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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Burnley 1–2 Newcastle

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.25 fair 2.40
Draw 3.40 fair 3.76
Away ✓ 3.20 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 1.87
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 2.15

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Newcastle
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 2
8 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.9% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.89scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 33:51
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.14scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 42:61
Burnley all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.14
1.38 Goals conceded 1.65
2.27 Total goals 2.78
10.68 Shots 11.89
3.24 Shots on target 3.84
16.08 Shots faced 13.73
4.76 Corners 4.27
6.84 Corners against 4.95
10.43 Fouls 10.32
1.81 Yellow cards 2.14
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

19% Wins 32%
38% Draws 27%
43% Losses 41%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 78%
35% Over 2.5 goals 46%
27% Over 3.5 goals 30%
5% Over 4.5 goals 16%
3% Over 5.5 goals 8%
46% Both teams scored 54%
24% Clean sheets 22%
43% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 24%
35% Draws 51%
46% Losses 24%
68% Over 0.5 goals 70%
27% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Newcastle all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
1.17points / match
0.94scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:23
Newcastle before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.89scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:34
Burnley at home away Newcastle

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 0.89
1.28 Goals conceded 1.89
2.22 Total goals 2.78
12.06 Shots 11.17
3.78 Shots on target 3.61
14.00 Shots faced 13.50
5.22 Corners 4.50
6.00 Corners against 5.00
10.72 Fouls 9.61
1.83 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

28% Wins 22%
33% Draws 22%
39% Losses 56%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
61% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 44%
28% Over 3.5 goals 28%
11% Over 4.5 goals 17%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 17%
44% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
44% Draws 50%
39% Losses 33%
56% Over 0.5 goals 72%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
17% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.22 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.37
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
30.04.22 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
24.04.22 Burnley – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.37 1.57
21.04.22 Burnley – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 1.98 1.92
17.04.22 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95
10.04.22 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
06.04.22 Burnley – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 2.623.102.87 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.05.22 Newcastle – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.83 1.90 2.00
08.05.22 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
30.04.22 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Norwich – Newcastle 0–3 (0–2) 3.503.302.15 1.98 1.92
20.04.22 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.20 1.66
17.04.22 Newcastle – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.99 1.91
08.04.22 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.40 2.37 1.57
03.04.22 Tottenham – Newcastle 5–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
17.03.22 Everton – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 1.90 2.00
13.03.22 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
24.04.22 Burnley – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.37 1.57
21.04.22 Burnley – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 1.98 1.92
06.04.22 Burnley – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 2.623.102.87 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
05.03.22 Burnley – Chelsea 0–4 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 2.10 1.72
01.03.22 Burnley – Leicester 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.02 1.88
23.02.22 Burnley – Tottenham 1–0 (0–0) 4.603.801.75 2.10 1.72
13.02.22 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 10.005.251.28 1.57 2.37
08.02.22 Burnley – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.61 1.85 2.05

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.22 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
23.04.22 Norwich – Newcastle 0–3 (0–2) 3.503.302.15 1.98 1.92
03.04.22 Tottenham – Newcastle 5–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
17.03.22 Everton – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.253.10 1.90 2.00
13.03.22 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10
10.03.22 Southampton – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.80 2.00
26.02.22 Brentford – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
19.02.22 West Ham – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
22.01.22 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
16.12.21 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsNewcastle wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.21E0 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 37 28 6 3 96 24 +72 90
2 Liverpool 37 27 8 2 91 25 +66 89
3 Chelsea 37 20 11 6 74 32 +42 71
4 Tottenham 37 21 5 11 64 40 +24 68
5 Arsenal 37 21 3 13 56 47 +9 66
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 57 56 +1 58
7 West Ham 37 16 8 13 59 48 +11 56
8 Wolves 37 15 6 16 37 40 -3 51
9 Leicester 37 13 10 14 58 58 0 49
10 Brighton 37 11 15 11 39 43 -4 48
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 47 54 -7 46
12 Newcastle 37 12 10 15 42 61 -19 46
13 Crystal Palace 37 10 15 12 49 46 +3 45
14 Aston Villa 37 13 6 18 50 51 -1 45
15 Southampton 37 9 13 15 42 63 -21 40
16 Everton 37 11 6 20 42 61 -19 39
17 Burnley 37 7 14 16 33 51 -18 35
18 Leeds 37 8 11 18 40 78 -38 35
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 33 75 -42 23
20 Norwich 37 5 7 25 23 79 -56 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 4 0 46 8 +38 46
2 Man City 18 14 2 2 55 13 +42 44
3 Tottenham 19 13 1 5 38 19 +19 40
4 Arsenal 18 12 2 4 30 16 +14 38
5 Man United 19 10 5 4 32 22 +10 35
6 West Ham 19 9 5 5 33 26 +7 32
7 Chelsea 18 8 7 3 35 21 +14 31
8 Leicester 18 9 4 5 30 22 +8 31
9 Newcastle 19 8 6 5 26 27 -1 30
10 Everton 19 9 2 8 27 25 +2 29
11 Crystal Palace 18 6 8 4 26 17 +9 26
12 Southampton 19 6 7 6 23 24 -1 25
13 Brentford 18 7 3 8 21 19 +2 24
14 Wolves 19 7 3 9 20 25 -5 24
15 Aston Villa 19 6 5 8 29 29 0 23
16 Burnley 18 5 6 7 17 23 -6 21
17 Brighton 18 4 7 7 16 22 -6 19
18 Leeds 19 4 6 9 19 38 -19 18
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 12 38 -26 12
20 Watford 19 2 2 15 17 46 -29 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 19 14 4 1 41 11 +30 46
2 Liverpool 19 13 4 2 45 17 +28 43
3 Chelsea 19 12 4 3 39 11 +28 40
4 Brighton 19 7 8 4 23 21 +2 29
5 Tottenham 18 8 4 6 26 21 +5 28
6 Arsenal 19 9 1 9 26 31 -5 28
7 Wolves 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27
8 West Ham 18 7 3 8 26 22 +4 24
9 Man United 18 6 5 7 25 34 -9 23
10 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 22
11 Brentford 19 6 4 9 26 35 -9 22
12 Crystal Palace 19 4 7 8 23 29 -6 19
13 Leicester 19 4 6 9 28 36 -8 18
14 Leeds 18 4 5 9 21 40 -19 17
15 Newcastle 18 4 4 10 16 34 -18 16
16 Watford 18 4 3 11 16 29 -13 15
17 Southampton 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 15
18 Burnley 19 2 8 9 16 28 -12 14
19 Everton 18 2 4 12 15 36 -21 10
20 Norwich 19 2 4 13 11 41 -30 10

