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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Atkinson

Newcastle 2–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.86
Draw 3.20 fair 3.85
Away 2.62 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 1.61 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Brighton
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 7
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (258 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 9.6% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.12scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 28:45
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
0.96scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 25:30
Newcastle all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 0.96
1.80 Goals conceded 1.15
2.92 Total goals 2.12
12.36 Shots 12.42
3.76 Shots on target 3.81
14.36 Shots faced 12.04
4.56 Corners 5.35
4.56 Corners against 5.46
10.48 Fouls 10.23
2.40 Yellow cards 1.88
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

20% Wins 27%
40% Draws 46%
40% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 81%
44% Over 2.5 goals 23%
36% Over 3.5 goals 12%
16% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 50%
16% Clean sheets 27%
20% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 23%
48% Draws 31%
28% Losses 46%
72% Over 0.5 goals 69%
40% Over 1.5 goals 23%
16% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Brighton all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.15points / match
1.38scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:24
Brighton before this match, away
1.46points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Newcastle at home away Brighton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.15
1.85 Goals conceded 1.08
3.23 Total goals 2.23
12.92 Shots 10.77
4.00 Shots on target 4.38
14.77 Shots faced 12.77
4.23 Corners 4.85
4.62 Corners against 6.38
11.62 Fouls 9.77
2.15 Yellow cards 1.92
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

23% Wins 31%
46% Draws 54%
31% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 23%
46% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 62%
15% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 15%
54% Draws 38%
15% Losses 46%
69% Over 0.5 goals 62%
46% Over 1.5 goals 15%
23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Brentford – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
19.02.22 West Ham – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
13.02.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.62 1.85 2.05
08.02.22 Newcastle – Everton 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.87 1.91 1.99
22.01.22 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
16.12.21 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40
12.12.21 Leicester – Newcastle 4–0 (1–0) 1.664.104.75 1.57 2.37

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
19.02.22 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
15.02.22 Man United – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.754.75 1.92 1.98
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
23.01.22 Leicester – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 1.98 1.92
18.01.22 Brighton – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72
14.01.22 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
02.01.22 Everton – Brighton 2–3 (0–2) 2.753.202.62 2.20 1.66
29.12.21 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97
26.12.21 Brighton – Brentford 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.404.20 2.20 1.66

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.62 1.85 2.05
08.02.22 Newcastle – Everton 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.87 1.91 1.99
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Newcastle – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.85 2.05
20.11.21 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90
30.10.21 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10
17.10.21 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–3 (1–3) 3.503.602.05 1.80 2.00

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.22 Man United – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.754.75 1.92 1.98
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
23.01.22 Leicester – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 1.98 1.92
02.01.22 Everton – Brighton 2–3 (0–2) 2.753.202.62 2.20 1.66
29.12.21 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97
04.12.21 Southampton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
01.12.21 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 2.06 1.84
20.11.21 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
30.10.21 Liverpool – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.50
16.10.21 Norwich – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBrighton wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.21E0 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.906.00 1.90 1.90

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 27 21 3 3 64 17 +47 66
2 Liverpool 26 18 6 2 70 20 +50 60
3 Chelsea 25 14 8 3 49 18 +31 50
4 Man United 27 13 8 6 44 34 +10 47
5 West Ham 27 13 6 8 46 34 +12 45
6 Arsenal 24 14 3 7 38 27 +11 45
7 Tottenham 25 13 3 9 35 32 +3 42
8 Wolves 26 12 4 10 24 21 +3 40
9 Southampton 26 8 11 7 34 37 -3 35
10 Leicester 25 9 6 10 40 43 -3 33
11 Brighton 26 7 12 7 25 30 -5 33
12 Crystal Palace 27 6 12 9 37 38 -1 30
13 Aston Villa 25 9 3 13 33 37 -4 30
14 Newcastle 25 5 10 10 28 45 -17 25
15 Brentford 27 6 6 15 27 44 -17 24
16 Leeds 27 5 8 14 29 61 -32 23
17 Everton 24 6 4 14 28 41 -13 22
18 Burnley 25 3 12 10 22 32 -10 21
19 Watford 26 5 4 17 25 47 -22 19
20 Norwich 26 4 5 17 15 55 -40 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 10 3 0 36 7 +29 33
2 Man City 13 10 1 2 36 9 +27 31
3 Arsenal 13 9 2 2 22 10 +12 29
4 West Ham 14 7 3 4 25 19 +6 24
5 Man United 14 7 3 4 21 16 +5 24
6 Chelsea 12 6 5 1 27 10 +17 23
7 Southampton 13 5 7 1 18 10 +8 22
8 Tottenham 12 7 1 4 18 15 +3 22
9 Leicester 13 6 3 4 22 18 +4 21
10 Crystal Palace 14 4 6 4 22 17 +5 18
11 Wolves 12 5 2 5 10 10 0 17
12 Everton 12 5 1 6 18 18 0 16
13 Aston Villa 12 4 3 5 20 20 0 15
14 Newcastle 13 3 6 4 18 24 -6 15
15 Brentford 14 4 2 8 14 19 -5 14
16 Brighton 13 3 5 5 10 16 -6 14
17 Leeds 13 3 4 6 15 25 -10 13
18 Burnley 12 2 6 4 10 12 -2 12
19 Norwich 13 2 3 8 8 25 -17 9
20 Watford 13 2 1 10 12 31 -19 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 14 11 2 1 28 8 +20 35
2 Liverpool 13 8 3 2 34 13 +21 27
3 Chelsea 13 8 3 2 22 8 +14 27
4 Man United 13 6 5 2 23 18 +5 23
5 Wolves 14 7 2 5 14 11 +3 23
6 West Ham 13 6 3 4 21 15 +6 21
7 Tottenham 13 6 2 5 17 17 0 20
8 Brighton 13 4 7 2 15 14 +1 19
9 Arsenal 11 5 1 5 16 17 -1 16
10 Aston Villa 13 5 0 8 13 17 -4 15
11 Southampton 13 3 4 6 16 27 -11 13
12 Watford 13 3 3 7 13 16 -3 12
13 Crystal Palace 13 2 6 5 15 21 -6 12
14 Leicester 12 3 3 6 18 25 -7 12
15 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 10 21 -11 10
16 Brentford 13 2 4 7 13 25 -12 10
17 Leeds 14 2 4 8 14 36 -22 10
18 Burnley 13 1 6 6 12 20 -8 9
19 Norwich 13 2 2 9 7 30 -23 8
20 Everton 12 1 3 8 10 23 -13 6

