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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 5–1 Montpellier

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.47
Draw 7.00 fair 5.62
Away 11.00 fair 7.17
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.87
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Montpellier
18 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 2
11 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (263 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 2.37 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawMontpellier
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 9.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.97scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 57:41
Montpellier before this match, all matches
0.52points / match
0.72scored / match
2.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 21:66
Marseille all matches all matches Montpellier

Per match

1.97 Goals scored 0.72
1.41 Goals conceded 2.28
3.38 Total goals 3.00
13.62 Shots 11.34
5.83 Shots on target 3.79
9.59 Shots faced 15.79
5.07 Corners 4.79
3.17 Corners against 5.28
11.52 Fouls 12.34
1.86 Yellow cards 2.69
0.66 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

55% Wins 14%
14% Draws 10%
31% Losses 76%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 83%
66% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 38%
24% Over 4.5 goals 17%
10% Over 5.5 goals 7%
62% Both teams scored 41%
17% Clean sheets 0%
21% Failed to score 59%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 3%
34% Draws 34%
34% Losses 62%
76% Over 0.5 goals 76%
34% Over 1.5 goals 45%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Montpellier all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.79points / match
2.00scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:19
Montpellier before this match, away
0.21points / match
0.36scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 5:29
Marseille at home away Montpellier

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.36
1.36 Goals conceded 2.07
3.36 Total goals 2.43
14.79 Shots 10.14
6.00 Shots on target 2.86
8.93 Shots faced 16.14
5.29 Corners 4.14
2.57 Corners against 5.86
12.71 Fouls 12.50
2.14 Yellow cards 2.79
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

50% Wins 7%
29% Draws 0%
21% Losses 93%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 64%
57% Over 2.5 goals 36%
43% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 21%
14% Clean sheets 0%
14% Failed to score 79%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 0%
36% Draws 50%
29% Losses 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 36%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Montpellier away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Auxerre – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
09.02.25 Angers – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.05
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38

Montpellier all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Angers – Montpellier 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.504.10 1.91 1.99
06.04.25 Montpellier – Le Havre 0–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 1.85 1.93
30.03.25 Auxerre – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.693.804.50 1.80 2.00
16.03.25 Montpellier – St Etienne 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.67 2.20
08.03.25 Lille – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.757.50 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Montpellier – Rennes 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.85 2.05
23.02.25 Nice – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
16.02.25 Montpellier – Lyon 1–4 (1–1) 4.754.501.58 1.50 2.63
09.02.25 Strasbourg – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.754.104.10 1.73 2.10
31.01.25 Montpellier – Lens 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.701.83 1.80 2.00

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
08.11.24 Marseille – Auxerre 1–3 (0–3) 1.405.007.50 1.50 2.63

Montpellier away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Angers – Montpellier 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.504.10 1.91 1.99
30.03.25 Auxerre – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.693.804.50 1.80 2.00
08.03.25 Lille – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.757.50 1.62 2.30
23.02.25 Nice – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
09.02.25 Strasbourg – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.754.104.10 1.73 2.10
26.01.25 Toulouse – Montpellier 1–2 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
04.01.25 Lyon – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
08.12.24 Lens – Montpellier 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 St Etienne – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
03.11.24 Le Havre – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsMontpellier wins
7matches
3.43goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24F1 Montpellier – Marseille 0–5 (0–3) 4.334.001.73 1.53 2.50
25.02.24F1 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
20.12.23F1 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
31.03.23F1 Marseille – Montpellier 1–1 (1–1) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
02.01.23F1 Montpellier – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.22F1 Marseille – Montpellier 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.25 1.72 2.10
08.08.21F1 Montpellier – Marseille 2–3 (2–0) 3.203.402.20 1.90 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 29 24 5 0 82 27 +55 77
2 Monaco 30 16 6 8 57 35 +22 54
3 Marseille 29 16 4 9 57 41 +16 52
4 Lyon 29 15 6 8 57 39 +18 51
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 48 37 +11 51
6 Lille 29 14 8 7 44 31 +13 50
7 Nice 29 13 9 7 54 37 +17 48
8 Brest 29 13 5 11 47 46 +1 44
9 Lens 29 12 6 11 32 32 0 42
10 Rennes 30 12 2 16 45 40 +5 38
11 Auxerre 29 10 8 11 40 42 -2 38
12 Toulouse 29 9 7 13 38 38 0 34
13 Nantes 29 7 9 13 34 49 -15 30
14 Angers 29 8 6 15 28 46 -18 30
15 Reims 29 7 8 14 31 42 -11 29
16 Le Havre 30 8 3 19 33 64 -31 27
17 St Etienne 29 6 6 17 31 67 -36 24
18 Montpellier 29 4 3 22 21 66 -45 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 41 12 +29 41
2 Monaco 16 11 3 2 36 16 +20 36
3 Lille 14 9 3 2 25 15 +10 30
4 Lyon 14 9 2 3 30 18 +12 29
5 Strasbourg 14 8 5 1 26 15 +11 29
6 Nice 14 8 4 2 29 14 +15 28
7 Brest 14 8 3 3 27 18 +9 27
8 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
9 Marseille 14 7 4 3 28 19 +9 25
10 Rennes 16 8 1 7 23 17 +6 25
11 Lens 15 6 2 7 15 18 -3 20
12 St Etienne 14 5 3 6 19 26 -7 18
13 Nantes 13 4 4 5 15 16 -1 16
14 Toulouse 15 4 4 7 17 20 -3 16
15 Angers 15 4 2 9 16 30 -14 14
16 Reims 15 3 4 8 16 23 -7 13
17 Montpellier 15 3 3 9 16 37 -21 12
18 Le Havre 15 3 1 11 13 37 -24 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 11 3 0 41 15 +26 36
2 Marseille 15 9 0 6 29 22 +7 27
3 Lyon 15 6 4 5 27 21 +6 22
4 Lens 14 6 4 4 17 14 +3 22
5 Strasbourg 16 6 4 6 22 22 0 22
6 Lille 15 5 5 5 19 16 +3 20
7 Nice 15 5 5 5 25 23 +2 20
8 Toulouse 14 5 3 6 21 18 +3 18
9 Monaco 14 5 3 6 21 19 +2 18
10 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 20 27 -7 17
11 Brest 15 5 2 8 20 28 -8 17
12 Reims 14 4 4 6 15 19 -4 16
13 Angers 14 4 4 6 12 16 -4 16
14 Nantes 16 3 5 8 19 33 -14 14
15 Rennes 14 4 1 9 22 23 -1 13
16 Auxerre 14 3 3 8 18 28 -10 12
17 St Etienne 15 1 3 11 12 41 -29 6
18 Montpellier 14 1 0 13 5 29 -24 3

