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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Freiburg 3–2 Hoffenheim

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.09
Draw 3.80 fair 4.50
Away 3.40 fair 3.33
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Freiburg Hoffenheim
16 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 2
18 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Freiburg to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 1.90 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.24scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:26
Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.88scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 32:33
Freiburg all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.88
1.53 Goals conceded 1.94
2.76 Total goals 3.82
12.47 Shots 13.82
4.24 Shots on target 5.12
13.88 Shots faced 16.18
4.29 Corners 4.06
5.35 Corners against 5.88
10.59 Fouls 10.41
1.71 Yellow cards 2.71
0.65 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

41% Wins 41%
24% Draws 18%
35% Losses 41%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 100%
53% Over 2.5 goals 82%
29% Over 3.5 goals 65%
24% Over 4.5 goals 29%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 88%
41% Clean sheets 6%
24% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 41%
47% Draws 18%
24% Losses 41%
65% Over 0.5 goals 94%
47% Over 1.5 goals 71%
24% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg all matches
Hoffenheim all matches
Freiburg before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.63scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:9
Hoffenheim before this match, away
1.78points / match
1.89scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:16
Freiburg at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.89
1.13 Goals conceded 1.78
2.75 Total goals 3.67
15.88 Shots 12.56
5.00 Shots on target 4.78
11.00 Shots faced 18.22
5.75 Corners 3.56
3.38 Corners against 8.11
10.88 Fouls 10.33
1.75 Yellow cards 2.89
0.88 1st-half goals scored 1.11
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

50% Wins 56%
38% Draws 11%
13% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
38% Over 2.5 goals 78%
25% Over 3.5 goals 56%
25% Over 4.5 goals 33%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 78%
50% Clean sheets 11%
13% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 56%
50% Draws 22%
13% Losses 22%
63% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 56%
38% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg at home
Hoffenheim away

Last 10 matches before this match

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 2.02 1.88
20.12.23 Heidenheim – Freiburg 3–2 (0–1) 2.803.602.38 1.73 2.10
17.12.23 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.91 1.99
09.12.23 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
03.12.23 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.96 1.94
25.11.23 Freiburg – Darmstadt 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.20
12.11.23 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (1–1) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
04.11.23 Freiburg – M'gladbach 3–3 (1–3) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
29.10.23 Leverkusen – Freiburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.10.23 Freiburg – Bochum 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.73 2.10

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 3–0 (1–0) 1.149.0012.00 1.22 4.33
19.12.23 Hoffenheim – Darmstadt 3–3 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.50 2.63
16.12.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
08.12.23 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (2–0) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.63
02.12.23 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–0) 2.204.002.88 1.36 3.20
26.11.23 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
11.11.23 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.602.55 1.50 2.63
04.11.23 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 2–3 (0–2) 5.004.501.57 1.33 3.40
28.10.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 2–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.63
21.10.23 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (1–3) 2.103.503.40 1.67 2.20

Freiburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 2.02 1.88
17.12.23 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.91 1.99
25.11.23 Freiburg – Darmstadt 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.20
04.11.23 Freiburg – M'gladbach 3–3 (1–3) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
21.10.23 Freiburg – Bochum 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.73 2.10
01.10.23 Freiburg – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Freiburg – Dortmund 2–4 (2–1) 3.103.802.10 1.50 2.63
26.08.23 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.754.75 1.67 2.20
19.05.23 Freiburg – Wolfsburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.803.40 1.67 2.20
06.05.23 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.97

Hoffenheim away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 3–0 (1–0) 1.149.0012.00 1.22 4.33
16.12.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
02.12.23 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–0) 2.204.002.88 1.36 3.20
11.11.23 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.602.55 1.50 2.63
28.10.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 2–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.63
07.10.23 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–2) 2.753.752.40 1.44 2.75
23.09.23 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.40 1.80 2.00
16.09.23 FC Koln – Hoffenheim 1–3 (0–2) 2.253.603.10 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Heidenheim – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.602.25 1.67 2.20
27.05.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.755.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Freiburg winsDrawsHoffenheim wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.602.90 1.67 2.20
12.03.23D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
18.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.603.20 1.57 2.37
30.04.22D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.75 1.66 2.20
11.12.21D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.61 2.30

