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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 4–1 Dortmund

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.67 fair 2.01
Draw 4.33 fair 4.43
Away 4.50 fair 3.63
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Dortmund
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 8
11 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (271 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawDortmund
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.97points / match
2.30scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 69:34
Dortmund before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.93scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 58:35
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Dortmund

Per match

2.30 Goals scored 1.93
1.13 Goals conceded 1.17
3.43 Total goals 3.10
16.03 Shots 14.37
6.73 Shots on target 5.50
11.20 Shots faced 13.07
6.13 Corners 5.10
3.90 Corners against 5.00
10.27 Fouls 9.63
1.80 Yellow cards 1.80
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

60% Wins 53%
17% Draws 30%
23% Losses 17%
93% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 83%
70% Over 2.5 goals 57%
47% Over 3.5 goals 40%
30% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
60% Both teams scored 63%
33% Clean sheets 30%
13% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 43%
43% Draws 40%
17% Losses 17%
77% Over 0.5 goals 80%
47% Over 1.5 goals 57%
23% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Dortmund all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.20points / match
2.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 35:10
Dortmund before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 30:14
RB Leipzig at home away Dortmund

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 2.00
0.67 Goals conceded 0.93
3.00 Total goals 2.93
18.27 Shots 12.20
7.60 Shots on target 4.93
9.93 Shots faced 15.13
7.07 Corners 4.27
3.47 Corners against 6.20
10.53 Fouls 9.80
1.47 Yellow cards 2.07
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

67% Wins 53%
20% Draws 40%
13% Losses 7%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
80% Over 1.5 goals 93%
60% Over 2.5 goals 53%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
40% Both teams scored 67%
53% Clean sheets 33%
20% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
27% Draws 20%
13% Losses 20%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
40% Over 1.5 goals 47%
20% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Dortmund away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 5.755.251.45 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–3) 4.754.331.65 1.53 2.50
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
15.03.24 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–5 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.62 2.30
09.03.24 RB Leipzig – Darmstadt 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
02.03.24 Bochum – RB Leipzig 1–4 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.53 2.50
24.02.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
17.02.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.36 3.20
10.02.24 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 2–2 (1–1) 4.004.201.75 1.53 2.50

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.24 Dortmund – Leverkusen 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.802.55 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 M'gladbach – Dortmund 1–2 (1–2) 3.254.002.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.24 Dortmund – Stuttgart 0–1 (0–0) 2.254.002.80 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
17.03.24 Dortmund – Ein Frankfurt 3–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.50 2.63
09.03.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–2) 3.504.331.85 1.44 2.75
02.03.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.10
25.02.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–3 (2–1) 1.505.005.50 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
09.02.24 Dortmund – Freiburg 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.756.50 1.44 2.75

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.44 2.75
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
09.03.24 RB Leipzig – Darmstadt 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.36 3.20
04.02.24 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.62 2.30
20.01.24 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–3 (1–0) 2.403.802.70 1.62 2.30
13.01.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 0–1 (0–1) 1.454.507.50 1.50 2.63
16.12.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
02.12.23 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–1 (2–1) 1.257.009.00 1.36 3.20
12.11.23 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (1–1) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38

