Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dresden – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 20 Dec 2025

Match facts

Holstein Kiel Dresden

12 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 8

7 Corners 9

7 Fouls 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (149 league matches this season so far).

Result Holstein Kiel to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.68

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.34

Home / Draw / Away

45% 24% 31%

Holstein KielDrawDresden

Under / Over 2.5 goals

43% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.13scored / match

1.31conceded / match

4 5 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:21

Dresden before this match, all matches

0.81points / match

1.44scored / match

2.00conceded / match

3 4 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:32

Holstein Kiel all matches all matches Dresden

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.44

1.31 Goals conceded 2.00

2.44 Total goals 3.44

12.81 Shots 12.75

4.06 Shots on target 3.75

14.56 Shots faced 14.31

4.63 Corners 5.25

5.19 Corners against 5.69

14.13 Fouls 11.31

2.88 Yellow cards 2.06

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

25% Wins 19%

31% Draws 25%

44% Losses 56%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 94%

38% Over 2.5 goals 81%

13% Over 3.5 goals 44%

13% Over 4.5 goals 19%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 81%

25% Clean sheets 0%

19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 31%

38% Draws 25%

31% Losses 44%

69% Over 0.5 goals 94%

31% Over 1.5 goals 63%

13% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel all matches

1

L

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

4

L

1

L

1

D

3

D

Dresden all matches

2

L

3

D

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

3

L

Holstein Kiel before this match, at home

1.14points / match

1.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

2 2 3

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:7

Dresden before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.38scored / match

2.00conceded / match

2 2 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:16

Holstein Kiel at home away Dresden

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded 2.00

2.00 Total goals 3.38

14.00 Shots 13.88

4.71 Shots on target 3.88

12.00 Shots faced 14.25

5.57 Corners 5.38

4.57 Corners against 6.00

12.57 Fouls 11.75

1.71 Yellow cards 2.25

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

29% Wins 25%

29% Draws 25%

43% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

71% Over 1.5 goals 100%

29% Over 2.5 goals 75%

0% Over 3.5 goals 50%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 75%

29% Clean sheets 0%

29% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 50%

57% Draws 0%

14% Losses 50%

43% Over 0.5 goals 100%

29% Over 1.5 goals 50%

0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel at home

1

2

L

4

3

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

L

Dresden away

2

D

2

D

2

3

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

L

2

D

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.12.25	Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel	3–3 (2–1)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.57	2.35
07.12.25	Braunschweig – Holstein Kiel	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.80	2.30	1.70	2.10
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel – Hertha	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.50	2.63	1.75	2.05
23.11.25	Kaiserslautern – Holstein Kiel	4–1 (4–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.70	2.10
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.70	3.70	1.67	2.15
31.10.25	Preußen Münster – Holstein Kiel	2–1 (0–1)	3.25	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.08
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel – Bochum	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	4.10	3.40	1.57	2.35
19.10.25	Nurnberg – Holstein Kiel	1–1 (1–0)	2.60	3.25	2.70	1.73	2.08
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.75	1.70	2.10
27.09.25	Elversberg – Holstein Kiel	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35

Dresden all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.12.25	Dresden – Braunschweig	2–3 (0–2)	2.25	3.10	3.40	1.88	1.93
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern – Dresden	3–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.90	3.50	1.62	2.25
30.11.25	Dresden – Fortuna Dusseldorf	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.60	2.80	1.60	2.30
21.11.25	Bochum – Dresden	1–2 (0–2)	1.95	3.75	3.60	1.65	2.20
07.11.25	Dresden – Nurnberg	1–2 (1–1)	2.50	3.60	2.60	1.70	2.10
01.11.25	Hertha – Dresden	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.57	2.35
25.10.25	Dresden – Paderborn	1–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.90	2.05	1.60	2.30
18.10.25	Preußen Münster – Dresden	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.70	2.80	1.67	2.15
04.10.25	Dresden – Karlsruhe	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.75	3.00	1.62	2.25
26.09.25	Darmstadt – Dresden	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.10	4.00	1.48	2.60

Holstein Kiel at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel – Hertha	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.50	2.63	1.75	2.05
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel – Fortuna Dusseldorf	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.70	3.70	1.67	2.15
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel – Bochum	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	4.10	3.40	1.57	2.35
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.75	1.70	2.10
21.09.25	Holstein Kiel – Karlsruhe	3–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.60	3.60	1.70	2.10
30.08.25	Holstein Kiel – Hannover	1–2 (1–0)	2.55	3.70	2.45	1.67	2.15
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel – Bielefeld	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.62	2.25
10.05.25D1	Holstein Kiel – Freiburg	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.75	2.15	1.53	2.50
26.04.25D1	Holstein Kiel – M'gladbach	4–3 (2–0)	3.10	3.80	2.15	1.50	2.63
12.04.25D1	Holstein Kiel – St Pauli	1–2 (1–1)	3.25	3.30	2.25	2.00	1.90

