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England League Two · ·Referee: O Yates

Swindon 2–2 Grimsby

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.25 fair 2.31
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.22
Away 2.95 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Grimsby
14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 8
17 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (194 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawGrimsby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.69scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:21
Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.81scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:21
Swindon all matches all matches Grimsby

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.81
1.31 Goals conceded 1.31
3.00 Total goals 3.13
12.75 Shots 14.81
5.00 Shots on target 5.00
10.63 Shots faced 9.75
5.00 Corners 6.00
4.75 Corners against 4.19
11.69 Fouls 11.63
2.25 Yellow cards 1.56
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
19% Draws 25%
25% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
69% Over 2.5 goals 56%
38% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 56%
25% Clean sheets 25%
19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
38% Draws 38%
19% Losses 19%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
19% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Grimsby all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
2.13points / match
1.75scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:9
Grimsby before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:14
Swindon at home away Grimsby

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded 1.75
2.88 Total goals 3.50
12.88 Shots 12.88
5.25 Shots on target 4.13
9.75 Shots faced 11.50
5.00 Corners 3.63
4.63 Corners against 4.63
10.50 Fouls 10.50
1.88 Yellow cards 1.38
0.88 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

63% Wins 38%
25% Draws 38%
13% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
38% Over 3.5 goals 50%
13% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 63%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%
63% Draws 38%
0% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Grimsby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.11.25 Fleetwood Town – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.402.70 1.83 2.03
08.11.25 Swindon – Tranmere 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.754.50 1.67 2.15
25.10.25 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.67 2.15
21.10.25 Swindon – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.603.20 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Accrington – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 3.703.501.86 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Newport County – Swindon 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.701.68 1.67 2.15
27.09.25 Swindon – Bromley 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.503.60 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Salford – Swindon 3–2 (2–0) 2.203.602.82 1.73 2.08
13.09.25 Swindon – Harrogate 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.25 1.85 2.00
06.09.25 Barrow – Swindon 1–3 (0–2) 2.653.402.40 2.05 1.75

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.11.25 Grimsby – Chesterfield 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.20 1.75 2.05
08.11.25 Barrow – Grimsby 2–2 (1–2) 3.603.402.01 1.98 1.88
25.10.25 Crewe – Grimsby 3–2 (2–2) 2.573.252.55 1.90 1.95
18.10.25 Grimsby – Gillingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 2.05 1.80
11.10.25 Grimsby – Colchester 1–2 (1–1) 1.713.704.33 1.83 2.03
04.10.25 Salford – Grimsby 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Grimsby – Cheltenham 7–1 (2–1) 1.424.336.25 1.73 2.08
20.09.25 Barnet – Grimsby 3–0 (1–0) 2.203.502.85 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Grimsby – Cambridge 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.30 2.05 1.75
06.09.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby 2–3 (0–3) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Swindon – Tranmere 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.754.50 1.67 2.15
25.10.25 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.67 2.15
21.10.25 Swindon – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.603.20 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Swindon – Bromley 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.503.60 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Swindon – Harrogate 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.25 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Swindon – Shrewsbury 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.03 1.83
19.08.25 Swindon – Barnet 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.00 1.90 1.95
09.08.25 Swindon – Cambridge 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.303.40 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.20 1.57 2.35
21.04.25 Swindon – Bromley 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.10 1.73 2.08

Grimsby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Barrow – Grimsby 2–2 (1–2) 3.603.402.01 1.98 1.88
25.10.25 Crewe – Grimsby 3–2 (2–2) 2.573.252.55 1.90 1.95
04.10.25 Salford – Grimsby 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Barnet – Grimsby 3–0 (1–0) 2.203.502.85 1.85 2.00
06.09.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby 2–3 (0–3) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
23.08.25 Accrington – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.15 1.67
19.08.25 Walsall – Grimsby 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.25 1.62
09.08.25 Harrogate – Grimsby 3–3 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
26.04.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.15 1.93 1.93
21.04.25 Port Vale – Grimsby 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.304.10 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsGrimsby wins
6matches
3.50goals / match
83%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.25E3 Grimsby – Swindon 0–4 (0–2) 1.803.404.50 1.85 2.00
21.12.24E3 Swindon – Grimsby 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.602.90 1.93 1.93
20.04.24E3 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
30.09.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
14.01.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 5–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.08 1.73
24.09.22E3 Grimsby – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85