Newcastle   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 26 7 19 2.7 0.8 18 6 2 70 20 60
2 16 Leeds 27 10 17 1.1 2.3 5 8 14 29 61 23
3 10 Leicester 25 9 16 1.6 1.7 9 6 10 40 43 33
4 5 West Ham 27 12 15 1.7 1.3 13 6 8 46 34 45
5 12 Crystal Palace 27 12 15 1.4 1.4 6 12 9 37 38 30
6 20 Norwich 26 11 15 0.6 2.1 4 5 17 15 55 17
7 1 Man City 27 13 14 2.4 0.6 21 3 3 64 17 66
8 7 Tottenham 25 11 14 1.4 1.3 13 3 9 35 32 42
9 13 Aston Villa 25 11 14 1.3 1.5 9 3 13 33 37 30
10 15 Brentford 27 13 14 1.0 1.6 6 6 15 27 44 24
11 17 Everton 24 10 14 1.2 1.7 6 4 14 28 41 22
12 6 Arsenal 24 11 13 1.6 1.1 14 3 7 38 27 45
13 9 Southampton 26 13 13 1.3 1.4 8 11 7 34 37 35
14 3 Chelsea 25 13 12 2.0 0.7 14 8 3 49 18 50
15 4 Man United 27 15 12 1.6 1.3 13 8 6 44 34 47
16 19 Watford 26 14 12 1.0 1.8 5 4 17 25 47 19
17 14 Newcastle 25 14 11 1.1 1.8 5 10 10 28 45 25
18 18 Burnley 25 16 9 0.9 1.3 3 12 10 22 32 21
19 8 Wolves 26 19 7 0.9 0.8 12 4 10 24 21 40
20 11 Brighton 26 20 6 1.0 1.2 7 12 7 25 30 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 13 4 9 2.8 0.5 10 3 0 36 7 33
2 5 West Ham 14 6 8 1.8 1.4 7 3 4 25 19 24
3 7 Tottenham 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 7 1 4 18 15 22
4 12 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 4 6 4 22 17 18
5 13 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.7 1.7 4 3 5 20 20 15
6 16 Leeds 13 5 8 1.2 1.9 3 4 6 15 25 13
7 19 Watford 13 5 8 0.9 2.4 2 1 10 12 31 7
8 20 Norwich 13 5 8 0.6 1.9 2 3 8 8 25 9
9 1 Man City 13 6 7 2.8 0.7 10 1 2 36 9 31
10 6 Arsenal 13 6 7 1.7 0.8 9 2 2 22 10 29
11 10 Leicester 13 6 7 1.7 1.4 6 3 4 22 18 21
12 14 Newcastle 13 6 7 1.4 1.8 3 6 4 18 24 15
13 15 Brentford 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 4 2 8 14 19 14
14 17 Everton 12 5 7 1.5 1.5 5 1 6 18 18 16
15 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 6 5 1 27 10 23
16 4 Man United 14 9 5 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 16 24
17 8 Wolves 12 8 4 0.8 0.8 5 2 5 10 10 17
18 9 Southampton 13 10 3 1.4 0.8 5 7 1 18 10 22
19 11 Brighton 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 3 5 5 10 16 14
20 18 Burnley 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 2 6 4 10 12 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 13 3 10 2.6 1.0 8 3 2 34 13 27
2 9 Southampton 13 3 10 1.2 2.1 3 4 6 16 27 13
3 10 Leicester 12 3 9 1.5 2.1 3 3 6 18 25 12
4 16 Leeds 14 5 9 1.0 2.6 2 4 8 14 36 10
5 1 Man City 14 7 7 2.0 0.6 11 2 1 28 8 35
6 4 Man United 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 6 5 2 23 18 23
7 5 West Ham 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 3 4 21 15 21
8 12 Crystal Palace 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 2 6 5 15 21 12
9 15 Brentford 13 6 7 1.0 1.9 2 4 7 13 25 10
10 17 Everton 12 5 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 8 10 23 6
11 20 Norwich 13 6 7 0.5 2.3 2 2 9 7 30 8
12 3 Chelsea 13 7 6 1.7 0.6 8 3 2 22 8 27
13 6 Arsenal 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 16 17 16
14 7 Tottenham 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 5 17 17 20
15 13 Aston Villa 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 0 8 13 17 15
16 18 Burnley 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 1 6 6 12 20 9
17 14 Newcastle 12 8 4 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 10 21 10
18 19 Watford 13 9 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 7 13 16 12
19 8 Wolves 14 11 3 1.0 0.8 7 2 5 14 11 23
20 11 Brighton 13 10 3 1.2 1.1 4 7 2 15 14 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51