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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Aston Villa 2–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.11
Draw 3.60 fair 4.23
Away 4.00 fair 3.46
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Leeds
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
0 Corners 11
12 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (177 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.11scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:26
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.47scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:31
Aston Villa all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.47
1.44 Goals conceded 1.82
2.56 Total goals 3.29
11.22 Shots 12.71
4.11 Shots on target 3.94
11.56 Shots faced 13.88
4.22 Corners 5.35
5.17 Corners against 5.12
11.22 Fouls 12.94
2.28 Yellow cards 2.12
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

33% Wins 24%
22% Draws 29%
44% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
83% Over 1.5 goals 76%
50% Over 2.5 goals 65%
28% Over 3.5 goals 41%
0% Over 4.5 goals 24%
0% Over 5.5 goals 18%
50% Both teams scored 65%
22% Clean sheets 18%
33% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 12%
39% Draws 53%
39% Losses 35%
78% Over 0.5 goals 76%
33% Over 1.5 goals 59%
11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Leeds all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:10
Leeds before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.25scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:17
Aston Villa at home away Leeds

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.25
1.11 Goals conceded 2.13
2.56 Total goals 3.38
11.44 Shots 12.25
4.78 Shots on target 3.88
10.67 Shots faced 13.88
4.33 Corners 4.50
4.78 Corners against 6.00
9.33 Fouls 12.25
1.78 Yellow cards 2.38
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

44% Wins 13%
22% Draws 25%
33% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
78% Over 1.5 goals 75%
44% Over 2.5 goals 63%
33% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
56% Both teams scored 63%
22% Clean sheets 13%
22% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 13%
22% Draws 63%
33% Losses 25%
78% Over 0.5 goals 63%
33% Over 1.5 goals 63%
22% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Leeds – West Ham 2–2 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
28.12.22 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75
12.11.22 Tottenham – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.61 2.30
05.11.22 Leeds – Bournemouth 4–3 (1–2) 1.723.804.75 1.80 2.00
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
23.10.22 Leeds – Fulham 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.72 2.10
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10
16.10.22 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
09.10.22 Crystal Palace – Leeds 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.86 2.04

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99
13.08.22 Aston Villa – Everton 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.72
19.05.22 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
12.11.22 Tottenham – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.61 2.30
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10
09.10.22 Crystal Palace – Leeds 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.86 2.04
03.09.22 Brentford – Leeds 5–2 (2–1) 2.103.503.40 1.72 2.10
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
13.08.22 Southampton – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Brentford – Leeds 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.802.62 1.57 2.37
08.05.22 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.61 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLeeds wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.22E0 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
10.03.22E0 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.72 2.10
09.02.22E0 Aston Villa – Leeds 3–3 (3–2) 1.803.804.20 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 14 2 1 40 14 +26 44
2 Man City 17 12 3 2 45 16 +29 39
3 Newcastle 18 9 8 1 32 11 +21 35
4 Man United 17 11 2 4 27 20 +7 35
5 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 37 25 +12 33
6 Fulham 19 9 4 6 32 28 +4 31
7 Liverpool 17 8 4 5 34 22 +12 28
8 Brighton 17 8 3 6 32 25 +7 27
9 Brentford 18 6 8 4 30 28 +2 26
10 Chelsea 18 7 4 7 21 21 0 25
11 Aston Villa 18 6 4 8 20 26 -6 22
12 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 17 25 -8 22
13 Leicester 18 5 2 11 26 31 -5 17
14 Leeds 17 4 5 8 25 31 -6 17
15 Nott'm Forest 18 4 5 9 13 34 -21 17
16 Bournemouth 18 4 4 10 18 39 -21 16
17 West Ham 18 4 3 11 15 24 -9 15
18 Everton 18 3 6 9 14 24 -10 15
19 Wolves 18 3 5 10 11 27 -16 14
20 Southampton 18 3 3 12 15 33 -18 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 7 1 1 31 10 +21 22
2 Arsenal 8 7 1 0 22 8 +14 22
3 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 23 9 +14 20
4 Newcastle 9 5 4 0 17 5 +12 19
5 Man United 8 6 1 1 15 4 +11 19
6 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 21 13 +8 18
7 Fulham 10 5 3 2 18 15 +3 18
8 Brentford 9 4 4 1 18 10 +8 16
9 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
10 Aston Villa 9 4 2 3 13 10 +3 14
11 Crystal Palace 9 4 1 4 10 15 -5 13
12 Leeds 9 3 3 3 15 14 +1 12
13 Nott'm Forest 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
14 Brighton 8 3 2 3 13 10 +3 11
15 Bournemouth 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
16 West Ham 9 3 1 5 9 12 -3 10
17 Leicester 9 2 2 5 9 10 -1 8
18 Everton 9 2 2 5 8 12 -4 8
19 Wolves 9 2 2 5 5 14 -9 8
20 Southampton 9 1 3 5 9 16 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Man City 8 5 2 1 14 6 +8 17
3 Newcastle 9 4 4 1 15 6 +9 16
4 Brighton 9 5 1 3 19 15 +4 16
5 Man United 9 5 1 3 12 16 -4 16
6 Tottenham 9 4 3 2 16 12 +4 15
7 Fulham 9 4 1 4 14 13 +1 13
8 Chelsea 10 3 2 5 9 14 -5 11
9 Brentford 9 2 4 3 12 18 -6 10
10 Crystal Palace 8 2 3 3 7 10 -3 9
11 Leicester 9 3 0 6 17 21 -4 9
12 Liverpool 8 2 2 4 11 13 -2 8
13 Aston Villa 9 2 2 5 7 16 -9 8
14 Everton 9 1 4 4 6 12 -6 7
15 Wolves 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
16 Southampton 9 2 0 7 6 17 -11 6
17 West Ham 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Leeds 8 1 2 5 10 17 -7 5
19 Bournemouth 9 1 2 6 9 29 -20 5
20 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 2 22 -20 5

