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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.50 fair 1.77
Draw 3.50 fair 4.71
Away ✓ 2.70 fair 4.51
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Stuttgart
9 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 3
18 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (294 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.05 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawStuttgart
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.5% 2–0 8.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.59scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 51:49
Stuttgart before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.25scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 40:55
Mainz all matches all matches Stuttgart

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.25
1.53 Goals conceded 1.72
3.13 Total goals 2.97
12.47 Shots 13.50
4.72 Shots on target 4.38
12.13 Shots faced 11.66
4.56 Corners 4.50
4.16 Corners against 4.84
13.88 Fouls 10.13
2.03 Yellow cards 2.22
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

38% Wins 19%
28% Draws 34%
34% Losses 47%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
31% Over 3.5 goals 31%
19% Over 4.5 goals 16%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
63% Both teams scored 72%
22% Clean sheets 6%
19% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 16%
28% Draws 47%
38% Losses 38%
84% Over 0.5 goals 78%
41% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Stuttgart all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.88scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:21
Stuttgart before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.13scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:34
Mainz at home away Stuttgart

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.13
1.31 Goals conceded 2.13
3.19 Total goals 3.25
13.44 Shots 11.94
5.31 Shots on target 4.38
10.31 Shots faced 11.06
4.38 Corners 4.25
4.13 Corners against 4.44
13.19 Fouls 10.88
1.56 Yellow cards 2.19
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

38% Wins 6%
38% Draws 38%
25% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 94%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
19% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 6%
19% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 13%
25% Draws 38%
31% Losses 50%
81% Over 0.5 goals 81%
31% Over 1.5 goals 44%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Stuttgart away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
05.05.23 Mainz – Schalke 04 2–3 (0–1) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
30.04.23 Wolfsburg – Mainz 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.10 1.86 2.04
22.04.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
15.04.23 FC Koln – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.05 1.85
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
01.04.23 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–3 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
11.03.23 Hertha – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.93 2.00
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10

Stuttgart all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23 Stuttgart – Leverkusen 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.73 2.10
06.05.23 Hertha – Stuttgart 2–1 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.89 2.01
29.04.23 Stuttgart – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.804.004.20 1.73 2.10
21.04.23 Augsburg – Stuttgart 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Stuttgart – Dortmund 3–3 (0–2) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.04.23 Bochum – Stuttgart 2–3 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Union Berlin – Stuttgart 3–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.90 2.38 1.57
18.03.23 Stuttgart – Wolfsburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 1.99 1.91
11.03.23 Ein Frankfurt – Stuttgart 1–1 (0–0) 1.804.004.20 1.87 2.06
04.03.23 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.23 Mainz – Schalke 04 2–3 (0–1) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
24.02.23 Mainz – M'gladbach 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
11.02.23 Mainz – Augsburg 3–1 (2–1) 1.804.004.20 1.80 2.00
28.01.23 Mainz – Bochum 5–2 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
25.01.23 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.45 1.72 2.10

Stuttgart away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Hertha – Stuttgart 2–1 (2–1) 3.103.502.25 1.89 2.01
21.04.23 Augsburg – Stuttgart 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.10
09.04.23 Bochum – Stuttgart 2–3 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Union Berlin – Stuttgart 3–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.90 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Ein Frankfurt – Stuttgart 1–1 (0–0) 1.804.004.20 1.87 2.06
25.02.23 Schalke 04 – Stuttgart 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.45 2.00 1.80
11.02.23 Freiburg – Stuttgart 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.96 1.94
27.01.23 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.00 1.53 2.50
24.01.23 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.73 2.10
12.11.22 Leverkusen – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 1.724.204.33 1.57 2.37

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsStuttgart wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23D1 Stuttgart – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.502.88 1.86 2.04
16.04.22D1 Mainz – Stuttgart 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.95 1.95
26.11.21D1 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 2.08 1.85

