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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: P Howard

Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 Crewe

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.21
Draw 3.60 fair 4.25
Away 4.00 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Crewe
14 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (443 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawCrewe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.58scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 60:48
Crewe before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.76scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 65:51
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Crewe

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.76
1.26 Goals conceded 1.38
2.84 Total goals 3.14
14.47 Shots 12.59
5.00 Shots on target 3.97
11.84 Shots faced 13.68
5.03 Corners 5.73
4.61 Corners against 5.51
10.16 Fouls 10.38
2.03 Yellow cards 2.41
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

50% Wins 49%
18% Draws 27%
32% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
76% Over 1.5 goals 76%
61% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 49%
13% Over 4.5 goals 24%
5% Over 5.5 goals 14%
63% Both teams scored 62%
18% Clean sheets 27%
24% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 35%
29% Draws 32%
32% Losses 32%
82% Over 0.5 goals 81%
47% Over 1.5 goals 46%
24% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Crewe all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
2.11points / match
1.84scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 35:18
Crewe before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.72scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:26
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Crewe

Per match

1.84 Goals scored 1.72
0.95 Goals conceded 1.44
2.79 Total goals 3.17
15.16 Shots 13.11
5.84 Shots on target 4.06
10.42 Shots faced 13.94
5.37 Corners 5.50
4.58 Corners against 6.33
10.05 Fouls 10.89
2.05 Yellow cards 2.78
1.21 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

63% Wins 39%
21% Draws 33%
16% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
84% Over 1.5 goals 78%
58% Over 2.5 goals 56%
26% Over 3.5 goals 50%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
68% Both teams scored 67%
26% Clean sheets 17%
5% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 28%
21% Draws 28%
21% Losses 44%
84% Over 0.5 goals 89%
47% Over 1.5 goals 50%
26% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Crewe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08
09.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Salford 3–1 (3–1) 1.754.004.20 1.60 2.30
05.03.24 Mansfield – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Wrexham 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.08
03.02.24 Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83

Crewe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Crewe – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Doncaster – Crewe 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.602.63 1.88 1.98
02.03.24 Crewe – Morecambe 2–3 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.83 2.03
24.02.24 Notts County – Crewe 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.754.00 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Crewe – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.83 2.03
13.02.24 Stockport – Crewe 1–3 (1–2) 1.504.756.00 1.70 2.10
10.02.24 Crewe – Crawley Town 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.803.30 1.60 2.30
03.02.24 Tranmere – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.62 2.25
27.01.24 Crewe – Salford 2–3 (2–1) 1.953.753.60 1.67 2.15
20.01.24 Barrow – Crewe 1–3 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.93 1.93

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Salford 3–1 (3–1) 1.754.004.20 1.60 2.30
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Wrexham 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.80 2.00
10.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.08
27.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.80
23.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–2 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
29.12.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley Town 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.60 2.30
26.12.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Colchester 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Forest Green 2–0 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.15

Crewe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Doncaster – Crewe 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.602.63 1.88 1.98
24.02.24 Notts County – Crewe 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.754.00 1.57 2.35
13.02.24 Stockport – Crewe 1–3 (1–2) 1.504.756.00 1.70 2.10
03.02.24 Tranmere – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Barrow – Crewe 1–3 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.93 1.93
06.01.24 Mansfield – Crewe 0–1 (0–1) 1.445.007.00 1.53 2.40
29.12.23 Newport County – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.23 Walsall – Crewe 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.08
09.12.23 Grimsby – Crewe 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.602.90 1.75 2.05
28.11.23 Sutton – Crewe 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsCrewe wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23E3 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.75 2.05
05.04.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Crewe 2–1 (2–0) 1.285.7510.00 1.65 2.20
30.10.21E2 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.751.85 1.80 2.00

