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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Brook

Newport County 2–1 Morecambe

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.11
Draw 3.30 fair 4.07
Away 2.60 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newport County Morecambe
12 Shots 26
5 Shots on target 9
5 Corners 11
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (337 league matches this season so far).
Result Newport County to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.30scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 35:46
Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.93scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 26:44
Newport County all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.93
1.70 Goals conceded 1.57
3.00 Total goals 2.50
8.93 Shots 10.07
3.11 Shots on target 3.18
15.81 Shots faced 13.32
2.74 Corners 4.96
6.48 Corners against 5.14
10.63 Fouls 11.96
1.78 Yellow cards 1.86
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

30% Wins 21%
22% Draws 18%
48% Losses 61%
85% Over 0.5 goals 100%
74% Over 1.5 goals 57%
59% Over 2.5 goals 39%
41% Over 3.5 goals 25%
19% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 39%
26% Clean sheets 11%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 18%
41% Draws 43%
37% Losses 39%
74% Over 0.5 goals 68%
44% Over 1.5 goals 29%
22% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches
Morecambe all matches
Newport County before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:18
Morecambe before this match, away
0.93points / match
0.80scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 12:20
Newport County at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.80
1.50 Goals conceded 1.33
3.25 Total goals 2.13
10.75 Shots 8.20
4.33 Shots on target 2.60
14.25 Shots faced 13.93
3.17 Corners 4.27
5.58 Corners against 6.20
10.75 Fouls 12.40
1.75 Yellow cards 2.00
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

50% Wins 27%
17% Draws 13%
33% Losses 60%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 47%
75% Over 2.5 goals 40%
42% Over 3.5 goals 20%
17% Over 4.5 goals 7%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
25% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 20%
50% Draws 33%
25% Losses 47%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
42% Over 1.5 goals 20%
17% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Newport County – Barrow 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.05 1.75
28.01.25 Salford – Newport County 1–1 (1–1) 1.484.336.00 1.73 2.08
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
18.01.25 Port Vale – Newport County 3–2 (1–2) 1.484.106.25 1.83 2.03
02.01.25 Newport County – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–0) 4.754.001.62 1.70 2.10
29.12.24 Walsall – Newport County 2–0 (0–0) 1.255.009.50 1.57 2.35
26.12.24 Bromley – Newport County 5–2 (2–0) 1.534.105.75 1.67 2.15
21.12.24 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 6–3 (4–1) 5.253.601.67 1.70 2.10
14.12.24 Colchester – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.205.75 1.83 2.03
03.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 2–2 (2–1) 1.404.507.50 1.70 2.10

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Morecambe – Fleetwood Town 4–2 (1–1) 3.203.302.20 2.08 1.73
28.01.25 Bradford – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.206.25 1.98 1.88
25.01.25 Colchester – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.50 2.00 1.82
18.01.25 Morecambe – Crewe 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 2.10 1.70
01.01.25 Morecambe – Tranmere 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.35 2.10 1.70
29.12.24 Salford – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.704.20 1.93 1.93
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Morecambe – Bromley 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.502.05 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Cheltenham – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.302.50 1.93 1.93

Newport County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Newport County – Barrow 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.05 1.75
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
02.01.25 Newport County – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–0) 4.754.001.62 1.70 2.10
21.12.24 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 6–3 (4–1) 5.253.601.67 1.70 2.10
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
26.10.24 Newport County – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.601.91 1.67 2.15
18.10.24 Newport County – Chesterfield 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.801.73 1.62 2.25
01.10.24 Newport County – Salford 3–1 (2–0) 3.203.502.20 1.90 1.95
28.09.24 Newport County – Crewe 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.00 2.00 1.85
07.09.24 Newport County – Port Vale 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.602.15 1.83 2.03

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Bradford – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.206.25 1.98 1.88
25.01.25 Colchester – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.50 2.00 1.82
29.12.24 Salford – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.704.20 1.93 1.93
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Cheltenham – Morecambe 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.93 1.93
03.12.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Harrogate – Morecambe 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.502.90 1.98 1.88
22.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.83 2.03
12.10.24 Barrow – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.573.905.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newport County winsDrawsMorecambe wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E3 Morecambe – Newport County 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.30 1.88 1.98
12.03.24E3 Newport County – Morecambe 5–3 (2–1) 2.253.503.10 1.98 1.88
28.11.23E3 Morecambe – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 1.85 1.95

