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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 9.00 fair 3.21
Draw 6.00 fair 4.64
Away ✓ 1.29 fair 2.11
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 3.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Bayern Munich
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 7
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (69 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.45
Expected goals 1.60 – 2.00
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.29points / match
0.86scored / match
2.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:19
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
3.29scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 23:6
Mainz all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 3.29
2.71 Goals conceded 0.86
3.57 Total goals 4.14
12.14 Shots 20.29
4.14 Shots on target 8.57
11.43 Shots faced 7.14
4.14 Corners 7.71
3.71 Corners against 2.29
14.43 Fouls 10.86
2.71 Yellow cards 1.43
0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.43
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

0% Wins 71%
29% Draws 29%
71% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
86% Over 2.5 goals 100%
57% Over 3.5 goals 71%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 57%
0% Clean sheets 43%
29% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 57%
29% Draws 14%
57% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
43% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:7
Bayern Munich before this match, away
2.33points / match
2.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:3
Mainz at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 2.67
2.33 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 3.67
12.67 Shots 20.33
4.33 Shots on target 8.00
10.00 Shots faced 7.00
4.67 Corners 7.33
3.00 Corners against 2.00
16.00 Fouls 14.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.23 M'gladbach – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.753.40 1.57 2.38
30.09.23 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Augsburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.63 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–3 (0–0) 2.633.402.70 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Werder Bremen – Mainz 4–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
27.08.23 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.502.88 1.73 2.10
20.08.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 4–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.10 1.73
27.05.23 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33
21.05.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.73 2.10
13.05.23 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 3–0 (2–0) 1.148.5017.00 1.29 3.75
30.09.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
23.09.23 Bayern Munich – Bochum 7–0 (4–0) 1.1110.0019.00 1.22 4.33
15.09.23 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–1) 1.654.504.50 1.36 3.20
02.09.23 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 1–2 (1–0) 8.505.751.30 1.25 4.00
27.08.23 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0019.00 1.20 4.50
18.08.23 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 7.506.501.30 1.33 3.40
27.05.23 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.506.001.30 1.29 3.75
20.05.23 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.36 3.20
13.05.23 Bayern Munich – Schalke 04 6–0 (2–0) 1.1310.0017.00 1.22 4.33

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–3 (0–0) 2.633.402.70 1.67 2.20
27.08.23 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.502.88 1.73 2.10
21.05.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.73 2.10
05.05.23 Mainz – Schalke 04 2–3 (0–1) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
24.02.23 Mainz – M'gladbach 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
02.09.23 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 1–2 (1–0) 8.505.751.30 1.25 4.00
18.08.23 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 7.506.501.30 1.33 3.40
27.05.23 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.506.001.30 1.29 3.75
06.05.23 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–0) 8.506.001.30 1.33 3.40
22.04.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
08.04.23 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–0) 6.505.001.45 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.55 1.40 3.00
04.03.23 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.44 2.75
18.02.23 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 3–2 (1–1) 7.005.751.36 1.33 3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
4matches
4.75goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23D1 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
29.10.22D1 Bayern Munich – Mainz 6–2 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.33 3.40
30.04.22D1 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (2–1) 5.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
11.12.21D1 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.33 3.40

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 8 7 1 0 25 7 +18 22
2 Stuttgart 8 7 0 1 25 8 +17 21
3 Dortmund 8 6 2 0 17 8 +9 20
4 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 23 6 +17 17
5 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 19 7 +12 17
6 Hoffenheim 8 5 0 3 17 14 +3 15
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 3 4 1 9 6 +3 13
8 Freiburg 8 4 1 3 9 14 -5 13
9 Wolfsburg 8 4 0 4 11 11 0 12
10 Heidenheim 7 2 1 4 10 15 -5 7
11 Darmstadt 8 2 1 5 13 22 -9 7
12 M'gladbach 7 1 3 3 13 16 -3 6
13 Werder Bremen 8 2 0 6 12 18 -6 6
14 Union Berlin 8 2 0 6 11 17 -6 6
15 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 10 17 -7 5
16 Bochum 8 0 4 4 6 21 -15 4
17 Mainz 7 0 2 5 6 19 -13 2
18 FC Koln 7 0 1 6 4 14 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
2 Stuttgart 4 4 0 0 16 2 +14 12
3 Leverkusen 4 4 0 0 15 4 +11 12
4 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 15 3 +12 10
5 Wolfsburg 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
6 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
7 RB Leipzig 4 2 2 0 10 3 +7 8
8 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
9 Heidenheim 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
10 Werder Bremen 4 2 0 2 8 8 0 6
11 Augsburg 4 1 2 1 9 9 0 5
12 Darmstadt 4 1 1 2 9 12 -3 4
13 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
14 Union Berlin 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
15 Bochum 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
16 M'gladbach 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
17 Mainz 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
18 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim 4 4 0 0 11 5 +6 12
2 Leverkusen 4 3 1 0 10 3 +7 10
3 RB Leipzig 4 3 0 1 9 4 +5 9
4 Stuttgart 4 3 0 1 9 6 +3 9
5 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
6 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 8 4 +4 7
7 M'gladbach 3 1 2 0 10 8 +2 5
8 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
9 Freiburg 4 1 1 2 2 9 -7 4
10 Union Berlin 4 1 0 3 7 8 -1 3
11 Wolfsburg 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
12 Darmstadt 4 1 0 3 4 10 -6 3
13 Bochum 5 0 2 3 3 16 -13 2
14 FC Koln 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
15 Heidenheim 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
16 Mainz 4 0 1 3 4 12 -8 1
17 Werder Bremen 4 0 0 4 4 10 -6 0
18 Augsburg 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0