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 37 19 12 6 73 35 +38 69
2 Stockport 36 19 10 7 69 39 +30 67
3 Wrexham 37 19 10 8 67 46 +21 67
4 Crewe 37 18 10 9 65 51 +14 64
5 Milton Keynes Dons 38 19 7 12 60 48 +12 64
6 Barrow 36 16 12 8 52 40 +12 60
7 AFC Wimbledon 38 15 12 11 52 39 +13 57
8 Walsall 37 15 10 12 56 51 +5 55
9 Crawley Town 36 17 4 15 53 52 +1 55
10 Gillingham 38 16 7 15 35 44 -9 55
11 Morecambe 37 15 9 13 56 62 -6 54
12 Newport County 37 15 7 15 56 58 -2 52
13 Bradford 36 13 11 12 45 42 +3 50
14 Harrogate 37 14 8 15 43 55 -12 50
15 Accrington 37 14 7 16 49 52 -3 49
16 Tranmere 38 14 5 19 57 54 +3 47
17 Notts County 36 14 5 17 70 70 0 47
18 Swindon 38 11 11 16 64 68 -4 44
19 Doncaster 36 12 7 17 47 61 -14 43
20 Salford 38 10 11 17 55 71 -16 41
21 Grimsby 36 8 14 14 47 61 -14 38
22 Forest Green 37 8 9 20 38 62 -24 33
23 Colchester 35 8 8 19 45 64 -19 32
24 Sutton 38 5 12 21 41 70 -29 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 18 13 3 2 48 22 +26 42
2 Milton Keynes Dons 19 12 4 3 35 18 +17 40
3 Stockport 19 11 5 3 36 15 +21 38
4 Crewe 19 11 4 4 34 25 +9 37
5 Mansfield 18 10 6 2 36 15 +21 36
6 Walsall 19 10 6 3 28 17 +11 36
7 Tranmere 19 11 2 6 38 23 +15 35
8 Barrow 17 9 6 2 22 13 +9 33
9 Newport County 19 9 6 4 35 27 +8 33
10 AFC Wimbledon 19 9 5 5 34 21 +13 32
11 Swindon 19 9 4 6 36 26 +10 31
12 Notts County 18 10 1 7 41 32 +9 31
13 Crawley Town 18 10 1 7 31 23 +8 31
14 Accrington 19 9 3 7 27 22 +5 30
15 Gillingham 19 8 6 5 19 20 -1 30
16 Doncaster 18 9 2 7 25 27 -2 29
17 Morecambe 18 7 7 4 24 19 +5 28
18 Bradford 18 6 8 4 21 19 +2 26
19 Grimsby 19 7 4 8 29 37 -8 25
20 Harrogate 18 6 2 10 21 29 -8 20
21 Salford 19 4 7 8 30 39 -9 19
22 Sutton 19 3 8 8 24 27 -3 17
23 Colchester 16 4 5 7 25 30 -5 17
24 Forest Green 19 4 4 11 18 32 -14 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 19 9 6 4 37 20 +17 33
2 Harrogate 19 8 6 5 22 26 -4 30
3 Stockport 17 8 5 4 33 24 +9 29
4 Crewe 18 7 6 5 31 26 +5 27
5 Barrow 19 7 6 6 30 27 +3 27
6 Morecambe 19 8 2 9 32 43 -11 26
7 AFC Wimbledon 19 6 7 6 18 18 0 25
8 Wrexham 19 6 7 6 19 24 -5 25
9 Gillingham 19 8 1 10 16 24 -8 25
10 Bradford 18 7 3 8 24 23 +1 24
11 Milton Keynes Dons 19 7 3 9 25 30 -5 24
12 Crawley Town 18 7 3 8 22 29 -7 24
13 Salford 19 6 4 9 25 32 -7 22
14 Walsall 18 5 4 9 28 34 -6 19
15 Accrington 18 5 4 9 22 30 -8 19
16 Newport County 18 6 1 11 21 31 -10 19
17 Forest Green 18 4 5 9 20 30 -10 17
18 Notts County 18 4 4 10 29 38 -9 16
19 Colchester 19 4 3 12 20 34 -14 15
20 Doncaster 18 3 5 10 22 34 -12 14
21 Grimsby 17 1 10 6 18 24 -6 13
22 Swindon 19 2 7 10 28 42 -14 13
23 Tranmere 19 3 3 13 19 31 -12 12
24 Sutton 19 2 4 13 17 43 -26 10

