Hamburg 1–2 Paderborn – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 9 Dec 2023

Match facts

Hamburg Paderborn

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

8 Corners 4

16 Fouls 8

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (137 league matches this season so far).

Result Hamburg to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.56

Expected goals 2.17 – 1.29

Home / Draw / Away

57% 20% 22%

HamburgDrawPaderborn

Under / Over 2.5 goals

33% 67%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

27% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.8% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches

1.87points / match

2.00scored / match

1.33conceded / match

8 4 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 30:20

Paderborn before this match, all matches

1.40points / match

1.53scored / match

1.80conceded / match

6 3 6

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:27

Hamburg all matches all matches Paderborn

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.53

1.33 Goals conceded 1.80

3.33 Total goals 3.33

16.20 Shots 13.33

6.40 Shots on target 4.93

13.27 Shots faced 15.67

5.73 Corners 4.80

5.53 Corners against 5.33

12.00 Fouls 12.40

2.60 Yellow cards 1.53

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

53% Wins 40%

27% Draws 20%

20% Losses 40%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

87% Over 1.5 goals 93%

60% Over 2.5 goals 80%

33% Over 3.5 goals 47%

20% Over 4.5 goals 13%

20% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 80%

40% Clean sheets 13%

0% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 40%

20% Draws 33%

47% Losses 27%

80% Over 0.5 goals 80%

47% Over 1.5 goals 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

2

W

3

D

2

W

2

4

L

2

1

W

2

D

Paderborn all matches

2

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

3

1

W

2

D

1

3

L

3

W

1

3

L

1

4

L

1

W

Hamburg before this match, at home

3.00points / match

2.43scored / match

0.57conceded / match

7

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 17:4

Paderborn before this match, away

1.25points / match

1.50scored / match

2.13conceded / match

3 1 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:17

Hamburg at home away Paderborn

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 1.50

0.57 Goals conceded 2.13

3.00 Total goals 3.63

19.14 Shots 11.38

7.43 Shots on target 4.13

11.14 Shots faced 18.25

5.86 Corners 4.50

4.29 Corners against 5.88

12.14 Fouls 11.50

2.00 Yellow cards 1.63

1.29 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 38%

0% Draws 13%

0% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

86% Over 1.5 goals 100%

43% Over 2.5 goals 88%

14% Over 3.5 goals 50%

14% Over 4.5 goals 25%

14% Over 5.5 goals 0%

29% Both teams scored 75%

71% Clean sheets 13%

0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 50%

14% Draws 25%

14% Losses 25%

86% Over 0.5 goals 100%

57% Over 1.5 goals 63%

14% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home

4

3

W

2

D

2

1

W

5

3

W

3

W

2

W

1

W

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

Paderborn away

2

D

2

D

5

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

3

L

3

W

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.12.23	St Pauli – Hamburg	2–2 (2–0)	1.83	4.00	4.00	1.62	2.25
24.11.23	Hamburg – Braunschweig	2–1 (2–0)	1.30	6.00	9.00	1.36	3.10
11.11.23	Holstein Kiel – Hamburg	4–2 (1–0)	3.25	4.00	2.00	1.44	2.70
04.11.23	Hamburg – Magdeburg	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.75	4.75	1.33	3.40
28.10.23	Kaiserslautern – Hamburg	3–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.53	2.40
21.10.23	Hamburg – Greuther Furth	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.44	2.70
07.10.23	Wehen – Hamburg	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	4.33	1.67	1.44	2.70
29.09.23	Hamburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	4.00	3.20	1.44	2.70
22.09.23	Osnabruck – Hamburg	2–1 (2–1)	4.50	4.50	1.62	1.36	3.10
16.09.23	Elversberg – Hamburg	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	4.20	1.75	1.40	2.88

Paderborn all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.12.23	Paderborn – Hannover	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.50	2.90	1.62	2.25
25.11.23	Elversberg – Paderborn	4–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.50	2.70	1.50	2.50
11.11.23	Paderborn – Nurnberg	1–3 (0–3)	2.05	3.80	3.30	1.60	2.30
05.11.23	Karlsruhe – Paderborn	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.53	2.40
28.10.23	Hertha – Paderborn	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.75	3.10	1.53	2.40
21.10.23	Paderborn – St Pauli	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.57	2.35
08.10.23	Braunschweig – Paderborn	1–3 (1–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.57	2.35
29.09.23	Paderborn – Schalke 04	3–1 (1–0)	2.20	4.00	2.90	1.57	2.35
22.09.23	Magdeburg – Paderborn	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	4.00	3.00	1.44	2.70
15.09.23	Paderborn – Wehen	2–1 (0–1)	1.73	4.00	4.33	1.57	2.35