Marseille   Montpellier

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 29 8 21 2.8 0.9 24 5 0 82 27 77
2 2 Monaco 30 10 20 1.9 1.2 16 6 8 57 35 54
3 3 Marseille 29 10 19 2.0 1.4 16 4 9 57 41 52
4 4 Lyon 29 10 19 2.0 1.3 15 6 8 57 39 51
5 8 Brest 29 11 18 1.6 1.6 13 5 11 47 46 44
6 16 Le Havre 30 12 18 1.1 2.1 8 3 19 33 64 27
7 7 Nice 29 12 17 1.9 1.3 13 9 7 54 37 48
8 10 Rennes 30 13 17 1.5 1.3 12 2 16 45 40 38
9 11 Auxerre 29 12 17 1.4 1.4 10 8 11 40 42 38
10 5 Strasbourg 30 14 16 1.6 1.2 14 9 7 48 37 51
11 18 Montpellier 29 13 16 0.7 2.3 4 3 22 21 66 15
12 6 Lille 29 14 15 1.5 1.1 14 8 7 44 31 50
13 12 Toulouse 29 14 15 1.3 1.3 9 7 13 38 38 34
14 17 St Etienne 29 14 15 1.1 2.3 6 6 17 31 67 24
15 13 Nantes 29 15 14 1.2 1.7 7 9 13 34 49 30
16 15 Reims 29 15 14 1.1 1.4 7 8 14 31 42 29
17 14 Angers 29 20 9 1.0 1.6 8 6 15 28 46 30
18 9 Lens 29 21 8 1.1 1.1 12 6 11 32 32 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 15 4 11 2.7 0.8 13 2 0 41 12 41
2 16 Le Havre 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 3 1 11 13 37 10
3 18 Montpellier 15 4 11 1.1 2.5 3 3 9 16 37 12
4 2 Monaco 16 6 10 2.2 1.0 11 3 2 36 16 36
5 4 Lyon 14 5 9 2.1 1.3 9 2 3 30 18 29
6 5 Strasbourg 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 1 26 15 29
7 11 Auxerre 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
8 3 Marseille 14 6 8 2.0 1.4 7 4 3 28 19 25
9 6 Lille 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 9 3 2 25 15 30
10 8 Brest 14 6 8 1.9 1.3 8 3 3 27 18 27
11 10 Rennes 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 1 7 23 17 25
12 7 Nice 14 7 7 2.1 1.0 8 4 2 29 14 28
13 12 Toulouse 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 17 20 16
14 14 Angers 15 8 7 1.1 2.0 4 2 9 16 30 14
15 15 Reims 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 8 16 23 13
16 17 St Etienne 14 8 6 1.4 1.9 5 3 6 19 26 18
17 13 Nantes 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 15 16 16
18 9 Lens 15 11 4 1.0 1.2 6 2 7 15 18 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Marseille 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 9 0 6 29 22 27
2 1 Paris SG 14 4 10 2.9 1.1 11 3 0 41 15 36
3 2 Monaco 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 5 3 6 21 19 18
4 4 Lyon 15 5 10 1.8 1.4 6 4 5 27 21 22
5 7 Nice 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 5 5 5 25 23 20
6 8 Brest 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 20 28 17
7 10 Rennes 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 4 1 9 22 23 13
8 13 Nantes 16 7 9 1.2 2.1 3 5 8 19 33 14
9 17 St Etienne 15 6 9 0.8 2.7 1 3 11 12 41 6
10 11 Auxerre 14 6 8 1.3 2.0 3 3 8 18 28 12
11 12 Toulouse 14 6 8 1.5 1.3 5 3 6 21 18 18
12 15 Reims 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 15 19 16
13 5 Strasbourg 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 22 22 22
14 6 Lille 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 5 5 5 19 16 20
15 16 Le Havre 15 8 7 1.3 1.8 5 2 8 20 27 17
16 18 Montpellier 14 9 5 0.4 2.1 1 0 13 5 29 3
17 9 Lens 14 10 4 1.2 1.0 6 4 4 17 14 22
18 14 Angers 14 12 2 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 12 16 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51