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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

Holstein Kiel 3–4 St Pauli

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.00 fair 2.48
Draw 3.50 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 2.25 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Holstein Kiel St Pauli
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 1
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Holstein Kiel to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
1.86scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 41:28
St Pauli before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
1.77scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 39:19
Holstein Kiel all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.77
1.27 Goals conceded 0.86
3.14 Total goals 2.64
14.82 Shots 17.00
5.64 Shots on target 6.09
14.50 Shots faced 8.82
6.27 Corners 5.59
5.45 Corners against 3.50
13.05 Fouls 9.59
2.18 Yellow cards 1.86
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

59% Wins 55%
14% Draws 41%
27% Losses 5%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
86% Over 1.5 goals 73%
59% Over 2.5 goals 50%
32% Over 3.5 goals 32%
23% Over 4.5 goals 18%
14% Over 5.5 goals 9%
59% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 32%
5% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 45%
41% Draws 45%
14% Losses 9%
73% Over 0.5 goals 64%
50% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel all matches
St Pauli all matches
Holstein Kiel before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.91scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:18
St Pauli before this match, away
1.90points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:10
Holstein Kiel at home away St Pauli

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.50
1.64 Goals conceded 1.00
3.55 Total goals 2.50
17.45 Shots 15.20
6.27 Shots on target 4.80
13.45 Shots faced 10.10
6.91 Corners 4.20
4.09 Corners against 3.90
12.73 Fouls 10.20
1.82 Yellow cards 1.60
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

55% Wins 50%
9% Draws 40%
36% Losses 10%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
91% Over 1.5 goals 80%
73% Over 2.5 goals 50%
36% Over 3.5 goals 20%
36% Over 4.5 goals 10%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 70%
18% Clean sheets 20%
9% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 50%
45% Draws 40%
18% Losses 10%
73% Over 0.5 goals 60%
55% Over 1.5 goals 30%
18% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel at home
St Pauli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.752.75 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Holstein Kiel – Schalke 04 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.60 2.30
02.02.24 Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.40
28.01.24 Greuther Furth – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.753.40 1.62 2.25
19.01.24 Holstein Kiel – Braunschweig 1–2 (1–1) 1.733.804.75 1.70 2.10
16.12.23 Holstein Kiel – Hannover 3–0 (3–0) 2.253.603.00 1.65 2.20
10.12.23 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Holstein Kiel 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.753.75 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Holstein Kiel – Wehen 3–2 (2–0) 1.804.004.20 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 Kaiserslautern – Holstein Kiel 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.753.00 1.57 2.35
11.11.23 Holstein Kiel – Hamburg 4–2 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 St Pauli – Braunschweig 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
10.02.24 Magdeburg – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 1.70 2.10
03.02.24 St Pauli – Greuther Furth 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.004.50 1.75 2.05
27.01.24 Fortuna Dusseldorf – St Pauli 1–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.50 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 St Pauli – Kaiserslautern 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.15
17.12.23 St Pauli – Wehen 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23 Osnabruck – St Pauli 1–1 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.67 2.15
01.12.23 St Pauli – Hamburg 2–2 (2–0) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Hansa Rostock – St Pauli 2–3 (1–3) 4.753.801.67 1.75 2.05
10.11.23 St Pauli – Hannover 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.08

Holstein Kiel at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Holstein Kiel – Schalke 04 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.60 2.30
19.01.24 Holstein Kiel – Braunschweig 1–2 (1–1) 1.733.804.75 1.70 2.10
16.12.23 Holstein Kiel – Hannover 3–0 (3–0) 2.253.603.00 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Holstein Kiel – Wehen 3–2 (2–0) 1.804.004.20 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Holstein Kiel – Hamburg 4–2 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70
29.10.23 Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.57 2.35
08.10.23 Holstein Kiel – Elversberg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.803.20 1.48 2.60
24.09.23 Holstein Kiel – Hertha 2–3 (0–2) 2.703.602.45 1.53 2.40
02.09.23 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 2–1 (1–1) 2.304.002.70 1.48 2.60
20.08.23 Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg 2–4 (1–2) 2.453.502.80 1.53 2.40