Germany Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 20 8 5 90 37 +53 68
2 Dortmund 32 21 4 7 78 42 +36 67
3 RB Leipzig 33 19 6 8 60 39 +21 63
4 Union Berlin 33 17 8 8 50 38 +12 59
5 Freiburg 33 17 8 8 50 42 +8 59
6 Leverkusen 32 14 7 11 55 44 +11 49
7 Wolfsburg 33 13 10 10 56 46 +10 49
8 Ein Frankfurt 33 12 11 10 56 51 +5 47
9 Mainz 32 12 9 11 51 49 +2 45
10 FC Koln 33 10 12 11 48 52 -4 42
11 M'gladbach 32 10 9 13 48 53 -5 39
12 Werder Bremen 33 10 6 17 51 63 -12 36
13 Hoffenheim 33 10 5 18 47 56 -9 35
14 Augsburg 32 9 7 16 42 58 -16 34
15 Bochum 33 9 5 19 37 72 -35 32
16 Schalke 04 33 7 10 16 33 67 -34 31
17 Stuttgart 32 6 11 15 40 55 -15 29
18 Hertha 33 6 8 19 40 68 -28 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 16 14 1 1 53 15 +38 43
2 Bayern Munich 17 11 5 1 53 17 +36 38
3 RB Leipzig 16 12 2 2 34 16 +18 38
4 Union Berlin 16 10 6 0 29 11 +18 36
5 Freiburg 17 10 4 3 28 13 +15 34
6 M'gladbach 16 9 3 4 31 18 +13 30
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 5 3 33 17 +16 29
8 Leverkusen 16 8 2 6 33 21 +12 26
9 Wolfsburg 16 6 7 3 33 23 +10 25
10 Mainz 16 6 6 4 30 21 +9 24
11 FC Koln 16 6 5 5 27 18 +9 23
12 Hoffenheim 17 7 2 8 28 29 -1 23
13 Bochum 16 7 2 7 25 32 -7 23
14 Augsburg 16 6 4 6 16 21 -5 22
15 Hertha 17 5 6 6 24 27 -3 21
16 Stuttgart 16 5 5 6 22 21 +1 20
17 Schalke 04 17 5 5 7 23 36 -13 20
18 Werder Bremen 17 5 2 10 26 28 -2 17
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 9 3 4 37 20 +17 30
2 RB Leipzig 17 7 4 6 26 23 +3 25
3 Freiburg 16 7 4 5 22 29 -7 25
4 Wolfsburg 17 7 3 7 23 23 0 24
5 Dortmund 16 7 3 6 25 27 -2 24
6 Leverkusen 16 6 5 5 22 23 -1 23
7 Union Berlin 17 7 2 8 21 27 -6 23
8 Mainz 16 6 3 7 21 28 -7 21
9 Werder Bremen 16 5 4 7 25 35 -10 19
10 FC Koln 17 4 7 6 21 34 -13 19
11 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 6 7 23 34 -11 18
12 Hoffenheim 16 3 3 10 19 27 -8 12
13 Augsburg 16 3 3 10 26 37 -11 12
14 Schalke 04 16 2 5 9 10 31 -21 11
15 Stuttgart 16 1 6 9 18 34 -16 9
16 M'gladbach 16 1 6 9 17 35 -18 9
17 Bochum 17 2 3 12 12 40 -28 9
18 Hertha 16 1 2 13 16 41 -25 5

