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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Lille 3–1 Marseille

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.05
Draw 3.40 fair 3.94
Away 3.75 fair 3.86
Under 2.5 1.82 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lille Marseille
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 2
13 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).
Result Lille to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
LilleDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Lille before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.44scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 39:24
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.48scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 40:30
Lille all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.48
0.89 Goals conceded 1.11
2.33 Total goals 2.59
13.44 Shots 13.96
5.30 Shots on target 4.67
9.44 Shots faced 10.63
5.56 Corners 5.56
4.19 Corners against 4.63
11.15 Fouls 10.96
1.93 Yellow cards 1.67
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

44% Wins 37%
37% Draws 33%
19% Losses 30%
89% Over 0.5 goals 93%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
41% Over 2.5 goals 41%
22% Over 3.5 goals 26%
4% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
48% Both teams scored 48%
52% Clean sheets 26%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 41%
30% Draws 41%
19% Losses 19%
74% Over 0.5 goals 74%
37% Over 1.5 goals 41%
7% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille all matches
Marseille all matches
Lille before this match, at home
2.31points / match
1.92scored / match
0.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:7
Marseille before this match, away
0.77points / match
1.23scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:21
Lille at home away Marseille

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.23
0.54 Goals conceded 1.62
2.46 Total goals 2.85
15.23 Shots 13.23
6.62 Shots on target 3.92
7.85 Shots faced 11.69
5.92 Corners 5.69
3.69 Corners against 4.62
11.08 Fouls 12.46
1.62 Yellow cards 2.15
1.15 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

69% Wins 15%
23% Draws 31%
8% Losses 54%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 69%
46% Over 2.5 goals 38%
15% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 15%
38% Both teams scored 54%
62% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

69% Wins 23%
15% Draws 46%
15% Losses 31%
85% Over 0.5 goals 77%
46% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Lille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
17.03.24 Brest – Lille 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.30 1.60
10.03.24 Lille – Rennes 2–2 (0–2) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.85
02.03.24 Reims – Lille 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 1.99 1.91
25.02.24 Toulouse – Lille 3–1 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.03 1.87
17.02.24 Lille – Le Havre 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.336.50 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Paris SG – Lille 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.25 1.70 2.10
04.02.24 Lille – Clermont 4–0 (4–0) 1.404.508.50 1.85 2.05
28.01.24 Montpellier – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 2.01 1.89
14.01.24 Lille – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10
12.01.24 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.08 1.73

Lille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Lille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
10.03.24 Lille – Rennes 2–2 (0–2) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.85
17.02.24 Lille – Le Havre 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.336.50 2.05 1.75
04.02.24 Lille – Clermont 4–0 (4–0) 1.404.508.50 1.85 2.05
14.01.24 Lille – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
17.12.23 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
03.12.23 Lille – Metz 2–0 (2–0) 1.454.507.50 1.73 2.08
12.11.23 Lille – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Lille – Monaco 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.752.90 1.57 2.35
22.10.23 Lille – Brest 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 1.98 1.92

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
10.12.23 Lorient – Marseille 2–4 (1–4) 4.753.601.80 1.97 1.93
25.11.23 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.91 2.08 1.82
12.11.23 Lens – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.89 2.01
21.10.23 Nice – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.06 1.84
30.09.23 Monaco – Marseille 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lille winsDrawsMarseille wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23F1 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
20.05.23F1 Lille – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.73 2.10
10.09.22F1 Marseille – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.72 2.10
16.01.22F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.04 1.86
03.10.21F1 Lille – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.303.00 2.00 1.80

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 18 8 1 64 23 +41 62
2 Brest 27 14 8 5 37 20 +17 50
3 Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 +14 49
4 Lille 27 12 10 5 39 24 +15 46
5 Nice 27 12 7 8 28 22 +6 43
6 Lens 27 12 6 9 36 29 +7 42
7 Marseille 27 10 9 8 40 30 +10 39
8 Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 +7 39
9 Reims 27 11 6 10 35 36 -1 39
10 Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse 27 8 8 11 32 36 -4 32
12 Strasbourg 27 8 8 11 30 39 -9 32
13 Montpellier 27 7 9 11 33 40 -7 30
14 Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
15 Le Havre 27 6 9 12 26 35 -9 27
16 Lorient 27 6 8 13 35 50 -15 26
17 Metz 27 6 5 16 25 44 -19 23
18 Clermont 27 4 8 15 19 46 -27 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 13 9 3 1 25 7 +18 30
2 Marseille 14 8 5 1 24 9 +15 29
3 Paris SG 13 8 4 1 33 14 +19 28
4 Brest 13 7 5 1 20 8 +12 26
5 Nice 14 7 4 3 16 9 +7 25
6 Rennes 14 7 3 4 28 18 +10 24
7 Lens 13 7 2 4 21 15 +6 23
8 Monaco 13 6 3 4 20 13 +7 21
9 Reims 13 6 2 5 15 15 0 20
10 Strasbourg 14 5 3 6 16 18 -2 18
11 Le Havre 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
12 Lyon 14 4 4 6 16 23 -7 16
13 Toulouse 13 3 5 5 18 18 0 14
14 Montpellier 14 2 8 4 17 20 -3 14
15 Lorient 14 3 4 7 19 24 -5 13
16 Nantes 14 3 3 8 15 22 -7 12
17 Clermont 14 2 4 8 9 24 -15 10
18 Metz 13 2 3 8 12 19 -7 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 31 9 +22 34
2 Monaco 14 8 4 2 32 25 +7 28
3 Brest 14 7 3 4 17 12 +5 24
4 Lens 14 5 4 5 15 14 +1 19
5 Reims 14 5 4 5 20 21 -1 19
6 Lyon 13 6 1 6 15 18 -3 19
7 Nice 13 5 3 5 12 13 -1 18
8 Toulouse 14 5 3 6 14 18 -4 18
9 Lille 14 3 7 4 14 17 -3 16
10 Montpellier 13 5 1 7 16 20 -4 16
11 Nantes 13 5 1 7 11 20 -9 16
12 Rennes 13 3 6 4 12 15 -3 15
13 Strasbourg 13 3 5 5 14 21 -7 14
14 Metz 14 4 2 8 13 25 -12 14
15 Lorient 13 3 4 6 16 26 -10 13
16 Marseille 13 2 4 7 16 21 -5 10
17 Le Havre 14 1 7 6 12 21 -9 10
18 Clermont 13 2 4 7 10 22 -12 10

