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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Chelsea 1–0 Man United

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.95
Draw 5.00 fair 4.22
Away 6.25 fair 4.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 1.50 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Man United
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (361 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.72scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 62:43
Man United before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.17scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 42:53
Chelsea all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.17
1.19 Goals conceded 1.47
2.92 Total goals 2.64
16.06 Shots 13.83
5.92 Shots on target 4.53
10.67 Shots faced 11.06
6.25 Corners 5.39
3.67 Corners against 4.75
11.53 Fouls 10.81
2.64 Yellow cards 2.08
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

50% Wins 28%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 92%
81% Over 1.5 goals 78%
58% Over 2.5 goals 53%
28% Over 3.5 goals 25%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 3%
61% Both teams scored 44%
25% Clean sheets 25%
19% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 14%
33% Draws 47%
28% Losses 39%
78% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
14% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Man United all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
2.11points / match
1.89scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:18
Man United before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.17scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:25
Chelsea at home away Man United

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.17
1.00 Goals conceded 1.39
2.89 Total goals 2.56
18.17 Shots 13.44
6.89 Shots on target 4.61
10.33 Shots faced 11.39
6.44 Corners 5.11
3.56 Corners against 5.72
11.39 Fouls 10.56
2.61 Yellow cards 2.00
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

61% Wins 22%
28% Draws 33%
11% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
83% Over 1.5 goals 72%
61% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 50%
28% Clean sheets 28%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 11%
33% Draws 50%
17% Losses 39%
78% Over 0.5 goals 61%
33% Over 1.5 goals 28%
11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Chelsea – Everton 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 1.88 2.02
20.04.25 Fulham – Chelsea 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.702.35 1.84 2.06
13.04.25 Chelsea – Ipswich 2–2 (0–2) 1.277.008.50 1.44 2.75
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50
03.04.25 Chelsea – Tottenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
16.03.25 Arsenal – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.86 1.92
09.03.25 Chelsea – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.20
25.02.25 Chelsea – Southampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.75

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20
27.04.25 Bournemouth – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.004.50 1.67 2.20
20.04.25 Man United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.97 1.93
13.04.25 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
01.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Leicester – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Man United – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.501.70 2.15 1.62
26.02.25 Man United – Ipswich 3–2 (2–2) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Chelsea – Everton 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 1.88 2.02
13.04.25 Chelsea – Ipswich 2–2 (0–2) 1.277.008.50 1.44 2.75
03.04.25 Chelsea – Tottenham 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
09.03.25 Chelsea – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.20
25.02.25 Chelsea – Southampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.75
03.02.25 Chelsea – West Ham 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.758.00 1.40 3.00
20.01.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.756.50 1.36 3.20
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
26.12.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.44 2.75

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20
27.04.25 Bournemouth – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.004.50 1.67 2.20
13.04.25 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20
01.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Leicester – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Everton – Man United 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.67
16.02.25 Tottenham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.752.62 1.50 2.63
26.01.25 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 2.02
05.01.25 Liverpool – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 1.296.258.00 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Wolves – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsMan United wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
04.04.24E0 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.05.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
22.10.22E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
28.04.22E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
28.11.21E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83 37 +46 83
2 Arsenal 36 18 14 4 66 33 +33 68
3 Newcastle 36 20 6 10 68 45 +23 66
4 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 +9 66
5 Man City 36 19 8 9 67 43 +24 65
6 Chelsea 36 18 9 9 62 43 +19 63
7 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 56 44 +12 62
8 Brentford 36 16 7 13 63 53 +10 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 59 56 +3 55
10 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 43 +12 53
11 Fulham 36 14 9 13 51 50 +1 51
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 48 -2 49
13 Everton 36 9 15 12 39 44 -5 42
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 51 64 -13 41
15 West Ham 36 10 10 16 42 59 -17 40
16 Man United 36 10 9 17 42 53 -11 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 +2 38
18 Ipswich 36 4 10 22 35 77 -42 22
19 Leicester 36 5 7 24 31 78 -47 22
20 Southampton 36 2 6 28 25 82 -57 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 41 15 +26 45
2 Aston Villa 19 11 7 1 34 20 +14 40
3 Man City 18 12 3 3 40 22 +18 39
4 Newcastle 18 12 2 4 40 19 +21 38
5 Chelsea 18 11 5 2 34 18 +16 38
6 Arsenal 18 10 6 2 34 17 +17 36
7 Nott'm Forest 18 9 5 4 26 15 +11 32
8 Brentford 18 9 4 5 38 32 +6 31
9 Brighton 18 7 8 3 27 24 +3 29
10 Fulham 18 7 5 6 27 28 -1 26
11 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 21 16 +5 25
12 Crystal Palace 18 5 7 6 20 24 -4 22
13 Tottenham 18 6 3 9 34 31 +3 21
14 Everton 18 4 9 5 24 23 +1 21
15 Man United 18 6 3 9 21 28 -7 21
16 Wolves 18 6 2 10 26 31 -5 20
17 West Ham 18 5 5 8 22 32 -10 20
18 Leicester 18 3 3 12 13 34 -21 12
19 Ipswich 18 1 4 13 13 41 -28 7
20 Southampton 18 1 3 14 12 45 -33 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 11 5 2 42 22 +20 38
2 Arsenal 18 8 8 2 32 16 +16 32
3 Nott'm Forest 18 9 3 6 30 29 +1 30
4 Bournemouth 18 7 7 4 34 27 +7 28
5 Newcastle 18 8 4 6 28 26 +2 28
6 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27
7 Man City 18 7 5 6 27 21 +6 26
8 Brighton 18 7 5 6 32 32 0 26
9 Aston Villa 18 8 2 8 24 29 -5 26
10 Chelsea 18 7 4 7 28 25 +3 25
11 Fulham 18 7 4 7 24 22 +2 25
12 Brentford 18 7 3 8 25 21 +4 24
13 Everton 18 5 6 7 15 21 -6 21
14 Wolves 18 6 3 9 25 33 -8 21
15 West Ham 18 5 5 8 20 27 -7 20
16 Man United 18 4 6 8 21 25 -4 18
17 Tottenham 19 5 2 12 29 30 -1 17
18 Ipswich 18 3 6 9 22 36 -14 15
19 Leicester 18 2 4 12 18 44 -26 10
20 Southampton 18 1 3 14 13 37 -24 6