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 17 14 3 0 47 12 +35 45
2 Bayern Munich 16 13 2 1 52 15 +37 41
3 Stuttgart 17 11 1 5 38 22 +16 34
4 RB Leipzig 17 10 3 4 38 18 +20 33
5 Dortmund 17 8 6 3 33 25 +8 30
6 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 6 4 27 20 +7 27
7 Freiburg 17 7 4 6 21 26 -5 25
8 Hoffenheim 17 7 3 7 32 33 -1 24
9 Heidenheim 17 6 3 8 26 33 -7 21
10 M'gladbach 17 5 5 7 34 36 -2 20
11 Wolfsburg 17 6 2 9 21 28 -7 20
12 Augsburg 17 4 6 7 24 32 -8 18
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
14 Bochum 17 3 8 6 19 34 -15 17
15 Union Berlin 16 4 2 10 17 31 -14 14
16 Mainz 17 1 8 8 14 29 -15 11
17 FC Koln 17 2 5 10 11 29 -18 11
18 Darmstadt 17 2 4 11 20 44 -24 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 9 8 1 0 29 6 +23 25
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 1 0 33 5 +28 22
3 Stuttgart 9 7 1 1 26 7 +19 22
4 RB Leipzig 9 6 2 1 24 7 +17 20
5 Dortmund 9 5 2 2 16 14 +2 17
6 Heidenheim 8 5 1 2 17 14 +3 16
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 3 1 15 8 +7 15
8 Freiburg 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15
9 M'gladbach 9 4 2 3 16 13 +3 14
10 Werder Bremen 9 4 2 3 15 14 +1 14
11 Wolfsburg 8 4 1 3 12 9 +3 13
12 Augsburg 9 3 4 2 16 15 +1 13
13 Bochum 8 2 5 1 13 10 +3 11
14 Union Berlin 8 3 1 4 10 14 -4 10
15 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 15 17 -2 8
16 FC Koln 8 1 3 4 7 11 -4 6
17 Mainz 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
18 Darmstadt 9 1 2 6 10 19 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 8 6 2 0 18 6 +12 20
2 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 19 10 +9 19
3 Hoffenheim 9 5 1 3 17 16 +1 16
4 Dortmund 8 3 4 1 17 11 +6 13
5 RB Leipzig 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
6 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
7 Stuttgart 8 4 0 4 12 15 -3 12
8 Freiburg 9 3 1 5 8 17 -9 10
9 Wolfsburg 9 2 1 6 9 19 -10 7
10 M'gladbach 8 1 3 4 18 23 -5 6
11 Mainz 9 0 6 3 8 16 -8 6
12 Bochum 9 1 3 5 6 24 -18 6
13 Augsburg 8 1 2 5 8 17 -9 5
14 Heidenheim 9 1 2 6 9 19 -10 5
15 FC Koln 9 1 2 6 4 18 -14 5
16 Darmstadt 8 1 2 5 10 25 -15 5
17 Union Berlin 8 1 1 6 7 17 -10 4
18 Werder Bremen 8 0 3 5 9 17 -8 3

