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England League Two · ·Referee: R Massey-Ellis

Gillingham 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.23
Draw 3.40 fair 3.78
Away 3.30 fair 3.47
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.85
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 2.17

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Gillingham Milton Keynes Dons
9 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
2 Corners 0
13 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (495 league matches this season so far).
Result Gillingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
GillinghamDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Gillingham before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
0.88scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 36:44
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.24scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 51:65
Gillingham all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.24
1.07 Goals conceded 1.59
1.95 Total goals 2.83
11.17 Shots 10.63
3.15 Shots on target 4.02
11.24 Shots faced 12.12
4.41 Corners 4.41
3.49 Corners against 4.29
12.73 Fouls 11.07
2.29 Yellow cards 1.90
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

27% Wins 32%
34% Draws 17%
39% Losses 51%
90% Over 0.5 goals 98%
61% Over 1.5 goals 78%
32% Over 2.5 goals 56%
10% Over 3.5 goals 22%
2% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
44% Both teams scored 54%
34% Clean sheets 12%
32% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 32%
51% Draws 37%
32% Losses 32%
59% Over 0.5 goals 80%
22% Over 1.5 goals 39%
7% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gillingham all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Gillingham before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.05scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:19
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
0.90points / match
1.30scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:40
Gillingham at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.30
0.95 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 3.30
12.50 Shots 9.60
3.70 Shots on target 3.75
10.00 Shots faced 13.75
5.25 Corners 3.80
3.05 Corners against 4.60
12.45 Fouls 11.75
2.05 Yellow cards 1.90
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

40% Wins 25%
20% Draws 15%
40% Losses 60%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
55% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 65%
10% Over 3.5 goals 30%
5% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 15%
35% Both teams scored 60%
45% Clean sheets 5%
30% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 25%
55% Draws 30%
30% Losses 45%
55% Over 0.5 goals 90%
25% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gillingham at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Gillingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.25 Chesterfield – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.713.604.33 2.10 1.70
05.04.25 Salford – Gillingham 2–2 (2–2) 2.103.203.50 2.20 1.65
01.04.25 Gillingham – Colchester 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.60 2.60 1.48
29.03.25 Harrogate – Gillingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.70 2.70 1.44
22.03.25 Gillingham – Walsall 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.102.30 2.35 1.57
15.03.25 Accrington – Gillingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.003.50 2.50 1.50
08.03.25 Gillingham – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.251.91 2.40 1.53
04.03.25 Newport County – Gillingham 3–1 (3–0) 3.753.252.00 2.20 1.65
01.03.25 Gillingham – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.70 2.15 1.67
25.02.25 Gillingham – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (1–1) 2.503.202.80 2.50 1.47

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.302.80 2.10 1.70
02.04.25 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (0–0) 1.704.104.20 1.57 2.35
29.03.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Fleetwood Town 2–4 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.00 1.85
25.03.25 Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–2) 2.383.302.88 2.00 1.85
22.03.25 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 2.08 1.73
08.03.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.80 1.93 1.93
04.03.25 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.302.75 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.60 2.15 1.67
22.02.25 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.704.33 1.93 1.93

Gillingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.25 Gillingham – Colchester 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.60 2.60 1.48
22.03.25 Gillingham – Walsall 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.102.30 2.35 1.57
08.03.25 Gillingham – Bradford 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.251.91 2.40 1.53
01.03.25 Gillingham – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.70 2.15 1.67
25.02.25 Gillingham – Fleetwood Town 1–2 (1–1) 2.503.202.80 2.50 1.47
15.02.25 Gillingham – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.00 2.60 1.48
01.02.25 Gillingham – Notts County 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.05 2.05 1.75
18.01.25 Gillingham – Doncaster 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.202.20 2.08 1.73
02.01.25 Gillingham – Bromley 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.503.00 2.15 1.67
20.12.24 Gillingham – Cheltenham 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.25 1.62

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (0–0) 1.704.104.20 1.57 2.35
25.03.25 Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–2) 2.383.302.88 2.00 1.85
22.03.25 Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 2.08 1.73
04.03.25 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.302.75 2.08 1.73
22.02.25 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.704.33 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.252.90 2.00 1.85
11.02.25 Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.60 2.15 1.67
01.02.25 Doncaster – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 1.83 2.03
21.01.25 Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.10 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Gillingham winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.604.75 1.98 1.88
27.01.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.80
07.10.23E3 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.08 1.73
01.01.22E2 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.05
18.09.21E2 Gillingham – Milton Keynes Dons 1–4 (1–2) 2.753.502.50 1.85 1.95

