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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Brighton 1–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.83 fair 1.70
Draw 3.75 fair 4.53
Away ✓ 4.20 fair 5.20
Under 2.5 1.94 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.96 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Aston Villa
7 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.90 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.6% 1–1 10.5% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.69scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:17
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:21
Brighton all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.00
1.31 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 2.50
14.46 Shots 11.14
5.77 Shots on target 4.14
9.69 Shots faced 12.07
6.08 Corners 4.43
4.08 Corners against 4.50
10.77 Fouls 12.00
1.31 Yellow cards 2.14
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

46% Wins 29%
23% Draws 21%
31% Losses 50%
85% Over 0.5 goals 93%
69% Over 1.5 goals 79%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 29%
31% Over 4.5 goals 0%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 43%
31% Clean sheets 21%
31% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 29%
46% Draws 36%
23% Losses 36%
69% Over 0.5 goals 79%
46% Over 1.5 goals 29%
31% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:4
Aston Villa before this match, away
0.29points / match
0.43scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 3:15
Brighton at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.43
0.67 Goals conceded 2.14
2.33 Total goals 2.57
16.83 Shots 11.14
7.00 Shots on target 3.57
7.67 Shots faced 14.14
7.50 Corners 4.29
2.83 Corners against 4.86
9.83 Fouls 13.86
1.67 Yellow cards 2.14
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
33% Draws 29%
17% Losses 71%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 86%
33% Over 2.5 goals 57%
33% Over 3.5 goals 29%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 14%
50% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 0%
67% Draws 43%
17% Losses 57%
50% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 29%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Wolves – Brighton 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
14.10.22 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
01.10.22 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
30.08.22 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 2.01 1.89
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
08.10.22 Brighton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.88 2.02
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
13.08.22 Brighton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
22.05.22 Brighton – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 2.373.502.90 1.72 2.10
07.05.22 Brighton – Man United 4–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.95 1.95
24.04.22 Brighton – Southampton 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.02 1.88
02.04.22 Brighton – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.00 2.00 1.80

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
20.08.22 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80
22.05.22 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsAston Villa wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22E0 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.50 2.10 1.72
20.11.21E0 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 12 1 1 33 11 +22 37
2 Man City 14 10 2 2 40 14 +26 32
3 Newcastle 15 8 6 1 29 11 +18 30
4 Tottenham 15 9 2 4 31 21 +10 29
5 Man United 13 7 2 4 18 19 -1 23
6 Liverpool 14 6 4 4 28 17 +11 22
7 Brighton 13 6 3 4 22 17 +5 21
8 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 17 17 0 21
9 Fulham 14 5 4 5 23 24 -1 19
10 Brentford 15 4 7 4 23 25 -2 19
11 Crystal Palace 14 5 4 5 15 18 -3 19
12 Leicester 15 5 2 8 25 25 0 17
13 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 18 32 -14 16
14 Leeds 14 4 3 7 22 26 -4 15
15 Aston Villa 14 4 3 7 14 21 -7 15
16 West Ham 15 4 2 9 12 17 -5 14
17 Everton 15 3 5 7 11 17 -6 14
18 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 11 30 -19 13
19 Southampton 15 3 3 9 13 27 -14 12
20 Wolves 15 2 4 9 8 24 -16 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 30 9 +21 21
2 Arsenal 6 6 0 0 19 7 +12 18
3 Newcastle 8 5 3 0 17 5 +12 18
4 Tottenham 8 6 0 2 21 11 +10 18
5 Liverpool 8 5 2 1 21 8 +13 17
6 Aston Villa 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
7 Man United 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
8 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
9 Brentford 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
10 Fulham 7 3 3 1 13 11 +2 12
11 Brighton 6 3 2 1 10 4 +6 11
12 Chelsea 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11
13 Leeds 7 3 2 2 12 9 +3 11
14 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
15 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11
16 West Ham 8 3 1 4 9 10 -1 10
17 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 6 +3 8
18 Everton 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
19 Wolves 8 2 2 4 5 13 -8 8
20 Southampton 7 1 3 3 8 12 -4 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 14 4 +10 19
2 Newcastle 7 3 3 1 12 6 +6 12
3 Man City 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
4 Tottenham 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
5 Brighton 7 3 1 3 12 13 -1 10
6 Chelsea 8 3 1 4 7 11 -4 10
7 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 15 -6 10
8 Leicester 8 3 0 5 16 19 -3 9
9 Fulham 7 2 1 4 10 13 -3 7
10 Brentford 8 1 4 3 10 18 -8 7
11 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
12 Everton 8 1 3 4 5 11 -6 6
13 Southampton 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
14 Liverpool 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
15 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 9 24 -15 5
16 West Ham 7 1 1 5 3 7 -4 4
17 Leeds 7 1 1 5 10 17 -7 4
18 Wolves 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2
19 Aston Villa 7 0 2 5 3 15 -12 2
20 Nott'm Forest 7 0 2 5 1 19 -18 2