Chelsea   Man United

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Brighton 36 11 25 1.6 1.6 14 13 9 59 56 55
2 4 Aston Villa 37 13 24 1.6 1.3 19 9 9 58 49 66
3 14 Wolves 36 12 24 1.4 1.8 12 5 19 51 64 41
4 1 Liverpool 36 13 23 2.3 1.0 25 8 3 83 37 83
5 3 Newcastle 36 13 23 1.9 1.2 20 6 10 68 45 66
6 17 Tottenham 37 14 23 1.7 1.6 11 5 21 63 61 38
7 19 Leicester 36 13 23 0.9 2.2 5 7 24 31 78 22
8 5 Man City 36 14 22 1.9 1.2 19 8 9 67 43 65
9 8 Brentford 36 14 22 1.8 1.5 16 7 13 63 53 55
10 20 Southampton 36 14 22 0.7 2.3 2 6 28 25 82 12
11 6 Chelsea 36 15 21 1.7 1.2 18 9 9 62 43 63
12 11 Fulham 36 15 21 1.4 1.4 14 9 13 51 50 51
13 18 Ipswich 36 15 21 1.0 2.1 4 10 22 35 77 22
14 10 Bournemouth 36 16 20 1.5 1.2 14 11 11 55 43 53
15 16 Man United 36 17 19 1.2 1.5 10 9 17 42 53 39
16 7 Nott'm Forest 36 18 18 1.6 1.2 18 8 10 56 44 62
17 15 West Ham 36 19 17 1.2 1.6 10 10 16 42 59 40
18 2 Arsenal 36 20 16 1.8 0.9 18 14 4 66 33 68
19 12 Crystal Palace 36 20 16 1.3 1.3 12 13 11 46 48 49
20 13 Everton 36 22 14 1.1 1.2 9 15 12 39 44 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man City 18 5 13 2.2 1.2 12 3 3 40 22 39
2 17 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.9 1.7 6 3 9 34 31 21
3 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.3 0.8 14 3 1 41 15 45
4 3 Newcastle 18 6 12 2.2 1.1 12 2 4 40 19 38
5 9 Brighton 18 6 12 1.5 1.3 7 8 3 27 24 29
6 11 Fulham 18 6 12 1.5 1.6 7 5 6 27 28 26
7 20 Southampton 18 6 12 0.7 2.5 1 3 14 12 45 6
8 4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.8 1.1 11 7 1 34 20 40
9 6 Chelsea 18 7 11 1.9 1.0 11 5 2 34 18 38
10 8 Brentford 18 7 11 2.1 1.8 9 4 5 38 32 31
11 14 Wolves 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 6 2 10 26 31 20
12 2 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 10 6 2 34 17 36
13 15 West Ham 18 8 10 1.2 1.8 5 5 8 22 32 20
14 16 Man United 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 6 3 9 21 28 21
15 13 Everton 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 4 9 5 24 23 21
16 18 Ipswich 18 9 9 0.7 2.3 1 4 13 13 41 7
17 19 Leicester 18 9 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 12 13 34 12
18 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 5 7 6 20 24 22
19 7 Nott'm Forest 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 9 5 4 26 15 32
20 10 Bournemouth 18 12 6 1.2 0.9 7 4 7 21 16 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.9 1.5 7 7 4 34 27 28
2 19 Leicester 18 4 14 1.0 2.4 2 4 12 18 44 10
3 4 Aston Villa 18 5 13 1.3 1.6 8 2 8 24 29 26
4 9 Brighton 18 5 13 1.8 1.8 7 5 6 32 32 26
5 14 Wolves 18 5 13 1.4 1.8 6 3 9 25 33 21
6 7 Nott'm Forest 18 6 12 1.7 1.6 9 3 6 30 29 30
7 18 Ipswich 18 6 12 1.2 2.0 3 6 9 22 36 15
8 1 Liverpool 18 7 11 2.3 1.2 11 5 2 42 22 38
9 3 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.6 1.4 8 4 6 28 26 28
10 8 Brentford 18 7 11 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 25 21 24
11 6 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 25 25
12 17 Tottenham 19 9 10 1.5 1.6 5 2 12 29 30 17
13 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.7 2.1 1 3 14 13 37 6
14 5 Man City 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 7 5 6 27 21 26
15 11 Fulham 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 7 4 7 24 22 25
16 16 Man United 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 4 6 8 21 25 18
17 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27
18 15 West Ham 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 20 27 20
19 2 Arsenal 18 12 6 1.8 0.9 8 8 2 32 16 32
20 13 Everton 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 5 6 7 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06