Cheltenham 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons – England League Two, 22 Mar 2025

Match facts

Cheltenham Milton Keynes Dons

7 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 6

9 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (442 league matches this season so far).

Result Cheltenham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.64

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.33

Home / Draw / Away

47% 23% 29%

CheltenhamDrawMilton Keynes Dons

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.38scored / match

1.46conceded / match

13 11 13

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 51:54

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches

1.17points / match

1.28scored / match

1.47conceded / match

12 6 18

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:53

Cheltenham all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.28

1.46 Goals conceded 1.47

2.84 Total goals 2.75

10.32 Shots 10.56

3.68 Shots on target 4.06

13.05 Shots faced 12.28

3.97 Corners 4.44

5.51 Corners against 4.28

11.46 Fouls 11.14

1.51 Yellow cards 2.00

0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.72

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

35% Wins 33%

30% Draws 17%

35% Losses 50%

95% Over 0.5 goals 97%

78% Over 1.5 goals 78%

54% Over 2.5 goals 53%

27% Over 3.5 goals 19%

19% Over 4.5 goals 11%

5% Over 5.5 goals 8%

62% Both teams scored 56%

22% Clean sheets 11%

22% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 33%

46% Draws 33%

30% Losses 33%

68% Over 0.5 goals 81%

24% Over 1.5 goals 39%

11% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham all matches

1

W

2

L

3

2

W

3

W

2

D

1

D

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

3

D

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

1

L

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

Cheltenham before this match, at home

1.68points / match

1.47scored / match

1.32conceded / match

9 5 5

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:25

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away

0.82points / match

1.35scored / match

2.06conceded / match

4 2 11

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:35

Cheltenham at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.35

1.32 Goals conceded 2.06

2.79 Total goals 3.41

11.89 Shots 9.53

4.37 Shots on target 3.88

12.11 Shots faced 14.47

3.68 Corners 3.94

5.84 Corners against 4.35

11.26 Fouls 11.76

1.42 Yellow cards 2.06

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

47% Wins 24%

26% Draws 12%

26% Losses 65%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

74% Over 1.5 goals 94%

42% Over 2.5 goals 65%

26% Over 3.5 goals 29%

21% Over 4.5 goals 18%

5% Over 5.5 goals 18%

63% Both teams scored 65%

21% Clean sheets 0%

16% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 24%

53% Draws 24%

32% Losses 53%

58% Over 0.5 goals 94%

21% Over 1.5 goals 47%

11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cheltenham at home

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

3

5

L

2

1

W

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

Milton Keynes Dons away

3

6

L

2

1

W

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Swindon – Cheltenham	3–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.50	5.00	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57
04.03.25	Bradford – Cheltenham	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.75
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
25.02.25	Cheltenham – Walsall	2–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.05	1.72
22.02.25	Newport County – Cheltenham	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.35	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
08.02.25	Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
01.02.25	Cheltenham – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	2.08	1.73
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.80	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.08	1.73
01.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.60	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.25	2.90	2.00	1.85
11.02.25	Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.15	1.67
08.02.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.25	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Doncaster – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
28.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.80	4.20	1.88	1.98

Cheltenham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
25.02.25	Cheltenham – Walsall	2–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.05	1.72
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Cheltenham – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90
25.01.25	Cheltenham – Salford	2–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.15	1.63
29.12.24	Cheltenham – Notts County	3–5 (1–2)	2.90	3.30	2.20	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Cheltenham – Crewe	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.50	2.20	1.65
14.12.24	Cheltenham – Morecambe	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93
03.12.24	Cheltenham – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.25	1.62

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	2.08	1.73
04.03.25	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.08	1.73
22.02.25	Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.25	2.90	2.00	1.85
11.02.25	Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.15	1.67
01.02.25	Doncaster – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	1.85	2.00
18.01.25	Walsall – Milton Keynes Dons	4–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.90	4.33	1.75	2.05
01.01.25	Chesterfield – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.40	3.10	1.73	2.08
21.12.24	Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons	6–3 (4–1)	5.25	3.60	1.67	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Cheltenham winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.11.24E3	Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham	3–2 (1–2)	1.73	3.75	4.33	1.80	2.00
15.04.23E2	Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham	2–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.30	1.60
29.10.22E2	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.87	2.25	1.61
08.03.22E2	Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham	3–1 (2–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.80
04.09.21E2	Cheltenham – Milton Keynes Dons	1–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.07	1.72