Brighton   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Fulham 14 2 12 1.6 1.7 5 4 5 23 24 19
2 2 Man City 14 4 10 2.9 1.0 10 2 2 40 14 32
3 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.4 0.8 12 1 1 33 11 37
4 4 Tottenham 15 6 9 2.1 1.4 9 2 4 31 21 29
5 6 Liverpool 14 5 9 2.0 1.2 6 4 4 28 17 22
6 10 Brentford 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 4 7 4 23 25 19
7 12 Leicester 15 6 9 1.7 1.7 5 2 8 25 25 17
8 13 Bournemouth 15 6 9 1.2 2.1 4 4 7 18 32 16
9 14 Leeds 14 5 9 1.6 1.9 4 3 7 22 26 15
10 8 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.2 1.2 6 3 5 17 17 21
11 19 Southampton 15 7 8 0.9 1.8 3 3 9 13 27 12
12 3 Newcastle 15 8 7 1.9 0.7 8 6 1 29 11 30
13 5 Man United 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 7 2 4 18 19 23
14 7 Brighton 13 6 7 1.7 1.3 6 3 4 22 17 21
15 11 Crystal Palace 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 5 15 18 19
16 15 Aston Villa 14 7 7 1.0 1.5 4 3 7 14 21 15
17 18 Nott'm Forest 15 9 6 0.7 2.0 3 4 8 11 30 13
18 20 Wolves 15 9 6 0.5 1.6 2 4 9 8 24 10
19 17 Everton 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 3 5 7 11 17 14
20 16 West Ham 15 12 3 0.8 1.1 4 2 9 12 17 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 8 0 8 3.8 1.1 7 0 1 30 9 21
2 1 Arsenal 6 0 6 3.2 1.2 6 0 0 19 7 18
3 4 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.6 1.4 6 0 2 21 11 18
4 9 Fulham 7 1 6 1.9 1.6 3 3 1 13 11 12
5 6 Liverpool 8 3 5 2.6 1.0 5 2 1 21 8 17
6 8 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11
7 11 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
8 13 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
9 14 Leeds 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 2 12 9 11
10 19 Southampton 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 1 3 3 8 12 6
11 3 Newcastle 8 5 3 2.1 0.6 5 3 0 17 5 18
12 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
13 10 Brentford 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
14 12 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 2 2 3 9 6 8
15 15 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
16 18 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 3 2 3 10 11 11
17 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 2 2 4 5 13 8
18 7 Brighton 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 3 2 1 10 4 11
19 16 West Ham 8 6 2 1.1 1.2 3 1 4 9 10 10
20 17 Everton 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Fulham 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 1 4 10 13 7
2 10 Brentford 8 2 6 1.2 2.2 1 4 3 10 18 7
3 12 Leicester 8 2 6 2.0 2.4 3 0 5 16 19 9
4 7 Brighton 7 2 5 1.7 1.9 3 1 3 12 13 10
5 13 Bournemouth 7 2 5 1.3 3.4 1 2 4 9 24 5
6 14 Leeds 7 2 5 1.4 2.4 1 1 5 10 17 4
7 3 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 3 3 1 12 6 12
8 5 Man United 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 3 1 3 9 15 10
9 6 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
10 8 Chelsea 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 3 1 4 7 11 10
11 15 Aston Villa 7 3 4 0.4 2.1 0 2 5 3 15 2
12 19 Southampton 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
13 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 1 1 14 4 19
14 4 Tottenham 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
15 11 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
16 17 Everton 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 4 5 11 6
17 18 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 0.1 2.7 0 2 5 1 19 2
18 20 Wolves 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2
19 2 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
20 16 West Ham 7 6 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 5 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51