Aston Villa   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 19 3 16 1.7 1.5 9 4 6 32 28 31
2 7 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.0 1.3 8 4 5 34 22 28
3 1 Arsenal 17 6 11 2.4 0.8 14 2 1 40 14 44
4 2 Man City 17 6 11 2.6 0.9 12 3 2 45 16 39
5 5 Tottenham 18 7 11 2.1 1.4 10 3 5 37 25 33
6 8 Brighton 17 6 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 6 32 25 27
7 9 Brentford 18 7 11 1.7 1.6 6 8 4 30 28 26
8 13 Leicester 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 5 2 11 26 31 17
9 14 Leeds 17 6 11 1.5 1.8 4 5 8 25 31 17
10 4 Man United 17 7 10 1.6 1.2 11 2 4 27 20 35
11 16 Bournemouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.2 4 4 10 18 39 16
12 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.8 1.8 3 3 12 15 33 12
13 10 Chelsea 18 9 9 1.2 1.2 7 4 7 21 21 25
14 11 Aston Villa 18 9 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 20 26 22
15 12 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.0 1.5 6 4 7 17 25 22
16 3 Newcastle 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 9 8 1 32 11 35
17 15 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 0.7 1.9 4 5 9 13 34 17
18 18 Everton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 3 6 9 14 24 15
19 19 Wolves 18 11 7 0.6 1.5 3 5 10 11 27 14
20 17 West Ham 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 4 3 11 15 24 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 10 1 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 2 18 15 18
2 2 Man City 9 1 8 3.4 1.1 7 1 1 31 10 22
3 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.8 1.0 7 1 0 22 8 22
4 5 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.3 1.4 6 0 3 21 13 18
5 7 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.6 1.0 6 2 1 23 9 20
6 12 Crystal Palace 9 3 6 1.1 1.7 4 1 4 10 15 13
7 14 Leeds 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 3 3 3 15 14 12
8 4 Man United 8 3 5 1.9 0.5 6 1 1 15 4 19
9 9 Brentford 9 4 5 2.0 1.1 4 4 1 18 10 16
10 20 Southampton 9 4 5 1.0 1.8 1 3 5 9 16 6
11 8 Brighton 8 4 4 1.6 1.2 3 2 3 13 10 11
12 10 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
13 11 Aston Villa 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 3 13 10 14
14 13 Leicester 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 2 5 9 10 8
15 16 Bournemouth 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
16 18 Everton 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 2 5 8 12 8
17 3 Newcastle 9 6 3 1.9 0.6 5 4 0 17 5 19
18 15 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
19 19 Wolves 9 6 3 0.6 1.6 2 2 5 5 14 8
20 17 West Ham 9 7 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 5 9 12 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 9 2 7 1.6 1.4 4 1 4 14 13 13
2 8 Brighton 9 2 7 2.1 1.7 5 1 3 19 15 16
3 13 Leicester 9 2 7 1.9 2.3 3 0 6 17 21 9
4 7 Liverpool 8 2 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 4 11 13 8
5 9 Brentford 9 3 6 1.3 2.0 2 4 3 12 18 10
6 16 Bournemouth 9 3 6 1.0 3.2 1 2 6 9 29 5
7 3 Newcastle 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 4 4 1 15 6 16
8 4 Man United 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 5 1 3 12 16 16
9 5 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 3 2 16 12 15
10 10 Chelsea 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 3 2 5 9 14 11
11 11 Aston Villa 9 4 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 5 7 16 8
12 14 Leeds 8 3 5 1.2 2.1 1 2 5 10 17 5
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.7 1.9 2 0 7 6 17 6
14 1 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
15 15 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 0.2 2.4 1 2 6 2 22 5
16 19 Wolves 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
17 2 Man City 8 5 3 1.8 0.8 5 2 1 14 6 17
18 12 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 3 7 10 9
19 17 West Ham 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
20 18 Everton 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 4 4 6 12 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51