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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Watford 1–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.60 fair 2.98
Draw 3.30 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 2.46
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Burnley
13 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 6
13 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (333 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.7% 1–2 8.7%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.94scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 31:67
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.88scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 29:45
Watford all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 0.88
2.03 Goals conceded 1.36
2.97 Total goals 2.24
10.61 Shots 10.48
3.55 Shots on target 3.09
14.58 Shots faced 15.97
4.27 Corners 4.79
6.12 Corners against 6.73
11.85 Fouls 10.18
1.64 Yellow cards 1.85
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.48
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

18% Wins 18%
12% Draws 39%
70% Losses 42%
94% Over 0.5 goals 85%
73% Over 1.5 goals 70%
55% Over 2.5 goals 33%
36% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 6%
9% Over 5.5 goals 3%
48% Both teams scored 42%
9% Clean sheets 27%
48% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 18%
36% Draws 39%
52% Losses 42%
73% Over 0.5 goals 64%
45% Over 1.5 goals 27%
21% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Burnley all matches
Watford before this match, at home
0.44points / match
0.94scored / match
2.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:39
Burnley before this match, away
0.63points / match
0.81scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 13:25
Watford at home away Burnley

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 0.81
2.44 Goals conceded 1.56
3.38 Total goals 2.38
11.50 Shots 8.94
3.94 Shots on target 2.50
13.75 Shots faced 17.94
4.44 Corners 4.25
5.56 Corners against 7.44
12.06 Fouls 9.75
1.94 Yellow cards 1.81
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.44
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

13% Wins 6%
6% Draws 44%
81% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 81%
69% Over 2.5 goals 38%
44% Over 3.5 goals 31%
38% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 19%
44% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 19%
25% Draws 31%
63% Losses 50%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
06.03.22 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
26.02.22 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.22 Burnley – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.37 1.57
21.04.22 Burnley – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 1.98 1.92
17.04.22 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95
10.04.22 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
06.04.22 Burnley – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 2.623.102.87 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
12.03.22 Brentford – Burnley 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61
05.03.22 Burnley – Chelsea 0–4 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 2.10 1.72
01.03.22 Burnley – Leicester 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.02 1.88
26.02.22 Crystal Palace – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
21.01.22 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
01.01.22 Watford – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.61 1.72 2.10
28.12.21 Watford – West Ham 1–4 (1–2) 3.403.602.10 1.72 2.10
04.12.21 Watford – Man City 1–3 (0–2) 12.007.001.20 1.44 2.75
01.12.21 Watford – Chelsea 1–2 (1–1) 10.005.251.30 1.72 2.10

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.22 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95
10.04.22 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
12.03.22 Brentford – Burnley 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61
26.02.22 Crystal Palace – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
23.01.22 Arsenal – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
02.01.22 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.50 1.72 2.10
30.12.21 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
01.12.21 Wolves – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsBurnley wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.22E0 Burnley – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 86 22 +64 82
2 Man City 33 25 5 3 80 21 +59 80
3 Chelsea 33 19 9 5 68 28 +40 66
4 Arsenal 33 19 3 11 52 40 +12 60
5 Tottenham 33 18 4 11 56 38 +18 58
6 Man United 35 15 10 10 54 52 +2 55
7 West Ham 34 15 7 12 52 44 +8 52
8 Wolves 33 15 4 14 33 29 +4 49
9 Newcastle 35 11 10 14 40 56 -16 43
10 Leicester 32 11 9 12 47 51 -4 42
11 Brighton 34 9 14 11 31 42 -11 41
12 Brentford 34 11 7 16 41 49 -8 40
13 Southampton 34 9 13 12 40 56 -16 40
14 Crystal Palace 33 8 14 11 43 41 +2 38
15 Aston Villa 32 11 4 17 42 46 -4 37
16 Leeds 33 8 10 15 38 68 -30 34
17 Burnley 33 6 13 14 29 45 -16 31
18 Everton 32 8 5 19 34 55 -21 29
19 Watford 33 6 4 23 31 67 -36 22
20 Norwich 33 5 6 22 22 69 -47 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 14 3 0 45 7 +38 45
2 Man City 17 13 2 2 50 13 +37 41
3 Arsenal 17 11 2 4 28 15 +13 35
4 Man United 18 9 5 4 29 22 +7 32
5 Tottenham 16 10 1 5 31 18 +13 31
6 West Ham 17 9 4 4 30 22 +8 31
7 Chelsea 16 8 5 3 32 18 +14 29
8 Leicester 16 8 4 4 26 20 +6 28
9 Newcastle 18 7 6 5 24 27 -3 27
10 Southampton 17 6 7 4 21 20 +1 25
11 Crystal Palace 17 5 8 4 25 17 +8 23
12 Wolves 16 7 2 7 18 16 +2 23
13 Everton 16 7 2 7 21 20 +1 23
14 Brentford 17 6 3 8 18 19 -1 21
15 Burnley 17 5 6 6 16 20 -4 21
16 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 24 25 -1 18
17 Leeds 16 4 5 7 18 30 -12 17
18 Brighton 17 3 7 7 12 22 -10 16
19 Norwich 17 3 3 11 12 34 -22 12
20 Watford 16 2 1 13 15 39 -24 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 12 3 1 30 8 +22 39
2 Liverpool 17 11 4 2 41 15 +26 37
3 Chelsea 17 11 4 2 36 10 +26 37
4 Tottenham 17 8 3 6 25 20 +5 27
5 Wolves 17 8 2 7 15 13 +2 26
6 Arsenal 16 8 1 7 24 25 -1 25
7 Brighton 17 6 7 4 19 20 -1 25
8 Man United 17 6 5 6 25 30 -5 23
9 West Ham 17 6 3 8 22 22 0 21
10 Aston Villa 17 6 1 10 18 21 -3 19
11 Brentford 17 5 4 8 23 30 -7 19
12 Leeds 17 4 5 8 20 38 -18 17
13 Newcastle 17 4 4 9 16 29 -13 16
14 Crystal Palace 16 3 6 7 18 24 -6 15
15 Watford 17 4 3 10 16 28 -12 15
16 Southampton 17 3 6 8 19 36 -17 15
17 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 31 -10 14
18 Burnley 16 1 7 8 13 25 -12 10
19 Norwich 16 2 3 11 10 35 -25 9
20 Everton 16 1 3 12 13 35 -22 6