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	37	20	9	8	67	43	+24	69
2	Bradford	37	19	9	9	48	31	+17	66
3	AFC Wimbledon	37	18	9	10	49	26	+23	63
4	Doncaster	37	18	9	10	54	44	+10	63
5	Notts County	38	17	11	10	56	39	+17	62
6	Port Vale	36	16	13	7	47	37	+10	61
7	Colchester	37	14	16	7	45	33	+12	58
8	Crewe	38	14	16	8	45	38	+7	58
9	Grimsby	37	17	5	15	51	54	-3	56
10	Salford	37	14	11	12	44	41	+3	53
11	Bromley	37	13	13	11	48	45	+3	52
12	Chesterfield	36	14	9	13	58	44	+14	51
13	Cheltenham	37	13	11	13	51	54	-3	50
14	Fleetwood Town	37	12	13	12	49	46	+3	49
15	Swindon	37	11	14	12	55	55	0	47
16	Newport County	37	13	7	17	48	61	-13	46
17	Barrow	36	12	8	16	40	43	-3	44
18	Milton Keynes Dons	36	12	6	18	46	53	-7	42
19	Gillingham	36	11	9	16	31	39	-8	42
20	Accrington	37	10	10	17	45	55	-10	40
21	Harrogate	37	11	7	19	29	48	-19	40
22	Tranmere	37	8	12	17	28	55	-27	36
23	Morecambe	37	8	6	23	33	56	-23	30
24	Carlisle	36	6	9	21	26	53	-27	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	19	14	3	2	31	11	+20	45
2	Walsall	19	12	4	3	41	25	+16	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	19	12	3	4	32	12	+20	39
4	Colchester	19	9	6	4	26	13	+13	33
5	Port Vale	17	9	6	2	24	14	+10	33
6	Newport County	18	10	3	5	30	23	+7	33
7	Notts County	19	9	5	5	25	14	+11	32
8	Doncaster	18	9	5	4	27	19	+8	32
9	Cheltenham	19	9	5	5	28	25	+3	32
10	Barrow	18	9	4	5	28	17	+11	31
11	Crewe	18	8	6	4	26	21	+5	30
12	Salford	19	9	3	7	24	22	+2	30
13	Chesterfield	17	7	7	3	28	21	+7	28
14	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	4	7	23	18	+5	28
15	Fleetwood Town	19	6	10	3	22	17	+5	28
16	Swindon	18	7	6	5	32	27	+5	27
17	Grimsby	19	8	3	8	26	29	-3	27
18	Gillingham	18	8	2	8	20	18	+2	26
19	Harrogate	18	8	2	8	16	22	-6	26
20	Bromley	19	6	7	6	25	23	+2	25
21	Tranmere	19	5	9	5	16	19	-3	24
22	Accrington	18	5	8	5	24	22	+2	23
23	Morecambe	18	4	4	10	19	29	-10	16
24	Carlisle	18	2	6	10	13	26	-13	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	19	9	4	6	27	25	+2	31
2	Notts County	19	8	6	5	31	25	+6	30
3	Walsall	18	8	5	5	26	18	+8	29
4	Grimsby	18	9	2	7	25	25	0	29
5	Crewe	20	6	10	4	19	17	+2	28
6	Port Vale	19	7	7	5	23	23	0	28
7	Bromley	18	7	6	5	23	22	+1	27
8	Colchester	18	5	10	3	19	20	-1	25
9	AFC Wimbledon	18	6	6	6	17	14	+3	24
10	Chesterfield	19	7	2	10	30	23	+7	23
11	Salford	18	5	8	5	20	19	+1	23
12	Fleetwood Town	18	6	3	9	27	29	-2	21
13	Bradford	18	5	6	7	17	20	-3	21
14	Swindon	19	4	8	7	23	28	-5	20
15	Cheltenham	18	4	6	8	23	29	-6	18
16	Accrington	19	5	2	12	21	33	-12	17
17	Gillingham	18	3	7	8	11	21	-10	16
18	Carlisle	18	4	3	11	13	27	-14	15
19	Milton Keynes Dons	17	4	2	11	23	35	-12	14
20	Morecambe	19	4	2	13	14	27	-13	14
21	Harrogate	19	3	5	11	13	26	-13	14
22	Barrow	18	3	4	11	12	26	-14	13
23	Newport County	19	3	4	12	18	38	-20	13
24	Tranmere	18	3	3	12	12	36	-24	12

Cheltenham Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Newport County	37	13	24	1.3	1.6	13	7	17	48	61	46
2	9	Grimsby	37	15	22	1.4	1.5	17	5	15	51	54	56
3	12	Chesterfield	36	15	21	1.6	1.2	14	9	13	58	44	51
4	15	Swindon	37	16	21	1.5	1.5	11	14	12	55	55	47
5	1	Walsall	37	17	20	1.8	1.2	20	9	8	67	43	69
6	13	Cheltenham	37	17	20	1.4	1.5	13	11	13	51	54	50
7	20	Accrington	37	17	20	1.2	1.5	10	10	17	45	55	40
8	4	Doncaster	37	18	19	1.5	1.2	18	9	10	54	44	63
9	18	Milton Keynes Dons	36	17	19	1.3	1.5	12	6	18	46	53	42
10	2	Bradford	37	20	17	1.3	0.8	19	9	9	48	31	66
11	14	Fleetwood Town	37	20	17	1.3	1.2	12	13	12	49	46	49
12	5	Notts County	38	22	16	1.5	1.0	17	11	10	56	39	62
13	6	Port Vale	36	20	16	1.3	1.0	16	13	7	47	37	61
14	10	Salford	37	22	15	1.2	1.1	14	11	12	44	41	53
15	11	Bromley	37	22	15	1.3	1.2	13	13	11	48	45	52
16	22	Tranmere	37	22	15	0.8	1.5	8	12	17	28	55	36
17	17	Barrow	36	22	14	1.1	1.2	12	8	16	40	43	44
18	23	Morecambe	37	23	14	0.9	1.5	8	6	23	33	56	30
19	24	Carlisle	36	22	14	0.7	1.5	6	9	21	26	53	27
20	3	AFC Wimbledon	37	24	13	1.3	0.7	18	9	10	49	26	63
21	8	Crewe	38	25	13	1.2	1.0	14	16	8	45	38	58
22	21	Harrogate	37	24	13	0.8	1.3	11	7	19	29	48	40
23	7	Colchester	37	25	12	1.2	0.9	14	16	7	45	33	58
24	19	Gillingham	36	24	12	0.9	1.1	11	9	16	31	39	42

