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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Montpellier 2–6 Paris SG

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 6.00 fair 3.93
Draw 4.50 fair 4.07
Away ✓ 1.50 fair 2.00
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Montpellier Paris SG
12 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 9
7 Corners 4
9 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (233 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
MontpellierDrawParis SG
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 0–1 10.6% 1–2 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Montpellier before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.16scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 29:34
Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
2.24scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 56:21
Montpellier all matches all matches Paris SG

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 2.24
1.36 Goals conceded 0.84
2.52 Total goals 3.08
13.84 Shots 14.96
5.28 Shots on target 5.92
15.32 Shots faced 11.96
4.28 Corners 5.52
5.12 Corners against 4.64
12.68 Fouls 10.56
2.00 Yellow cards 1.44
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.12
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

24% Wins 64%
36% Draws 32%
40% Losses 4%
84% Over 0.5 goals 88%
76% Over 1.5 goals 88%
56% Over 2.5 goals 64%
28% Over 3.5 goals 44%
8% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
48% Both teams scored 60%
32% Clean sheets 40%
36% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 60%
24% Draws 36%
40% Losses 4%
76% Over 0.5 goals 72%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
12% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Montpellier all matches
Paris SG all matches
Montpellier before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Paris SG before this match, away
2.33points / match
1.92scored / match
0.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:7
Montpellier at home away Paris SG

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.92
1.08 Goals conceded 0.58
2.23 Total goals 2.50
17.15 Shots 14.67
5.62 Shots on target 6.00
14.00 Shots faced 16.00
5.08 Corners 5.50
3.92 Corners against 5.58
13.46 Fouls 11.42
1.85 Yellow cards 1.33
0.38 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.08

How often Full Time

15% Wins 67%
62% Draws 33%
23% Losses 0%
69% Over 0.5 goals 83%
69% Over 1.5 goals 83%
54% Over 2.5 goals 42%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 50%
46% Clean sheets 50%
31% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 58%
38% Draws 42%
31% Losses 0%
62% Over 0.5 goals 58%
8% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Montpellier at home
Paris SG away

Last 10 matches before this match

Montpellier all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.24 Nice – Montpellier 1–2 (1–2) 1.753.604.50 1.92 1.98
03.03.24 Montpellier – Strasbourg 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.90
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
18.02.24 Montpellier – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.704.75 2.15 1.67
11.02.24 Montpellier – Lyon 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.402.38 2.06 1.84
03.02.24 Rennes – Montpellier 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.50 1.86 2.04
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
14.01.24 Brest – Montpellier 2–0 (0–0) 1.833.754.20 1.99 1.91
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
17.12.23 Metz – Montpellier 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.302.25 2.08 1.73

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Paris SG – Reims 2–2 (2–2) 1.405.007.00 1.48 2.60
01.03.24 Monaco – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 Paris SG – Rennes 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.757.00 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 Nantes – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Paris SG – Lille 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.25 1.70 2.10
02.02.24 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.60 2.30
28.01.24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 (2–0) 1.365.507.50 1.53 2.40
14.01.24 Lens – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.604.001.85 1.60 2.30
20.12.23 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
17.12.23 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15

Montpellier at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 Montpellier – Strasbourg 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.90
18.02.24 Montpellier – Metz 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.704.75 2.15 1.67
11.02.24 Montpellier – Lyon 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.402.38 2.06 1.84
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
08.12.23 Montpellier – Lens 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.15 2.00 1.90
29.11.23 Montpellier – Clermont 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.00 1.90
26.11.23 Montpellier – Brest 1–3 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.92
10.11.23 Montpellier – Nice 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.05 1.85
29.10.23 Montpellier – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.50 1.73 2.08