Watford   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Liverpool 34 13 21 2.5 0.6 25 7 2 86 22 82
2 16 Leeds 33 12 21 1.2 2.1 8 10 15 38 68 34
3 20 Norwich 33 13 20 0.7 2.1 5 6 22 22 69 21
4 5 Tottenham 33 14 19 1.7 1.2 18 4 11 56 38 58
5 10 Leicester 32 13 19 1.5 1.6 11 9 12 47 51 42
6 15 Aston Villa 32 13 19 1.3 1.4 11 4 17 42 46 37
7 2 Man City 33 15 18 2.4 0.6 25 5 3 80 21 80
8 4 Arsenal 33 15 18 1.6 1.2 19 3 11 52 40 60
9 7 West Ham 34 16 18 1.5 1.3 15 7 12 52 44 52
10 12 Brentford 34 16 18 1.2 1.4 11 7 16 41 49 40
11 13 Southampton 34 16 18 1.2 1.6 9 13 12 40 56 40
12 19 Watford 33 15 18 0.9 2.0 6 4 23 31 67 22
13 3 Chelsea 33 16 17 2.1 0.8 19 9 5 68 28 66
14 6 Man United 35 18 17 1.5 1.5 15 10 10 54 52 55
15 14 Crystal Palace 33 16 17 1.3 1.2 8 14 11 43 41 38
16 18 Everton 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 8 5 19 34 55 29
17 9 Newcastle 35 19 16 1.1 1.6 11 10 14 40 56 43
18 17 Burnley 33 22 11 0.9 1.4 6 13 14 29 45 31
19 8 Wolves 33 23 10 1.0 0.9 15 4 14 33 29 49
20 11 Brighton 34 24 10 0.9 1.2 9 14 11 31 42 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 17 6 11 2.9 0.8 13 2 2 50 13 41
2 5 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.9 1.1 10 1 5 31 18 31
3 19 Watford 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 2 1 13 15 39 7
4 20 Norwich 17 6 11 0.7 2.0 3 3 11 12 34 12
5 1 Liverpool 17 7 10 2.6 0.4 14 3 0 45 7 45
6 7 West Ham 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 9 4 4 30 22 31
7 15 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 3 7 24 25 18
8 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 4 5 7 18 30 17
9 4 Arsenal 17 8 9 1.6 0.9 11 2 4 28 15 35
10 9 Newcastle 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 7 6 5 24 27 27
11 10 Leicester 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 4 26 20 28
12 14 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.5 1.0 5 8 4 25 17 23
13 3 Chelsea 16 8 8 2.0 1.1 8 5 3 32 18 29
14 6 Man United 18 11 7 1.6 1.2 9 5 4 29 22 32
15 8 Wolves 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 7 2 7 18 16 23
16 12 Brentford 17 10 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 8 18 19 21
17 18 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 7 2 7 21 20 23
18 13 Southampton 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 6 7 4 21 20 25
19 17 Burnley 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 5 6 6 16 20 21
20 11 Brighton 17 13 4 0.7 1.3 3 7 7 12 22 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Southampton 17 5 12 1.1 2.1 3 6 8 19 36 15
2 1 Liverpool 17 6 11 2.4 0.9 11 4 2 41 15 37
3 12 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 23 30 19
4 16 Leeds 17 6 11 1.2 2.2 4 5 8 20 38 17
5 6 Man United 17 7 10 1.5 1.8 6 5 6 25 30 23
6 10 Leicester 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 3 5 8 21 31 14
7 18 Everton 16 6 10 0.8 2.2 1 3 12 13 35 6
8 3 Chelsea 17 8 9 2.1 0.6 11 4 2 36 10 37
9 4 Arsenal 16 7 9 1.5 1.6 8 1 7 24 25 25
10 15 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.1 1.2 6 1 10 18 21 19
11 20 Norwich 16 7 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 11 10 35 9
12 5 Tottenham 17 9 8 1.5 1.2 8 3 6 25 20 27
13 7 West Ham 17 9 8 1.3 1.3 6 3 8 22 22 21
14 14 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 6 7 18 24 15
15 2 Man City 16 9 7 1.9 0.5 12 3 1 30 8 39
16 9 Newcastle 17 10 7 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 16 29 16
17 19 Watford 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 10 16 28 15
18 11 Brighton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 6 7 4 19 20 25
19 17 Burnley 16 10 6 0.8 1.6 1 7 8 13 25 10
20 8 Wolves 17 14 3 0.9 0.8 8 2 7 15 13 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51