Morecambe 1–0 AFC Wimbledon – England League Two, 4 Mar 2025

Match facts

Morecambe AFC Wimbledon

14 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 9

10 Fouls 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (400 league matches this season so far).

Result AFC Wimbledon to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.78

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.36

Home / Draw / Away

25% 28% 48%

MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

61% 39%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

24% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 14.3% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches

0.76points / match

0.85scored / match

1.53conceded / match

7 5 22

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 29:52

AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches

1.73points / match

1.33scored / match

0.67conceded / match

16 9 8

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 44:22

Morecambe all matches all matches AFC Wimbledon

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.33

1.53 Goals conceded 0.67

2.38 Total goals 2.00

10.71 Shots 12.30

3.29 Shots on target 4.12

13.29 Shots faced 8.76

4.88 Corners 4.82

5.41 Corners against 4.36

12.38 Fouls 13.58

1.82 Yellow cards 2.12

0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

21% Wins 48%

15% Draws 27%

65% Losses 24%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

59% Over 1.5 goals 52%

35% Over 2.5 goals 33%

21% Over 3.5 goals 18%

12% Over 4.5 goals 6%

9% Over 5.5 goals 3%

35% Both teams scored 27%

12% Clean sheets 52%

53% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 33%

47% Draws 52%

38% Losses 15%

62% Over 0.5 goals 55%

24% Over 1.5 goals 24%

6% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches

1

L

1

L

1

L

4

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

L

AFC Wimbledon all matches

2

W

D

1

D

1

W

D

3

W

1

W

D

1

D

1

L

Morecambe before this match, at home

0.75points / match

1.00scored / match

1.69conceded / match

3 3 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:27

AFC Wimbledon before this match, away

1.31points / match

0.94scored / match

0.75conceded / match

5 6 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:12

Morecambe at home away AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.94

1.69 Goals conceded 0.75

2.69 Total goals 1.69

12.44 Shots 11.38

3.69 Shots on target 3.38

12.63 Shots faced 10.19

5.31 Corners 4.69

4.69 Corners against 5.19

11.81 Fouls 14.63

1.50 Yellow cards 2.19

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

19% Wins 31%

19% Draws 38%

63% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 75%

69% Over 1.5 goals 50%

31% Over 2.5 goals 25%

25% Over 3.5 goals 13%

19% Over 4.5 goals 6%

19% Over 5.5 goals 0%

38% Both teams scored 31%

13% Clean sheets 44%

50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 19%

56% Draws 63%

31% Losses 19%

63% Over 0.5 goals 50%

31% Over 1.5 goals 25%

6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home

2

5

L

1

L

3

L

2

L

2

W

1

L

4

2

W

2

W

1

L

2

L

AFC Wimbledon away

3

1

W

2

W

3

W

1

L

2

1

W

D

1

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Gillingham – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
08.02.25	Notts County – Morecambe	2–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.67	2.15
04.02.25	Newport County – Morecambe	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.60	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Morecambe – Fleetwood Town	4–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.30	2.20	2.08	1.73
28.01.25	Bradford – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.20	6.25	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Colchester – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.50	2.00	1.82
18.01.25	Morecambe – Crewe	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bromley	0–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Colchester – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.10	2.80	2.70	1.44
18.02.25	Fleetwood Town – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.10	2.30	2.50	1.50
15.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Salford	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.10	2.35	1.57
11.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Crewe	3–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.30	5.25	2.50	1.50
08.02.25	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.20	2.10	2.40	1.53
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.60
28.01.25	Crewe – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (1–1)	2.75	2.80	2.88	2.88	1.40
25.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.05	1.80
18.01.25	AFC Wimbledon – Tranmere	2–0 (0–0)	1.55	3.80	6.00	2.10	1.70

Morecambe at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Morecambe – Fleetwood Town	4–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.30	2.20	2.08	1.73
18.01.25	Morecambe – Crewe	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Morecambe – Tranmere	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.40	2.35	2.10	1.70
21.12.24	Morecambe – Bromley	0–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
07.12.24	Morecambe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–2)	2.70	3.30	2.50	1.93	1.93
16.11.24	Morecambe – Port Vale	0–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.75	1.95	1.90
26.10.24	Morecambe – Chesterfield	2–5 (1–1)	3.90	3.75	1.76	1.70	2.10