England League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 17 10 2 5 25 17 +8 32
2 Swindon 16 9 3 4 27 21 +6 30
3 Milton Keynes Dons 16 8 4 4 31 17 +14 28
4 Notts County 16 8 4 4 28 17 +11 28
5 Bromley 16 7 6 3 25 19 +6 27
6 Gillingham 17 7 6 4 23 17 +6 27
7 Chesterfield 16 7 6 3 28 24 +4 27
8 Crewe 16 8 2 6 23 19 +4 26
9 Salford 16 8 2 6 20 20 0 26
10 Grimsby 16 7 4 5 29 21 +8 25
11 Barnet 17 6 6 5 21 18 +3 24
12 Cambridge 16 6 5 5 16 15 +1 23
13 Fleetwood Town 16 6 5 5 23 23 0 23
14 Colchester 16 5 6 5 23 20 +3 21
15 Oldham 16 4 8 4 13 12 +1 20
16 Tranmere 16 4 7 5 26 24 +2 19
17 Barrow 16 5 4 7 16 19 -3 19
18 Accrington 16 4 5 7 19 21 -2 17
19 Bristol Rvs 16 5 2 9 15 29 -14 17
20 Crawley Town 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
21 Shrewsbury 16 4 4 8 14 25 -11 16
22 Harrogate 17 4 3 10 16 27 -11 15
23 Cheltenham 16 4 2 10 13 30 -17 14
24 Newport County 16 3 2 11 16 28 -12 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 8 5 2 1 18 7 +11 17
2 Cambridge 8 5 2 1 11 5 +6 17
3 Swindon 8 5 2 1 14 9 +5 17
4 Chesterfield 8 4 4 0 17 9 +8 16
5 Bromley 8 4 4 0 17 11 +6 16
6 Gillingham 9 4 3 2 12 8 +4 15
7 Fleetwood Town 8 4 3 1 15 13 +2 15
8 Crewe 8 5 0 3 12 10 +2 15
9 Walsall 8 5 0 3 11 9 +2 15
10 Salford 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14
11 Grimsby 8 4 1 3 15 7 +8 13
12 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 1 3 16 9 +7 13
13 Accrington 8 3 3 2 12 8 +4 12
14 Crawley Town 8 3 2 3 12 9 +3 11
15 Shrewsbury 8 3 2 3 6 7 -1 11
16 Tranmere 8 2 4 2 11 9 +2 10
17 Bristol Rvs 8 3 1 4 6 12 -6 10
18 Colchester 8 2 3 3 13 12 +1 9
19 Barrow 8 2 3 3 8 11 -3 9
20 Cheltenham 8 3 0 5 6 10 -4 9
21 Barnet 8 2 2 4 10 11 -1 8
22 Oldham 8 1 5 2 6 7 -1 8
23 Harrogate 9 2 1 6 8 14 -6 7
24 Newport County 8 0 1 7 7 17 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17
2 Barnet 9 4 4 1 11 7 +4 16
3 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 3 1 15 8 +7 15
4 Swindon 8 4 1 3 13 12 +1 13
5 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11 9 +2 12
6 Colchester 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12
7 Oldham 8 3 3 2 7 5 +2 12
8 Grimsby 8 3 3 2 14 14 0 12
9 Salford 8 4 0 4 9 10 -1 12
10 Crewe 8 3 2 3 11 9 +2 11
11 Notts County 8 3 2 3 10 10 0 11
12 Bromley 8 3 2 3 8 8 0 11
13 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
14 Barrow 8 3 1 4 8 8 0 10
15 Newport County 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2 10
16 Tranmere 8 2 3 3 15 15 0 9
17 Fleetwood Town 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
18 Harrogate 8 2 2 4 8 13 -5 8
19 Bristol Rvs 8 2 1 5 9 17 -8 7
20 Cambridge 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6
21 Accrington 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5
22 Shrewsbury 8 1 2 5 8 18 -10 5
23 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 6 16 -10 5
24 Cheltenham 8 1 2 5 7 20 -13 5