Hamburg at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.11.23	Hamburg – Braunschweig	2–1 (2–0)	1.30	6.00	9.00	1.36	3.10
04.11.23	Hamburg – Magdeburg	2–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.75	4.75	1.33	3.40
21.10.23	Hamburg – Greuther Furth	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.44	2.70
29.09.23	Hamburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	4.00	3.20	1.44	2.70
03.09.23	Hamburg – Hansa Rostock	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.75	6.50	1.44	2.70
19.08.23	Hamburg – Hertha	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.48	2.60
28.07.23	Hamburg – Schalke 04	5–3 (1–2)	2.38	3.75	2.70	1.50	2.50
20.05.23	Hamburg – Greuther Furth	2–1 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.44	2.70
05.05.23	Hamburg – Paderborn	2–2 (1–1)	2.10	4.00	3.00	1.44	2.70
21.04.23	Hamburg – St Pauli	4–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.62	2.25

Paderborn away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Elversberg – Paderborn	4–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.50	2.70	1.50	2.50
05.11.23	Karlsruhe – Paderborn	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.53	2.40
28.10.23	Hertha – Paderborn	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.75	3.10	1.53	2.40
08.10.23	Braunschweig – Paderborn	1–3 (1–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.57	2.35
22.09.23	Magdeburg – Paderborn	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	4.00	3.00	1.44	2.70
02.09.23	Holstein Kiel – Paderborn	2–1 (1–1)	2.30	4.00	2.70	1.48	2.60
19.08.23	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.60	2.30
30.07.23	Greuther Furth – Paderborn	5–0 (3–0)	2.45	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.25
20.05.23	Bielefeld – Paderborn	2–2 (2–1)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.50	2.50
05.05.23	Hamburg – Paderborn	2–2 (1–1)	2.10	4.00	3.00	1.44	2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 1

Hamburg winsDrawsPaderborn wins

4matches

3.75goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.23D2	Hamburg – Paderborn	2–2 (1–1)	2.10	4.00	3.00	1.44	2.70
30.10.22D2	Paderborn – Hamburg	2–3 (1–2)	2.25	3.80	2.90	1.47	2.60
02.04.22D2	Hamburg – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	1.65	3.80	5.25	1.57	2.35
22.10.21D2	Paderborn – Hamburg	1–2 (1–1)	2.37	3.60	2.80	1.57	2.35

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Pauli	15	8	7	0	29	13	+16	31
2	Holstein Kiel	15	9	2	4	29	23	+6	29
3	Hamburg	15	8	4	3	30	20	+10	28
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	34	18	+16	27
5	Greuther Furth	15	8	3	4	24	17	+7	27
6	Hannover	16	6	6	4	30	20	+10	24
7	Elversberg	15	7	3	5	24	25	-1	24
8	Hertha	15	6	3	6	31	25	+6	21
9	Wehen	16	6	3	7	18	21	-3	21
10	Paderborn	15	6	3	6	23	27	-4	21
11	Nurnberg	15	6	3	6	23	31	-8	21
12	Magdeburg	15	5	4	6	27	24	+3	19
13	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	27	28	-1	18
14	Kaiserslautern	15	5	3	7	26	32	-6	18
15	Hansa Rostock	15	5	2	8	17	23	-6	17
16	Schalke 04	15	5	1	9	27	33	-6	16
17	Braunschweig	16	3	2	11	14	30	-16	11
18	Osnabruck	15	1	4	10	14	37	-23	7

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	17	4	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	8	6	1	1	18	6	+12	19
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	17	6	+11	16
4	Hannover	8	4	3	1	19	8	+11	15
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	17	14	+3	14
6	Hertha	7	4	1	2	19	7	+12	13
7	Kaiserslautern	8	4	1	3	16	15	+1	13
8	Holstein Kiel	8	4	1	3	16	16	0	13
9	Schalke 04	7	4	0	3	16	11	+5	12
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	14	11	+3	12
11	Wehen	8	3	3	2	8	9	-1	12
12	Magdeburg	7	3	2	2	16	12	+4	11
13	Paderborn	7	3	2	2	11	10	+1	11
14	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	10	12	-2	11
15	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	11	12	-1	10
16	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	10	12	-2	10
17	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
18	Osnabruck	8	1	2	5	9	15	-6	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Holstein Kiel	7	5	1	1	13	7	+6	16
2	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	12	7	+5	15
3	Elversberg	8	4	2	2	13	13	0	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	4	1	2	17	4	+13	13
5	Paderborn	8	3	1	4	12	17	-5	10
6	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	13	19	-6	10
7	Hannover	8	2	3	3	11	12	-1	9
8	Wehen	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
9	Magdeburg	8	2	2	4	11	12	-1	8
10	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	6	11	-5	8
11	Hertha	8	2	2	4	12	18	-6	8
12	Hamburg	8	1	4	3	13	16	-3	7
13	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	7	11	-4	7
14	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	13	17	-4	6
15	Kaiserslautern	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	11	22	-11	4
17	Braunschweig	8	1	0	7	5	16	-11	3
18	Osnabruck	7	0	2	5	5	22	-17	2