AFC Wimbledon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Colchester – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.10	2.80	2.70	1.44
18.02.25	Fleetwood Town – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.10	2.30	2.50	1.50
08.02.25	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.20	2.10	2.40	1.53
28.01.25	Crewe – AFC Wimbledon	1–1 (1–1)	2.75	2.80	2.88	2.88	1.40
25.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.05	1.80
02.01.25	Newport County – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–0)	4.75	4.00	1.62	1.70	2.10
21.12.24	Chesterfield – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.40	2.90	2.00	1.85
07.12.24	Harrogate – AFC Wimbledon	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.60	1.73	2.05	1.75
26.11.24	Tranmere – AFC Wimbledon	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.20	2.10	2.35	1.57
16.11.24	Barrow – AFC Wimbledon	1–3 (1–1)	2.63	3.10	2.63	2.40	1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 2

Morecambe winsDrawsAFC Wimbledon wins

5matches

3.40goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.10.24E3	AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe	3–0 (0–0)	1.45	4.75	6.50	1.83	2.03
17.02.24E3	AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.50	5.00	1.75	2.05
28.10.23E3	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	4–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.95	1.90
15.01.22E2	AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.80	3.75	1.72	2.07
11.09.21E2	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	3–4 (0–1)	2.75	3.20	2.55	2.07	1.72

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	34	20	7	7	63	37	+26	67
2	Bradford	34	18	9	7	45	29	+16	63
3	Doncaster	34	18	7	9	51	40	+11	61
4	Notts County	33	16	10	7	52	33	+19	58
5	AFC Wimbledon	33	16	9	8	44	22	+22	57
6	Port Vale	32	15	11	6	42	34	+8	56
7	Crewe	34	14	13	7	42	32	+10	55
8	Grimsby	33	16	4	13	47	49	-2	52
9	Salford	33	13	9	11	40	34	+6	48
10	Bromley	34	12	12	10	44	41	+3	48
11	Colchester	33	10	16	7	38	32	+6	46
12	Cheltenham	33	12	10	11	46	46	0	46
13	Fleetwood Town	34	11	12	11	44	41	+3	45
14	Swindon	34	11	11	12	48	48	0	44
15	Chesterfield	32	11	9	12	50	41	+9	42
16	Newport County	33	11	7	15	41	53	-12	40
17	Milton Keynes Dons	33	11	6	16	44	47	-3	39
18	Gillingham	33	10	8	15	28	35	-7	38
19	Barrow	33	10	7	16	34	40	-6	37
20	Harrogate	34	10	6	18	28	45	-17	36
21	Accrington	33	8	9	16	37	52	-15	33
22	Tranmere	34	6	11	17	24	53	-29	29
23	Morecambe	34	7	5	22	29	52	-23	26
24	Carlisle	33	6	8	19	24	49	-25	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	17	13	3	1	28	10	+18	42
2	Walsall	18	12	4	2	40	22	+18	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	17	11	3	3	29	10	+19	36
4	Cheltenham	18	9	5	4	28	24	+4	32
5	Notts County	16	9	4	3	23	10	+13	31
6	Doncaster	17	9	4	4	25	17	+8	31
7	Crewe	16	8	5	3	24	16	+8	29
8	Port Vale	15	8	5	2	21	14	+7	29
9	Salford	17	9	2	6	23	17	+6	29
10	Barrow	17	8	4	5	26	17	+9	28
11	Fleetwood Town	18	6	9	3	21	16	+5	27
12	Newport County	16	8	3	5	24	22	+2	27
13	Grimsby	16	8	2	6	25	25	0	26
14	Chesterfield	16	6	7	3	26	20	+6	25
15	Swindon	16	7	4	5	27	22	+5	25
16	Milton Keynes Dons	18	7	4	7	21	17	+4	25
17	Colchester	16	6	6	4	20	12	+8	24
18	Gillingham	17	7	2	8	19	18	+1	23
19	Harrogate	17	7	2	8	15	22	-7	23
20	Bromley	17	5	6	6	22	21	+1	21
21	Tranmere	18	4	9	5	14	18	-4	21
22	Accrington	15	3	7	5	16	21	-5	16
23	Morecambe	16	3	3	10	16	27	-11	12
24	Carlisle	16	2	5	9	11	23	-12	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	17	9	3	5	26	23	+3	30
2	Walsall	16	8	3	5	23	15	+8	27
3	Notts County	17	7	6	4	29	23	+6	27
4	Bromley	17	7	6	4	22	20	+2	27
5	Port Vale	17	7	6	4	21	20	+1	27
6	Crewe	18	6	8	4	18	16	+2	26
7	Grimsby	17	8	2	7	22	24	-2	26
8	Colchester	17	4	10	3	18	20	-2	22
9	AFC Wimbledon	16	5	6	5	15	12	+3	21
10	Bradford	17	5	6	6	17	19	-2	21
11	Salford	16	4	7	5	17	17	0	19
12	Swindon	18	4	7	7	21	26	-5	19
13	Fleetwood Town	16	5	3	8	23	25	-2	18
14	Chesterfield	16	5	2	9	24	21	+3	17
15	Accrington	18	5	2	11	21	31	-10	17
16	Gillingham	16	3	6	7	9	17	-8	15
17	Carlisle	17	4	3	10	13	26	-13	15
18	Cheltenham	15	3	5	7	18	22	-4	14
19	Milton Keynes Dons	15	4	2	9	23	30	-7	14
20	Morecambe	18	4	2	12	13	25	-12	14
21	Harrogate	17	3	4	10	13	23	-10	13
22	Newport County	17	3	4	10	17	31	-14	13
23	Barrow	16	2	3	11	8	23	-15	9
24	Tranmere	16	2	2	12	10	35	-25	8

