Chesterfield 2–1 Carlisle – England League Two, 1 Apr 2025

Match facts

Chesterfield Carlisle

38 Shots 4

15 Shots on target 3

16 Corners 5

3 Fouls 5

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (466 league matches this season so far).

Result Chesterfield to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.78 – 0.88

Home / Draw / Away

59% 23% 18%

ChesterfieldDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.4% 2–0 11.1% 1–1 10.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chesterfield before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.55scored / match

1.16conceded / match

15 10 13

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 59:44

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.79points / match

0.77scored / match

1.51conceded / match

7 10 22

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 30:59

Chesterfield all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.77

1.16 Goals conceded 1.51

2.71 Total goals 2.28

12.32 Shots 11.54

4.24 Shots on target 3.64

9.50 Shots faced 12.23

5.79 Corners 5.21

4.13 Corners against 4.87

9.97 Fouls 10.97

1.79 Yellow cards 2.64

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

39% Wins 18%

26% Draws 26%

34% Losses 56%

97% Over 0.5 goals 87%

76% Over 1.5 goals 62%

55% Over 2.5 goals 44%

24% Over 3.5 goals 21%

8% Over 4.5 goals 13%

5% Over 5.5 goals 3%

50% Both teams scored 46%

29% Clean sheets 23%

24% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 21%

37% Draws 41%

24% Losses 38%

76% Over 0.5 goals 72%

39% Over 1.5 goals 28%

11% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chesterfield all matches

5

2

W

1

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

4

W

2

1

W

D

1

W

Carlisle all matches

1

L

D

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

Chesterfield before this match, at home

1.61points / match

1.56scored / match

1.17conceded / match

7 8 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:21

Carlisle before this match, away

0.79points / match

0.68scored / match

1.58conceded / match

4 3 12

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 13:30

Chesterfield at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 0.68

1.17 Goals conceded 1.58

2.72 Total goals 2.26

14.33 Shots 10.84

4.61 Shots on target 3.37

9.00 Shots faced 13.95

6.22 Corners 4.53

3.50 Corners against 5.63

9.22 Fouls 11.32

1.72 Yellow cards 2.84

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

39% Wins 21%

44% Draws 16%

17% Losses 63%

94% Over 0.5 goals 89%

83% Over 1.5 goals 58%

56% Over 2.5 goals 47%

22% Over 3.5 goals 21%

6% Over 4.5 goals 11%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 37%

28% Clean sheets 26%

11% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 21%

28% Draws 37%

28% Losses 42%

83% Over 0.5 goals 68%

44% Over 1.5 goals 16%

11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chesterfield at home

1

W

3

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

3

W

5

2

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

D

Carlisle away

D

2

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Chesterfield all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Barrow – Chesterfield	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.05	1.75
22.03.25	Chesterfield – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	5.50	2.15	1.67
15.03.25	Notts County – Chesterfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.90	3.70	3.75	1.80	2.00
11.03.25	Salford – Chesterfield	0–4 (0–2)	2.45	3.30	2.80	2.03	1.83
08.03.25	Chesterfield – Newport County	2–1 (2–1)	1.53	4.10	5.75	1.67	2.15
04.03.25	Colchester – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	Chesterfield – Crewe	1–3 (0–2)	1.90	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
22.02.25	Swindon – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.20	2.50	1.88	1.98
15.02.25	Walsall – Chesterfield	3–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.40	3.80	1.98	1.88
06.02.25	Chesterfield – Doncaster	5–2 (2–1)	2.45	3.30	2.75	1.93	1.93

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Carlisle – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	2.90	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Carlisle – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.20	2.25	1.62
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88

Chesterfield at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Chesterfield – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	5.50	2.15	1.67
08.03.25	Chesterfield – Newport County	2–1 (2–1)	1.53	4.10	5.75	1.67	2.15
01.03.25	Chesterfield – Crewe	1–3 (0–2)	1.90	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
06.02.25	Chesterfield – Doncaster	5–2 (2–1)	2.45	3.30	2.75	1.93	1.93
28.01.25	Chesterfield – Bromley	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.70	2.05	1.75
25.01.25	Chesterfield – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.00	1.85
01.01.25	Chesterfield – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.40	3.10	1.73	2.08
21.12.24	Chesterfield – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.40	2.90	2.00	1.85
07.12.24	Chesterfield – Tranmere	3–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	1.88	1.98
23.11.24	Chesterfield – Barrow	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	1.93	1.93

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
01.01.25	Crewe – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.75	2.15	1.67
21.12.24	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Chesterfield winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.12.24E3	Carlisle – Chesterfield	0–2 (0–1)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.93	1.93