Swindon   Grimsby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Swindon 16 5 11 1.7 1.3 9 3 4 27 21 30
2 3 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 10 1.9 1.1 8 4 4 31 17 28
3 4 Notts County 16 6 10 1.8 1.1 8 4 4 28 17 28
4 19 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 0.9 1.8 5 2 9 15 29 17
5 5 Bromley 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 7 6 3 25 19 27
6 8 Crewe 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 8 2 6 23 19 26
7 10 Grimsby 16 7 9 1.8 1.3 7 4 5 29 21 25
8 20 Crawley Town 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
9 7 Chesterfield 16 8 8 1.8 1.5 7 6 3 28 24 27
10 9 Salford 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 8 2 6 20 20 26
11 13 Fleetwood Town 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 23 23 23
12 16 Tranmere 16 8 8 1.6 1.5 4 7 5 26 24 19
13 17 Barrow 16 8 8 1.0 1.2 5 4 7 16 19 19
14 21 Shrewsbury 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 25 16
15 24 Newport County 16 8 8 1.0 1.8 3 2 11 16 28 11
16 1 Walsall 17 10 7 1.5 1.0 10 2 5 25 17 32
17 18 Accrington 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 4 5 7 19 21 17
18 22 Harrogate 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 10 16 27 15
19 6 Gillingham 17 11 6 1.4 1.0 7 6 4 23 17 27
20 11 Barnet 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 6 6 5 21 18 24
21 23 Cheltenham 16 10 6 0.8 1.9 4 2 10 13 30 14
22 12 Cambridge 16 11 5 1.0 0.9 6 5 5 16 15 23
23 14 Colchester 16 11 5 1.4 1.2 5 6 5 23 20 21
24 15 Oldham 16 12 4 0.8 0.8 4 8 4 13 12 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Bromley 8 2 6 2.1 1.4 4 4 0 17 11 16
2 2 Swindon 8 3 5 1.8 1.1 5 2 1 14 9 17
3 3 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 4 1 3 16 9 13
4 4 Notts County 8 3 5 2.2 0.9 5 2 1 18 7 17
5 8 Crewe 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 5 0 3 12 10 15
6 13 Fleetwood Town 8 3 5 1.9 1.6 4 3 1 15 13 15
7 1 Walsall 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 5 0 3 11 9 15
8 7 Chesterfield 8 4 4 2.1 1.1 4 4 0 17 9 16
9 9 Salford 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14
10 10 Grimsby 8 4 4 1.9 0.9 4 1 3 15 7 13
11 11 Barnet 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 2 4 10 11 8
12 17 Barrow 8 4 4 1.0 1.4 2 3 3 8 11 9
13 19 Bristol Rvs 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 3 1 4 6 12 10
14 20 Crawley Town 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 3 2 3 12 9 11
15 22 Harrogate 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 6 8 14 7
16 24 Newport County 8 4 4 0.9 2.1 0 1 7 7 17 1
17 6 Gillingham 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 4 3 2 12 8 15
18 12 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.4 0.6 5 2 1 11 5 17
19 14 Colchester 8 5 3 1.6 1.5 2 3 3 13 12 9
20 16 Tranmere 8 5 3 1.4 1.1 2 4 2 11 9 10
21 18 Accrington 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 3 3 2 12 8 12
22 23 Cheltenham 8 5 3 0.8 1.2 3 0 5 6 10 9
23 15 Oldham 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 1 5 2 6 7 8
24 21 Shrewsbury 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 3 2 3 6 7 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Swindon 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 1 3 13 12 13
2 19 Bristol Rvs 8 2 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 5 9 17 7
3 21 Shrewsbury 8 2 6 1.0 2.2 1 2 5 8 18 5
4 3 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.9 1.0 4 3 1 15 8 15
5 4 Notts County 8 3 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 3 10 10 11
6 10 Grimsby 8 3 5 1.8 1.8 3 3 2 14 14 12
7 16 Tranmere 8 3 5 1.9 1.9 2 3 3 15 15 9
8 20 Crawley Town 8 3 5 0.8 2.0 1 2 5 6 16 5
9 7 Chesterfield 8 4 4 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
10 8 Crewe 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 3 2 3 11 9 11
11 9 Salford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 4 0 4 9 10 12
12 17 Barrow 8 4 4 1.0 1.0 3 1 4 8 8 10
13 18 Accrington 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 2 5 7 13 5
14 24 Newport County 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 3 1 4 9 11 10
15 1 Walsall 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17
16 5 Bromley 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 3 8 8 11
17 6 Gillingham 8 5 3 1.4 1.1 3 3 2 11 9 12
18 13 Fleetwood Town 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 4 8 10 8
19 22 Harrogate 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 4 8 13 8
20 23 Cheltenham 8 5 3 0.9 2.5 1 2 5 7 20 5
21 11 Barnet 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 4 1 11 7 16
22 12 Cambridge 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6
23 14 Colchester 8 6 2 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12
24 15 Oldham 8 6 2 0.9 0.6 3 3 2 7 5 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51