Derby 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons – England League One, 10 Apr 2023

Match facts

Derby Milton Keynes Dons

28 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

10 Corners 2

8 Fouls 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (474 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.93

Home / Draw / Away

58% 23% 19%

DerbyDrawMilton Keynes Dons

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.8% 1–1 11% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.68points / match

1.53scored / match

1.03conceded / match

19 10 11

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 61:41

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches

1.03points / match

0.93scored / match

1.43conceded / match

11 8 21

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 37:57

Derby all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 0.93

1.03 Goals conceded 1.43

2.55 Total goals 2.35

13.85 Shots 10.00

4.98 Shots on target 3.45

9.50 Shots faced 12.23

5.68 Corners 4.28

4.48 Corners against 5.05

10.25 Fouls 9.85

1.75 Yellow cards 1.78

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

48% Wins 28%

25% Draws 20%

28% Losses 53%

85% Over 0.5 goals 95%

75% Over 1.5 goals 65%

48% Over 2.5 goals 38%

28% Over 3.5 goals 23%

18% Over 4.5 goals 10%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

45% Both teams scored 43%

40% Clean sheets 25%

30% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 25%

35% Draws 33%

20% Losses 43%

68% Over 0.5 goals 78%

30% Over 1.5 goals 30%

13% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

2

W

1

4

L

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

L

2

L

2

L

2

W

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

5

L

2

5

L

1

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

W

1

W

2

D

1

D

Derby before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.85scored / match

0.90conceded / match

12 4 4

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 37:18

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away

1.20points / match

1.15scored / match

1.55conceded / match

7 3 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:31

Derby at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.15

0.90 Goals conceded 1.55

2.75 Total goals 2.70

14.45 Shots 8.85

5.15 Shots on target 3.50

8.40 Shots faced 13.35

5.55 Corners 3.70

3.95 Corners against 5.50

10.50 Fouls 9.90

1.95 Yellow cards 1.95

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

60% Wins 35%

20% Draws 15%

20% Losses 50%

90% Over 0.5 goals 95%

80% Over 1.5 goals 75%

55% Over 2.5 goals 50%

30% Over 3.5 goals 30%

15% Over 4.5 goals 10%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

45% Both teams scored 40%

45% Clean sheets 30%

20% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 30%

25% Draws 30%

20% Losses 40%

75% Over 0.5 goals 85%

35% Over 1.5 goals 45%

10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

W

4

W

2

1

W

5

W

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

D

2

L

2

L

Milton Keynes Dons away

2

L

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

W

5

L

2

5

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.23	Forest Green – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.00	1.60	2.05	1.75
01.04.23	Derby – Ipswich	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.08	1.73
25.03.23	Peterboro – Derby	2–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.50	2.63	1.93	1.93
18.03.23	Derby – Fleetwood Town	0–2 (0–2)	1.44	4.33	7.50	1.90	1.95
11.03.23	Oxford – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
07.03.23	Plymouth – Derby	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.95	1.90
04.03.23	Derby – Shrewsbury	2–2 (2–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	2.08	1.73
28.02.23	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
25.02.23	Barnsley – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.08	1.73
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Portsmouth	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.63	2.20	1.65
01.04.23	Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
25.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.50	5.00	2.05	1.75
18.03.23	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	0–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
11.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.20	2.25	1.62
28.02.23	Lincoln – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.40	1.53
25.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Ipswich	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.00	1.60	2.10	1.77
18.02.23	Sheffield Weds – Milton Keynes Dons	5–2 (1–2)	1.45	4.50	7.50	1.95	1.90
14.02.23	Bolton – Milton Keynes Dons	5–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.80	5.50	2.00	1.85

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Derby – Ipswich	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.08	1.73
18.03.23	Derby – Fleetwood Town	0–2 (0–2)	1.44	4.33	7.50	1.90	1.95
04.03.23	Derby – Shrewsbury	2–2 (2–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	2.08	1.73
28.02.23	Derby – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	4.75	10.00	1.75	2.05
18.02.23	Derby – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.88	1.98
14.02.23	Derby – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	1.44	4.33	7.50	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Derby – Morecambe	5–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.70	2.10
21.01.23	Derby – Bolton	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	2.05	1.75
02.01.23	Derby – Accrington	4–0 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
30.12.22	Derby – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	6.50	2.00	1.80

