18
14	Barrow	12	4	5	3	15	14	+1	17
15	Doncaster	14	5	2	7	19	22	-3	17
16	Salford	13	5	1	7	21	22	-1	16
17	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	4	5	19	20	-1	16
18	Harrogate	13	5	1	7	12	16	-4	16
19	Newport County	14	4	3	7	24	29	-5	15
20	Grimsby	13	3	5	5	16	19	-3	14
21	Tranmere	14	3	1	10	18	26	-8	10
22	Colchester	12	3	1	8	17	25	-8	10
23	Forest Green	13	3	1	9	16	24	-8	10
24	Sutton	13	2	1	10	17	30	-13	7

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Crewe	7	5	2	0	17	8	+9	17
2	Swindon	6	5	1	0	19	6	+13	16
3	Crawley Town	7	5	0	2	13	6	+7	15
4	Notts County	6	5	0	1	16	12	+4	15
5	Stockport	7	4	2	1	13	5	+8	14
6	Wrexham	7	4	2	1	23	18	+5	14
7	Accrington	7	4	1	2	13	10	+3	13
8	Gillingham	6	4	1	1	7	6	+1	13
9	Morecambe	6	3	3	0	9	4	+5	12
10	Mansfield	6	3	3	0	7	2	+5	12
11	Newport County	8	3	3	2	17	14	+3	12
12	Doncaster	7	3	2	2	11	8	+3	11
13	Walsall	6	3	2	1	9	6	+3	11
14	Grimsby	7	3	2	2	9	7	+2	11
15	Bradford	6	3	2	1	7	6	+1	11
16	Tranmere	8	3	1	4	14	12	+2	10
17	Barrow	4	2	2	0	7	5	+2	8
18	Milton Keynes Dons	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
19	Sutton	7	2	1	4	10	9	+1	7
20	Salford	6	2	1	3	9	10	-1	7
21	Colchester	6	2	1	3	11	13	-2	7
22	AFC Wimbledon	6	1	3	2	9	8	+1	6
23	Harrogate	6	2	0	4	6	8	-2	6
24	Forest Green	7	1	0	6	9	15	-6	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AFC Wimbledon	7	4	3	0	11	3	+8	15
2	Stockport	6	4	0	2	13	9	+4	12
3	Mansfield	7	2	5	0	14	8	+6	11
4	Harrogate	7	3	1	3	6	8	-2	10
5	Salford	7	3	0	4	12	12	0	9
6	Notts County	7	2	3	2	12	13	-1	9
7	Barrow	8	2	3	3	8	9	-1	9
8	Wrexham	6	2	3	1	4	7	-3	9
9	Gillingham	7	3	0	4	5	10	-5	9
10	Milton Keynes Dons	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
11	Bradford	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
12	Walsall	8	2	2	4	13	19	-6	8
13	Forest Green	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
14	Accrington	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7
15	Crewe	6	1	3	2	13	13	0	6
16	Swindon	6	1	3	2	10	12	-2	6
17	Morecambe	5	2	0	3	6	9	-3	6
18	Doncaster	7	2	0	5	8	14	-6	6
19	Crawley Town	5	1	2	2	7	14	-7	5
20	Grimsby	6	0	3	3	7	12	-5	3
21	Colchester	6	1	0	5	6	12	-6	3
22	Newport County	6	1	0	5	7	15	-8	3
23	Tranmere	6	0	0	6	4	14	-10	0
24	Sutton	6	0	0	6	7	21	-14	0

Accrington Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Newport County	14	2	12	1.7	2.1	4	3	7	24	29	15
2	4	Crewe	13	3	10	2.3	1.6	6	5	2	30	21	23
3	12	Walsall	14	4	10	1.6	1.8	5	4	5	22	25	19
4	15	Doncaster	14	4	10	1.4	1.6	5	2	7	19	22	17
5	2	Notts County	13	4	9	2.2	1.9	7	3	3	28	25	24
6	21	Tranmere	14	5	9	1.3	1.9	3	1	10	18	26	10
7	24	Sutton	13	4	9	1.3	2.3	2	1	10	17	30	7
8	1	Stockport	13	5	8	2.0	1.1	8	2	3	26	14	26
9	5	Wrexham	13	5	8	2.1	1.9	6	5	2	27	25	23
10	6	Swindon	12	4	8	2.4	1.5	6	4	2	29	18	22
11	9	Accrington	13	5	8	1.5	1.4	6	2	5	19	18	20
12	17	Milton Keynes Dons	13	5	8	1.5	1.5	4	4	5	19	20	16
13	22	Colchester	12	4	8	1.4	2.1	3	1	8	17	25	10
14	23	Forest Green	13	5	8	1.2	1.8	3	1	9	16	24	10
15	10	Crawley Town	12	5	7	1.7	1.7	6	2	4	20	20	20
16	13	Morecambe	11	4	7	1.4	1.2	5	3	3	15	13	18
17	16	Salford	13	6	7	1.6	1.7	5	1	7	21	22	16
18	3	Mansfield	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	5	8	0	21	10	23
19	8	AFC Wimbledon	13	7	6	1.5	0.8	5	6	2	20	11	21
20	20	Grimsby	13	7	6	1.2	1.5	3	5	5	16	19	14
21	7	Gillingham	13	8	5	0.9	1.2	7	1	5	12	16	22
22	11	Bradford	13	8	5	1.1	1.1	5	4	4	14	14	19
23	14	Barrow	12	7	5	1.2	1.2	4	5	3	15	14	17
24	18	Harrogate	13	8	5	0.9	1.2	5	1	7	12	16	16