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Newport County	18	5	13	1.7	1.3	10	3	5	30	23	33
2	1	Walsall	19	7	12	2.2	1.3	12	4	3	41	25	40
3	15	Swindon	18	6	12	1.8	1.5	7	6	5	32	27	27
4	9	Grimsby	19	8	11	1.4	1.5	8	3	8	26	29	27
5	2	Bradford	19	9	10	1.6	0.6	14	3	2	31	11	45
6	4	Doncaster	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	5	4	27	19	32
7	12	Chesterfield	17	7	10	1.6	1.2	7	7	3	28	21	28
8	20	Accrington	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	5	8	5	24	22	23
9	3	AFC Wimbledon	19	11	8	1.7	0.6	12	3	4	32	12	39
10	6	Port Vale	17	9	8	1.4	0.8	9	6	2	24	14	33
11	8	Crewe	18	10	8	1.4	1.2	8	6	4	26	21	30
12	10	Salford	19	11	8	1.3	1.2	9	3	7	24	22	30
13	13	Cheltenham	19	11	8	1.5	1.3	9	5	5	28	25	32
14	17	Barrow	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	9	4	5	28	17	31
15	18	Milton Keynes Dons	19	11	8	1.2	0.9	8	4	7	23	18	28
16	19	Gillingham	18	10	8	1.1	1.0	8	2	8	20	18	26
17	5	Notts County	19	12	7	1.3	0.7	9	5	5	25	14	32
18	7	Colchester	19	12	7	1.4	0.7	9	6	4	26	13	33
19	11	Bromley	19	12	7	1.3	1.2	6	7	6	25	23	25
20	14	Fleetwood Town	19	13	6	1.2	0.9	6	10	3	22	17	28
21	21	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	8	2	8	16	22	26
22	23	Morecambe	18	12	6	1.1	1.6	4	4	10	19	29	16
23	24	Carlisle	18	12	6	0.7	1.4	2	6	10	13	26	12
24	22	Tranmere	19	14	5	0.8	1.0	5	9	5	16	19	24

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Cheltenham	18	6	12	1.3	1.6	4	6	8	23	29	18
2	9	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	9	2	7	25	25	29
3	12	Chesterfield	19	8	11	1.6	1.2	7	2	10	30	23	23
4	14	Fleetwood Town	18	7	11	1.5	1.6	6	3	9	27	29	21
5	16	Newport County	19	8	11	0.9	2.0	3	4	12	18	38	13
6	18	Milton Keynes Dons	17	6	11	1.4	2.1	4	2	11	23	35	14
7	20	Accrington	19	8	11	1.1	1.7	5	2	12	21	33	17
8	22	Tranmere	18	8	10	0.7	2.0	3	3	12	12	36	12
9	4	Doncaster	19	10	9	1.4	1.3	9	4	6	27	25	31
10	5	Notts County	19	10	9	1.6	1.3	8	6	5	31	25	30
11	15	Swindon	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	4	8	7	23	28	20
12	1	Walsall	18	10	8	1.4	1.0	8	5	5	26	18	29
13	6	Port Vale	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	7	5	23	23	28
14	11	Bromley	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	7	6	5	23	22	27
15	23	Morecambe	19	11	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	13	14	27	14
16	24	Carlisle	18	10	8	0.7	1.5	4	3	11	13	27	15
17	2	Bradford	18	11	7	0.9	1.1	5	6	7	17	20	21
18	10	Salford	18	11	7	1.1	1.1	5	8	5	20	19	23
19	21	Harrogate	19	12	7	0.7	1.4	3	5	11	13	26	14
20	17	Barrow	18	12	6	0.7	1.4	3	4	11	12	26	13
21	3	AFC Wimbledon	18	13	5	0.9	0.8	6	6	6	17	14	24
22	7	Colchester	18	13	5	1.1	1.1	5	10	3	19	20	25
23	8	Crewe	20	15	5	0.9	0.8	6	10	4	19	17	28
24	19	Gillingham	18	14	4	0.6	1.2	3	7	8	11	21	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.