Burnley   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leeds 37 13 24 1.1 2.1 8 11 18 40 78 35
2 2 Liverpool 37 14 23 2.5 0.7 27 8 2 91 25 89
3 9 Leicester 37 14 23 1.6 1.6 13 10 14 58 58 49
4 1 Man City 37 15 22 2.6 0.6 28 6 3 96 24 90
5 20 Norwich 37 15 22 0.6 2.1 5 7 25 23 79 22
6 4 Tottenham 37 16 21 1.7 1.1 21 5 11 64 40 68
7 5 Arsenal 37 16 21 1.5 1.3 21 3 13 56 47 66
8 7 West Ham 37 16 21 1.6 1.3 16 8 13 59 48 56
9 11 Brentford 37 16 21 1.3 1.5 13 7 17 47 54 46
10 14 Aston Villa 37 16 21 1.4 1.4 13 6 18 50 51 45
11 15 Southampton 37 16 21 1.1 1.7 9 13 15 42 63 40
12 16 Everton 37 17 20 1.1 1.6 11 6 20 42 61 39
13 19 Watford 37 17 20 0.9 2.0 6 5 26 33 75 23
14 3 Chelsea 37 18 19 2.0 0.9 20 11 6 74 32 71
15 6 Man United 37 18 19 1.5 1.5 16 10 11 57 56 58
16 13 Crystal Palace 37 18 19 1.3 1.2 10 15 12 49 46 45
17 12 Newcastle 37 20 17 1.1 1.6 12 10 15 42 61 46
18 8 Wolves 37 24 13 1.0 1.1 15 6 16 37 40 51
19 17 Burnley 37 24 13 0.9 1.4 7 14 16 33 51 35
20 10 Brighton 37 25 12 1.1 1.2 11 15 11 39 43 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.0 1.0 13 1 5 38 19 40
2 19 Watford 19 6 13 0.9 2.4 2 2 15 17 46 8
3 1 Man City 18 6 12 3.1 0.7 14 2 2 55 13 44
4 7 West Ham 19 7 12 1.7 1.4 9 5 5 33 26 32
5 18 Leeds 19 7 12 1.0 2.0 4 6 9 19 38 18
6 20 Norwich 18 6 12 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 38 12
7 9 Leicester 18 7 11 1.7 1.2 9 4 5 30 22 31
8 14 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.5 1.5 6 5 8 29 29 23
9 2 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.6 0.4 14 4 0 46 8 46
10 5 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 12 2 4 30 16 38
11 3 Chelsea 18 9 9 1.9 1.2 8 7 3 35 21 31
12 8 Wolves 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 7 3 9 20 25 24
13 12 Newcastle 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 6 5 26 27 30
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 6 8 4 26 17 26
15 16 Everton 19 10 9 1.4 1.3 9 2 8 27 25 29
16 6 Man United 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 10 5 4 32 22 35
17 11 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 19 24
18 15 Southampton 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 6 23 24 25
19 17 Burnley 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 17 23 21
20 10 Brighton 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 16 22 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 13 4 2 45 17 43
2 11 Brentford 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 6 4 9 26 35 22
3 15 Southampton 18 5 13 1.1 2.2 3 6 9 19 39 15
4 9 Leicester 19 7 12 1.5 1.9 4 6 9 28 36 18
5 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.2 4 5 9 21 40 17
6 5 Arsenal 19 8 11 1.4 1.6 9 1 9 26 31 28
7 6 Man United 18 7 11 1.4 1.9 6 5 7 25 34 23
8 16 Everton 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 2 4 12 15 36 10
9 1 Man City 19 9 10 2.2 0.6 14 4 1 41 11 46
10 3 Chelsea 19 9 10 2.1 0.6 12 4 3 39 11 40
11 13 Crystal Palace 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 4 7 8 23 29 19
12 14 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.2 1.2 7 1 10 21 22 22
13 20 Norwich 19 9 10 0.6 2.2 2 4 13 11 41 10
14 7 West Ham 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 22 24
15 4 Tottenham 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 8 4 6 26 21 28
16 12 Newcastle 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 4 4 10 16 34 16
17 10 Brighton 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 7 8 4 23 21 29
18 17 Burnley 19 12 7 0.8 1.5 2 8 9 16 28 14
19 19 Watford 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 11 16 29 15
20 8 Wolves 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51