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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Breakspear

AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.22
Draw 3.40 fair 4.15
Away 2.80 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AFC Wimbledon Milton Keynes Dons
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
21 Fouls 8
6 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (406 league matches this season so far).
Result AFC Wimbledon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
AFC WimbledonDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.38scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 47:39
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.62scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 55:44
AFC Wimbledon all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.62
1.15 Goals conceded 1.29
2.53 Total goals 2.91
14.06 Shots 14.94
4.59 Shots on target 5.15
11.03 Shots faced 11.79
5.79 Corners 5.06
4.35 Corners against 4.71
13.47 Fouls 10.09
2.12 Yellow cards 2.00
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

35% Wins 50%
32% Draws 21%
32% Losses 29%
85% Over 0.5 goals 94%
68% Over 1.5 goals 79%
41% Over 2.5 goals 62%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
15% Over 4.5 goals 15%
9% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 65%
32% Clean sheets 21%
35% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 41%
50% Draws 26%
12% Losses 32%
56% Over 0.5 goals 82%
29% Over 1.5 goals 47%
12% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
AFC Wimbledon before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.94scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 31:21
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
1.31points / match
1.44scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:27
AFC Wimbledon at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.44
1.31 Goals conceded 1.69
3.25 Total goals 3.13
15.19 Shots 14.31
5.81 Shots on target 4.38
10.00 Shots faced 13.25
6.44 Corners 4.69
4.00 Corners against 4.69
14.19 Fouls 10.13
2.38 Yellow cards 1.94
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

44% Wins 38%
25% Draws 19%
31% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
81% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
25% Over 4.5 goals 19%
19% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 63%
19% Clean sheets 13%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 25%
31% Draws 31%
13% Losses 44%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
38% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Doncaster – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
20.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Crawley Town 0–1 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.505.00 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Accrington – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.45 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Barrow 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.70
03.02.24 Bradford – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.502.88 2.08 1.73
27.01.24 AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 1.98 1.88
23.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 1.90 1.95
13.01.24 Wrexham – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Forest Green – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (1–1) 4.003.601.91 1.83 2.03

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Wrexham 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.08
03.02.24 Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83
27.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.80
23.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–2 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.602.45 1.65 2.20

AFC Wimbledon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Crawley Town 0–1 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.505.00 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Barrow 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.70
27.01.24 AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.202.38 1.98 1.88
29.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Colchester 5–3 (2–2) 1.574.006.00 1.70 2.10
26.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Sutton 0–1 (0–0) 1.574.206.00 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 AFC Wimbledon – Notts County 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.63 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.73 2.08
24.10.23 AFC Wimbledon – Accrington 2–4 (0–2) 1.703.755.00 1.85 2.00