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
18.03.23	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	0–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
04.03.23	Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.30	4.20	2.25	1.62
28.02.23	Lincoln – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.40	1.53
18.02.23	Sheffield Weds – Milton Keynes Dons	5–2 (1–2)	1.45	4.50	7.50	1.95	1.90
14.02.23	Bolton – Milton Keynes Dons	5–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.80	5.50	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Bristol Rvs – Milton Keynes Dons	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.98	1.88
21.01.23	Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	1.98	1.88
01.01.23	Plymouth – Milton Keynes Dons	3–1 (2–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	1.90	1.95
29.12.22	Peterboro – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.85	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.11.22E2	Milton Keynes Dons – Derby	1–3 (1–1)	3.80	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	39	25	8	6	70	42	+28	83
2	Ipswich	39	23	12	4	78	31	+47	81
3	Sheffield Weds	40	23	12	5	68	32	+36	81
4	Barnsley	39	23	6	10	67	36	+31	75
5	Bolton	39	19	10	10	53	31	+22	67
6	Peterboro	40	21	4	15	68	47	+21	67
7	Derby	40	19	10	11	61	41	+20	67
8	Wycombe	40	18	8	14	53	42	+11	62
9	Portsmouth	40	16	14	10	55	45	+10	62
10	Shrewsbury	39	16	7	16	47	50	-3	55
11	Exeter	40	14	11	15	58	52	+6	53
12	Charlton	40	13	13	14	59	51	+8	52
13	Fleetwood Town	40	12	14	14	44	43	+1	50
14	Lincoln	39	10	19	10	37	41	-4	49
15	Bristol Rvs	38	13	9	16	51	60	-9	48
16	Cheltenham	40	12	9	19	34	51	-17	45
17	Port Vale	40	12	9	19	40	60	-20	45
18	Burton	38	12	9	17	49	71	-22	45
19	Milton Keynes Dons	40	11	8	21	37	57	-20	41
20	Oxford	39	9	12	18	40	50	-10	39
21	Accrington	39	9	11	19	33	63	-30	38
22	Cambridge	39	10	6	23	32	60	-28	36
23	Morecambe	41	7	13	21	38	71	-33	34
24	Forest Green	40	6	8	26	29	74	-45	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	19	17	1	1	38	13	+25	52
2	Ipswich	20	13	6	1	46	12	+34	45
3	Sheffield Weds	20	13	6	1	43	15	+28	45
4	Barnsley	19	14	1	4	41	18	+23	43
5	Derby	20	12	4	4	37	18	+19	40
6	Bolton	19	12	4	3	28	11	+17	40
7	Peterboro	20	12	3	5	35	21	+14	39
8	Wycombe	20	10	5	5	30	19	+11	35
9	Portsmouth	20	8	9	3	31	20	+11	33
10	Exeter	20	9	5	6	32	22	+10	32
11	Shrewsbury	19	10	2	7	28	25	+3	32
12	Charlton	20	7	7	6	36	24	+12	28
13	Lincoln	19	5	13	1	18	14	+4	28
14	Cheltenham	20	7	6	7	19	23	-4	27
15	Morecambe	21	6	8	7	26	29	-3	26
16	Burton	19	7	5	7	23	30	-7	26
17	Fleetwood Town	20	6	7	7	21	21	0	25
18	Cambridge	20	7	4	9	19	24	-5	25
19	Port Vale	20	7	4	9	20	27	-7	25
20	Bristol Rvs	20	6	6	8	23	30	-7	24
21	Accrington	20	6	5	9	23	30	-7	23
22	Oxford	19	5	4	10	23	27	-4	19
23	Milton Keynes Dons	20	4	5	11	14	26	-12	17
24	Forest Green	20	5	1	14	14	34	-20	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	19	10	6	3	32	19	+13	36
2	Sheffield Weds	20	10	6	4	25	17	+8	36
3	Barnsley	20	9	5	6	26	18	+8	32
4	Plymouth	20	8	7	5	32	29	+3	31
5	Portsmouth	20	8	5	7	24	25	-1	29
6	Peterboro	20	9	1	10	33	26	+7	28
7	Bolton	20	7	6	7	25	20	+5	27
8	Derby	20	7	6	7	24	23	+1	27
9	Wycombe	20	8	3	9	23	23	0	27
10	Fleetwood Town	20	6	7	7	23	22	+1	25
11	Bristol Rvs	18	7	3	8	28	30	-2	24
12	Charlton	20	6	6	8	23	27	-4	24
13	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	3	10	23	31	-8	24
14	Shrewsbury	20	6	5	9	19	25	-6	23
15	Exeter	20	5	6	9	26	30	-4	21
16	Lincoln	20	5	6	9	19	27	-8	21
17	Oxford	20	4	8	8	17	23	-6	20
18	Port Vale	20	5	5	10	20	33	-13	20
19	Burton	19	5	4	10	26	41	-15	19
20	Cheltenham	20	5	3	12	15	28	-13	18
21	Accrington	19	3	6	10	10	33	-23	15
22	Cambridge	19	3	2	14	13	36	-23	11
23	Forest Green	20	1	7	12	15	40	-25	10
24	Morecambe	20	1	5	14	12	42	-30	8