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	39	20	11	8	68	44	+24	71
2	Bradford	39	20	10	9	52	32	+20	70
3	Port Vale	39	18	13	8	49	38	+11	67
4	Doncaster	38	19	9	10	57	44	+13	66
5	AFC Wimbledon	39	18	11	10	52	29	+23	65
6	Notts County	39	18	11	10	58	39	+19	65
7	Grimsby	39	19	5	15	54	55	-1	62
8	Colchester	39	14	16	9	47	39	+8	58
9	Crewe	39	14	16	9	45	39	+6	58
10	Salford	38	15	11	12	47	43	+4	56
11	Chesterfield	38	15	10	13	59	44	+15	55
12	Fleetwood Town	39	13	14	12	53	48	+5	53
13	Bromley	39	13	13	13	51	50	+1	52
14	Cheltenham	39	13	11	15	51	57	-6	50
15	Swindon	39	11	15	13	55	56	-1	48
16	Barrow	39	13	9	17	43	46	-3	48
17	Milton Keynes Dons	39	13	7	19	51	59	-8	46
18	Newport County	39	13	7	19	48	64	-16	46
19	Gillingham	38	11	11	16	32	40	-8	44
20	Accrington	39	10	12	17	45	55	-10	42
21	Harrogate	39	11	9	19	30	49	-19	42
22	Tranmere	39	9	13	17	30	55	-25	40
23	Morecambe	39	9	6	24	34	57	-23	33
24	Carlisle	39	7	10	22	30	59	-29	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	20	15	3	2	35	12	+23	48
2	Walsall	20	12	5	3	42	26	+16	41
3	AFC Wimbledon	20	12	4	4	34	14	+20	40
4	Port Vale	19	10	6	3	25	15	+10	36
5	Doncaster	19	10	5	4	30	19	+11	35
6	Colchester	20	9	6	5	27	15	+12	33
7	Newport County	19	10	3	6	30	25	+5	33
8	Notts County	19	9	5	5	25	14	+11	32
9	Cheltenham	20	9	5	6	28	26	+2	32
10	Barrow	19	9	4	6	28	18	+10	31
11	Crewe	19	8	6	5	26	22	+4	30
12	Salford	19	9	3	7	24	22	+2	30
13	Grimsby	20	9	3	8	27	29	-2	30
14	Chesterfield	18	7	8	3	28	21	+7	29
15	Fleetwood Town	20	6	11	3	22	17	+5	29
16	Swindon	19	7	7	5	32	27	+5	28
17	Milton Keynes Dons	20	8	4	8	25	22	+3	28
18	Gillingham	19	8	3	8	20	18	+2	27
19	Tranmere	20	6	9	5	18	19	-1	27
20	Harrogate	19	8	3	8	17	23	-6	27
21	Bromley	20	6	7	7	27	26	+1	25
22	Accrington	19	5	9	5	24	22	+2	24
23	Morecambe	19	5	4	10	20	29	-9	19
24	Carlisle	20	3	7	10	17	29	-12	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Notts County	20	9	6	5	33	25	+8	33
2	Grimsby	19	10	2	7	27	26	+1	32
3	Doncaster	19	9	4	6	27	25	+2	31
4	Port Vale	20	8	7	5	24	23	+1	31
5	Walsall	19	8	6	5	26	18	+8	30
6	Crewe	20	6	10	4	19	17	+2	28
7	Bromley	19	7	6	6	24	24	0	27
8	Chesterfield	20	8	2	10	31	23	+8	26
9	Salford	19	6	8	5	23	21	+2	26
10	AFC Wimbledon	19	6	7	6	18	15	+3	25
11	Colchester	19	5	10	4	20	24	-4	25
12	Fleetwood Town	19	7	3	9	31	31	0	24
13	Bradford	19	5	7	7	17	20	-3	22
14	Swindon	20	4	8	8	23	29	-6	20
15	Cheltenham	19	4	6	9	23	31	-8	18
16	Milton Keynes Dons	19	5	3	11	26	37	-11	18
17	Accrington	20	5	3	12	21	33	-12	18
18	Gillingham	19	3	8	8	12	22	-10	17
19	Barrow	20	4	5	11	15	28	-13	17
20	Harrogate	20	3	6	11	13	26	-13	15
21	Carlisle	19	4	3	12	13	30	-17	15
22	Morecambe	20	4	2	14	14	28	-14	14
23	Newport County	20	3	4	13	18	39	-21	13
24	Tranmere	19	3	4	12	12	36	-24	13