Dortmund away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 M'gladbach – Dortmund 1–2 (1–2) 3.254.002.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
09.03.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–2) 3.504.331.85 1.44 2.75
02.03.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.10
17.02.24 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
02.02.24 Heidenheim – Dortmund 0–0 (0–0) 3.754.501.80 1.44 2.75
20.01.24 FC Koln – Dortmund 0–4 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.50
13.01.24 Darmstadt – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 5.254.501.53 1.44 2.75
16.12.23 Augsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (1–1) 3.504.201.91 1.44 2.75
03.12.23 Leverkusen – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 1.624.504.75 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsDortmund wins
5matches
3.80goals / match
100%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.44 2.75
03.03.23D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.503.20 1.62 2.30
10.09.22D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.902.75 1.57 2.37
02.04.22D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–2) 2.503.602.62 1.53 2.50
06.11.21D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.803.80 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 30 25 5 0 75 20 +55 80
2 Bayern Munich 30 21 3 6 87 37 +50 66
3 Stuttgart 30 20 3 7 68 36 +32 63
4 RB Leipzig 30 18 5 7 69 34 +35 59
5 Dortmund 30 16 9 5 58 35 +23 57
6 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 12 7 46 40 +6 45
7 Freiburg 30 11 7 12 42 53 -11 40
8 Augsburg 30 10 9 11 48 49 -1 39
9 Hoffenheim 31 11 6 14 55 63 -8 39
10 Heidenheim 30 8 10 12 43 52 -9 34
11 Werder Bremen 30 9 7 14 38 50 -12 34
12 M'gladbach 30 7 10 13 53 60 -7 31
13 Wolfsburg 30 8 7 15 35 50 -15 31
14 Bochum 31 6 12 13 37 62 -25 30
15 Union Berlin 30 8 5 17 26 50 -24 29
16 Mainz 30 5 12 13 31 48 -17 27
17 FC Koln 30 4 10 16 23 53 -30 22
18 Darmstadt 30 3 8 19 30 72 -42 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 15 13 2 0 43 8 +35 41
2 Bayern Munich 15 12 1 2 49 11 +38 37
3 Stuttgart 15 11 3 1 43 14 +29 36
4 RB Leipzig 15 10 3 2 35 10 +25 33
5 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 7 1 26 14 +12 28
6 Dortmund 15 8 3 4 28 21 +7 27
7 Augsburg 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
8 Bochum 16 5 8 3 26 24 +2 23
9 Heidenheim 15 6 4 5 25 24 +1 22
10 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 23 23 0 21
11 Freiburg 15 5 6 4 26 27 -1 21
12 Union Berlin 15 6 2 7 17 25 -8 20
13 Mainz 15 5 4 6 19 17 +2 19
14 M'gladbach 15 5 4 6 26 25 +1 19
15 Wolfsburg 15 5 4 6 21 22 -1 19
16 Hoffenheim 15 5 4 6 26 28 -2 19
17 FC Koln 15 3 3 9 12 26 -14 12
18 Darmstadt 15 1 3 11 15 37 -22 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 15 12 3 0 32 12 +20 39
2 Dortmund 15 8 6 1 30 14 +16 30
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 2 4 38 26 +12 29
4 Stuttgart 15 9 0 6 25 22 +3 27
5 RB Leipzig 15 8 2 5 34 24 +10 26
6 Hoffenheim 16 6 2 8 29 35 -6 20
7 Freiburg 15 6 1 8 16 26 -10 19
8 Ein Frankfurt 15 4 5 6 20 26 -6 17
9 Augsburg 15 4 3 8 22 27 -5 15
10 Werder Bremen 15 3 4 8 15 27 -12 13
11 M'gladbach 15 2 6 7 27 35 -8 12
12 Heidenheim 15 2 6 7 18 28 -10 12
13 Wolfsburg 15 3 3 9 14 28 -14 12
14 Darmstadt 15 2 5 8 15 35 -20 11
15 FC Koln 15 1 7 7 11 27 -16 10
16 Union Berlin 15 2 3 10 9 25 -16 9
17 Mainz 15 0 8 7 12 31 -19 8
18 Bochum 15 1 4 10 11 38 -27 7