Mainz   Stuttgart

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Werder Bremen 33 10 23 1.5 1.9 10 6 17 51 63 36
2 2 Dortmund 32 10 22 2.4 1.3 21 4 7 78 42 67
3 3 RB Leipzig 33 11 22 1.8 1.2 19 6 8 60 39 63
4 1 Bayern Munich 33 12 21 2.7 1.1 20 8 5 90 37 68
5 13 Hoffenheim 33 12 21 1.4 1.7 10 5 18 47 56 35
6 6 Leverkusen 32 12 20 1.7 1.4 14 7 11 55 44 49
7 8 Ein Frankfurt 33 13 20 1.7 1.5 12 11 10 56 51 47
8 9 Mainz 32 12 20 1.6 1.5 12 9 11 51 49 45
9 11 M'gladbach 32 12 20 1.5 1.7 10 9 13 48 53 39
10 16 Schalke 04 33 13 20 1.0 2.0 7 10 16 33 67 31
11 17 Stuttgart 32 12 20 1.2 1.7 6 11 15 40 55 29
12 7 Wolfsburg 33 14 19 1.7 1.4 13 10 10 56 46 49
13 15 Bochum 33 14 19 1.1 2.2 9 5 19 37 72 32
14 14 Augsburg 32 14 18 1.3 1.8 9 7 16 42 58 34
15 18 Hertha 33 15 18 1.2 2.1 6 8 19 40 68 26
16 4 Union Berlin 33 16 17 1.5 1.2 17 8 8 50 38 59
17 5 Freiburg 33 17 16 1.5 1.3 17 8 8 50 42 59
18 10 FC Koln 33 17 16 1.5 1.6 10 12 11 48 52 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Dortmund 16 3 13 3.3 0.9 14 1 1 53 15 43
2 3 RB Leipzig 16 4 12 2.1 1.0 12 2 2 34 16 38
3 7 Wolfsburg 16 4 12 2.1 1.4 6 7 3 33 23 25
4 12 Werder Bremen 17 5 12 1.5 1.6 5 2 10 26 28 17
5 13 Hoffenheim 17 5 12 1.6 1.7 7 2 8 28 29 23
6 16 Schalke 04 17 5 12 1.4 2.1 5 5 7 23 36 20
7 1 Bayern Munich 17 6 11 3.1 1.0 11 5 1 53 17 38
8 6 Leverkusen 16 5 11 2.1 1.3 8 2 6 33 21 26
9 9 Mainz 16 6 10 1.9 1.3 6 6 4 30 21 24
10 15 Bochum 16 6 10 1.6 2.0 7 2 7 25 32 23
11 11 M'gladbach 16 7 9 1.9 1.1 9 3 4 31 18 30
12 4 Union Berlin 16 8 8 1.8 0.7 10 6 0 29 11 36
13 8 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 8 2.1 1.1 8 5 3 33 17 29
14 17 Stuttgart 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 5 5 6 22 21 20
15 18 Hertha 17 9 8 1.4 1.6 5 6 6 24 27 21
16 5 Freiburg 17 10 7 1.6 0.8 10 4 3 28 13 34
17 10 FC Koln 16 9 7 1.7 1.1 6 5 5 27 18 23
18 14 Augsburg 16 10 6 1.0 1.3 6 4 6 16 21 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Ein Frankfurt 17 5 12 1.4 2.0 4 6 7 23 34 18
2 14 Augsburg 16 4 12 1.6 2.3 3 3 10 26 37 12
3 17 Stuttgart 16 4 12 1.1 2.1 1 6 9 18 34 9
4 11 M'gladbach 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 1 6 9 17 35 9
5 12 Werder Bremen 16 5 11 1.6 2.2 5 4 7 25 35 19
6 1 Bayern Munich 16 6 10 2.3 1.2 9 3 4 37 20 30
7 3 RB Leipzig 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 7 4 6 26 23 25
8 9 Mainz 16 6 10 1.3 1.8 6 3 7 21 28 21
9 18 Hertha 16 6 10 1.0 2.6 1 2 13 16 41 5
10 2 Dortmund 16 7 9 1.6 1.7 7 3 6 25 27 24
11 4 Union Berlin 17 8 9 1.2 1.6 7 2 8 21 27 23
12 5 Freiburg 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 7 4 5 22 29 25
13 6 Leverkusen 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 23 23
14 10 FC Koln 17 8 9 1.2 2.0 4 7 6 21 34 19
15 13 Hoffenheim 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 3 3 10 19 27 12
16 15 Bochum 17 8 9 0.7 2.4 2 3 12 12 40 9
17 16 Schalke 04 16 8 8 0.6 1.9 2 5 9 10 31 11
18 7 Wolfsburg 17 10 7 1.4 1.4 7 3 7 23 23 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51