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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

St Pauli 2–2 Hamburg

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.83 fair 1.89
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.50
Away 4.00 fair 4.01
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Pauli Hamburg
16 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 3
5 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
Result St Pauli to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.92 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
St PauliDrawHamburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

St Pauli before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
1.93scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:11
Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
2.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:18
St Pauli all matches all matches Hamburg

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 2.00
0.79 Goals conceded 1.29
2.71 Total goals 3.29
16.93 Shots 16.93
5.86 Shots on target 6.64
8.93 Shots faced 13.07
4.86 Corners 5.93
3.43 Corners against 5.29
9.71 Fouls 11.93
1.93 Yellow cards 2.57
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

57% Wins 57%
43% Draws 21%
0% Losses 21%
71% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
36% Over 3.5 goals 29%
21% Over 4.5 goals 21%
14% Over 5.5 goals 21%
64% Both teams scored 57%
36% Clean sheets 43%
29% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 36%
57% Draws 21%
14% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 79%
36% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli all matches
Hamburg all matches
St Pauli before this match, at home
2.14points / match
2.14scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:4
Hamburg before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.57scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:14
St Pauli at home away Hamburg

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.57
0.57 Goals conceded 2.00
2.71 Total goals 3.57
18.43 Shots 14.71
7.14 Shots on target 5.86
7.57 Shots faced 15.00
6.29 Corners 6.00
3.14 Corners against 6.29
9.29 Fouls 11.71
2.14 Yellow cards 3.14
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

57% Wins 14%
43% Draws 43%
0% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 71%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 29%
29% Over 5.5 goals 29%
57% Both teams scored 86%
43% Clean sheets 14%
43% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 0%
71% Draws 29%
14% Losses 71%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli at home
Hamburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Hansa Rostock – St Pauli 2–3 (1–3) 4.753.801.67 1.75 2.05
10.11.23 St Pauli – Hannover 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.08
03.11.23 Elversberg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.802.00 1.67 2.15
28.10.23 St Pauli – Karlsruhe 2–1 (0–1) 1.654.204.75 1.53 2.40
21.10.23 Paderborn – St Pauli 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
07.10.23 St Pauli – Nurnberg 5–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Hertha – St Pauli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 St Pauli – Schalke 04 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
17.09.23 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 5–1 (3–0) 1.853.804.00 1.67 2.15
01.09.23 Braunschweig – St Pauli 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 1.88 1.98

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.23 Hamburg – Braunschweig 2–1 (2–0) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.10
11.11.23 Holstein Kiel – Hamburg 4–2 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70
04.11.23 Hamburg – Magdeburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
28.10.23 Kaiserslautern – Hamburg 3–3 (2–1) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
21.10.23 Hamburg – Greuther Furth 2–0 (2–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.70
07.10.23 Wehen – Hamburg 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.70
29.09.23 Hamburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–0 (0–0) 2.104.003.20 1.44 2.70
22.09.23 Osnabruck – Hamburg 2–1 (2–1) 4.504.501.62 1.36 3.10
16.09.23 Elversberg – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 4.204.201.75 1.40 2.88
03.09.23 Hamburg – Hansa Rostock 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.44 2.70

St Pauli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.23 St Pauli – Hannover 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 St Pauli – Karlsruhe 2–1 (0–1) 1.654.204.75 1.53 2.40
07.10.23 St Pauli – Nurnberg 5–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
23.09.23 St Pauli – Schalke 04 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
17.09.23 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 5–1 (3–0) 1.853.804.00 1.67 2.15
27.08.23 St Pauli – Magdeburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.65 2.20
05.08.23 St Pauli – Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.70 2.10
28.05.23 St Pauli – Karlsruhe 1–1 (0–1) 1.854.003.75 1.48 2.60
13.05.23 St Pauli – Fortuna Dusseldorf 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.08
29.04.23 St Pauli – Bielefeld 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.70 2.10

Hamburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Holstein Kiel – Hamburg 4–2 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70
28.10.23 Kaiserslautern – Hamburg 3–3 (2–1) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
07.10.23 Wehen – Hamburg 1–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.70
22.09.23 Osnabruck – Hamburg 2–1 (2–1) 4.504.501.62 1.36 3.10
16.09.23 Elversberg – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 4.204.201.75 1.40 2.88
26.08.23 Hannover – Hamburg 0–1 (0–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70
06.08.23 Karlsruhe – Hamburg 2–2 (1–0) 2.804.002.20 1.40 2.88
28.05.23 Sandhausen – Hamburg 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.36 1.33 3.40
14.05.23 Regensburg – Hamburg 1–5 (0–4) 3.804.001.85 1.60 2.30
29.04.23 Magdeburg – Hamburg 3–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Pauli winsDrawsHamburg wins
4matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.23D2 Hamburg – St Pauli 4–3 (1–1) 2.153.603.20 1.62 2.25
14.10.22D2 St Pauli – Hamburg 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05
21.01.22D2 Hamburg – St Pauli 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 1.60 2.30
13.08.21D2 St Pauli – Hamburg 3–2 (1–1) 3.003.602.20 1.61 2.25

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Pauli 14 8 6 0 27 11 +16 30
2 Hamburg 14 8 3 3 28 18 +10 27
3 Holstein Kiel 14 8 2 4 26 21 +5 26
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 7 3 4 29 18 +11 24
5 Greuther Furth 14 7 3 4 23 17 +6 24
6 Elversberg 14 7 3 4 23 20 +3 24
7 Hannover 14 6 5 3 28 17 +11 23
8 Wehen 14 6 3 5 15 15 0 21
9 Nurnberg 14 6 3 5 23 26 -3 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 26 24 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 14 5 3 6 25 28 -3 18
12 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 22 27 -5 18
13 Magdeburg 14 4 4 6 23 23 0 16
14 Karlsruhe 14 4 4 6 23 24 -1 16
15 Hansa Rostock 14 5 1 8 15 21 -6 16
16 Schalke 04 14 4 1 9 23 33 -10 13
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 11 28 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 14 1 4 9 14 33 -19 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hamburg 7 7 0 0 17 4 +13 21
2 Greuther Furth 8 6 1 1 18 6 +12 19
3 St Pauli 7 4 3 0 15 4 +11 15
4 Hannover 7 4 2 1 17 6 +11 14
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
6 Kaiserslautern 8 4 1 3 16 15 +1 13
7 Wehen 7 3 3 1 7 6 +1 12
8 Karlsruhe 7 3 2 2 12 9 +3 11
9 Nurnberg 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
10 Hertha 6 3 1 2 14 6 +8 10
11 Holstein Kiel 7 3 1 3 13 14 -1 10
12 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 11 12 -1 10
13 Hansa Rostock 8 3 1 4 10 12 -2 10
14 Schalke 04 6 3 0 3 12 11 +1 9
15 Magdeburg 6 2 2 2 12 11 +1 8
16 Paderborn 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
17 Braunschweig 7 2 2 3 9 13 -4 8
18 Osnabruck 8 1 2 5 9 15 -6 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel 7 5 1 1 13 7 +6 16
2 St Pauli 7 4 3 0 12 7 +5 15
3 Elversberg 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 3 1 2 12 4 +8 10
5 Paderborn 8 3 1 4 12 17 -5 10
6 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 13 19 -6 10
7 Hannover 7 2 3 2 11 11 0 9
8 Wehen 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9
9 Magdeburg 8 2 2 4 11 12 -1 8
10 Hertha 8 2 2 4 12 18 -6 8
11 Hamburg 7 1 3 3 11 14 -3 6
12 Hansa Rostock 6 2 0 4 5 9 -4 6
13 Karlsruhe 7 1 2 4 11 15 -4 5
14 Kaiserslautern 6 1 2 3 9 13 -4 5
15 Greuther Furth 6 1 2 3 5 11 -6 5
16 Schalke 04 8 1 1 6 11 22 -11 4
17 Osnabruck 6 0 2 4 5 18 -13 2
18 Braunschweig 7 0 0 7 2 15 -13 0