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 28 18 5 5 54 30 +24 59
2 Doncaster 29 15 7 7 42 32 +10 52
3 Notts County 28 14 8 6 45 28 +17 50
4 AFC Wimbledon 27 14 6 7 39 20 +19 48
5 Crewe 29 12 12 5 36 25 +11 48
6 Port Vale 28 13 9 6 35 29 +6 48
7 Bradford 28 13 8 7 38 28 +10 47
8 Salford 28 12 8 8 33 26 +7 44
9 Grimsby 29 13 3 13 40 45 -5 42
10 Chesterfield 28 10 9 9 43 32 +11 39
11 Milton Keynes Dons 28 11 5 12 42 40 +2 38
12 Cheltenham 28 10 8 10 37 39 -2 38
13 Colchester 28 8 13 7 33 29 +4 37
14 Swindon 30 9 10 11 43 44 -1 37
15 Fleetwood Town 27 9 9 9 37 35 +2 36
16 Bromley 28 8 11 9 36 37 -1 35
17 Gillingham 27 9 5 13 25 29 -4 32
18 Barrow 28 8 7 13 27 32 -5 31
19 Newport County 27 8 6 13 35 46 -11 30
20 Harrogate 30 8 6 16 25 41 -16 30
21 Accrington 27 7 8 12 34 45 -11 29
22 Tranmere 28 6 8 14 21 46 -25 26
23 Morecambe 28 6 5 17 26 44 -18 23
24 Carlisle 28 5 6 17 22 46 -24 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 15 11 3 1 36 19 +17 36
2 Bradford 14 10 3 1 24 10 +14 33
3 AFC Wimbledon 14 9 3 2 25 9 +16 30
4 Doncaster 15 8 4 3 21 15 +6 28
5 Cheltenham 15 8 3 4 22 19 +3 27
6 Crewe 14 7 5 2 21 13 +8 26
7 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 4 5 21 15 +6 25
8 Salford 14 8 1 5 17 12 +5 25
9 Notts County 13 7 3 3 18 8 +10 24
10 Port Vale 13 6 5 2 18 13 +5 23
11 Barrow 14 6 4 4 21 15 +6 22
12 Chesterfield 14 5 7 2 20 15 +5 22
13 Fleetwood Town 15 5 7 3 17 14 +3 22
14 Swindon 14 6 3 5 23 19 +4 21
15 Colchester 14 5 5 4 17 10 +7 20
16 Newport County 12 6 2 4 21 18 +3 20
17 Grimsby 14 6 2 6 21 23 -2 20
18 Gillingham 14 6 1 7 17 16 +1 19
19 Tranmere 14 4 6 4 12 15 -3 18
20 Harrogate 15 5 2 8 12 21 -9 17
21 Bromley 14 3 6 5 19 20 -1 15
22 Accrington 13 3 6 4 15 19 -4 15
23 Morecambe 13 2 3 8 14 24 -10 9
24 Carlisle 14 2 3 9 11 23 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 15 7 5 3 27 20 +7 26
2 Port Vale 15 7 4 4 17 16 +1 25
3 Doncaster 14 7 3 4 21 17 +4 24
4 Walsall 13 7 2 4 18 11 +7 23
5 Crewe 15 5 7 3 15 12 +3 22
6 Grimsby 15 7 1 7 19 22 -3 22
7 Bromley 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
8 Salford 14 4 7 3 16 14 +2 19
9 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 3 5 14 11 +3 18
10 Chesterfield 14 5 2 7 23 17 +6 17
11 Colchester 14 3 8 3 16 19 -3 17
12 Swindon 16 3 7 6 20 25 -5 16
13 Fleetwood Town 12 4 2 6 20 21 -1 14
14 Bradford 14 3 5 6 14 18 -4 14
15 Accrington 14 4 2 8 19 26 -7 14
16 Morecambe 15 4 2 9 12 20 -8 14
17 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 1 7 21 25 -4 13
18 Gillingham 13 3 4 6 8 13 -5 13
19 Harrogate 15 3 4 8 13 20 -7 13
20 Carlisle 14 3 3 8 11 23 -12 12
21 Cheltenham 13 2 5 6 15 20 -5 11
22 Newport County 15 2 4 9 14 28 -14 10
23 Barrow 14 2 3 9 6 17 -11 9
24 Tranmere 14 2 2 10 9 31 -22 8

