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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 3–6 Paris SG

Full time · half time 1–4 · season 2025/2026

Home 8.50 fair 2.17
Draw 5.25 fair 4.01
Away ✓ 1.33 fair 3.44
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Paris SG
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
5 Corners 7
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (21 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawParis SG
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:0
Paris SG before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:0
Toulouse all matches all matches Paris SG

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 0.00
1.50 Total goals 1.00
8.00 Shots 19.50
2.50 Shots on target 4.00
14.50 Shots faced 4.50
3.50 Corners 9.50
9.00 Corners against 1.00
13.50 Fouls 4.50
1.50 Yellow cards 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Paris SG all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:0
Paris SG before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Toulouse at home away Paris SG

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 0.00
2.00 Total goals 1.00
6.00 Shots 18.00
3.00 Shots on target 4.00
16.00 Shots faced 6.00
3.00 Corners 7.00
9.00 Corners against 2.00
14.00 Fouls 6.00
0.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Paris SG away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Nice – Toulouse 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.00 1.85
17.05.25 St Etienne – Toulouse 2–3 (1–2) 1.954.203.25 1.53 2.50
10.05.25 Toulouse – Lens 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.84 2.06
03.05.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.98 1.92
27.04.25 Nantes – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.05 1.85
20.04.25 Reims – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.252.25 2.06 1.84
12.04.25 Toulouse – Lille 1–2 (1–2) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00
17.08.25 Nantes – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 7.505.501.36 1.44 2.75
17.05.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 3–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.29 3.75
10.05.25 Montpellier – Paris SG 1–4 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.30 3.50
03.05.25 Strasbourg – Paris SG 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.752.60 1.41 2.70
25.04.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–3 (1–1) 1.704.504.10 1.44 2.75
22.04.25 Nantes – Paris SG 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.501.40 1.44 2.75
19.04.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 2–1 (1–0) 1.139.0017.00 1.25 4.00
05.04.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.148.0019.00 1.25 4.00
29.03.25 St Etienne – Paris SG 1–6 (1–1) 17.008.501.14 1.22 4.33

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
10.05.25 Toulouse – Lens 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.84 2.06
03.05.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.98 1.92
12.04.25 Toulouse – Lille 1–2 (1–2) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73
07.03.25 Toulouse – Monaco 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.10
15.02.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
02.02.25 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95
26.01.25 Toulouse – Montpellier 1–2 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
12.01.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–2 (1–2) 1.753.804.50 1.84 2.06

Paris SG away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Nantes – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 7.505.501.36 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Montpellier – Paris SG 1–4 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.30 3.50
03.05.25 Strasbourg – Paris SG 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.752.60 1.41 2.70
22.04.25 Nantes – Paris SG 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.501.40 1.44 2.75
29.03.25 St Etienne – Paris SG 1–6 (1–1) 17.008.501.14 1.22 4.33
08.03.25 Rennes – Paris SG 1–4 (0–1) 4.753.901.70 1.67 2.20
23.02.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (0–0) 4.204.331.70 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
01.02.25 Brest – Paris SG 2–5 (0–1) 6.255.001.44 1.53 2.50
18.01.25 Lens – Paris SG 1–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsParis SG wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
22.11.24F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
12.05.24F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
19.08.23F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.754.201.65 1.57 2.38
04.02.23F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.22F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.33 3.40

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 3 2 1 0 11 4 +7 7
2 Lyon 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
3 Toulouse 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
4 Lens 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
5 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
6 Strasbourg 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
7 Marseille 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
8 Monaco 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
9 Nice 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
10 Angers 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
11 Nantes 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 3
12 Auxerre 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
13 Lorient 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
14 Rennes 2 1 0 1 1 4 -3 3
15 Brest 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
16 Le Havre 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
2 Lyon 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
3 Monaco 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Lens 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
6 Nice 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
7 Angers 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
8 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Lille 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Rennes 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
13 Nantes 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
14 Lorient 2 1 0 1 5 7 -2 3
15 Brest 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
16 Paris FC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Metz 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 2 1 1 0 10 4 +6 4
2 Lens 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
3 Lyon 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
4 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Nice 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Angers 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
9 Lorient 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
10 Marseille 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
11 Monaco 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
12 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
13 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
14 Auxerre 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
15 Metz 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
16 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
17 Brest 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
18 Rennes 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Toulouse   Paris SG

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lille 3 1 2 3.7 1.3 2 1 0 11 4 7
2 4 Lens 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
3 13 Lorient 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
4 15 Brest 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
5 16 Le Havre 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
6 2 Lyon 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
7 7 Marseille 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
8 8 Monaco 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 9 Nice 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
10 12 Auxerre 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
11 14 Rennes 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 1 0 1 1 4 3
12 17 Paris FC 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
13 18 Metz 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
14 3 Toulouse 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
15 5 Paris SG 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
16 6 Strasbourg 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
17 10 Angers 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
18 11 Nantes 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 0 2 1 2 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Lorient 2 0 2 2.5 3.5 1 0 1 5 7 3
2 2 Lyon 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
3 4 Lens 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
4 7 Marseille 1 0 1 5.0 2.0 1 0 0 5 2 3
5 8 Monaco 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
6 9 Nice 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
7 15 Brest 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
8 16 Le Havre 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
9 1 Lille 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
10 3 Toulouse 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 5 Paris SG 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 10 Angers 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 11 Nantes 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
15 12 Auxerre 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 14 Rennes 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
17 17 Paris FC 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 18 Metz 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lille 2 0 2 5.0 2.0 1 1 0 10 4 4
2 4 Lens 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 12 Auxerre 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
4 14 Rennes 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
5 15 Brest 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
6 16 Le Havre 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
7 17 Paris FC 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
8 18 Metz 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
9 2 Lyon 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
10 3 Toulouse 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
11 5 Paris SG 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 7 Marseille 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
14 8 Monaco 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
15 9 Nice 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 10 Angers 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
17 11 Nantes 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
18 13 Lorient 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40