Lille   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 27 9 18 1.9 1.4 14 7 6 52 38 49
2 1 Paris SG 27 10 17 2.4 0.9 18 8 1 64 23 62
3 16 Lorient 27 10 17 1.3 1.9 6 8 13 35 50 26
4 9 Reims 27 12 15 1.3 1.3 11 6 10 35 36 39
5 11 Toulouse 27 12 15 1.2 1.3 8 8 11 32 36 32
6 12 Strasbourg 27 12 15 1.1 1.4 8 8 11 30 39 32
7 13 Montpellier 27 12 15 1.2 1.5 7 9 11 33 40 30
8 8 Rennes 27 13 14 1.5 1.2 10 9 8 40 33 39
9 10 Lyon 27 13 14 1.1 1.5 10 5 12 31 41 35
10 15 Le Havre 27 13 14 1.0 1.3 6 9 12 26 35 27
11 18 Clermont 27 13 14 0.7 1.7 4 8 15 19 46 20
12 17 Metz 27 14 13 0.9 1.6 6 5 16 25 44 23
13 6 Lens 27 15 12 1.3 1.1 12 6 9 36 29 42
14 14 Nantes 27 15 12 1.0 1.6 8 4 15 26 42 28
15 4 Lille 27 16 11 1.4 0.9 12 10 5 39 24 46
16 7 Marseille 27 16 11 1.5 1.1 10 9 8 40 30 39
17 2 Brest 27 18 9 1.4 0.7 14 8 5 37 20 50
18 5 Nice 27 19 8 1.0 0.8 12 7 8 28 22 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 13 2 11 2.5 1.1 8 4 1 33 14 28
2 8 Rennes 14 4 10 2.0 1.3 7 3 4 28 18 24
3 11 Toulouse 13 5 8 1.4 1.4 3 5 5 18 18 14
4 12 Strasbourg 14 6 8 1.1 1.3 5 3 6 16 18 18
5 13 Montpellier 14 6 8 1.2 1.4 2 8 4 17 20 14
6 16 Lorient 14 6 8 1.4 1.7 3 4 7 19 24 13
7 3 Monaco 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 6 3 4 20 13 21
8 10 Lyon 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 6 16 23 16
9 4 Lille 13 7 6 1.9 0.5 9 3 1 25 7 30
10 6 Lens 13 7 6 1.6 1.2 7 2 4 21 15 23
11 7 Marseille 14 8 6 1.7 0.6 8 5 1 24 9 29
12 9 Reims 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 2 5 15 15 20
13 15 Le Havre 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
14 17 Metz 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 3 8 12 19 9
15 18 Clermont 14 8 6 0.6 1.7 2 4 8 9 24 10
16 14 Nantes 14 9 5 1.1 1.6 3 3 8 15 22 12
17 2 Brest 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 7 5 1 20 8 26
18 5 Nice 14 10 4 1.1 0.6 7 4 3 16 9 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Monaco 14 3 11 2.3 1.8 8 4 2 32 25 28
2 9 Reims 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 4 5 20 21 19
3 16 Lorient 13 4 9 1.2 2.0 3 4 6 16 26 13
4 15 Le Havre 14 6 8 0.9 1.5 1 7 6 12 21 10
5 18 Clermont 13 5 8 0.8 1.7 2 4 7 10 22 10
6 10 Lyon 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 6 1 6 15 18 19
7 11 Toulouse 14 7 7 1.0 1.3 5 3 6 14 18 18
8 12 Strasbourg 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 5 14 21 14
9 13 Montpellier 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 5 1 7 16 20 16
10 14 Nantes 13 6 7 0.8 1.5 5 1 7 11 20 16
11 17 Metz 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 2 8 13 25 14
12 1 Paris SG 14 8 6 2.2 0.6 10 4 0 31 9 34
13 6 Lens 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 5 4 5 15 14 19
14 2 Brest 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 7 3 4 17 12 24
15 4 Lille 14 9 5 1.0 1.2 3 7 4 14 17 16
16 7 Marseille 13 8 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 7 16 21 10
17 5 Nice 13 9 4 0.9 1.0 5 3 5 12 13 18
18 8 Rennes 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 3 6 4 12 15 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51