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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Metz 2–3 Paris SG

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 10.00 fair 3.38
Draw 6.50 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 1.25 fair 2.15
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 2.31
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Metz Paris SG
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 9
4 Corners 4
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (137 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.67
Home / Draw / Away
MetzDrawParis SG
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Metz before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
1.00scored / match
2.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:34
Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
2.13scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:12
Metz all matches all matches Paris SG

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.13
2.27 Goals conceded 0.80
3.27 Total goals 2.93
8.93 Shots 17.93
3.07 Shots on target 6.73
14.93 Shots faced 8.73
4.13 Corners 6.40
5.33 Corners against 3.07
11.07 Fouls 10.20
1.47 Yellow cards 1.13
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

20% Wins 67%
13% Draws 20%
67% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 67%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 27%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
47% Both teams scored 33%
20% Clean sheets 53%
40% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 47%
53% Draws 40%
40% Losses 13%
67% Over 0.5 goals 60%
47% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Metz all matches
Paris SG all matches
Metz before this match, at home
1.14points / match
0.71scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:7
Paris SG before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.88scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:9
Metz at home away Paris SG

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded 1.13
1.71 Total goals 3.00
9.00 Shots 14.88
2.86 Shots on target 5.75
11.71 Shots faced 8.75
4.14 Corners 5.75
3.86 Corners against 3.25
12.29 Fouls 10.00
1.29 Yellow cards 1.00
0.14 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

29% Wins 50%
29% Draws 25%
43% Losses 25%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 63%
29% Over 2.5 goals 38%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
29% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 25%
57% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 38%
57% Draws 50%
29% Losses 13%
43% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Metz at home
Paris SG away

Last 10 matches before this match

Metz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Auxerre – Metz 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
28.11.25 Metz – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.85 1.67 2.20
23.11.25 Brest – Metz 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
02.11.25 Nantes – Metz 0–2 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
29.10.25 Metz – Lens 2–0 (0–0) 6.254.501.50 1.67 2.20
26.10.25 Lille – Metz 6–1 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
28.09.25 Metz – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.00 1.85

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
29.11.25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.44 2.75
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 4.203.901.80 1.62 2.30
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
29.10.25 Lorient – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 9.506.501.25 1.44 2.75
25.10.25 Brest – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
17.10.25 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–3 (1–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
05.10.25 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.901.75 1.67 2.20
27.09.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.30 3.50

Metz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.25 Metz – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.85 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
29.10.25 Metz – Lens 2–0 (0–0) 6.254.501.50 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
28.09.25 Metz – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Metz – Angers 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.73
17.08.25 Metz – Strasbourg 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.88 1.98
02.05.25F2 Metz – Rodez 3–3 (0–0) 1.574.205.00 1.53 2.40
19.04.25F2 Metz – Red Star 2–2 (1–1) 1.484.336.50 1.73 2.08
28.03.25F2 Metz – Troyes 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.305.25 2.10 1.70

Paris SG away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.44 2.75
09.11.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 4.203.901.80 1.62 2.30
29.10.25 Lorient – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 9.506.501.25 1.44 2.75
25.10.25 Brest – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
05.10.25 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.901.75 1.67 2.20
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 3–6 (1–4) 8.505.251.33 1.57 2.38
17.08.25 Nantes – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 7.505.501.36 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Montpellier – Paris SG 1–4 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.30 3.50
03.05.25 Strasbourg – Paris SG 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.752.60 1.41 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Metz winsDrawsParis SG wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.24F1 Metz – Paris SG 0–2 (0–2) 5.504.001.62 1.44 2.75
20.12.23F1 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
21.05.22F1 Paris SG – Metz 5–0 (3–0) 1.208.5010.00 1.22 4.33
22.09.21F1 Metz – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 11.007.001.22 1.40 3.00