Mainz   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 8 0 8 3.1 0.9 7 1 0 25 7 22
2 2 Stuttgart 8 1 7 3.1 1.0 7 0 1 25 8 21
3 4 Bayern Munich 7 0 7 3.3 0.9 5 2 0 23 6 17
4 6 Hoffenheim 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 5 0 3 17 14 15
5 11 Darmstadt 8 1 7 1.6 2.8 2 1 5 13 22 7
6 5 RB Leipzig 8 2 6 2.4 0.9 5 2 1 19 7 17
7 12 M'gladbach 7 1 6 1.9 2.3 1 3 3 13 16 6
8 13 Werder Bremen 8 2 6 1.5 2.2 2 0 6 12 18 6
9 14 Union Berlin 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 2 0 6 11 17 6
10 15 Augsburg 7 1 6 1.4 2.4 1 2 4 10 17 5
11 17 Mainz 7 1 6 0.9 2.7 0 2 5 6 19 2
12 8 Freiburg 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 4 1 3 9 14 13
13 9 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 0 4 11 11 12
14 16 Bochum 8 3 5 0.8 2.6 0 4 4 6 21 4
15 3 Dortmund 8 4 4 2.1 1.0 6 2 0 17 8 20
16 10 Heidenheim 7 3 4 1.4 2.1 2 1 4 10 15 7
17 18 FC Koln 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 1 6 4 14 1
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 8 7 1 1.1 0.8 3 4 1 9 6 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 4 0 4 3.8 1.0 4 0 0 15 4 12
2 2 Stuttgart 4 0 4 4.0 0.5 4 0 0 16 2 12
3 4 Bayern Munich 4 0 4 3.8 0.8 3 1 0 15 3 10
4 6 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
5 11 Darmstadt 4 0 4 2.2 3.0 1 1 2 9 12 4
6 13 Werder Bremen 4 0 4 2.0 2.0 2 0 2 8 8 6
7 15 Augsburg 4 0 4 2.2 2.2 1 2 1 9 9 5
8 5 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 2 2 0 10 3 8
9 12 M'gladbach 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
10 14 Union Berlin 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
11 3 Dortmund 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
12 8 Freiburg 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
13 9 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
14 10 Heidenheim 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
15 17 Mainz 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
16 18 FC Koln 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
17 16 Bochum 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 4 4 0 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 4 0 4 2.5 0.8 3 1 0 10 3 10
2 16 Bochum 5 1 4 0.6 3.2 0 2 3 3 16 2
3 17 Mainz 4 0 4 1.0 3.0 0 1 3 4 12 1
4 2 Stuttgart 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 3 0 1 9 6 9
5 4 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
6 5 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 0 1 9 4 9
7 6 Hoffenheim 4 1 3 2.8 1.2 4 0 0 11 5 12
8 8 Freiburg 4 1 3 0.5 2.2 1 1 2 2 9 4
9 9 Wolfsburg 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
10 11 Darmstadt 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 0 3 4 10 3
11 12 M'gladbach 3 0 3 3.3 2.7 1 2 0 10 8 5
12 14 Union Berlin 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 1 0 3 7 8 3
13 3 Dortmund 3 1 2 2.7 1.3 2 1 0 8 4 7
14 10 Heidenheim 4 2 2 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
15 13 Werder Bremen 4 2 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 4 4 10 0
16 15 Augsburg 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0
17 18 FC Koln 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51