Harrogate 1–0 Carlisle – England League Two, 8 Mar 2025

Match facts

Harrogate Carlisle

16 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 5

13 Fouls 6

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (414 league matches this season so far).

Result Harrogate to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.24 – 0.95

Home / Draw / Away

43% 29% 28%

HarrogateDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

63% 38%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

25% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

7% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.9% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 11.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

0.80scored / match

1.29conceded / match

10 7 18

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 28:45

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.79points / match

0.74scored / match

1.47conceded / match

6 9 19

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 25:50

Harrogate all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 0.74

1.29 Goals conceded 1.47

2.09 Total goals 2.21

9.43 Shots 11.41

2.97 Shots on target 3.56

14.57 Shots faced 12.32

4.43 Corners 5.15

6.34 Corners against 4.91

11.77 Fouls 11.15

1.66 Yellow cards 2.74

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

29% Wins 18%

20% Draws 26%

51% Losses 56%

91% Over 0.5 goals 85%

66% Over 1.5 goals 59%

34% Over 2.5 goals 38%

6% Over 3.5 goals 21%

6% Over 4.5 goals 15%

6% Over 5.5 goals 3%

37% Both teams scored 44%

26% Clean sheets 26%

46% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 24%

51% Draws 38%

29% Losses 38%

57% Over 0.5 goals 71%

29% Over 1.5 goals 26%

9% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches

2

W

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

D

Carlisle all matches

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

5

L

1

2

L

1

L

D

1

W

1

D

Harrogate before this match, at home

1.35points / match

0.88scored / match

1.29conceded / match

7 2 8

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:22

Carlisle before this match, away

0.88points / match

0.76scored / match

1.53conceded / match

4 3 10

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:26

Harrogate at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 0.76

1.29 Goals conceded 1.53

2.18 Total goals 2.29

9.65 Shots 10.88

2.88 Shots on target 3.41

13.59 Shots faced 13.94

4.88 Corners 4.53

6.29 Corners against 5.53

11.47 Fouls 11.65

1.53 Yellow cards 2.94

0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

41% Wins 24%

12% Draws 18%

47% Losses 59%

94% Over 0.5 goals 88%

71% Over 1.5 goals 59%

35% Over 2.5 goals 47%

6% Over 3.5 goals 24%

6% Over 4.5 goals 12%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

35% Both teams scored 41%

29% Clean sheets 29%

41% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%

35% Draws 35%

29% Losses 41%

65% Over 0.5 goals 71%

24% Over 1.5 goals 18%

12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

2

L

2

L

2

W

D

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

Carlisle away

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Port Vale – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.20	4.75	2.40	1.53
01.03.25	Harrogate – Accrington	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Bromley – Harrogate	2–0 (2–0)	1.90	3.60	3.70	2.08	1.73
15.02.25	Harrogate – Swindon	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.25	2.38	2.10	1.70
08.02.25	Bradford – Harrogate	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	3.90	5.00	2.08	1.73
01.02.25	Harrogate – Crewe	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.25	2.25	1.62
28.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.80	4.20	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Doncaster – Harrogate	1–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.75	7.50	1.75	2.05
21.01.25	Harrogate – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.70	3.30	2.00	2.20	1.62
17.01.25	Harrogate – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.75

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Carlisle – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	2.90	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Carlisle – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.20	2.25	1.62
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
18.01.25	Carlisle – Bradford	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75

Harrogate at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Harrogate – Accrington	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.25	1.62
15.02.25	Harrogate – Swindon	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.25	2.38	2.10	1.70
01.02.25	Harrogate – Crewe	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.25	2.25	1.62
21.01.25	Harrogate – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.70	3.30	2.00	2.20	1.62
17.01.25	Harrogate – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.75
01.01.25	Harrogate – Salford	0–2 (0–1)	4.00	3.60	1.83	2.10	1.70
21.12.24	Harrogate – Walsall	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	4.00	1.70	1.98	1.88
07.12.24	Harrogate – AFC Wimbledon	0–3 (0–2)	4.75	3.60	1.73	2.05	1.75
16.11.24	Harrogate – Chesterfield	2–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.80	1.73	1.73	2.08
09.11.24	Harrogate – Morecambe	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	1.98	1.88

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
01.01.25	Crewe – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.75	2.15	1.67
21.12.24	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
16.11.24	Bromley – Carlisle	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.11.24	Salford – Carlisle	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.90	1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Harrogate winsDrawsCarlisle wins

