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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: K Friend

Man City 5–1 Watford

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.10 fair 1.35
Draw 10.00 fair 6.33
Away 26.00 fair 9.99
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Watford
21 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 4
9 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (322 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 2.49 – 0.80
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.5% 3–0 9.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.41points / match
2.34scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 75:20
Watford before this match, all matches
0.69points / match
0.94scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 30:62
Man City all matches all matches Watford

Per match

2.34 Goals scored 0.94
0.63 Goals conceded 1.94
2.97 Total goals 2.88
18.22 Shots 10.78
6.66 Shots on target 3.59
6.28 Shots faced 14.38
8.38 Corners 4.28
2.75 Corners against 5.97
8.81 Fouls 12.00
1.13 Yellow cards 1.69
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

75% Wins 19%
16% Draws 13%
9% Losses 69%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
72% Over 1.5 goals 72%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
38% Over 3.5 goals 34%
22% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
34% Both teams scored 47%
59% Clean sheets 9%
13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 13%
34% Draws 38%
9% Losses 50%
69% Over 0.5 goals 72%
41% Over 1.5 goals 44%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Watford all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.81scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 45:12
Watford before this match, away
0.94points / match
0.94scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:23
Man City at home away Watford

Per match

2.81 Goals scored 0.94
0.75 Goals conceded 1.44
3.56 Total goals 2.38
18.44 Shots 10.06
6.94 Shots on target 3.25
5.44 Shots faced 15.00
8.63 Corners 4.13
2.06 Corners against 6.38
8.69 Fouls 11.94
0.88 Yellow cards 1.44
1.31 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
13% Draws 19%
13% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
81% Over 1.5 goals 56%
63% Over 2.5 goals 38%
44% Over 3.5 goals 25%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
31% Both teams scored 38%
63% Clean sheets 19%
13% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 13%
31% Draws 50%
6% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
44% Over 1.5 goals 38%
31% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
14.03.22 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 10.005.001.33 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
26.02.22 Everton – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 10.005.751.28 1.57 2.37
19.02.22 Man City – Tottenham 2–3 (1–1) 1.286.0010.00 1.57 2.37
12.02.22 Norwich – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 15.008.001.16 1.44 2.75
09.02.22 Man City – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.109.5023.00 1.36 3.20
22.01.22 Southampton – Man City 1–1 (1–0) 10.006.501.25 1.44 2.75

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
06.03.22 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
26.02.22 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
23.02.22 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
12.02.22 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.22 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
10.04.22 Man City – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.72 2.10
06.03.22 Man City – Man United 4–1 (2–1) 1.404.757.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22 Man City – Tottenham 2–3 (1–1) 1.286.0010.00 1.57 2.37
09.02.22 Man City – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.109.5023.00 1.36 3.20
15.01.22 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
26.12.21 Man City – Leicester 6–3 (4–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.21 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20
11.12.21 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.53 2.50
28.11.21 Man City – West Ham 2–1 (1–0) 1.285.7510.00 1.50 2.62

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
26.02.22 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
08.02.22 West Ham – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.72 2.10
05.02.22 Burnley – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.72
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
10.12.21 Brentford – Watford 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.01 1.89
28.11.21 Leicester – Watford 4–2 (3–1) 1.614.005.50 1.66 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsWatford wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.21E0 Watford – Man City 1–3 (0–2) 12.007.001.20 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 32 24 5 3 75 20 +55 77
2 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 83 22 +61 76
3 Chelsea 31 18 8 5 66 27 +39 62
4 Arsenal 33 19 3 11 52 40 +12 60
5 Tottenham 32 18 3 11 56 38 +18 57
6 Man United 34 15 9 10 53 51 +2 54
7 West Ham 33 15 7 11 52 43 +9 52
8 Wolves 32 15 4 13 33 28 +5 49
9 Leicester 31 11 8 12 47 51 -4 41
10 Brighton 33 9 13 11 29 40 -11 40
11 Newcastle 33 10 10 13 37 55 -18 40
12 Brentford 33 11 6 16 41 49 -8 39
13 Southampton 33 9 12 12 38 54 -16 39
14 Crystal Palace 32 8 13 11 43 41 +2 37
15 Aston Villa 31 11 3 17 42 46 -4 36
16 Leeds 32 8 9 15 38 68 -30 33
17 Everton 31 8 5 18 34 53 -19 29
18 Burnley 32 5 13 14 28 45 -17 28
19 Watford 32 6 4 22 30 62 -32 22
20 Norwich 32 5 6 21 22 66 -44 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 7 +36 42
2 Man City 16 12 2 2 45 12 +33 38
3 Arsenal 17 11 2 4 28 15 +13 35
4 Tottenham 16 10 1 5 31 18 +13 31
5 West Ham 17 9 4 4 30 22 +8 31
6 Man United 17 9 4 4 28 21 +7 31
7 Leicester 15 8 3 4 26 20 +6 27
8 Newcastle 17 7 6 4 24 26 -2 27
9 Chelsea 15 7 5 3 31 18 +13 26
10 Southampton 17 6 7 4 21 20 +1 25
11 Wolves 16 7 2 7 18 16 +2 23
12 Everton 16 7 2 7 21 20 +1 23
13 Crystal Palace 16 5 7 4 25 17 +8 22
14 Brentford 16 6 2 8 18 19 -1 20
15 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 24 25 -1 18
16 Burnley 16 4 6 6 15 20 -5 18
17 Leeds 16 4 5 7 18 30 -12 17
18 Brighton 16 3 6 7 10 20 -10 15
19 Norwich 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12
20 Watford 16 2 1 13 15 39 -24 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 12 3 1 30 8 +22 39
2 Chelsea 16 11 3 2 35 9 +26 36
3 Liverpool 16 10 4 2 40 15 +25 34
4 Tottenham 16 8 2 6 25 20 +5 26
5 Wolves 16 8 2 6 15 12 +3 26
6 Arsenal 16 8 1 7 24 25 -1 25
7 Brighton 17 6 7 4 19 20 -1 25
8 Man United 17 6 5 6 25 30 -5 23
9 West Ham 16 6 3 7 22 21 +1 21
10 Brentford 17 5 4 8 23 30 -7 19
11 Aston Villa 16 6 0 10 18 21 -3 18
12 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 38 -18 16
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 6 7 18 24 -6 15
14 Watford 16 4 3 9 15 23 -8 15
15 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 31 -10 14
16 Southampton 16 3 5 8 17 34 -17 14
17 Newcastle 16 3 4 9 13 29 -16 13
18 Burnley 16 1 7 8 13 25 -12 10
19 Norwich 16 2 3 11 10 35 -25 9
20 Everton 15 1 3 11 13 33 -20 6