Dresden away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern – Dresden	3–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.90	3.50	1.62	2.25
21.11.25	Bochum – Dresden	1–2 (0–2)	1.95	3.75	3.60	1.65	2.20
01.11.25	Hertha – Dresden	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.57	2.35
18.10.25	Preußen Münster – Dresden	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.70	2.80	1.67	2.15
26.09.25	Darmstadt – Dresden	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.10	4.00	1.48	2.60
14.09.25	Elversberg – Dresden	2–2 (1–2)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.70	2.10
24.08.25	Bielefeld – Dresden	1–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.30	4.20	1.73	2.08
03.08.25	Greuther Furth – Dresden	3–2 (2–1)	2.20	3.70	2.90	1.60	2.30
08.05.22	Karlsruhe – Dresden	2–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.70	2.10
22.04.22	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Dresden	2–2 (2–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Holstein Kiel winsDrawsDresden wins

2matches

1.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.22D2	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	1.83	2.02
05.11.21D2	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.85	1.95

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	16	12	1	3	21	8	+13	37
2	Elversberg	16	10	3	3	30	14	+16	33
3	Darmstadt	17	9	6	2	29	17	+12	33
4	Paderborn	17	10	3	4	28	18	+10	33
5	Hannover	16	8	5	3	29	20	+9	29
6	Hertha	17	8	4	5	21	16	+5	28
7	Kaiserslautern	17	8	3	6	29	21	+8	27
8	Karlsruhe	17	6	4	7	25	33	-8	22
9	Bochum	17	6	3	8	23	22	+1	21
10	Bielefeld	17	5	4	8	27	24	+3	19
11	Preußen Münster	16	5	4	7	21	25	-4	19
12	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	17	22	-5	19
13	Holstein Kiel	16	4	5	7	18	21	-3	17
14	Magdeburg	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8	17
15	Braunschweig	16	5	2	9	18	28	-10	17
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	5	2	10	15	27	-12	17
17	Greuther Furth	17	4	3	10	26	44	-18	15
18	Dresden	16	3	4	9	23	32	-9	13

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Darmstadt	9	6	3	0	18	8	+10	21
2	Schalke 04	8	7	0	1	10	4	+6	21
3	Kaiserslautern	9	6	1	2	21	11	+10	19
4	Elversberg	8	5	3	0	15	5	+10	18
5	Paderborn	9	5	1	3	15	13	+2	16
6	Karlsruhe	8	5	0	3	14	14	0	15
7	Hertha	9	4	2	3	7	8	-1	14
8	Bielefeld	9	4	1	4	17	10	+7	13
9	Preußen Münster	8	3	4	1	13	10	+3	13
10	Bochum	8	4	1	3	12	9	+3	13
11	Hannover	8	4	1	3	12	11	+1	13
12	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	9	9	0	12
13	Holstein Kiel	7	2	2	3	7	7	0	8
14	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	2	5	8	15	-7	8
16	Greuther Furth	8	2	2	4	10	19	-9	8
17	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	12	16	-4	7
18	Dresden	8	1	2	5	12	16	-4	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paderborn	8	5	2	1	13	5	+8	17
2	Hannover	8	4	4	0	17	9	+8	16
3	Schalke 04	8	5	1	2	11	4	+7	16
4	Elversberg	8	5	0	3	15	9	+6	15
5	Hertha	8	4	2	2	14	8	+6	14
6	Darmstadt	8	3	3	2	11	9	+2	12
7	Magdeburg	9	3	1	5	9	13	-4	10
8	Holstein Kiel	9	2	3	4	11	14	-3	9
9	Braunschweig	8	3	0	5	9	13	-4	9
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	0	5	7	12	-5	9
11	Bochum	9	2	2	5	11	13	-2	8
12	Kaiserslautern	8	2	2	4	8	10	-2	8
13	Dresden	8	2	2	4	11	16	-5	8
14	Nurnberg	8	2	1	5	8	13	-5	7
15	Karlsruhe	9	1	4	4	11	19	-8	7
16	Greuther Furth	9	2	1	6	16	25	-9	7
17	Bielefeld	8	1	3	4	10	14	-4	6
18	Preußen Münster	8	2	0	6	8	15	-7	6