St Pauli   Hamburg

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Kaiserslautern 14 2 12 1.8 2.0 5 3 6 25 28 18
2 12 Paderborn 14 2 12 1.6 1.9 5 3 6 22 27 18
3 10 Hertha 14 3 11 1.9 1.7 5 3 6 26 24 18
4 16 Schalke 04 14 3 11 1.6 2.4 4 1 9 23 33 13
5 9 Nurnberg 14 4 10 1.6 1.9 6 3 5 23 26 21
6 6 Elversberg 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 7 3 4 23 20 24
7 7 Hannover 14 5 9 2.0 1.2 6 5 3 28 17 23
8 14 Karlsruhe 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 6 23 24 16
9 1 St Pauli 14 6 8 1.9 0.8 8 6 0 27 11 30
10 2 Hamburg 14 6 8 2.0 1.3 8 3 3 28 18 27
11 3 Holstein Kiel 14 6 8 1.9 1.5 8 2 4 26 21 26
12 4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 6 8 2.1 1.3 7 3 4 29 18 24
13 15 Hansa Rostock 14 6 8 1.1 1.5 5 1 8 15 21 16
14 17 Braunschweig 14 6 8 0.8 2.0 2 2 10 11 28 8
15 18 Osnabruck 14 6 8 1.0 2.4 1 4 9 14 33 7
16 13 Magdeburg 14 7 7 1.6 1.6 4 4 6 23 23 16
17 5 Greuther Furth 14 8 6 1.6 1.2 7 3 4 23 17 24
18 8 Wehen 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 6 3 5 15 15 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Kaiserslautern 8 1 7 2.0 1.9 4 1 3 16 15 13
2 3 Holstein Kiel 7 2 5 1.9 2.0 3 1 3 13 14 10
3 4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 3 5 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
4 6 Elversberg 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 3 1 3 11 12 10
5 10 Hertha 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 3 1 2 14 6 10
6 12 Paderborn 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
7 15 Hansa Rostock 8 3 5 1.2 1.5 3 1 4 10 12 10
8 16 Schalke 04 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 3 0 3 12 11 9
9 1 St Pauli 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 4 3 0 15 4 15
10 5 Greuther Furth 8 4 4 2.2 0.8 6 1 1 18 6 19
11 7 Hannover 7 3 4 2.4 0.9 4 2 1 17 6 14
12 9 Nurnberg 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
13 13 Magdeburg 6 2 4 2.0 1.8 2 2 2 12 11 8
14 14 Karlsruhe 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 2 12 9 11
15 17 Braunschweig 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 2 2 3 9 13 8
16 18 Osnabruck 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 5 9 15 5
17 2 Hamburg 7 4 3 2.4 0.6 7 0 0 17 4 21
18 8 Wehen 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 3 3 1 7 6 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Paderborn 8 1 7 1.5 2.1 3 1 4 12 17 10
2 9 Nurnberg 8 2 6 1.6 2.4 3 1 4 13 19 10
3 10 Hertha 8 2 6 1.5 2.2 2 2 4 12 18 8
4 16 Schalke 04 8 2 6 1.4 2.8 1 1 6 11 22 4
5 2 Hamburg 7 2 5 1.6 2.0 1 3 3 11 14 6
6 7 Hannover 7 2 5 1.6 1.6 2 3 2 11 11 9
7 11 Kaiserslautern 6 1 5 1.5 2.2 1 2 3 9 13 5
8 14 Karlsruhe 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 1 2 4 11 15 5
9 1 St Pauli 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 4 3 0 12 7 15
10 6 Elversberg 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
11 17 Braunschweig 7 3 4 0.3 2.1 0 0 7 2 15 0
12 18 Osnabruck 6 2 4 0.8 3.0 0 2 4 5 18 2
13 3 Holstein Kiel 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 5 1 1 13 7 16
14 4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 3 1 2 12 4 10
15 8 Wehen 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9
16 13 Magdeburg 8 5 3 1.4 1.5 2 2 4 11 12 8
17 15 Hansa Rostock 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 2 0 4 5 9 6
18 5 Greuther Furth 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 1 2 3 5 11 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44