Man City   Watford

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 32 11 21 2.6 0.7 23 7 2 83 22 76
2 16 Leeds 32 11 21 1.2 2.1 8 9 15 38 68 33
3 5 Tottenham 32 13 19 1.8 1.2 18 3 11 56 38 57
4 9 Leicester 31 12 19 1.5 1.6 11 8 12 47 51 41
5 15 Aston Villa 31 12 19 1.4 1.5 11 3 17 42 46 36
6 20 Norwich 32 13 19 0.7 2.1 5 6 21 22 66 21
7 4 Arsenal 33 15 18 1.6 1.2 19 3 11 52 40 60
8 7 West Ham 33 15 18 1.6 1.3 15 7 11 52 43 52
9 12 Brentford 33 15 18 1.2 1.5 11 6 16 41 49 39
10 1 Man City 32 15 17 2.3 0.6 24 5 3 75 20 77
11 3 Chelsea 31 14 17 2.1 0.9 18 8 5 66 27 62
12 6 Man United 34 17 17 1.6 1.5 15 9 10 53 51 54
13 13 Southampton 33 16 17 1.2 1.6 9 12 12 38 54 39
14 14 Crystal Palace 32 15 17 1.3 1.3 8 13 11 43 41 37
15 17 Everton 31 14 17 1.1 1.7 8 5 18 34 53 29
16 19 Watford 32 15 17 0.9 1.9 6 4 22 30 62 22
17 11 Newcastle 33 18 15 1.1 1.7 10 10 13 37 55 40
18 18 Burnley 32 21 11 0.9 1.4 5 13 14 28 45 28
19 8 Wolves 32 22 10 1.0 0.9 15 4 13 33 28 49
20 10 Brighton 33 24 9 0.9 1.2 9 13 11 29 40 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.9 1.1 10 1 5 31 18 31
2 19 Watford 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 2 1 13 15 39 7
3 1 Man City 16 6 10 2.8 0.8 12 2 2 45 12 38
4 2 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.7 0.4 13 3 0 43 7 42
5 7 West Ham 17 7 10 1.8 1.3 9 4 4 30 22 31
6 15 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 3 7 24 25 18
7 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 4 5 7 18 30 17
8 20 Norwich 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12
9 4 Arsenal 17 8 9 1.6 0.9 11 2 4 28 15 35
10 9 Leicester 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 8 3 4 26 20 27
11 11 Newcastle 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 6 4 24 26 27
12 14 Crystal Palace 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 5 7 4 25 17 22
13 3 Chelsea 15 7 8 2.1 1.2 7 5 3 31 18 26
14 6 Man United 17 10 7 1.6 1.2 9 4 4 28 21 31
15 8 Wolves 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 7 2 7 18 16 23
16 12 Brentford 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 6 2 8 18 19 20
17 17 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 7 2 7 21 20 23
18 13 Southampton 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 6 7 4 21 20 25
19 18 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 6 15 20 18
20 10 Brighton 16 13 3 0.6 1.2 3 6 7 10 20 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.5 0.9 10 4 2 40 15 34
2 12 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 23 30 19
3 13 Southampton 16 5 11 1.1 2.1 3 5 8 17 34 14
4 16 Leeds 16 5 11 1.2 2.4 4 4 8 20 38 16
5 6 Man United 17 7 10 1.5 1.8 6 5 6 25 30 23
6 9 Leicester 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 3 5 8 21 31 14
7 17 Everton 15 5 10 0.9 2.2 1 3 11 13 33 6
8 3 Chelsea 16 7 9 2.2 0.6 11 3 2 35 9 36
9 4 Arsenal 16 7 9 1.5 1.6 8 1 7 24 25 25
10 15 Aston Villa 16 7 9 1.1 1.3 6 0 10 18 21 18
11 20 Norwich 16 7 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 11 10 35 9
12 5 Tottenham 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 8 2 6 25 20 26
13 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 7 22 21 21
14 14 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 6 7 18 24 15
15 1 Man City 16 9 7 1.9 0.5 12 3 1 30 8 39
16 10 Brighton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 6 7 4 19 20 25
17 11 Newcastle 16 10 6 0.8 1.8 3 4 9 13 29 13
18 18 Burnley 16 10 6 0.8 1.6 1 7 8 13 25 10
19 19 Watford 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 4 3 9 15 23 15
20 8 Wolves 16 13 3 0.9 0.8 8 2 6 15 12 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51