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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Russell

Swindon 3–1 Grimsby

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.76
Draw 3.60 fair 4.01
Away 2.90 fair 2.58
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Grimsby
17 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
16 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Grimsby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawGrimsby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.5% 0–1 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.15scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:34
Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.35scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:30
Swindon all matches all matches Grimsby

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.35
1.70 Goals conceded 1.50
2.85 Total goals 2.85
10.50 Shots 10.30
2.65 Shots on target 3.65
12.10 Shots faced 12.85
4.40 Corners 3.85
5.55 Corners against 5.05
9.55 Fouls 11.75
1.85 Yellow cards 2.35
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.95 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

15% Wins 50%
35% Draws 5%
50% Losses 45%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
85% Over 1.5 goals 65%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 30%
10% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
65% Both teams scored 50%
15% Clean sheets 30%
30% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 40%
30% Draws 30%
55% Losses 30%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
45% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Grimsby all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:15
Grimsby before this match, away
1.90points / match
1.30scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:10
Swindon at home away Grimsby

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.30
1.67 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 2.30
11.56 Shots 9.90
3.00 Shots on target 3.50
10.11 Shots faced 14.20
5.00 Corners 2.70
5.22 Corners against 5.80
8.22 Fouls 13.10
1.11 Yellow cards 3.00
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

22% Wins 60%
22% Draws 10%
56% Losses 30%
89% Over 0.5 goals 90%
89% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
44% Over 3.5 goals 20%
11% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 40%
22% Clean sheets 50%
33% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 40%
33% Draws 20%
44% Losses 40%
78% Over 0.5 goals 80%
56% Over 1.5 goals 50%
22% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Grimsby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.804.75 1.83 2.03
07.12.24 Swindon – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (2–0) 2.903.402.30 1.80 2.00
03.12.24 Colchester – Swindon 4–0 (4–0) 1.913.403.90 1.98 1.88
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Grimsby – Crewe 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.252.70 2.15 1.67
07.12.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.302.50 1.93 1.93
03.12.24 Grimsby – Accrington 5–2 (4–0) 2.453.252.80 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Grimsby – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.90 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby 0–1 (0–1) 1.484.505.75 1.75 2.05
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
22.10.24 Tranmere – Grimsby 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.104.10 2.05 1.80
19.10.24 Grimsby – Walsall 1–4 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Salford – Grimsby 1–2 (1–2) 2.203.403.10 1.90 1.95

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Swindon – Fleetwood Town 3–1 (2–0) 2.903.402.30 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50

Grimsby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.302.50 1.93 1.93
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby 0–1 (0–1) 1.484.505.75 1.75 2.05
22.10.24 Tranmere – Grimsby 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.104.10 2.05 1.80
12.10.24 Salford – Grimsby 1–2 (1–2) 2.203.403.10 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Gillingham – Grimsby 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.98 1.88
28.09.24 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93
07.09.24 Chesterfield – Grimsby 2–1 (2–0) 1.624.005.00 1.70 2.10
22.08.24 Notts County – Grimsby 4–1 (3–1) 1.913.404.00 1.70 2.10
10.08.24 Fleetwood Town – Grimsby 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.603.80 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsGrimsby wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24E3 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
30.09.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
14.01.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 5–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.08 1.73
24.09.22E3 Grimsby – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 19 12 4 3 35 19 +16 40
2 Doncaster 21 10 6 5 31 24 +7 36
3 Port Vale 20 10 6 4 26 19 +7 36
4 Crewe 20 9 8 3 24 16 +8 35
5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 3 6 31 16 +15 33
6 Chesterfield 20 8 7 5 35 23 +12 31
7 Grimsby 20 10 1 9 27 30 -3 31
8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 9 3 6 30 20 +10 30
9 Gillingham 20 9 3 8 22 18 +4 30
10 Bradford 19 7 7 5 24 19 +5 28
11 Notts County 19 7 7 5 25 21 +4 28
12 Salford 19 7 6 6 20 19 +1 27
13 Cheltenham 21 7 6 8 29 30 -1 27
14 Barrow 20 7 5 8 20 18 +2 26
15 Bromley 19 5 9 5 23 23 0 24
16 Colchester 20 4 11 5 23 22 +1 23
17 Fleetwood Town 19 5 8 6 24 25 -1 23
18 Newport County 19 6 5 8 21 28 -7 23
19 Harrogate 20 6 3 11 17 30 -13 21
20 Tranmere 20 5 6 9 15 29 -14 21
21 Accrington 19 4 7 8 26 34 -8 19
22 Swindon 20 3 7 10 23 34 -11 16
23 Morecambe 20 3 5 12 19 36 -17 14
24 Carlisle 19 3 5 11 15 32 -17 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 10 7 2 1 21 14 +7 23
2 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 2 2 20 8 +12 20
3 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 2 3 18 10 +8 20
4 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19
5 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
6 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
7 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18
8 Bradford 9 5 3 1 13 7 +6 18
9 Salford 10 6 0 4 12 9 +3 18
10 Cheltenham 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
11 Port Vale 9 4 3 2 13 10 +3 15
12 Chesterfield 10 3 6 1 14 12 +2 15
13 Notts County 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
14 Newport County 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
15 Colchester 10 3 4 3 13 7 +6 13
16 Tranmere 10 3 4 3 8 10 -2 13
17 Fleetwood Town 10 2 6 2 9 10 -1 12
18 Grimsby 10 4 0 6 14 20 -6 12
19 Harrogate 10 4 0 6 9 16 -7 12
20 Accrington 9 2 5 2 12 12 0 11
21 Bromley 10 2 5 3 13 14 -1 11
22 Swindon 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
23 Carlisle 10 1 3 6 8 15 -7 6
24 Morecambe 9 0 3 6 8 19 -11 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 11 6 3 2 13 9 +4 21
2 Grimsby 10 6 1 3 13 10 +3 19
3 Walsall 9 5 2 2 14 5 +9 17
4 Doncaster 10 5 2 3 16 13 +3 17
5 Chesterfield 10 5 1 4 21 11 +10 16
6 Crewe 10 4 4 2 11 8 +3 16
7 Notts County 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 1 4 11 8 +3 13
9 Bromley 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
10 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11
11 Gillingham 9 3 2 4 6 8 -2 11
12 Morecambe 11 3 2 6 11 17 -6 11
13 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
14 Bradford 10 2 4 4 11 12 -1 10
15 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10
16 Salford 9 1 6 2 8 10 -2 9
17 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
18 Harrogate 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Newport County 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9
20 Barrow 10 2 2 6 5 10 -5 8
21 Accrington 10 2 2 6 14 22 -8 8
22 Swindon 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
23 Carlisle 9 2 2 5 7 17 -10 8
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8