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83
13.01.24 Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.602.45 1.65 2.20
01.01.24 Doncaster – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (3–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
23.12.23 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.83 2.03
25.11.23 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–4 (2–1) 2.703.402.50 1.62 2.25
11.11.23 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AFC Wimbledon winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 1.90 1.95
09.04.22E2 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 2.15 1.66
11.01.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 33 17 12 4 67 29 +38 63
2 Stockport 34 18 9 7 66 37 +29 63
3 Crewe 34 17 10 7 62 46 +16 61
4 Wrexham 34 17 9 8 60 45 +15 60
5 Milton Keynes Dons 34 17 7 10 55 44 +11 58
6 Barrow 33 14 11 8 47 39 +8 53
7 Walsall 34 14 9 11 52 47 +5 51
8 Gillingham 34 15 6 13 32 39 -7 51
9 Crawley Town 33 15 4 14 49 49 0 49
10 Newport County 34 14 7 13 51 53 -2 49
11 Morecambe 33 13 9 11 48 52 -4 48
12 Harrogate 34 14 6 14 41 52 -11 48
13 AFC Wimbledon 34 12 11 11 47 39 +8 47
14 Notts County 34 14 5 15 69 66 +3 47
15 Accrington 34 13 7 14 47 44 +3 46
16 Bradford 33 12 10 11 41 39 +2 46
17 Swindon 35 11 10 14 60 62 -2 43
18 Tranmere 35 12 4 19 53 52 +1 40
19 Salford 35 10 10 15 52 64 -12 40
20 Doncaster 33 11 6 16 43 57 -14 39
21 Colchester 34 8 8 18 45 62 -17 32
22 Grimsby 32 6 12 14 44 60 -16 30
23 Forest Green 34 6 9 19 34 61 -27 27
24 Sutton 35 5 11 19 40 67 -27 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 16 12 2 2 44 22 +22 38
2 Milton Keynes Dons 18 11 4 3 32 17 +15 37
3 Stockport 18 10 5 3 35 15 +20 35
4 Crewe 17 10 4 3 31 22 +9 34
5 Mansfield 16 9 6 1 32 11 +21 33
6 Walsall 17 9 5 3 24 15 +9 32
7 Notts County 17 10 1 6 41 30 +11 31
8 Swindon 17 9 3 5 34 23 +11 30
9 Accrington 18 9 3 6 27 19 +8 30
10 Newport County 17 8 6 3 30 23 +7 30
11 Tranmere 17 9 2 6 35 22 +13 29
12 Gillingham 18 8 5 5 18 19 -1 29
13 Crawley Town 17 9 1 7 29 22 +7 28
14 Barrow 15 7 6 2 18 13 +5 27
15 Doncaster 17 8 2 7 23 27 -4 26
16 AFC Wimbledon 16 7 4 5 31 21 +10 25
17 Morecambe 16 6 7 3 22 16 +6 25
18 Bradford 16 6 7 3 20 16 +4 25
19 Harrogate 17 6 2 9 20 27 -7 20
20 Grimsby 17 5 4 8 27 37 -10 19
21 Salford 17 4 6 7 28 35 -7 18
22 Colchester 16 4 5 7 25 30 -5 17
23 Sutton 18 3 7 8 23 26 -3 16
24 Forest Green 18 3 4 11 16 32 -16 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 17 8 6 3 35 18 +17 30
2 Stockport 16 8 4 4 31 22 +9 28
3 Harrogate 17 8 4 5 21 25 -4 28
4 Crewe 17 7 6 4 31 24 +7 27
5 Barrow 18 7 5 6 29 26 +3 26
6 Morecambe 17 7 2 8 26 36 -10 23
7 AFC Wimbledon 18 5 7 6 16 18 -2 22
8 Salford 18 6 4 8 24 29 -5 22
9 Gillingham 16 7 1 8 14 20 -6 22
10 Wrexham 18 5 7 6 16 23 -7 22
11 Bradford 17 6 3 8 21 23 -2 21
12 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 3 7 23 27 -4 21
13 Crawley Town 16 6 3 7 20 27 -7 21
14 Walsall 17 5 4 8 28 32 -4 19
15 Newport County 17 6 1 10 21 30 -9 19
16 Accrington 16 4 4 8 20 25 -5 16
17 Notts County 17 4 4 9 28 36 -8 16
18 Colchester 18 4 3 11 20 32 -12 15
19 Forest Green 16 3 5 8 18 29 -11 14
20 Doncaster 16 3 4 9 20 30 -10 13
21 Swindon 18 2 7 9 26 39 -13 13
22 Grimsby 15 1 8 6 17 23 -6 11
23 Tranmere 18 3 2 13 18 30 -12 11
24 Sutton 17 2 4 11 17 41 -24 10