RB Leipzig   Dortmund

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 30 5 25 2.9 1.2 21 3 6 87 37 66
2 9 Hoffenheim 31 6 25 1.8 2.0 11 6 14 55 63 39
3 12 M'gladbach 30 6 24 1.8 2.0 7 10 13 53 60 31
4 3 Stuttgart 30 8 22 2.3 1.2 20 3 7 68 36 63
5 1 Leverkusen 30 9 21 2.5 0.7 25 5 0 75 20 80
6 4 RB Leipzig 30 9 21 2.3 1.1 18 5 7 69 34 59
7 7 Freiburg 30 10 20 1.4 1.8 11 7 12 42 53 40
8 14 Bochum 31 12 19 1.2 2.0 6 12 13 37 62 30
9 8 Augsburg 30 12 18 1.6 1.6 10 9 11 48 49 39
10 18 Darmstadt 30 12 18 1.0 2.4 3 8 19 30 72 17
11 5 Dortmund 30 13 17 1.9 1.2 16 9 5 58 35 57
12 6 Ein Frankfurt 30 13 17 1.5 1.3 11 12 7 46 40 45
13 10 Heidenheim 30 13 17 1.4 1.7 8 10 12 43 52 34
14 11 Werder Bremen 30 13 17 1.3 1.7 9 7 14 38 50 34
15 13 Wolfsburg 30 13 17 1.2 1.7 8 7 15 35 50 31
16 15 Union Berlin 30 17 13 0.9 1.7 8 5 17 26 50 29
17 16 Mainz 30 17 13 1.0 1.6 5 12 13 31 48 27
18 17 FC Koln 30 20 10 0.8 1.8 4 10 16 23 53 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 M'gladbach 15 2 13 1.7 1.7 5 4 6 26 25 19
2 1 Leverkusen 15 3 12 2.9 0.5 13 2 0 43 8 41
3 2 Bayern Munich 15 4 11 3.3 0.7 12 1 2 49 11 37
4 3 Stuttgart 15 4 11 2.9 0.9 11 3 1 43 14 36
5 9 Hoffenheim 15 4 11 1.7 1.9 5 4 6 26 28 19
6 11 Werder Bremen 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 23 23 21
7 18 Darmstadt 15 5 10 1.0 2.5 1 3 11 15 37 6
8 4 RB Leipzig 15 6 9 2.3 0.7 10 3 2 35 10 33
9 5 Dortmund 15 6 9 1.9 1.4 8 3 4 28 21 27
10 7 Freiburg 15 6 9 1.7 1.8 5 6 4 26 27 21
11 8 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
12 10 Heidenheim 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 6 4 5 25 24 22
13 13 Wolfsburg 15 6 9 1.4 1.5 5 4 6 21 22 19
14 14 Bochum 16 7 9 1.6 1.5 5 8 3 26 24 23
15 15 Union Berlin 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 6 2 7 17 25 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 7 7 1 26 14 28
17 17 FC Koln 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 9 12 26 12
18 16 Mainz 15 10 5 1.3 1.1 5 4 6 19 17 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 15 1 14 2.5 1.7 9 2 4 38 26 29
2 9 Hoffenheim 16 2 14 1.8 2.2 6 2 8 29 35 20
3 4 RB Leipzig 15 3 12 2.3 1.6 8 2 5 34 24 26
4 3 Stuttgart 15 4 11 1.7 1.5 9 0 6 25 22 27
5 7 Freiburg 15 4 11 1.1 1.7 6 1 8 16 26 19
6 12 M'gladbach 15 4 11 1.8 2.3 2 6 7 27 35 12
7 6 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 4 5 6 20 26 17
8 14 Bochum 15 5 10 0.7 2.5 1 4 10 11 38 7
9 1 Leverkusen 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 0 32 12 39
10 8 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.5 1.8 4 3 8 22 27 15
11 5 Dortmund 15 7 8 2.0 0.9 8 6 1 30 14 30
12 10 Heidenheim 15 7 8 1.2 1.9 2 6 7 18 28 12
13 13 Wolfsburg 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 9 14 28 12
14 16 Mainz 15 7 8 0.8 2.1 0 8 7 12 31 8
15 18 Darmstadt 15 7 8 1.0 2.3 2 5 8 15 35 11
16 11 Werder Bremen 15 8 7 1.0 1.8 3 4 8 15 27 13
17 15 Union Berlin 15 10 5 0.6 1.7 2 3 10 9 25 9
18 17 FC Koln 15 11 4 0.7 1.8 1 7 7 11 27 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51