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Wrexham	7	0	7	3.3	2.6	4	2	1	23	18	14
2	19	Newport County	8	1	7	2.1	1.8	3	3	2	17	14	12
3	2	Notts County	6	0	6	2.7	2.0	5	0	1	16	12	15
4	9	Accrington	7	1	6	1.9	1.4	4	1	2	13	10	13
5	21	Tranmere	8	2	6	1.8	1.5	3	1	4	14	12	10
6	23	Forest Green	7	1	6	1.3	2.1	1	0	6	9	15	3
7	4	Crewe	7	2	5	2.4	1.1	5	2	0	17	8	17
8	6	Swindon	6	2	4	3.2	1.0	5	1	0	19	6	16
9	10	Crawley Town	7	3	4	1.9	0.9	5	0	2	13	6	15
10	15	Doncaster	7	3	4	1.6	1.1	3	2	2	11	8	11
11	16	Salford	6	2	4	1.5	1.7	2	1	3	9	10	7
12	7	Gillingham	6	3	3	1.2	1.0	4	1	1	7	6	13
13	8	AFC Wimbledon	6	3	3	1.5	1.3	1	3	2	9	8	6
14	12	Walsall	6	3	3	1.5	1.0	3	2	1	9	6	11
15	13	Morecambe	6	3	3	1.5	0.7	3	3	0	9	4	12
16	17	Milton Keynes Dons	6	3	3	1.2	1.2	2	2	2	7	7	8
17	22	Colchester	6	3	3	1.8	2.2	2	1	3	11	13	7
18	24	Sutton	7	4	3	1.4	1.3	2	1	4	10	9	7
19	1	Stockport	7	5	2	1.9	0.7	4	2	1	13	5	14
20	3	Mansfield	6	4	2	1.2	0.3	3	3	0	7	2	12
21	11	Bradford	6	4	2	1.2	1.0	3	2	1	7	6	11
22	14	Barrow	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	2	2	0	7	5	8
23	18	Harrogate	6	4	2	1.0	1.3	2	0	4	6	8	6
24	20	Grimsby	7	5	2	1.3	1.0	3	2	2	9	7	11

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Walsall	8	1	7	1.6	2.4	2	2	4	13	19	8
2	1	Stockport	6	0	6	2.2	1.5	4	0	2	13	9	12
3	15	Doncaster	7	1	6	1.1	2.0	2	0	5	8	14	6
4	24	Sutton	6	0	6	1.2	3.5	0	0	6	7	21	0
5	4	Crewe	6	1	5	2.2	2.2	1	3	2	13	13	6
6	17	Milton Keynes Dons	7	2	5	1.7	1.9	2	2	3	12	13	8
7	19	Newport County	6	1	5	1.2	2.5	1	0	5	7	15	3
8	22	Colchester	6	1	5	1.0	2.0	1	0	5	6	12	3
9	3	Mansfield	7	3	4	2.0	1.1	2	5	0	14	8	11
10	6	Swindon	6	2	4	1.7	2.0	1	3	2	10	12	6
11	13	Morecambe	5	1	4	1.2	1.8	2	0	3	6	9	6
12	20	Grimsby	6	2	4	1.2	2.0	0	3	3	7	12	3
13	2	Notts County	7	4	3	1.7	1.9	2	3	2	12	13	9
14	8	AFC Wimbledon	7	4	3	1.6	0.4	4	3	0	11	3	15
15	10	Crawley Town	5	2	3	1.4	2.8	1	2	2	7	14	5
16	11	Bradford	7	4	3	1.0	1.1	2	2	3	7	8	8
17	14	Barrow	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	2	3	3	8	9	9
18	16	Salford	7	4	3	1.7	1.7	3	0	4	12	12	9
19	18	Harrogate	7	4	3	0.9	1.1	3	1	3	6	8	10
20	21	Tranmere	6	3	3	0.7	2.3	0	0	6	4	14	0
21	7	Gillingham	7	5	2	0.7	1.4	3	0	4	5	10	9
22	9	Accrington	6	4	2	1.0	1.3	2	1	3	6	8	7
23	23	Forest Green	6	4	2	1.2	1.5	2	1	3	7	9	7
24	5	Wrexham	6	5	1	0.7	1.2	2	3	1	4	7	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.