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 42 21 10 11 58 39 +19 73
2 Port Vale 41 20 13 8 54 40 +14 73
3 Walsall 41 20 12 9 72 49 +23 72
4 Doncaster 41 20 11 10 62 47 +15 71
5 AFC Wimbledon 42 19 12 11 55 32 +23 69
6 Notts County 42 19 11 12 62 43 +19 68
7 Grimsby 41 20 5 16 57 58 -1 65
8 Colchester 41 15 17 9 49 40 +9 62
9 Salford 41 16 13 12 53 47 +6 61
10 Crewe 42 15 16 11 49 44 +5 61
11 Chesterfield 41 16 11 14 62 50 +12 59
12 Swindon 42 14 15 13 66 61 +5 57
13 Bromley 41 14 14 13 56 51 +5 56
14 Fleetwood Town 41 14 14 13 57 53 +4 56
15 Cheltenham 42 14 11 17 54 63 -9 53
16 Barrow 41 14 10 17 47 47 0 52
17 Gillingham 41 11 14 16 36 44 -8 47
18 Newport County 41 13 8 20 51 68 -17 47
19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 13 7 21 51 65 -14 46
20 Harrogate 41 12 9 20 33 52 -19 45
21 Tranmere 41 10 13 18 36 58 -22 43
22 Accrington 41 10 12 19 46 63 -17 42
23 Morecambe 41 10 6 25 37 60 -23 36
24 Carlisle 41 8 10 23 34 63 -29 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bradford 21 16 3 2 37 12 +25 51
2 AFC Wimbledon 21 13 4 4 35 14 +21 43
3 Walsall 21 12 5 4 44 29 +15 41
4 Port Vale 20 11 6 3 27 15 +12 39
5 Doncaster 21 10 7 4 33 22 +11 37
6 Colchester 21 10 6 5 28 15 +13 36
7 Notts County 21 10 5 6 29 17 +12 35
8 Swindon 21 9 7 5 39 32 +7 34
9 Newport County 20 10 4 6 31 26 +5 34
10 Chesterfield 20 8 9 3 31 23 +8 33
11 Crewe 21 9 6 6 30 25 +5 33
12 Grimsby 21 10 3 8 30 30 0 33
13 Barrow 20 9 5 6 29 19 +10 32
14 Cheltenham 21 9 5 7 28 28 0 32
15 Salford 20 9 4 7 26 24 +2 31
16 Tranmere 21 7 9 5 22 19 +3 30
17 Harrogate 20 9 3 8 20 25 -5 30
18 Fleetwood Town 21 6 11 4 22 21 +1 29
19 Bromley 21 7 7 7 31 26 +5 28
20 Gillingham 20 8 4 8 21 19 +2 28
21 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 4 9 25 25 0 28
22 Accrington 20 5 9 6 25 26 -1 24
23 Morecambe 20 6 4 10 22 29 -7 22
24 Carlisle 21 4 7 10 20 31 -11 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Doncaster 20 10 4 6 29 25 +4 34
2 Port Vale 21 9 7 5 27 25 +2 34
3 Notts County 21 9 6 6 33 26 +7 33
4 Grimsby 20 10 2 8 27 28 -1 32
5 Walsall 20 8 7 5 28 20 +8 31
6 Salford 21 7 9 5 27 23 +4 30
7 Bromley 20 7 7 6 25 25 0 28
8 Crewe 21 6 10 5 19 19 0 28
9 Fleetwood Town 20 8 3 9 35 32 +3 27
10 Chesterfield 21 8 2 11 31 27 +4 26
11 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 8 7 20 18 +2 26
12 Colchester 20 5 11 4 21 25 -4 26
13 Swindon 21 5 8 8 27 29 -2 23
14 Bradford 21 5 7 9 21 27 -6 22
15 Cheltenham 21 5 6 10 26 35 -9 21
16 Barrow 21 5 5 11 18 28 -10 20
17 Gillingham 21 3 10 8 15 25 -10 19
18 Milton Keynes Dons 20 5 3 12 26 40 -14 18
19 Accrington 21 5 3 13 21 37 -16 18
20 Harrogate 21 3 6 12 13 27 -14 15
21 Carlisle 20 4 3 13 14 32 -18 15
22 Morecambe 21 4 2 15 15 31 -16 14
23 Newport County 21 3 4 14 20 42 -22 13
24 Tranmere 20 3 4 13 14 39 -25 13