Derby Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Peterboro	40	16	24	1.7	1.2	21	4	15	68	47	67
2	1	Plymouth	39	17	22	1.8	1.1	25	8	6	70	42	83
3	18	Burton	38	16	22	1.3	1.9	12	9	17	49	71	45
4	2	Ipswich	39	18	21	2.0	0.8	23	12	4	78	31	81
5	4	Barnsley	39	18	21	1.7	0.9	23	6	10	67	36	75
6	15	Bristol Rvs	38	17	21	1.3	1.6	13	9	16	51	60	48
7	23	Morecambe	41	20	21	0.9	1.7	7	13	21	38	71	34
8	17	Port Vale	40	20	20	1.0	1.5	12	9	19	40	60	45
9	7	Derby	40	21	19	1.5	1.0	19	10	11	61	41	67
10	10	Shrewsbury	39	20	19	1.2	1.3	16	7	16	47	50	55
11	24	Forest Green	40	21	19	0.7	1.9	6	8	26	29	74	26
12	11	Exeter	40	22	18	1.4	1.3	14	11	15	58	52	53
13	12	Charlton	40	22	18	1.5	1.3	13	13	14	59	51	52
14	8	Wycombe	40	23	17	1.3	1.1	18	8	14	53	42	62
15	9	Portsmouth	40	23	17	1.4	1.1	16	14	10	55	45	62
16	13	Fleetwood Town	40	23	17	1.1	1.1	12	14	14	44	43	50
17	21	Accrington	39	22	17	0.8	1.6	9	11	19	33	63	38
18	22	Cambridge	39	22	17	0.8	1.5	10	6	23	32	60	36
19	16	Cheltenham	40	24	16	0.8	1.3	12	9	19	34	51	45
20	20	Oxford	39	23	16	1.0	1.3	9	12	18	40	50	39
21	3	Sheffield Weds	40	25	15	1.7	0.8	23	12	5	68	32	81
22	5	Bolton	39	24	15	1.4	0.8	19	10	10	53	31	67
23	19	Milton Keynes Dons	40	25	15	0.9	1.4	11	8	21	37	57	41
24	14	Lincoln	39	28	11	0.9	1.1	10	19	10	37	41	49