St Pauli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Magdeburg – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Fortuna Dusseldorf – St Pauli 1–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.50 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Osnabruck – St Pauli 1–1 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Hansa Rostock – St Pauli 2–3 (1–3) 4.753.801.67 1.75 2.05
03.11.23 Elversberg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.802.00 1.67 2.15
21.10.23 Paderborn – St Pauli 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
30.09.23 Hertha – St Pauli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.57 2.35
01.09.23 Braunschweig – St Pauli 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.601.91 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Greuther Furth – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 1.75 2.05
29.07.23 Kaiserslautern – St Pauli 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Holstein Kiel winsDrawsSt Pauli wins
5matches
3.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23D2 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 5–1 (3–0) 1.853.804.00 1.67 2.15
19.05.23D2 Holstein Kiel – St Pauli 3–4 (1–1) 3.103.802.15 1.48 2.60
08.11.22D2 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.65 2.20
17.12.21D2 Holstein Kiel – St Pauli 3–0 (3–0) 2.703.752.37 1.53 2.40
25.07.21D2 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 3–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.70 1.57 2.35

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Pauli 22 12 9 1 39 19 +20 45
2 Holstein Kiel 22 13 3 6 41 28 +13 42
3 Hamburg 22 11 5 6 45 33 +12 38
4 Hannover 22 10 7 5 43 30 +13 37
5 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 34 28 +6 35
6 Paderborn 22 10 4 8 34 37 -3 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 9 6 7 46 32 +14 33
8 Hertha 22 9 5 8 42 36 +6 32
9 Elversberg 22 9 5 8 35 36 -1 32
10 Nurnberg 22 8 6 8 31 40 -9 30
11 Karlsruhe 22 7 8 7 40 40 0 29
12 Magdeburg 22 7 6 9 35 33 +2 27
13 Wehen 22 7 6 9 25 28 -3 27
14 Schalke 04 22 8 2 12 34 42 -8 26
15 Braunschweig 22 7 2 13 21 34 -13 23
16 Kaiserslautern 22 6 4 12 35 44 -9 22
17 Hansa Rostock 22 6 4 12 22 36 -14 22
18 Osnabruck 22 1 9 12 19 45 -26 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Pauli 12 7 5 0 24 9 +15 26
2 Hannover 11 7 3 1 26 10 +16 24
3 Greuther Furth 11 7 2 2 22 10 +12 23
4 Hamburg 10 7 0 3 24 14 +10 21
5 Karlsruhe 12 5 5 2 23 18 +5 20
6 Schalke 04 11 6 1 4 20 15 +5 19
7 Holstein Kiel 11 6 1 4 21 18 +3 19
8 Hertha 11 5 3 3 25 13 +12 18
9 Magdeburg 11 5 3 3 21 16 +5 18
10 Elversberg 11 5 2 4 18 17 +1 17
11 Paderborn 11 5 2 4 18 18 0 17
12 Braunschweig 11 5 2 4 14 15 -1 17
13 Kaiserslautern 11 5 1 5 22 20 +2 16
14 Wehen 10 4 4 2 12 11 +1 16
15 Nurnberg 11 4 4 3 16 17 -1 16
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 4 3 4 19 18 +1 15
17 Hansa Rostock 11 4 2 5 14 17 -3 14
18 Osnabruck 11 1 5 5 10 16 -6 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel 11 7 2 2 20 10 +10 23
2 St Pauli 10 5 4 1 15 10 +5 19
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 5 3 3 27 14 +13 18
4 Hamburg 12 4 5 3 21 19 +2 17
5 Paderborn 11 5 2 4 16 19 -3 17
6 Elversberg 11 4 3 4 17 19 -2 15
7 Hertha 11 4 2 5 17 23 -6 14
8 Nurnberg 11 4 2 5 15 23 -8 14
9 Hannover 11 3 4 4 17 20 -3 13
10 Greuther Furth 11 3 3 5 12 18 -6 12
11 Wehen 12 3 2 7 13 17 -4 11
12 Magdeburg 11 2 3 6 14 17 -3 9
13 Karlsruhe 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
14 Hansa Rostock 11 2 2 7 8 19 -11 8
15 Schalke 04 11 2 1 8 14 27 -13 7
16 Kaiserslautern 11 1 3 7 13 24 -11 6
17 Braunschweig 11 2 0 9 7 19 -12 6
18 Osnabruck 11 0 4 7 9 29 -20 4