Gillingham   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Newport County 41 16 25 1.2 1.7 13 8 20 51 68 47
2 7 Grimsby 41 17 24 1.4 1.4 20 5 16 57 58 65
3 12 Swindon 42 18 24 1.6 1.5 14 15 13 66 61 57
4 11 Chesterfield 41 18 23 1.5 1.2 16 11 14 62 50 59
5 19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 18 23 1.2 1.6 13 7 21 51 65 46
6 3 Walsall 41 19 22 1.8 1.2 20 12 9 72 49 72
7 22 Accrington 41 19 22 1.1 1.5 10 12 19 46 63 42
8 4 Doncaster 41 20 21 1.5 1.1 20 11 10 62 47 71
9 15 Cheltenham 42 21 21 1.3 1.5 14 11 17 54 63 53
10 14 Fleetwood Town 41 21 20 1.4 1.3 14 14 13 57 53 56
11 1 Bradford 42 23 19 1.4 0.9 21 10 11 58 39 73
12 24 Carlisle 41 22 19 0.8 1.5 8 10 23 34 63 34
13 6 Notts County 42 24 18 1.5 1.0 19 11 12 62 43 68
14 9 Salford 41 23 18 1.3 1.1 16 13 12 53 47 61
15 13 Bromley 41 23 18 1.4 1.2 14 14 13 56 51 56
16 2 Port Vale 41 24 17 1.3 1.0 20 13 8 54 40 73
17 21 Tranmere 41 24 17 0.9 1.4 10 13 18 36 58 43
18 16 Barrow 41 25 16 1.1 1.1 14 10 17 47 47 52
19 5 AFC Wimbledon 42 27 15 1.3 0.8 19 12 11 55 32 69
20 23 Morecambe 41 26 15 0.9 1.5 10 6 25 37 60 36
21 8 Colchester 41 27 14 1.2 1.0 15 17 9 49 40 62
22 10 Crewe 42 28 14 1.2 1.0 15 16 11 49 44 61
23 20 Harrogate 41 27 14 0.8 1.3 12 9 20 33 52 45
24 17 Gillingham 41 28 13 0.9 1.1 11 14 16 36 44 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Swindon 21 7 14 1.9 1.5 9 7 5 39 32 34
2 3 Walsall 21 8 13 2.1 1.4 12 5 4 44 29 41
3 18 Newport County 20 7 13 1.6 1.3 10 4 6 31 26 34
4 4 Doncaster 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 10 7 4 33 22 37
5 7 Grimsby 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 10 3 8 30 30 33
6 1 Bradford 21 10 11 1.8 0.6 16 3 2 37 12 51
7 11 Chesterfield 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 8 9 3 31 23 33
8 19 Milton Keynes Dons 21 11 10 1.2 1.2 8 4 9 25 25 28
9 22 Accrington 20 10 10 1.2 1.3 5 9 6 25 26 24
10 5 AFC Wimbledon 21 12 9 1.7 0.7 13 4 4 35 14 43
11 6 Notts County 21 12 9 1.4 0.8 10 5 6 29 17 35
12 9 Salford 20 11 9 1.3 1.2 9 4 7 26 24 31
13 10 Crewe 21 12 9 1.4 1.2 9 6 6 30 25 33
14 13 Bromley 21 12 9 1.5 1.2 7 7 7 31 26 28
15 24 Carlisle 21 12 9 1.0 1.5 4 7 10 20 31 19
16 2 Port Vale 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 11 6 3 27 15 39
17 8 Colchester 21 13 8 1.3 0.7 10 6 5 28 15 36
18 15 Cheltenham 21 13 8 1.3 1.3 9 5 7 28 28 32
19 16 Barrow 20 12 8 1.4 0.9 9 5 6 29 19 32
20 17 Gillingham 20 12 8 1.1 0.9 8 4 8 21 19 28
21 14 Fleetwood Town 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 6 11 4 22 21 29
22 20 Harrogate 20 13 7 1.0 1.2 9 3 8 20 25 30
23 21 Tranmere 21 15 6 1.0 0.9 7 9 5 22 19 30
24 23 Morecambe 20 14 6 1.1 1.4 6 4 10 22 29 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Fleetwood Town 20 7 13 1.8 1.6 8 3 9 35 32 27
2 15 Cheltenham 21 8 13 1.2 1.7 5 6 10 26 35 21
3 19 Milton Keynes Dons 20 7 13 1.3 2.0 5 3 12 26 40 18
4 7 Grimsby 20 8 12 1.4 1.4 10 2 8 27 28 32
5 11 Chesterfield 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 8 2 11 31 27 26
6 18 Newport County 21 9 12 1.0 2.0 3 4 14 20 42 13
7 22 Accrington 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 5 3 13 21 37 18
8 21 Tranmere 20 9 11 0.7 1.9 3 4 13 14 39 13
9 12 Swindon 21 11 10 1.3 1.4 5 8 8 27 29 23
10 24 Carlisle 20 10 10 0.7 1.6 4 3 13 14 32 15
11 2 Port Vale 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 9 7 5 27 25 34
12 3 Walsall 20 11 9 1.4 1.0 8 7 5 28 20 31
13 4 Doncaster 20 11 9 1.4 1.2 10 4 6 29 25 34
14 6 Notts County 21 12 9 1.6 1.2 9 6 6 33 26 33
15 9 Salford 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 5 27 23 30
16 13 Bromley 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 7 7 6 25 25 28
17 23 Morecambe 21 12 9 0.7 1.5 4 2 15 15 31 14
18 1 Bradford 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 5 7 9 21 27 22
19 16 Barrow 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 5 5 11 18 28 20
20 20 Harrogate 21 14 7 0.6 1.3 3 6 12 13 27 15
21 5 AFC Wimbledon 21 15 6 1.0 0.9 6 8 7 20 18 26
22 8 Colchester 20 14 6 1.1 1.2 5 11 4 21 25 26
23 10 Crewe 21 16 5 0.9 0.9 6 10 5 19 19 28
24 17 Gillingham 21 16 5 0.7 1.2 3 10 8 15 25 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40