Milton Keynes Dons   Crewe

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Swindon 38 11 27 1.7 1.8 11 11 16 64 68 44
2 17 Notts County 36 10 26 1.9 1.9 14 5 17 70 70 47
3 11 Morecambe 37 13 24 1.5 1.7 15 9 13 56 62 54
4 20 Salford 38 14 24 1.4 1.9 10 11 17 55 71 41
5 5 Milton Keynes Dons 38 15 23 1.6 1.3 19 7 12 60 48 64
6 12 Newport County 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 15 7 15 56 58 52
7 16 Tranmere 38 15 23 1.5 1.4 14 5 19 57 54 47
8 19 Doncaster 36 13 23 1.3 1.7 12 7 17 47 61 43
9 4 Crewe 37 16 21 1.8 1.4 18 10 9 65 51 64
10 8 Walsall 37 16 21 1.5 1.4 15 10 12 56 51 55
11 15 Accrington 37 16 21 1.3 1.4 14 7 16 49 52 49
12 1 Mansfield 37 17 20 2.0 0.9 19 12 6 73 35 69
13 2 Stockport 36 16 20 1.9 1.1 19 10 7 69 39 67
14 9 Crawley Town 36 16 20 1.5 1.4 17 4 15 53 52 55
15 23 Colchester 35 16 19 1.3 1.8 8 8 19 45 64 32
16 3 Wrexham 37 19 18 1.8 1.2 19 10 8 67 46 67
17 14 Harrogate 37 19 18 1.2 1.5 14 8 15 43 55 50
18 21 Grimsby 36 18 18 1.3 1.7 8 14 14 47 61 38
19 22 Forest Green 37 19 18 1.0 1.7 8 9 20 38 62 33
20 24 Sutton 38 21 17 1.1 1.8 5 12 21 41 70 27
21 6 Barrow 36 21 15 1.4 1.1 16 12 8 52 40 60
22 13 Bradford 36 21 15 1.2 1.2 13 11 12 45 42 50
23 7 AFC Wimbledon 38 24 14 1.4 1.0 15 12 11 52 39 57
24 10 Gillingham 38 26 12 0.9 1.2 16 7 15 35 44 55
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Tranmere 19 4 15 2.0 1.2 11 2 6 38 23 35
2 17 Notts County 18 3 15 2.3 1.8 10 1 7 41 32 31
3 20 Salford 19 5 14 1.6 2.1 4 7 8 30 39 19
4 3 Wrexham 18 6 12 2.7 1.2 13 3 2 48 22 42
5 9 Crawley Town 18 6 12 1.7 1.3 10 1 7 31 23 31
6 12 Newport County 19 7 12 1.8 1.4 9 6 4 35 27 33
7 18 Swindon 19 7 12 1.9 1.4 9 4 6 36 26 31
8 4 Crewe 19 8 11 1.8 1.3 11 4 4 34 25 37
9 5 Milton Keynes Dons 19 8 11 1.8 0.9 12 4 3 35 18 40
10 15 Accrington 19 8 11 1.4 1.2 9 3 7 27 22 30
11 19 Doncaster 18 7 11 1.4 1.5 9 2 7 25 27 29
12 21 Grimsby 19 8 11 1.5 1.9 7 4 8 29 37 25
13 22 Forest Green 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 4 4 11 18 32 16
14 8 Walsall 19 10 9 1.5 0.9 10 6 3 28 17 36
15 14 Harrogate 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 6 2 10 21 29 20
16 23 Colchester 16 7 9 1.6 1.9 4 5 7 25 30 17
17 1 Mansfield 18 10 8 2.0 0.8 10 6 2 36 15 36
18 7 AFC Wimbledon 19 11 8 1.8 1.1 9 5 5 34 21 32
19 11 Morecambe 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 7 7 4 24 19 28
20 24 Sutton 19 11 8 1.3 1.4 3 8 8 24 27 17
21 2 Stockport 19 12 7 1.9 0.8 11 5 3 36 15 38
22 10 Gillingham 19 13 6 1.0 1.1 8 6 5 19 20 30
23 13 Bradford 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 6 8 4 21 19 26
24 6 Barrow 17 12 5 1.3 0.8 9 6 2 22 13 33
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Morecambe 19 3 16 1.7 2.3 8 2 9 32 43 26
2 18 Swindon 19 4 15 1.5 2.2 2 7 10 28 42 13
3 2 Stockport 17 4 13 1.9 1.4 8 5 4 33 24 29
4 1 Mansfield 19 7 12 1.9 1.1 9 6 4 37 20 33
5 5 Milton Keynes Dons 19 7 12 1.3 1.6 7 3 9 25 30 24
6 8 Walsall 18 6 12 1.6 1.9 5 4 9 28 34 19
7 19 Doncaster 18 6 12 1.2 1.9 3 5 10 22 34 14
8 12 Newport County 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 6 1 11 21 31 19
9 17 Notts County 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 4 4 10 29 38 16
10 4 Crewe 18 8 10 1.7 1.4 7 6 5 31 26 27
11 6 Barrow 19 9 10 1.6 1.4 7 6 6 30 27 27
12 15 Accrington 18 8 10 1.2 1.7 5 4 9 22 30 19
13 20 Salford 19 9 10 1.3 1.7 6 4 9 25 32 22
14 23 Colchester 19 9 10 1.1 1.8 4 3 12 20 34 15
15 13 Bradford 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 3 8 24 23 24
16 14 Harrogate 19 10 9 1.2 1.4 8 6 5 22 26 30
17 24 Sutton 19 10 9 0.9 2.3 2 4 13 17 43 10
18 9 Crawley Town 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 7 3 8 22 29 24
19 16 Tranmere 19 11 8 1.0 1.6 3 3 13 19 31 12
20 22 Forest Green 18 10 8 1.1 1.7 4 5 9 20 30 17
21 21 Grimsby 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 1 10 6 18 24 13
22 3 Wrexham 19 13 6 1.0 1.3 6 7 6 19 24 25
23 7 AFC Wimbledon 19 13 6 0.9 0.9 6 7 6 18 18 25
24 10 Gillingham 19 13 6 0.8 1.3 8 1 10 16 24 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51