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	20	8	12	2.3	0.6	13	6	1	46	12	45
2	4	Barnsley	19	7	12	2.2	0.9	14	1	4	41	18	43
3	6	Peterboro	20	8	12	1.8	1.1	12	3	5	35	21	39
4	7	Derby	20	9	11	1.9	0.9	12	4	4	37	18	40
5	10	Shrewsbury	19	8	11	1.5	1.3	10	2	7	28	25	32
6	20	Oxford	19	8	11	1.2	1.4	5	4	10	23	27	19
7	1	Plymouth	19	9	10	2.0	0.7	17	1	1	38	13	52
8	11	Exeter	20	10	10	1.6	1.1	9	5	6	32	22	32
9	23	Morecambe	21	11	10	1.2	1.4	6	8	7	26	29	26
10	24	Forest Green	20	10	10	0.7	1.7	5	1	14	14	34	16
11	3	Sheffield Weds	20	11	9	2.1	0.8	13	6	1	43	15	45
12	9	Portsmouth	20	11	9	1.6	1.0	8	9	3	31	20	33
13	12	Charlton	20	11	9	1.8	1.2	7	7	6	36	24	28
14	15	Bristol Rvs	20	11	9	1.1	1.5	6	6	8	23	30	24
15	17	Port Vale	20	11	9	1.0	1.4	7	4	9	20	27	25
16	18	Burton	19	10	9	1.2	1.6	7	5	7	23	30	26
17	21	Accrington	20	11	9	1.1	1.5	6	5	9	23	30	23
18	8	Wycombe	20	12	8	1.5	0.9	10	5	5	30	19	35
19	13	Fleetwood Town	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	6	7	7	21	21	25
20	16	Cheltenham	20	12	8	0.9	1.1	7	6	7	19	23	27
21	22	Cambridge	20	12	8	0.9	1.2	7	4	9	19	24	25
22	5	Bolton	19	12	7	1.5	0.6	12	4	3	28	11	40
23	19	Milton Keynes Dons	20	15	5	0.7	1.3	4	5	11	14	26	17
24	14	Lincoln	19	16	3	0.9	0.7	5	13	1	18	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Burton	19	6	13	1.4	2.2	5	4	10	26	41	19
2	1	Plymouth	20	8	12	1.6	1.4	8	7	5	32	29	31
3	6	Peterboro	20	8	12	1.6	1.3	9	1	10	33	26	28
4	15	Bristol Rvs	18	6	12	1.6	1.7	7	3	8	28	30	24
5	17	Port Vale	20	9	11	1.0	1.6	5	5	10	20	33	20
6	23	Morecambe	20	9	11	0.6	2.1	1	5	14	12	42	8
7	19	Milton Keynes Dons	20	10	10	1.1	1.6	7	3	10	23	31	24
8	2	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.7	1.0	10	6	3	32	19	36
9	4	Barnsley	20	11	9	1.3	0.9	9	5	6	26	18	32
10	8	Wycombe	20	11	9	1.1	1.1	8	3	9	23	23	27
11	12	Charlton	20	11	9	1.1	1.4	6	6	8	23	27	24
12	13	Fleetwood Town	20	11	9	1.1	1.1	6	7	7	23	22	25
13	22	Cambridge	19	10	9	0.7	1.9	3	2	14	13	36	11
14	24	Forest Green	20	11	9	0.8	2.0	1	7	12	15	40	10
15	5	Bolton	20	12	8	1.2	1.0	7	6	7	25	20	27
16	7	Derby	20	12	8	1.2	1.1	7	6	7	24	23	27
17	9	Portsmouth	20	12	8	1.2	1.2	8	5	7	24	25	29
18	10	Shrewsbury	20	12	8	0.9	1.2	6	5	9	19	25	23
19	11	Exeter	20	12	8	1.3	1.5	5	6	9	26	30	21
20	14	Lincoln	20	12	8	0.9	1.4	5	6	9	19	27	21
21	16	Cheltenham	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	5	3	12	15	28	18
22	21	Accrington	19	11	8	0.5	1.7	3	6	10	10	33	15
23	3	Sheffield Weds	20	14	6	1.2	0.8	10	6	4	25	17	36
24	20	Oxford	20	15	5	0.8	1.1	4	8	8	17	23	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.