Swindon   Grimsby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Accrington 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 4 7 8 26 34 19
2 6 Chesterfield 20 8 12 1.8 1.1 8 7 5 35 23 31
3 7 Grimsby 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 10 1 9 27 30 31
4 22 Swindon 20 8 12 1.1 1.7 3 7 10 23 34 16
5 13 Cheltenham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 8 29 30 27
6 18 Newport County 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 6 5 8 21 28 23
7 1 Walsall 19 9 10 1.8 1.0 12 4 3 35 19 40
8 2 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 5 31 24 36
9 8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 9 3 6 30 20 30
10 20 Tranmere 20 10 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 15 29 21
11 23 Morecambe 20 10 10 0.9 1.8 3 5 12 19 36 14
12 5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 10 3 6 31 16 33
13 10 Bradford 19 10 9 1.3 1.0 7 7 5 24 19 28
14 19 Harrogate 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 6 3 11 17 30 21
15 15 Bromley 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 5 9 5 23 23 24
16 17 Fleetwood Town 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 5 8 6 24 25 23
17 24 Carlisle 19 11 8 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 15 32 14
18 3 Port Vale 20 13 7 1.3 0.9 10 6 4 26 19 36
19 9 Gillingham 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 9 3 8 22 18 30
20 11 Notts County 19 12 7 1.3 1.1 7 7 5 25 21 28
21 12 Salford 19 12 7 1.1 1.0 7 6 6 20 19 27
22 16 Colchester 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 4 11 5 23 22 23
23 4 Crewe 20 15 5 1.2 0.8 9 8 3 24 16 35
24 14 Barrow 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 7 5 8 20 18 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 10 3 7 2.1 1.4 7 2 1 21 14 23
2 7 Grimsby 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 4 0 6 14 20 12
3 5 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 6 2 2 20 8 20
4 8 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 3 18 10 20
5 18 Newport County 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
6 22 Swindon 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
7 6 Chesterfield 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 6 1 14 12 15
8 9 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19
9 10 Bradford 9 4 5 1.4 0.8 5 3 1 13 7 18
10 15 Bromley 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 2 5 3 13 14 11
11 19 Harrogate 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 4 0 6 9 16 12
12 21 Accrington 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 2 5 2 12 12 11
13 2 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
14 3 Port Vale 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 2 13 10 15
15 12 Salford 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 6 0 4 12 9 18
16 16 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 3 4 3 13 7 13
17 23 Morecambe 9 5 4 0.9 2.1 0 3 6 8 19 3
18 4 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
19 13 Cheltenham 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
20 14 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18
21 17 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 6 2 9 10 12
22 20 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 3 8 10 13
23 24 Carlisle 10 7 3 0.8 1.5 1 3 6 8 15 6
24 11 Notts County 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
2 21 Accrington 10 2 8 1.4 2.2 2 2 6 14 22 8
3 6 Chesterfield 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 5 1 4 21 11 16
4 20 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8
5 2 Doncaster 10 4 6 1.6 1.3 5 2 3 16 13 17
6 22 Swindon 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
7 23 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 17 11
8 7 Grimsby 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 6 1 3 13 10 19
9 11 Notts County 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
10 17 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11
11 18 Newport County 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9
12 24 Carlisle 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 5 7 17 8
13 8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
14 10 Bradford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 4 11 12 10
15 19 Harrogate 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
16 1 Walsall 9 6 3 1.6 0.6 5 2 2 14 5 17
17 3 Port Vale 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 2 13 9 21
18 5 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 1 4 11 8 13
19 12 Salford 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 1 6 2 8 10 9
20 15 Bromley 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
21 16 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10
22 4 Crewe 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 4 4 2 11 8 16
23 9 Gillingham 9 7 2 0.7 0.9 3 2 4 6 8 11
24 14 Barrow 10 9 1 0.5 1.0 2 2 6 5 10 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51