5matches

2.80goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E3	Carlisle – Harrogate	1–1 (1–1)	1.90	3.50	4.10	1.95	1.90
04.02.23E3	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
08.11.22E3	Harrogate – Carlisle	3–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.07	1.72
23.04.22E3	Harrogate – Carlisle	3–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.50	2.87	2.10	1.77
23.11.21E3	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–2 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	36	20	8	8	65	41	+24	68
2	Bradford	35	19	9	7	48	29	+19	66
3	Doncaster	35	18	7	10	51	41	+10	61
4	AFC Wimbledon	35	17	9	9	46	23	+23	60
5	Notts County	35	16	10	9	53	37	+16	58
6	Port Vale	33	15	12	6	42	34	+8	57
7	Grimsby	35	17	5	13	51	51	0	56
8	Crewe	35	14	13	8	43	36	+7	55
9	Bromley	35	13	12	10	45	41	+4	51
10	Colchester	34	11	16	7	39	32	+7	49
11	Salford	34	13	10	11	42	36	+6	49
12	Fleetwood Town	35	12	12	11	48	42	+6	48
13	Cheltenham	34	12	10	12	46	49	-3	46
14	Swindon	35	11	12	12	50	50	0	45
15	Newport County	34	12	7	15	44	54	-10	43
16	Chesterfield	33	11	9	13	50	42	+8	42
17	Barrow	34	11	7	16	36	41	-5	40
18	Milton Keynes Dons	34	11	6	17	44	49	-5	39
19	Gillingham	34	10	8	16	29	38	-9	38
20	Harrogate	35	10	7	18	28	45	-17	37
21	Accrington	34	9	9	16	39	52	-13	36
22	Tranmere	35	6	12	17	25	54	-29	30
23	Morecambe	35	8	5	22	30	52	-22	29
24	Carlisle	34	6	9	19	25	50	-25	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	18	14	3	1	31	10	+21	45
2	Walsall	19	12	4	3	41	25	+16	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	18	12	3	3	31	10	+21	39
4	Cheltenham	18	9	5	4	28	24	+4	32
5	Notts County	17	9	4	4	24	12	+12	31
6	Doncaster	17	9	4	4	25	17	+8	31
7	Port Vale	16	8	6	2	21	14	+7	30
8	Newport County	17	9	3	5	27	23	+4	30
9	Salford	17	9	2	6	23	17	+6	29
10	Crewe	17	8	5	4	25	20	+5	29
11	Barrow	17	8	4	5	26	17	+9	28
12	Colchester	17	7	6	4	21	12	+9	27
13	Fleetwood Town	18	6	9	3	21	16	+5	27
14	Grimsby	17	8	3	6	26	26	0	27
15	Swindon	17	7	5	5	29	24	+5	26
16	Chesterfield	16	6	7	3	26	20	+6	25
17	Milton Keynes Dons	18	7	4	7	21	17	+4	25
18	Bromley	18	6	6	6	23	21	+2	24
19	Gillingham	17	7	2	8	19	18	+1	23
20	Harrogate	17	7	2	8	15	22	-7	23
21	Tranmere	18	4	9	5	14	18	-4	21
22	Accrington	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19
23	Morecambe	17	4	3	10	17	27	-10	15
24	Carlisle	17	2	6	9	12	24	-12	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	18	9	3	6	26	24	+2	30
2	Grimsby	18	9	2	7	25	25	0	29
3	Walsall	17	8	4	5	24	16	+8	28
4	Notts County	18	7	6	5	29	25	+4	27
5	Bromley	17	7	6	4	22	20	+2	27
6	Port Vale	17	7	6	4	21	20	+1	27
7	Crewe	18	6	8	4	18	16	+2	26
8	Colchester	17	4	10	3	18	20	-2	22
9	AFC Wimbledon	17	5	6	6	15	13	+2	21
10	Fleetwood Town	17	6	3	8	27	26	+1	21
11	Bradford	17	5	6	6	17	19	-2	21
12	Salford	17	4	8	5	19	19	0	20
13	Swindon	18	4	7	7	21	26	-5	19
14	Chesterfield	17	5	2	10	24	22	+2	17
15	Accrington	18	5	2	11	21	31	-10	17
16	Gillingham	17	3	6	8	10	20	-10	15
17	Carlisle	17	4	3	10	13	26	-13	15
18	Cheltenham	16	3	5	8	18	25	-7	14
19	Milton Keynes Dons	16	4	2	10	23	32	-9	14
20	Harrogate	18	3	5	10	13	23	-10	14
21	Morecambe	18	4	2	12	13	25	-12	14
22	Newport County	17	3	4	10	17	31	-14	13
23	Barrow	17	3	3	11	10	24	-14	12
24	Tranmere	17	2	3	12	11	36	-25	9