Morecambe AFC Wimbledon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	33	12	21	1.4	1.5	16	4	13	47	49	52
2	16	Newport County	33	13	20	1.2	1.6	11	7	15	41	53	40
3	21	Accrington	33	14	19	1.1	1.6	8	9	16	37	52	33
4	1	Walsall	34	16	18	1.9	1.1	20	7	7	63	37	67
5	3	Doncaster	34	16	18	1.5	1.2	18	7	9	51	40	61
6	14	Swindon	34	16	18	1.4	1.4	11	11	12	48	48	44
7	15	Chesterfield	32	14	18	1.6	1.3	11	9	12	50	41	42
8	12	Cheltenham	33	16	17	1.4	1.4	12	10	11	46	46	46
9	17	Milton Keynes Dons	33	16	17	1.3	1.4	11	6	16	44	47	39
10	2	Bradford	34	18	16	1.3	0.9	18	9	7	45	29	63
11	13	Fleetwood Town	34	19	15	1.3	1.2	11	12	11	44	41	45
12	4	Notts County	33	19	14	1.6	1.0	16	10	7	52	33	58
13	6	Port Vale	32	18	14	1.3	1.1	15	11	6	42	34	56
14	22	Tranmere	34	20	14	0.7	1.6	6	11	17	24	53	29
15	9	Salford	33	20	13	1.2	1.0	13	9	11	40	34	48
16	10	Bromley	34	21	13	1.3	1.2	12	12	10	44	41	48
17	24	Carlisle	33	20	13	0.7	1.5	6	8	19	24	49	26
18	7	Crewe	34	22	12	1.2	0.9	14	13	7	42	32	55
19	19	Barrow	33	21	12	1.0	1.2	10	7	16	34	40	37
20	20	Harrogate	34	22	12	0.8	1.3	10	6	18	28	45	36
21	23	Morecambe	34	22	12	0.9	1.5	7	5	22	29	52	26
22	5	AFC Wimbledon	33	22	11	1.3	0.7	16	9	8	44	22	57
23	18	Gillingham	33	22	11	0.8	1.1	10	8	15	28	35	38
24	11	Colchester	33	23	10	1.2	1.0	10	16	7	38	32	46