Paris SG away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.24 Monaco – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Nantes – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
02.02.24 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.60 2.30
14.01.24 Lens – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.604.001.85 1.60 2.30
17.12.23 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
03.12.23 Le Havre – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.30 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Reims – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.60 1.60 2.30
29.10.23 Brest – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 5.754.331.53 1.65 2.20
08.10.23 Rennes – Paris SG 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Clermont – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.44 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Montpellier winsDrawsParis SG wins
5matches
4.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.23F1 Paris SG – Montpellier 3–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.10
01.02.23F1 Montpellier – Paris SG 1–3 (0–0) 8.506.001.30 1.44 2.75
13.08.22F1 Paris SG – Montpellier 5–2 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.22 4.33
14.05.22F1 Montpellier – Paris SG 0–4 (0–3) 7.505.501.36 1.33 3.40
25.09.21F1 Paris SG – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.33 3.40

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 25 16 8 1 56 21 +35 56
2 Brest 26 13 8 5 36 20 +16 47
3 Monaco 26 13 7 6 47 36 +11 46
4 Lille 26 11 10 5 37 23 +14 43
5 Nice 26 12 7 7 27 20 +7 43
6 Lens 26 12 6 8 35 27 +8 42
7 Marseille 26 10 9 7 40 28 +12 39
8 Rennes 26 10 9 7 40 31 +9 39
9 Reims 26 11 5 10 34 35 -1 38
10 Lyon 26 10 4 12 30 40 -10 34
11 Toulouse 26 7 8 11 29 36 -7 29
12 Strasbourg 26 7 8 11 28 39 -11 29
13 Montpellier 25 6 9 10 29 34 -5 27
14 Le Havre 26 6 9 11 26 33 -7 27
15 Lorient 26 6 8 12 35 49 -14 26
16 Nantes 26 7 4 15 24 41 -17 25
17 Metz 26 6 5 15 23 39 -16 23
18 Clermont 26 4 8 14 19 43 -24 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 13 8 5 0 24 7 +17 29
2 Paris SG 13 8 4 1 33 14 +19 28
3 Lille 12 8 3 1 23 6 +17 27
4 Brest 13 7 5 1 20 8 +12 26
5 Nice 13 7 4 2 15 7 +8 25
6 Rennes 14 7 3 4 28 18 +10 24
7 Lens 13 7 2 4 21 15 +6 23
8 Monaco 13 6 3 4 20 13 +7 21
9 Reims 13 6 2 5 15 15 0 20
10 Le Havre 12 5 2 5 14 12 +2 17
11 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 14 18 -4 15
12 Lyon 13 4 3 6 15 22 -7 15
13 Montpellier 13 2 8 3 15 14 +1 14
14 Toulouse 13 3 5 5 18 18 0 14
15 Lorient 13 3 4 6 19 23 -4 13
16 Nantes 14 3 3 8 15 22 -7 12
17 Clermont 13 2 4 7 9 21 -12 10
18 Metz 12 2 3 7 10 14 -4 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 8 4 0 23 7 +16 28
2 Monaco 13 7 4 2 27 23 +4 25
3 Brest 13 6 3 4 16 12 +4 21
4 Lens 13 5 4 4 14 12 +2 19
5 Lyon 13 6 1 6 15 18 -3 19
6 Reims 13 5 3 5 19 20 -1 18
7 Nice 13 5 3 5 12 13 -1 18
8 Lille 14 3 7 4 14 17 -3 16
9 Rennes 12 3 6 3 12 13 -1 15
10 Toulouse 13 4 3 6 11 18 -7 15
11 Strasbourg 13 3 5 5 14 21 -7 14
12 Metz 14 4 2 8 13 25 -12 14
13 Montpellier 12 4 1 7 14 20 -6 13
14 Lorient 13 3 4 6 16 26 -10 13
15 Nantes 12 4 1 7 9 19 -10 13
16 Marseille 13 2 4 7 16 21 -5 10
17 Le Havre 14 1 7 6 12 21 -9 10
18 Clermont 13 2 4 7 10 22 -12 10