Freiburg   Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 M'gladbach 17 1 16 2.0 2.1 5 5 7 34 36 20
2 2 Bayern Munich 16 1 15 3.2 0.9 13 2 1 52 15 41
3 1 Leverkusen 17 3 14 2.8 0.7 14 3 0 47 12 45
4 8 Hoffenheim 17 3 14 1.9 1.9 7 3 7 32 33 24
5 3 Stuttgart 17 4 13 2.2 1.3 11 1 5 38 22 34
6 4 RB Leipzig 17 5 12 2.2 1.1 10 3 4 38 18 33
7 18 Darmstadt 17 5 12 1.2 2.6 2 4 11 20 44 10
8 11 Wolfsburg 17 6 11 1.2 1.6 6 2 9 21 28 20
9 14 Bochum 17 6 11 1.1 2.0 3 8 6 19 34 17
10 5 Dortmund 17 7 10 1.9 1.5 8 6 3 33 25 30
11 9 Heidenheim 17 7 10 1.5 1.9 6 3 8 26 33 21
12 12 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.4 1.9 4 6 7 24 32 18
13 13 Werder Bremen 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
14 15 Union Berlin 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 4 2 10 17 31 14
15 6 Ein Frankfurt 17 8 9 1.6 1.2 7 6 4 27 20 27
16 7 Freiburg 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 7 4 6 21 26 25
17 16 Mainz 17 9 8 0.8 1.7 1 8 8 14 29 11
18 17 FC Koln 17 11 6 0.6 1.7 2 5 10 11 29 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 9 1 8 3.2 0.7 8 1 0 29 6 25
2 2 Bayern Munich 8 0 8 4.1 0.6 7 1 0 33 5 22
3 10 M'gladbach 9 1 8 1.8 1.4 4 2 3 16 13 14
4 3 Stuttgart 9 2 7 2.9 0.8 7 1 1 26 7 22
5 4 RB Leipzig 9 2 7 2.7 0.8 6 2 1 24 7 20
6 8 Hoffenheim 8 1 7 1.9 2.1 2 2 4 15 17 8
7 12 Augsburg 9 3 6 1.8 1.7 3 4 2 16 15 13
8 13 Werder Bremen 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 4 2 3 15 14 14
9 18 Darmstadt 9 3 6 1.1 2.1 1 2 6 10 19 5
10 5 Dortmund 9 4 5 1.8 1.6 5 2 2 16 14 17
11 9 Heidenheim 8 3 5 2.1 1.8 5 1 2 17 14 16
12 11 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 4 1 3 12 9 13
13 15 Union Berlin 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 3 1 4 10 14 10
14 6 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 4 1.9 1.0 4 3 1 15 8 15
15 14 Bochum 8 4 4 1.6 1.2 2 5 1 13 10 11
16 7 Freiburg 8 5 3 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15
17 16 Mainz 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
18 17 FC Koln 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 3 4 7 11 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 M'gladbach 8 0 8 2.2 2.9 1 3 4 18 23 6
2 2 Bayern Munich 8 1 7 2.4 1.2 6 1 1 19 10 19
3 8 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 1.9 1.8 5 1 3 17 16 16
4 14 Bochum 9 2 7 0.7 2.7 1 3 5 6 24 6
5 1 Leverkusen 8 2 6 2.2 0.8 6 2 0 18 6 20
6 3 Stuttgart 8 2 6 1.5 1.9 4 0 4 12 15 12
7 7 Freiburg 9 3 6 0.9 1.9 3 1 5 8 17 10
8 11 Wolfsburg 9 3 6 1.0 2.1 2 1 6 9 19 7
9 18 Darmstadt 8 2 6 1.2 3.1 1 2 5 10 25 5
10 4 RB Leipzig 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
11 5 Dortmund 8 3 5 2.1 1.4 3 4 1 17 11 13
12 6 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
13 9 Heidenheim 9 4 5 1.0 2.1 1 2 6 9 19 5
14 15 Union Berlin 8 3 5 0.9 2.1 1 1 6 7 17 4
15 16 Mainz 9 4 5 0.9 1.8 0 6 3 8 16 6
16 12 Augsburg 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 1 2 5 8 17 5
17 13 Werder Bremen 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 0 3 5 9 17 3
18 17 FC Koln 9 6 3 0.4 2.0 1 2 6 4 18 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51