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 15 11 1 3 26 13 +13 34
2 Paris SG 15 10 3 2 32 12 +20 33
3 Marseille 15 9 2 4 35 15 +20 29
4 Lille 15 9 2 4 29 17 +12 29
5 Rennes 16 7 6 3 27 24 +3 27
6 Lyon 15 7 3 5 21 16 +5 24
7 Monaco 15 7 2 6 26 26 0 23
8 Strasbourg 15 7 1 7 25 20 +5 22
9 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 18 -1 22
10 Toulouse 15 5 5 5 21 19 +2 20
11 Brest 16 5 4 7 21 27 -6 19
12 Nice 15 5 2 8 19 27 -8 17
13 Lorient 15 4 5 6 19 28 -9 17
14 Paris FC 15 4 4 7 21 26 -5 16
15 Le Havre 15 3 6 6 13 21 -8 15
16 Auxerre 15 3 3 9 11 21 -10 12
17 Nantes 16 2 5 9 14 28 -14 11
18 Metz 15 3 2 10 15 34 -19 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 17 3 +14 19
2 Lille 8 6 1 1 16 6 +10 19
3 Lens 7 6 0 1 14 4 +10 18
4 Marseille 7 5 2 0 23 8 +15 17
5 Rennes 8 5 2 1 18 8 +10 17
6 Monaco 8 5 1 2 16 12 +4 16
7 Strasbourg 7 5 0 2 14 4 +10 15
8 Lyon 7 5 0 2 13 6 +7 15
9 Lorient 8 4 3 1 17 14 +3 15
10 Angers 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
11 Nice 8 4 1 3 11 11 0 13
12 Toulouse 8 3 3 2 14 11 +3 12
13 Brest 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
14 Le Havre 8 2 4 2 9 8 +1 10
15 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 7 7 0 10
16 Paris FC 7 2 2 3 12 12 0 8
17 Metz 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8
18 Nantes 8 1 2 5 8 15 -7 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
2 Paris SG 8 4 2 2 15 9 +6 14
3 Marseille 8 4 0 4 12 7 +5 12
4 Lille 7 3 1 3 13 11 +2 10
5 Rennes 8 2 4 2 9 16 -7 10
6 Lyon 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
7 Toulouse 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
8 Paris FC 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8
9 Angers 8 2 2 4 5 11 -6 8
10 Monaco 7 2 1 4 10 14 -4 7
11 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 11 16 -5 7
12 Brest 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
13 Nantes 8 1 3 4 6 13 -7 6
14 Le Havre 7 1 2 4 4 13 -9 5
15 Nice 7 1 1 5 8 16 -8 4
16 Metz 8 1 0 7 10 27 -17 3
17 Auxerre 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2
18 Lorient 7 0 2 5 2 14 -12 2

Metz   Paris SG

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 16 5 11 1.7 1.5 7 6 3 27 24 27
2 1 Lens 15 5 10 1.7 0.9 11 1 3 26 13 34
3 3 Marseille 15 5 10 2.3 1.0 9 2 4 35 15 29
4 11 Brest 16 6 10 1.3 1.7 5 4 7 21 27 19
5 7 Monaco 15 6 9 1.7 1.7 7 2 6 26 26 23
6 8 Strasbourg 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 7 1 7 25 20 22
7 12 Nice 15 6 9 1.3 1.8 5 2 8 19 27 17
8 18 Metz 15 6 9 1.0 2.3 3 2 10 15 34 11
9 6 Lyon 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 7 3 5 21 16 24
10 14 Paris FC 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 4 4 7 21 26 16
11 10 Toulouse 15 8 7 1.4 1.3 5 5 5 21 19 20
12 13 Lorient 15 8 7 1.3 1.9 4 5 6 19 28 17
13 17 Nantes 16 9 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 9 14 28 11
14 2 Paris SG 15 9 6 2.1 0.8 10 3 2 32 12 33
15 4 Lille 15 9 6 1.9 1.1 9 2 4 29 17 29
16 15 Le Havre 15 9 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 6 13 21 15
17 16 Auxerre 15 9 6 0.7 1.4 3 3 9 11 21 12
18 9 Angers 16 12 4 1.1 1.1 6 4 6 17 18 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Marseille 7 1 6 3.3 1.1 5 2 0 23 8 17
2 5 Rennes 8 2 6 2.2 1.0 5 2 1 18 8 17
3 1 Lens 7 2 5 2.0 0.6 6 0 1 14 4 18
4 6 Lyon 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 0 2 13 6 15
5 7 Monaco 8 3 5 2.0 1.5 5 1 2 16 12 16
6 11 Brest 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
7 13 Lorient 8 3 5 2.1 1.8 4 3 1 17 14 15
8 8 Strasbourg 7 3 4 2.0 0.6 5 0 2 14 4 15
9 10 Toulouse 8 4 4 1.8 1.4 3 3 2 14 11 12
10 14 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 3 12 12 8
11 2 Paris SG 7 4 3 2.4 0.4 6 1 0 17 3 19
12 4 Lille 8 5 3 2.0 0.8 6 1 1 16 6 19
13 12 Nice 8 5 3 1.4 1.4 4 1 3 11 11 13
14 15 Le Havre 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 2 4 2 9 8 10
15 16 Auxerre 8 5 3 0.9 0.9 3 1 4 7 7 10
16 17 Nantes 8 5 3 1.0 1.9 1 2 5 8 15 5
17 9 Angers 8 6 2 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
18 18 Metz 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Metz 8 1 7 1.2 3.4 1 0 7 10 27 3
2 12 Nice 7 1 6 1.1 2.3 1 1 5 8 16 4
3 1 Lens 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
4 5 Rennes 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 2 9 16 10
5 8 Strasbourg 8 3 5 1.4 2.0 2 1 5 11 16 7
6 11 Brest 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
7 3 Marseille 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 0 4 12 7 12
8 7 Monaco 7 3 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 4 10 14 7
9 14 Paris FC 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 2 2 4 9 14 8
10 17 Nantes 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 1 3 4 6 13 6
11 2 Paris SG 8 5 3 1.9 1.1 4 2 2 15 9 14
12 4 Lille 7 4 3 1.9 1.6 3 1 3 13 11 10
13 6 Lyon 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
14 10 Toulouse 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
15 15 Le Havre 7 4 3 0.6 1.9 1 2 4 4 13 5
16 16 Auxerre 7 4 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
17 9 Angers 8 6 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 4 5 11 8
18 13 Lorient 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 2 5 2 14 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44