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Walsall	18	7	11	2.2	1.2	12	4	2	40	22	40
2	8	Grimsby	16	5	11	1.6	1.6	8	2	6	25	25	26
3	16	Newport County	16	5	11	1.5	1.4	8	3	5	24	22	27
4	14	Swindon	16	6	10	1.7	1.4	7	4	5	27	22	25
5	2	Bradford	17	8	9	1.6	0.6	13	3	1	28	10	42
6	3	Doncaster	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	9	4	4	25	17	31
7	15	Chesterfield	16	7	9	1.6	1.2	6	7	3	26	20	25
8	12	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.6	1.3	9	5	4	28	24	32
9	18	Gillingham	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	7	2	8	19	18	23
10	19	Barrow	17	9	8	1.5	1.0	8	4	5	26	17	28
11	21	Accrington	15	7	8	1.1	1.4	3	7	5	16	21	16
12	5	AFC Wimbledon	17	10	7	1.7	0.6	11	3	3	29	10	36
13	6	Port Vale	15	8	7	1.4	0.9	8	5	2	21	14	29
14	7	Crewe	16	9	7	1.5	1.0	8	5	3	24	16	29
15	9	Salford	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	9	2	6	23	17	29
16	17	Milton Keynes Dons	18	11	7	1.2	0.9	7	4	7	21	17	25
17	10	Bromley	17	11	6	1.3	1.2	5	6	6	22	21	21
18	13	Fleetwood Town	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	6	9	3	21	16	27
19	20	Harrogate	17	11	6	0.9	1.3	7	2	8	15	22	23
20	4	Notts County	16	11	5	1.4	0.6	9	4	3	23	10	31
21	11	Colchester	16	11	5	1.2	0.8	6	6	4	20	12	24
22	23	Morecambe	16	11	5	1.0	1.7	3	3	10	16	27	12
23	24	Carlisle	16	11	5	0.7	1.4	2	5	9	11	23	11
24	22	Tranmere	18	14	4	0.8	1.0	4	9	5	14	18	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	21	Accrington	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	5	2	11	21	31	17
2	8	Grimsby	17	7	10	1.3	1.4	8	2	7	22	24	26
3	17	Milton Keynes Dons	15	5	10	1.5	2.0	4	2	9	23	30	14
4	22	Tranmere	16	6	10	0.6	2.2	2	2	12	10	35	8
5	3	Doncaster	17	8	9	1.5	1.4	9	3	5	26	23	30
6	4	Notts County	17	8	9	1.7	1.4	7	6	4	29	23	27
7	12	Cheltenham	15	6	9	1.2	1.5	3	5	7	18	22	14
8	13	Fleetwood Town	16	7	9	1.4	1.6	5	3	8	23	25	18
9	15	Chesterfield	16	7	9	1.5	1.3	5	2	9	24	21	17
10	16	Newport County	17	8	9	1.0	1.8	3	4	10	17	31	13
11	14	Swindon	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	4	7	7	21	26	19
12	24	Carlisle	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	4	3	10	13	26	15
13	1	Walsall	16	9	7	1.4	0.9	8	3	5	23	15	27
14	2	Bradford	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	5	6	6	17	19	21
15	6	Port Vale	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	6	4	21	20	27
16	10	Bromley	17	10	7	1.3	1.2	7	6	4	22	20	27
17	23	Morecambe	18	11	7	0.7	1.4	4	2	12	13	25	14
18	9	Salford	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	4	7	5	17	17	19
19	20	Harrogate	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	3	4	10	13	23	13
20	7	Crewe	18	13	5	1.0	0.9	6	8	4	18	16	26
21	11	Colchester	17	12	5	1.1	1.2	4	10	3	18	20	22
22	5	AFC Wimbledon	16	12	4	0.9	0.8	5	6	5	15	12	21
23	19	Barrow	16	12	4	0.5	1.4	2	3	11	8	23	9
24	18	Gillingham	16	13	3	0.6	1.1	3	6	7	9	17	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.