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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–0 Brest

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.65
Draw 4.75 fair 5.01
Away 6.50 fair 5.19
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Brest
19 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (100 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.19 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawBrest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 8.9% 2–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.27scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 25:11
Brest before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.27scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:18
Marseille all matches all matches Brest

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 1.27
1.00 Goals conceded 1.64
3.27 Total goals 2.91
14.00 Shots 12.55
5.55 Shots on target 3.73
9.36 Shots faced 12.55
5.27 Corners 4.82
3.36 Corners against 5.55
12.55 Fouls 12.82
2.36 Yellow cards 1.55
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

64% Wins 18%
9% Draws 36%
27% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
64% Over 2.5 goals 55%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 27%
18% Over 5.5 goals 18%
45% Both teams scored 45%
36% Clean sheets 27%
18% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%
55% Draws 36%
9% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
36% Over 1.5 goals 55%
18% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Brest all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.60points / match
3.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 18:6
Brest before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:9
Marseille at home away Brest

Per match

3.60 Goals scored 1.20
1.20 Goals conceded 1.80
4.80 Total goals 3.00
13.00 Shots 9.60
6.80 Shots on target 2.60
8.80 Shots faced 14.40
4.60 Corners 3.40
2.20 Corners against 7.80
14.20 Fouls 12.40
2.20 Yellow cards 2.00
1.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
80% Over 3.5 goals 40%
40% Over 4.5 goals 20%
40% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Brest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20

Brest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Brest – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.80 2.00
29.10.25 Le Havre – Brest 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 1.98 1.88
25.10.25 Brest – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
19.10.25 Lorient – Brest 3–3 (1–2) 2.383.253.00 1.98 1.88
04.10.25 Brest – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.93 1.93
28.09.25 Angers – Brest 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.252.38 2.00 1.85
20.09.25 Brest – Nice 4–1 (2–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Brest – Paris FC 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
29.08.25 Lens – Brest 3–1 (0–1) 1.853.754.00 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20
17.05.25 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 (3–1) 1.753.904.20 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30

Brest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.25 Le Havre – Brest 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.25 Lorient – Brest 3–3 (1–2) 2.383.253.00 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Angers – Brest 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.252.38 2.00 1.85
29.08.25 Lens – Brest 3–1 (0–1) 1.853.754.00 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
17.05.25 Nice – Brest 6–0 (3–0) 1.484.506.50 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.25 St Etienne – Brest 3–3 (2–3) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73
02.03.25 Lyon – Brest 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsBrest wins
8matches
3.38goals / match
63%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25F1 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
17.08.24F1 Brest – Marseille 1–5 (1–3) 3.003.302.40 1.89 2.01
18.02.24F1 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
26.08.23F1 Marseille – Brest 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.00 1.73 2.10
27.05.23F1 Marseille – Brest 1–2 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
14.08.22F1 Brest – Marseille 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.83 1.72 2.10
13.03.22F1 Brest – Marseille 1–4 (0–1) 3.403.302.20 1.91 1.99
04.12.21F1 Marseille – Brest 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.72 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 7 3 1 21 9 +12 24
2 Marseille 11 7 1 3 25 11 +14 22
3 Lens 11 7 1 3 17 10 +7 22
4 Lille 11 6 2 3 23 13 +10 20
5 Monaco 11 6 2 3 23 17 +6 20
6 Lyon 11 6 2 3 16 12 +4 20
7 Strasbourg 11 6 1 4 22 16 +6 19
8 Rennes 12 4 6 2 19 17 +2 18
9 Nice 11 5 2 4 16 16 0 17
10 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 17 15 +2 15
11 Paris FC 12 4 2 6 18 21 -3 14
12 Le Havre 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
13 Brest 11 2 4 5 14 18 -4 10
14 Angers 11 2 4 5 8 15 -7 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 10 17 -7 9
16 Lorient 11 2 3 6 13 25 -12 9
17 Metz 11 2 2 7 10 26 -16 8
18 Auxerre 11 2 1 8 7 17 -10 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
2 Marseille 5 4 1 0 18 6 +12 13
3 Lille 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
4 Monaco 6 4 1 1 14 8 +6 13
5 Paris SG 5 4 1 0 9 3 +6 13
6 Nice 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
7 Strasbourg 5 4 0 1 11 2 +9 12
8 Lyon 5 4 0 1 8 3 +5 12
9 Rennes 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
10 Toulouse 6 2 3 1 13 10 +3 9
11 Le Havre 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
12 Angers 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
13 Lorient 5 2 2 1 12 12 0 8
14 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
15 Brest 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
16 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 6 -2 6
17 Metz 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
18 Nantes 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 6 3 2 1 12 6 +6 11
2 Marseille 6 3 0 3 7 5 +2 9
3 Lyon 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8
4 Lille 5 2 1 2 12 9 +3 7
5 Monaco 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
6 Lens 5 2 1 2 4 6 -2 7
7 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 11 14 -3 7
8 Rennes 6 1 4 1 8 11 -3 7
9 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
10 Toulouse 5 2 0 3 4 5 -1 6
11 Nantes 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
12 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
13 Brest 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
14 Nice 5 1 1 3 6 11 -5 4
15 Metz 6 1 0 5 7 21 -14 3
16 Angers 6 0 2 4 3 11 -8 2
17 Auxerre 5 0 1 4 3 11 -8 1
18 Lorient 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1