Chesterfield Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Newport County	39	15	24	1.2	1.6	13	7	19	48	64	46
2	7	Grimsby	39	16	23	1.4	1.4	19	5	15	54	55	62
3	11	Chesterfield	38	17	21	1.6	1.2	15	10	13	59	44	55
4	15	Swindon	39	18	21	1.4	1.4	11	15	13	55	56	48
5	17	Milton Keynes Dons	39	18	21	1.3	1.5	13	7	19	51	59	46
6	1	Walsall	39	19	20	1.7	1.1	20	11	8	68	44	71
7	4	Doncaster	38	18	20	1.5	1.2	19	9	10	57	44	66
8	14	Cheltenham	39	19	20	1.3	1.5	13	11	15	51	57	50
9	20	Accrington	39	19	20	1.2	1.4	10	12	17	45	55	42
10	2	Bradford	39	21	18	1.3	0.8	20	10	9	52	32	70
11	12	Fleetwood Town	39	21	18	1.4	1.2	13	14	12	53	48	53
12	13	Bromley	39	22	17	1.3	1.3	13	13	13	51	50	52
13	24	Carlisle	39	22	17	0.8	1.5	7	10	22	30	59	31
14	3	Port Vale	39	23	16	1.3	1.0	18	13	8	49	38	67
15	6	Notts County	39	23	16	1.5	1.0	18	11	10	58	39	65
16	10	Salford	38	22	16	1.2	1.1	15	11	12	47	43	56
17	16	Barrow	39	24	15	1.1	1.2	13	9	17	43	46	48
18	22	Tranmere	39	24	15	0.8	1.4	9	13	17	30	55	40
19	5	AFC Wimbledon	39	25	14	1.3	0.7	18	11	10	52	29	65
20	8	Colchester	39	25	14	1.2	1.0	14	16	9	47	39	58
21	23	Morecambe	39	25	14	0.9	1.5	9	6	24	34	57	33
22	9	Crewe	39	26	13	1.2	1.0	14	16	9	45	39	58
23	21	Harrogate	39	26	13	0.8	1.3	11	9	19	30	49	42
24	19	Gillingham	38	26	12	0.8	1.1	11	11	16	32	40	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Newport County	19	6	13	1.6	1.3	10	3	6	30	25	33
2	1	Walsall	20	8	12	2.1	1.3	12	5	3	42	26	41
3	15	Swindon	19	7	12	1.7	1.4	7	7	5	32	27	28
4	2	Bradford	20	9	11	1.8	0.6	15	3	2	35	12	48
5	4	Doncaster	19	8	11	1.6	1.0	10	5	4	30	19	35
6	7	Grimsby	20	9	11	1.4	1.4	9	3	8	27	29	30
7	11	Chesterfield	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	7	8	3	28	21	29
8	5	AFC Wimbledon	20	11	9	1.7	0.7	12	4	4	34	14	40
9	17	Milton Keynes Dons	20	11	9	1.2	1.1	8	4	8	25	22	28
10	20	Accrington	19	10	9	1.3	1.2	5	9	5	24	22	24
11	3	Port Vale	19	11	8	1.3	0.8	10	6	3	25	15	36
12	8	Colchester	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	9	6	5	27	15	33
13	9	Crewe	19	11	8	1.4	1.2	8	6	5	26	22	30
14	10	Salford	19	11	8	1.3	1.2	9	3	7	24	22	30
15	13	Bromley	20	12	8	1.4	1.3	6	7	7	27	26	25
16	14	Cheltenham	20	12	8	1.4	1.3	9	5	6	28	26	32
17	16	Barrow	19	11	8	1.5	0.9	9	4	6	28	18	31
18	19	Gillingham	19	11	8	1.1	0.9	8	3	8	20	18	27
19	24	Carlisle	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	3	7	10	17	29	16
20	6	Notts County	19	12	7	1.3	0.7	9	5	5	25	14	32
21	12	Fleetwood Town	20	14	6	1.1	0.8	6	11	3	22	17	29
22	21	Harrogate	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	8	3	8	17	23	27
23	23	Morecambe	19	13	6	1.1	1.5	5	4	10	20	29	19
24	22	Tranmere	20	15	5	0.9	0.9	6	9	5	18	19	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	19	7	12	1.4	1.4	10	2	7	27	26	32
2	12	Fleetwood Town	19	7	12	1.6	1.6	7	3	9	31	31	24
3	14	Cheltenham	19	7	12	1.2	1.6	4	6	9	23	31	18
4	17	Milton Keynes Dons	19	7	12	1.4	1.9	5	3	11	26	37	18
5	11	Chesterfield	20	9	11	1.6	1.1	8	2	10	31	23	26
6	18	Newport County	20	9	11	0.9	1.9	3	4	13	18	39	13
7	20	Accrington	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	5	3	12	21	33	18
8	22	Tranmere	19	9	10	0.6	1.9	3	4	12	12	36	13
9	4	Doncaster	19	10	9	1.4	1.3	9	4	6	27	25	31
10	6	Notts County	20	11	9	1.6	1.2	9	6	5	33	25	33
11	13	Bromley	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	7	6	6	24	24	27
12	15	Swindon	20	11	9	1.1	1.4	4	8	8	23	29	20
13	24	Carlisle	19	10	9	0.7	1.6	4	3	12	13	30	15
14	1	Walsall	19	11	8	1.4	0.9	8	6	5	26	18	30
15	3	Port Vale	20	12	8	1.2	1.1	8	7	5	24	23	31
16	10	Salford	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	8	5	23	21	26
17	23	Morecambe	20	12	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	14	14	28	14
18	2	Bradford	19	12	7	0.9	1.1	5	7	7	17	20	22
19	16	Barrow	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	4	5	11	15	28	17
20	21	Harrogate	20	13	7	0.7	1.3	3	6	11	13	26	15
21	8	Colchester	19	13	6	1.1	1.3	5	10	4	20	24	25
22	5	AFC Wimbledon	19	14	5	0.9	0.8	6	7	6	18	15	25
23	9	Crewe	20	15	5	0.9	0.8	6	10	4	19	17	28
24	19	Gillingham	19	15	4	0.6	1.2	3	8	8	12	22	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.