Montpellier   Paris SG

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 26 9 17 1.8 1.4 13 7 6 47 36 46
2 15 Lorient 26 9 17 1.3 1.9 6 8 12 35 49 26
3 1 Paris SG 25 9 16 2.2 0.8 16 8 1 56 21 56
4 9 Reims 26 11 15 1.3 1.3 11 5 10 34 35 38
5 12 Strasbourg 26 11 15 1.1 1.5 7 8 11 28 39 29
6 8 Rennes 26 12 14 1.5 1.2 10 9 7 40 31 39
7 10 Lyon 26 12 14 1.2 1.5 10 4 12 30 40 34
8 11 Toulouse 26 12 14 1.1 1.4 7 8 11 29 36 29
9 13 Montpellier 25 11 14 1.2 1.4 6 9 10 29 34 27
10 14 Le Havre 26 12 14 1.0 1.3 6 9 11 26 33 27
11 18 Clermont 26 13 13 0.7 1.7 4 8 14 19 43 20
12 17 Metz 26 14 12 0.9 1.5 6 5 15 23 39 23
13 6 Lens 26 15 11 1.3 1.0 12 6 8 35 27 42
14 7 Marseille 26 15 11 1.5 1.1 10 9 7 40 28 39
15 16 Nantes 26 15 11 0.9 1.6 7 4 15 24 41 25
16 4 Lille 26 16 10 1.4 0.9 11 10 5 37 23 43
17 2 Brest 26 17 9 1.4 0.8 13 8 5 36 20 47
18 5 Nice 26 19 7 1.0 0.8 12 7 7 27 20 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 13 2 11 2.5 1.1 8 4 1 33 14 28
2 8 Rennes 14 4 10 2.0 1.3 7 3 4 28 18 24
3 11 Toulouse 13 5 8 1.4 1.4 3 5 5 18 18 14
4 12 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.1 1.4 4 3 6 14 18 15
5 15 Lorient 13 5 8 1.5 1.8 3 4 6 19 23 13
6 3 Monaco 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 6 3 4 20 13 21
7 10 Lyon 13 6 7 1.2 1.7 4 3 6 15 22 15
8 13 Montpellier 13 6 7 1.2 1.1 2 8 3 15 14 14
9 6 Lens 13 7 6 1.6 1.2 7 2 4 21 15 23
10 7 Marseille 13 7 6 1.8 0.5 8 5 0 24 7 29
11 9 Reims 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 2 5 15 15 20
12 14 Le Havre 12 6 6 1.2 1.0 5 2 5 14 12 17
13 4 Lille 12 7 5 1.9 0.5 8 3 1 23 6 27
14 16 Nantes 14 9 5 1.1 1.6 3 3 8 15 22 12
15 17 Metz 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 2 3 7 10 14 9
16 18 Clermont 13 8 5 0.7 1.6 2 4 7 9 21 10
17 2 Brest 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 7 5 1 20 8 26
18 5 Nice 13 10 3 1.2 0.5 7 4 2 15 7 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 13 3 10 2.1 1.8 7 4 2 27 23 25
2 9 Reims 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 3 5 19 20 18
3 15 Lorient 13 4 9 1.2 2.0 3 4 6 16 26 13
4 14 Le Havre 14 6 8 0.9 1.5 1 7 6 12 21 10
5 18 Clermont 13 5 8 0.8 1.7 2 4 7 10 22 10
6 10 Lyon 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 6 1 6 15 18 19
7 12 Strasbourg 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 5 14 21 14
8 13 Montpellier 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 4 1 7 14 20 13
9 17 Metz 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 2 8 13 25 14
10 11 Toulouse 13 7 6 0.8 1.4 4 3 6 11 18 15
11 16 Nantes 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 4 1 7 9 19 13
12 1 Paris SG 12 7 5 1.9 0.6 8 4 0 23 7 28
13 2 Brest 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 6 3 4 16 12 21
14 4 Lille 14 9 5 1.0 1.2 3 7 4 14 17 16
15 6 Lens 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 5 4 4 14 12 19
16 7 Marseille 13 8 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 7 16 21 10
17 5 Nice 13 9 4 0.9 1.0 5 3 5 12 13 18
18 8 Rennes 12 8 4 1.0 1.1 3 6 3 12 13 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44