Newport County   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grimsby 29 11 18 1.4 1.6 13 3 13 40 45 42
2 14 Swindon 30 13 17 1.4 1.5 9 10 11 43 44 37
3 21 Accrington 27 10 17 1.3 1.7 7 8 12 34 45 29
4 11 Milton Keynes Dons 28 12 16 1.5 1.4 11 5 12 42 40 38
5 19 Newport County 27 11 16 1.3 1.7 8 6 13 35 46 30
6 1 Walsall 28 13 15 1.9 1.1 18 5 5 54 30 59
7 7 Bradford 28 13 15 1.4 1.0 13 8 7 38 28 47
8 10 Chesterfield 28 13 15 1.5 1.1 10 9 9 43 32 39
9 2 Doncaster 29 15 14 1.4 1.1 15 7 7 42 32 52
10 12 Cheltenham 28 14 14 1.3 1.4 10 8 10 37 39 38
11 22 Tranmere 28 15 13 0.8 1.6 6 8 14 21 46 26
12 3 Notts County 28 16 12 1.6 1.0 14 8 6 45 28 50
13 6 Port Vale 28 16 12 1.2 1.0 13 9 6 35 29 48
14 15 Fleetwood Town 27 15 12 1.4 1.3 9 9 9 37 35 36
15 16 Bromley 28 16 12 1.3 1.3 8 11 9 36 37 35
16 24 Carlisle 28 16 12 0.8 1.6 5 6 17 22 46 21
17 20 Harrogate 30 19 11 0.8 1.4 8 6 16 25 41 30
18 23 Morecambe 28 17 11 0.9 1.6 6 5 17 26 44 23
19 4 AFC Wimbledon 27 17 10 1.4 0.7 14 6 7 39 20 48
20 8 Salford 28 18 10 1.2 0.9 12 8 8 33 26 44
21 13 Colchester 28 19 9 1.2 1.0 8 13 7 33 29 37
22 17 Gillingham 27 18 9 0.9 1.1 9 5 13 25 29 32
23 5 Crewe 29 21 8 1.2 0.9 12 12 5 36 25 48
24 18 Barrow 28 20 8 1.0 1.1 8 7 13 27 32 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 15 5 10 2.4 1.3 11 3 1 36 19 36
2 7 Bradford 14 5 9 1.7 0.7 10 3 1 24 10 33
3 9 Grimsby 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 6 21 23 20
4 14 Swindon 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 6 3 5 23 19 21
5 19 Newport County 12 3 9 1.8 1.5 6 2 4 21 18 20
6 2 Doncaster 15 8 7 1.4 1.0 8 4 3 21 15 28
7 10 Chesterfield 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 7 2 20 15 22
8 11 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 5 21 15 25
9 17 Gillingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 6 1 7 17 16 19
10 21 Accrington 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 15 19 15
11 4 AFC Wimbledon 14 8 6 1.8 0.6 9 3 2 25 9 30
12 6 Port Vale 13 7 6 1.4 1.0 6 5 2 18 13 23
13 12 Cheltenham 15 9 6 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 22 19 27
14 16 Bromley 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 3 6 5 19 20 15
15 18 Barrow 14 8 6 1.5 1.1 6 4 4 21 15 22
16 5 Crewe 14 9 5 1.5 0.9 7 5 2 21 13 26
17 8 Salford 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 8 1 5 17 12 25
18 15 Fleetwood Town 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 7 3 17 14 22
19 20 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 5 2 8 12 21 17
20 23 Morecambe 13 8 5 1.1 1.8 2 3 8 14 24 9
21 24 Carlisle 14 9 5 0.8 1.6 2 3 9 11 23 9
22 3 Notts County 13 9 4 1.4 0.6 7 3 3 18 8 24
23 13 Colchester 14 10 4 1.2 0.7 5 5 4 17 10 20
24 22 Tranmere 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 4 6 4 12 15 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Accrington 14 4 10 1.4 1.9 4 2 8 19 26 14
2 9 Grimsby 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 7 1 7 19 22 22
3 11 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 4 1 7 21 25 13
4 22 Tranmere 14 5 9 0.6 2.2 2 2 10 9 31 8
5 3 Notts County 15 7 8 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 20 26
6 10 Chesterfield 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 5 2 7 23 17 17
7 12 Cheltenham 13 5 8 1.2 1.5 2 5 6 15 20 11
8 14 Swindon 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 6 20 25 16
9 2 Doncaster 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 7 3 4 21 17 24
10 15 Fleetwood Town 12 5 7 1.7 1.8 4 2 6 20 21 14
11 19 Newport County 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 2 4 9 14 28 10
12 24 Carlisle 14 7 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 8 11 23 12
13 6 Port Vale 15 9 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 4 17 16 25
14 7 Bradford 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 5 6 14 18 14
15 16 Bromley 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
16 20 Harrogate 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 3 4 8 13 20 13
17 23 Morecambe 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 4 2 9 12 20 14
18 1 Walsall 13 8 5 1.4 0.8 7 2 4 18 11 23
19 8 Salford 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 4 7 3 16 14 19
20 13 Colchester 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 3 8 3 16 19 17
21 4 AFC Wimbledon 13 9 4 1.1 0.8 5 3 5 14 11 18
22 5 Crewe 15 12 3 1.0 0.8 5 7 3 15 12 22
23 17 Gillingham 13 11 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 6 8 13 13
24 18 Barrow 14 12 2 0.4 1.2 2 3 9 6 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51