AFC Wimbledon   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Notts County 34 9 25 2.0 1.9 14 5 15 69 66 47
2 17 Swindon 35 10 25 1.7 1.8 11 10 14 60 62 43
3 10 Newport County 34 12 22 1.5 1.6 14 7 13 51 53 49
4 18 Tranmere 35 13 22 1.5 1.5 12 4 19 53 52 40
5 19 Salford 35 13 22 1.5 1.8 10 10 15 52 64 40
6 20 Doncaster 33 11 22 1.3 1.7 11 6 16 43 57 39
7 5 Milton Keynes Dons 34 13 21 1.6 1.3 17 7 10 55 44 58
8 11 Morecambe 33 12 21 1.5 1.6 13 9 11 48 52 48
9 3 Crewe 34 14 20 1.8 1.4 17 10 7 62 46 61
10 7 Walsall 34 14 20 1.5 1.4 14 9 11 52 47 51
11 2 Stockport 34 15 19 1.9 1.1 18 9 7 66 37 63
12 21 Colchester 34 15 19 1.3 1.8 8 8 18 45 62 32
13 9 Crawley Town 33 15 18 1.5 1.5 15 4 14 49 49 49
14 15 Accrington 34 16 18 1.4 1.3 13 7 14 47 44 46
15 22 Grimsby 32 14 18 1.4 1.9 6 12 14 44 60 30
16 23 Forest Green 34 16 18 1.0 1.8 6 9 19 34 61 27
17 1 Mansfield 33 16 17 2.0 0.9 17 12 4 67 29 63
18 12 Harrogate 34 17 17 1.2 1.5 14 6 14 41 52 48
19 24 Sutton 35 18 17 1.1 1.9 5 11 19 40 67 26
20 4 Wrexham 34 18 16 1.8 1.3 17 9 8 60 45 60
21 6 Barrow 33 18 15 1.4 1.2 14 11 8 47 39 53
22 13 AFC Wimbledon 34 20 14 1.4 1.1 12 11 11 47 39 47
23 16 Bradford 33 19 14 1.2 1.2 12 10 11 41 39 46
24 8 Gillingham 34 22 12 0.9 1.1 15 6 13 32 39 51
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Notts County 17 2 15 2.4 1.8 10 1 6 41 30 31
2 18 Tranmere 17 3 14 2.1 1.3 9 2 6 35 22 29
3 19 Salford 17 4 13 1.6 2.1 4 6 7 28 35 18
4 4 Wrexham 16 5 11 2.8 1.4 12 2 2 44 22 38
5 9 Crawley Town 17 6 11 1.7 1.3 9 1 7 29 22 28
6 10 Newport County 17 6 11 1.8 1.4 8 6 3 30 23 30
7 17 Swindon 17 6 11 2.0 1.4 9 3 5 34 23 30
8 20 Doncaster 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 8 2 7 23 27 26
9 22 Grimsby 17 6 11 1.6 2.2 5 4 8 27 37 19
10 3 Crewe 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 10 4 3 31 22 34
11 5 Milton Keynes Dons 18 8 10 1.8 0.9 11 4 3 32 17 37
12 15 Accrington 18 8 10 1.5 1.1 9 3 6 27 19 30
13 23 Forest Green 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 3 4 11 16 32 13
14 21 Colchester 16 7 9 1.6 1.9 4 5 7 25 30 17
15 7 Walsall 17 9 8 1.4 0.9 9 5 3 24 15 32
16 12 Harrogate 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 6 2 9 20 27 20
17 13 AFC Wimbledon 16 8 8 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 31 21 25
18 24 Sutton 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 3 7 8 23 26 16
19 2 Stockport 18 11 7 1.9 0.8 10 5 3 35 15 35
20 11 Morecambe 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 6 7 3 22 16 25
21 1 Mansfield 16 10 6 2.0 0.7 9 6 1 32 11 33
22 8 Gillingham 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 8 5 5 18 19 29
23 16 Bradford 16 10 6 1.2 1.0 6 7 3 20 16 25
24 6 Barrow 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 7 6 2 18 13 27
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Morecambe 17 3 14 1.5 2.1 7 2 8 26 36 23
2 17 Swindon 18 4 14 1.4 2.2 2 7 9 26 39 13
3 2 Stockport 16 4 12 1.9 1.4 8 4 4 31 22 28
4 7 Walsall 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 5 4 8 28 32 19
5 1 Mansfield 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 8 6 3 35 18 30
6 5 Milton Keynes Dons 16 5 11 1.4 1.7 6 3 7 23 27 21
7 10 Newport County 17 6 11 1.2 1.8 6 1 10 21 30 19
8 20 Doncaster 16 5 11 1.2 1.9 3 4 9 20 30 13
9 3 Crewe 17 7 10 1.8 1.4 7 6 4 31 24 27
10 6 Barrow 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 5 6 29 26 26
11 14 Notts County 17 7 10 1.6 2.1 4 4 9 28 36 16
12 21 Colchester 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 4 3 11 20 32 15
13 12 Harrogate 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 8 4 5 21 25 28
14 19 Salford 18 9 9 1.3 1.6 6 4 8 24 29 22
15 24 Sutton 17 8 9 1.0 2.4 2 4 11 17 41 10
16 15 Accrington 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 4 4 8 20 25 16
17 16 Bradford 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 3 8 21 23 21
18 18 Tranmere 18 10 8 1.0 1.7 3 2 13 18 30 11
19 23 Forest Green 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 18 29 14
20 9 Crawley Town 16 9 7 1.2 1.7 6 3 7 20 27 21
21 22 Grimsby 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 1 8 6 17 23 11
22 8 Gillingham 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 7 1 8 14 20 22
23 13 AFC Wimbledon 18 12 6 0.9 1.0 5 7 6 16 18 22
24 4 Wrexham 18 13 5 0.9 1.3 5 7 6 16 23 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51