Harrogate Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	35	13	22	1.5	1.5	17	5	13	51	51	56
2	15	Newport County	34	13	21	1.3	1.6	12	7	15	44	54	43
3	1	Walsall	36	17	19	1.8	1.1	20	8	8	65	41	68
4	14	Swindon	35	16	19	1.4	1.4	11	12	12	50	50	45
5	21	Accrington	34	15	19	1.1	1.5	9	9	16	39	52	36
6	3	Doncaster	35	17	18	1.5	1.2	18	7	10	51	41	61
7	13	Cheltenham	34	16	18	1.4	1.4	12	10	12	46	49	46
8	16	Chesterfield	33	15	18	1.5	1.3	11	9	13	50	42	42
9	2	Bradford	35	18	17	1.4	0.8	19	9	7	48	29	66
10	18	Milton Keynes Dons	34	17	17	1.3	1.4	11	6	17	44	49	39
11	12	Fleetwood Town	35	19	16	1.4	1.2	12	12	11	48	42	48
12	5	Notts County	35	20	15	1.5	1.1	16	10	9	53	37	58
13	6	Port Vale	33	19	14	1.3	1.0	15	12	6	42	34	57
14	11	Salford	34	20	14	1.2	1.1	13	10	11	42	36	49
15	22	Tranmere	35	21	14	0.7	1.5	6	12	17	25	54	30
16	8	Crewe	35	22	13	1.2	1.0	14	13	8	43	36	55
17	9	Bromley	35	22	13	1.3	1.2	13	12	10	45	41	51
18	17	Barrow	34	21	13	1.1	1.2	11	7	16	36	41	40
19	24	Carlisle	34	21	13	0.7	1.5	6	9	19	25	50	27
20	19	Gillingham	34	22	12	0.9	1.1	10	8	16	29	38	38
21	20	Harrogate	35	23	12	0.8	1.3	10	7	18	28	45	37
22	23	Morecambe	35	23	12	0.9	1.5	8	5	22	30	52	29
23	4	AFC Wimbledon	35	24	11	1.3	0.7	17	9	9	46	23	60
24	10	Colchester	34	24	10	1.1	0.9	11	16	7	39	32	49

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Walsall	19	7	12	2.2	1.3	12	4	3	41	25	40
2	15	Newport County	17	5	12	1.6	1.4	9	3	5	27	23	30
3	7	Grimsby	17	6	11	1.5	1.5	8	3	6	26	26	27
4	14	Swindon	17	6	11	1.7	1.4	7	5	5	29	24	26
5	2	Bradford	18	8	10	1.7	0.6	14	3	1	31	10	45
6	3	Doncaster	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	9	4	4	25	17	31
7	16	Chesterfield	16	7	9	1.6	1.2	6	7	3	26	20	25
8	8	Crewe	17	9	8	1.5	1.2	8	5	4	25	20	29
9	13	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.6	1.3	9	5	4	28	24	32
10	17	Barrow	17	9	8	1.5	1.0	8	4	5	26	17	28
11	19	Gillingham	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	7	2	8	19	18	23
12	21	Accrington	16	8	8	1.1	1.3	4	7	5	18	21	19
13	4	AFC Wimbledon	18	11	7	1.7	0.6	12	3	3	31	10	39
14	6	Port Vale	16	9	7	1.3	0.9	8	6	2	21	14	30
15	11	Salford	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	9	2	6	23	17	29
16	18	Milton Keynes Dons	18	11	7	1.2	0.9	7	4	7	21	17	25
17	5	Notts County	17	11	6	1.4	0.7	9	4	4	24	12	31
18	9	Bromley	18	12	6	1.3	1.2	6	6	6	23	21	24
19	12	Fleetwood Town	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	6	9	3	21	16	27
20	20	Harrogate	17	11	6	0.9	1.3	7	2	8	15	22	23
21	10	Colchester	17	12	5	1.2	0.7	7	6	4	21	12	27
22	23	Morecambe	17	12	5	1.0	1.6	4	3	10	17	27	15
23	24	Carlisle	17	12	5	0.7	1.4	2	6	9	12	24	12
24	22	Tranmere	18	14	4	0.8	1.0	4	9	5	14	18	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	9	2	7	25	25	29
2	21	Accrington	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	5	2	11	21	31	17
3	12	Fleetwood Town	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	3	8	27	26	21
4	13	Cheltenham	16	6	10	1.1	1.6	3	5	8	18	25	14
5	18	Milton Keynes Dons	16	6	10	1.4	2.0	4	2	10	23	32	14
6	22	Tranmere	17	7	10	0.6	2.1	2	3	12	11	36	9
7	3	Doncaster	18	9	9	1.4	1.3	9	3	6	26	24	30
8	5	Notts County	18	9	9	1.6	1.4	7	6	5	29	25	27
9	15	Newport County	17	8	9	1.0	1.8	3	4	10	17	31	13
10	16	Chesterfield	17	8	9	1.4	1.3	5	2	10	24	22	17
11	14	Swindon	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	4	7	7	21	26	19
12	24	Carlisle	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	4	3	10	13	26	15
13	1	Walsall	17	10	7	1.4	0.9	8	4	5	24	16	28
14	2	Bradford	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	5	6	6	17	19	21
15	6	Port Vale	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	6	4	21	20	27
16	9	Bromley	17	10	7	1.3	1.2	7	6	4	22	20	27
17	11	Salford	17	10	7	1.1	1.1	4	8	5	19	19	20
18	23	Morecambe	18	11	7	0.7	1.4	4	2	12	13	25	14
19	20	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.7	1.3	3	5	10	13	23	14
20	8	Crewe	18	13	5	1.0	0.9	6	8	4	18	16	26
21	10	Colchester	17	12	5	1.1	1.2	4	10	3	18	20	22
22	17	Barrow	17	12	5	0.6	1.4	3	3	11	10	24	12
23	4	AFC Wimbledon	17	13	4	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	13	21
24	19	Gillingham	17	13	4	0.6	1.2	3	6	8	10	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.