Hamburg Paderborn

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Kaiserslautern	15	2	13	1.7	2.1	5	3	7	26	32	18
2	8	Hertha	15	3	12	2.1	1.7	6	3	6	31	25	21
3	10	Paderborn	15	3	12	1.5	1.8	6	3	6	23	27	21
4	16	Schalke 04	15	3	12	1.8	2.2	5	1	9	27	33	16
5	11	Nurnberg	15	4	11	1.5	2.1	6	3	6	23	31	21
6	13	Karlsruhe	16	5	11	1.7	1.8	4	6	6	27	28	18
7	6	Hannover	16	6	10	1.9	1.2	6	6	4	30	20	24
8	7	Elversberg	15	5	10	1.6	1.7	7	3	5	24	25	24
9	1	St Pauli	15	6	9	1.9	0.9	8	7	0	29	13	31
10	2	Holstein Kiel	15	6	9	1.9	1.5	9	2	4	29	23	29
11	3	Hamburg	15	6	9	2.0	1.3	8	4	3	30	20	28
12	4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	9	2.3	1.2	8	3	4	34	18	27
13	15	Hansa Rostock	15	6	9	1.1	1.5	5	2	8	17	23	17
14	17	Braunschweig	16	7	9	0.9	1.9	3	2	11	14	30	11
15	18	Osnabruck	15	6	9	0.9	2.5	1	4	10	14	37	7
16	12	Magdeburg	15	7	8	1.8	1.6	5	4	6	27	24	19
17	5	Greuther Furth	15	9	6	1.6	1.1	8	3	4	24	17	27
18	9	Wehen	16	10	6	1.1	1.3	6	3	7	18	21	21

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Kaiserslautern	8	1	7	2.0	1.9	4	1	3	16	15	13
2	2	Holstein Kiel	8	2	6	2.0	2.0	4	1	3	16	16	13
3	8	Hertha	7	1	6	2.7	1.0	4	1	2	19	7	13
4	16	Schalke 04	7	1	6	2.3	1.6	4	0	3	16	11	12
5	1	St Pauli	8	3	5	2.1	0.8	4	4	0	17	6	16
6	4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	5	2.1	1.8	4	2	2	17	14	14
7	6	Hannover	8	3	5	2.4	1.0	4	3	1	19	8	15
8	7	Elversberg	7	2	5	1.6	1.7	3	1	3	11	12	10
9	10	Paderborn	7	2	5	1.6	1.4	3	2	2	11	10	11
10	11	Nurnberg	7	2	5	1.4	1.7	3	2	2	10	12	11
11	12	Magdeburg	7	2	5	2.3	1.7	3	2	2	16	12	11
12	13	Karlsruhe	8	3	5	1.8	1.4	3	3	2	14	11	12
13	15	Hansa Rostock	8	3	5	1.2	1.5	3	1	4	10	12	10
14	5	Greuther Furth	8	4	4	2.2	0.8	6	1	1	18	6	19
15	17	Braunschweig	8	4	4	1.1	1.8	2	2	4	9	14	8
16	18	Osnabruck	8	4	4	1.1	1.9	1	2	5	9	15	5
17	3	Hamburg	7	4	3	2.4	0.6	7	0	0	17	4	21
18	9	Wehen	8	6	2	1.0	1.1	3	3	2	8	9	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Paderborn	8	1	7	1.5	2.1	3	1	4	12	17	10
2	3	Hamburg	8	2	6	1.6	2.0	1	4	3	13	16	7
3	8	Hertha	8	2	6	1.5	2.2	2	2	4	12	18	8
4	11	Nurnberg	8	2	6	1.6	2.4	3	1	4	13	19	10
5	13	Karlsruhe	8	2	6	1.6	2.1	1	3	4	13	17	6
6	14	Kaiserslautern	7	1	6	1.4	2.4	1	2	4	10	17	5
7	16	Schalke 04	8	2	6	1.4	2.8	1	1	6	11	22	4
8	6	Hannover	8	3	5	1.4	1.5	2	3	3	11	12	9
9	7	Elversberg	8	3	5	1.6	1.6	4	2	2	13	13	14
10	17	Braunschweig	8	3	5	0.6	2.0	1	0	7	5	16	3
11	18	Osnabruck	7	2	5	0.7	3.1	0	2	5	5	22	2
12	1	St Pauli	7	3	4	1.7	1.0	4	3	0	12	7	15
13	4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	4	2.4	0.6	4	1	2	17	4	13
14	9	Wehen	8	4	4	1.2	1.5	3	0	5	10	12	9
15	15	Hansa Rostock	7	3	4	1.0	1.6	2	1	4	7	11	7
16	2	Holstein Kiel	7	4	3	1.9	1.0	5	1	1	13	7	16
17	12	Magdeburg	8	5	3	1.4	1.5	2	2	4	11	12	8
18	5	Greuther Furth	7	5	2	0.9	1.6	2	2	3	6	11	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.