Holstein Kiel Dresden

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Greuther Furth	17	3	14	1.5	2.6	4	3	10	26	44	15
2	8	Karlsruhe	17	4	13	1.5	1.9	6	4	7	25	33	22
3	18	Dresden	16	3	13	1.4	2.0	3	4	9	23	32	13
4	5	Hannover	16	4	12	1.8	1.2	8	5	3	29	20	29
5	11	Preußen Münster	16	5	11	1.3	1.6	5	4	7	21	25	19
6	4	Paderborn	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	3	4	28	18	33
7	3	Darmstadt	17	8	9	1.7	1.0	9	6	2	29	17	33
8	7	Kaiserslautern	17	8	9	1.7	1.2	8	3	6	29	21	27
9	9	Bochum	17	8	9	1.4	1.3	6	3	8	23	22	21
10	10	Bielefeld	17	8	9	1.6	1.4	5	4	8	27	24	19
11	12	Nurnberg	16	7	9	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	17	22	19
12	15	Braunschweig	16	7	9	1.1	1.8	5	2	9	18	28	17
13	16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	8	9	0.9	1.6	5	2	10	15	27	17
14	2	Elversberg	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	10	3	3	30	14	33
15	14	Magdeburg	17	9	8	1.2	1.7	5	2	10	21	29	17
16	1	Schalke 04	16	10	6	1.3	0.5	12	1	3	21	8	37
17	6	Hertha	17	11	6	1.2	0.9	8	4	5	21	16	28
18	13	Holstein Kiel	16	10	6	1.1	1.3	4	5	7	18	21	17

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Dresden	8	1	7	1.5	2.0	1	2	5	12	16	5
2	4	Paderborn	9	3	6	1.7	1.4	5	1	3	15	13	16
3	5	Hannover	8	2	6	1.5	1.4	4	1	3	12	11	13
4	7	Kaiserslautern	9	3	6	2.3	1.2	6	1	2	21	11	19
5	8	Karlsruhe	8	2	6	1.8	1.8	5	0	3	14	14	15
6	10	Bielefeld	9	3	6	1.9	1.1	4	1	4	17	10	13
7	11	Preußen Münster	8	2	6	1.6	1.2	3	4	1	13	10	13
8	17	Greuther Furth	8	2	6	1.2	2.4	2	2	4	10	19	8
9	3	Darmstadt	9	4	5	2.0	0.9	6	3	0	18	8	21
10	16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	5	0.9	1.7	2	2	5	8	15	8
11	2	Elversberg	8	4	4	1.9	0.6	5	3	0	15	5	18
12	9	Bochum	8	4	4	1.5	1.1	4	1	3	12	9	13
13	12	Nurnberg	8	4	4	1.1	1.1	3	3	2	9	9	12
14	14	Magdeburg	8	4	4	1.5	2.0	2	1	5	12	16	7
15	15	Braunschweig	8	4	4	1.1	1.9	2	2	4	9	15	8
16	1	Schalke 04	8	5	3	1.2	0.5	7	0	1	10	4	21
17	13	Holstein Kiel	7	5	2	1.0	1.0	2	2	3	7	7	8
18	6	Hertha	9	8	1	0.8	0.9	4	2	3	7	8	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Greuther Furth	9	1	8	1.8	2.8	2	1	6	16	25	7
2	8	Karlsruhe	9	2	7	1.2	2.1	1	4	4	11	19	7
3	5	Hannover	8	2	6	2.1	1.1	4	4	0	17	9	16
4	18	Dresden	8	2	6	1.4	2.0	2	2	4	11	16	8
5	6	Hertha	8	3	5	1.8	1.0	4	2	2	14	8	14
6	9	Bochum	9	4	5	1.2	1.4	2	2	5	11	13	8
7	11	Preußen Münster	8	3	5	1.0	1.9	2	0	6	8	15	6
8	12	Nurnberg	8	3	5	1.0	1.6	2	1	5	8	13	7
9	15	Braunschweig	8	3	5	1.1	1.6	3	0	5	9	13	9
10	2	Elversberg	8	4	4	1.9	1.1	5	0	3	15	9	15
11	3	Darmstadt	8	4	4	1.4	1.1	3	3	2	11	9	12
12	4	Paderborn	8	4	4	1.6	0.6	5	2	1	13	5	17
13	13	Holstein Kiel	9	5	4	1.2	1.6	2	3	4	11	14	9
14	14	Magdeburg	9	5	4	1.0	1.4	3	1	5	9	13	10
15	16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	4	0.9	1.5	3	0	5	7	12	9
16	1	Schalke 04	8	5	3	1.4	0.5	5	1	2	11	4	16
17	7	Kaiserslautern	8	5	3	1.0	1.2	2	2	4	8	10	8
18	10	Bielefeld	8	5	3	1.2	1.8	1	3	4	10	14	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.