Marseille   Brest

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Strasbourg 11 3 8 2.0 1.5 6 1 4 22 16 19
2 8 Rennes 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 6 2 19 17 18
3 2 Marseille 11 4 7 2.3 1.0 7 1 3 25 11 22
4 3 Lens 11 4 7 1.5 0.9 7 1 3 17 10 22
5 5 Monaco 11 4 7 2.1 1.5 6 2 3 23 17 20
6 11 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.5 1.8 4 2 6 18 21 14
7 6 Lyon 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 6 2 3 16 12 20
8 9 Nice 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 5 2 4 16 16 17
9 10 Toulouse 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 3 4 17 15 15
10 13 Brest 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 2 4 5 14 18 10
11 16 Lorient 11 5 6 1.2 2.3 2 3 6 13 25 9
12 17 Metz 11 5 6 0.9 2.4 2 2 7 10 26 8
13 4 Lille 11 6 5 2.1 1.2 6 2 3 23 13 20
14 12 Le Havre 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
15 18 Auxerre 11 6 5 0.6 1.5 2 1 8 7 17 7
16 15 Nantes 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 17 9
17 1 Paris SG 11 8 3 1.9 0.8 7 3 1 21 9 24
18 14 Angers 11 9 2 0.7 1.4 2 4 5 8 15 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Lens 6 1 5 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
2 2 Marseille 5 1 4 3.6 1.2 4 1 0 18 6 13
3 5 Monaco 6 2 4 2.3 1.3 4 1 1 14 8 13
4 8 Rennes 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
5 10 Toulouse 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 3 1 13 10 9
6 11 Paris FC 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 3 11 11 7
7 13 Brest 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
8 16 Lorient 5 1 4 2.4 2.4 2 2 1 12 12 8
9 6 Lyon 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 4 0 1 8 3 12
10 7 Strasbourg 5 2 3 2.2 0.4 4 0 1 11 2 12
11 12 Le Havre 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
12 4 Lille 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
13 9 Nice 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
14 15 Nantes 6 4 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
15 18 Auxerre 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 2 0 4 4 6 6
16 1 Paris SG 5 4 1 1.8 0.6 4 1 0 9 3 13
17 17 Metz 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
18 14 Angers 5 5 0 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Strasbourg 6 1 5 1.8 2.3 2 1 3 11 14 7
2 17 Metz 6 1 5 1.2 3.5 1 0 5 7 21 3
3 8 Rennes 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 4 1 8 11 7
4 9 Nice 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 1 3 6 11 4
5 2 Marseille 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 3 0 3 7 5 9
6 4 Lille 5 2 3 2.4 1.8 2 1 2 12 9 7
7 5 Monaco 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
8 6 Lyon 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8
9 11 Paris FC 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 1 3 7 10 7
10 18 Auxerre 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 1 4 3 11 1
11 1 Paris SG 6 4 2 2.0 1.0 3 2 1 12 6 11
12 3 Lens 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 1 2 4 6 7
13 10 Toulouse 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 3 4 5 6
14 12 Le Havre 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
15 13 Brest 5 3 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
16 14 Angers 6 4 2 0.5 1.8 0 2 4 3 11 2
17 15 Nantes 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
18 16 Lorient 6 4 2 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51