Holstein Kiel   St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Hertha 22 4 18 1.9 1.6 9 5 8 42 36 32
2 16 Kaiserslautern 22 4 18 1.6 2.0 6 4 12 35 44 22
3 6 Paderborn 22 5 17 1.5 1.7 10 4 8 34 37 34
4 4 Hannover 22 6 16 2.0 1.4 10 7 5 43 30 37
5 11 Karlsruhe 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 7 8 7 40 40 29
6 9 Elversberg 22 7 15 1.6 1.6 9 5 8 35 36 32
7 3 Hamburg 22 8 14 2.0 1.5 11 5 6 45 33 38
8 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 8 14 2.1 1.5 9 6 7 46 32 33
9 10 Nurnberg 22 8 14 1.4 1.8 8 6 8 31 40 30
10 14 Schalke 04 22 8 14 1.5 1.9 8 2 12 34 42 26
11 17 Hansa Rostock 22 8 14 1.0 1.6 6 4 12 22 36 22
12 2 Holstein Kiel 22 9 13 1.9 1.3 13 3 6 41 28 42
13 18 Osnabruck 22 10 12 0.9 2.0 1 9 12 19 45 12
14 1 St Pauli 22 11 11 1.8 0.9 12 9 1 39 19 45
15 5 Greuther Furth 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 10 5 7 34 28 35
16 15 Braunschweig 22 11 11 1.0 1.5 7 2 13 21 34 23
17 12 Magdeburg 22 12 10 1.6 1.5 7 6 9 35 33 27
18 13 Wehen 22 14 8 1.1 1.3 7 6 9 25 28 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Kaiserslautern 11 1 10 2.0 1.8 5 1 5 22 20 16
2 8 Hertha 11 2 9 2.3 1.2 5 3 3 25 13 18
3 11 Karlsruhe 12 3 9 1.9 1.5 5 5 2 23 18 20
4 2 Holstein Kiel 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 6 1 4 21 18 19
5 4 Hannover 11 3 8 2.4 0.9 7 3 1 26 10 24
6 6 Paderborn 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 5 2 4 18 18 17
7 9 Elversberg 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 5 2 4 18 17 17
8 10 Nurnberg 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 4 3 16 17 16
9 14 Schalke 04 11 4 7 1.8 1.4 6 1 4 20 15 19
10 17 Hansa Rostock 11 4 7 1.3 1.5 4 2 5 14 17 14
11 1 St Pauli 12 6 6 2.0 0.8 7 5 0 24 9 26
12 3 Hamburg 10 4 6 2.4 1.4 7 0 3 24 14 21
13 5 Greuther Furth 11 5 6 2.0 0.9 7 2 2 22 10 23
14 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 5 6 1.7 1.6 4 3 4 19 18 15
15 12 Magdeburg 11 5 6 1.9 1.5 5 3 3 21 16 18
16 15 Braunschweig 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 5 2 4 14 15 17
17 18 Osnabruck 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 1 5 5 10 16 8
18 13 Wehen 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 4 4 2 12 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Paderborn 11 2 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 4 16 19 17
2 8 Hertha 11 2 9 1.5 2.1 4 2 5 17 23 14
3 3 Hamburg 12 4 8 1.8 1.6 4 5 3 21 19 17
4 4 Hannover 11 3 8 1.5 1.8 3 4 4 17 20 13
5 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 8 2.5 1.3 5 3 3 27 14 18
6 16 Kaiserslautern 11 3 8 1.2 2.2 1 3 7 13 24 6
7 18 Osnabruck 11 3 8 0.8 2.6 0 4 7 9 29 4
8 9 Elversberg 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 4 3 4 17 19 15
9 10 Nurnberg 11 4 7 1.4 2.1 4 2 5 15 23 14
10 11 Karlsruhe 10 3 7 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
11 14 Schalke 04 11 4 7 1.3 2.5 2 1 8 14 27 7
12 17 Hansa Rostock 11 4 7 0.7 1.7 2 2 7 8 19 8
13 15 Braunschweig 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 2 0 9 7 19 6
14 1 St Pauli 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 1 15 10 19
15 2 Holstein Kiel 11 6 5 1.8 0.9 7 2 2 20 10 23
16 5 Greuther Furth 11 6 5 1.1 1.6 3 3 5 12 18 12
17 13 Wehen 12 7 5 1.1 1.4 3 2 7 13 17 11
18 12 Magdeburg 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 2 3 6 14 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44