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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 4–2 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.88 fair 3.30
Draw 4.50 fair 5.07
Away 2.00 fair 2.00
Under 2.5 4.00 fair 4.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.25 fair 1.28

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Bayern Munich
17 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
7 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.33
Expected goals 1.81 – 2.33
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 7.8% 2–2 7.1% 1–1 6.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.88scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 62:64
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.18points / match
2.79scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 92:41
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 2.79
1.94 Goals conceded 1.24
3.82 Total goals 4.03
13.52 Shots 18.64
5.03 Shots on target 7.42
16.73 Shots faced 10.18
4.33 Corners 6.76
5.70 Corners against 2.73
10.00 Fouls 8.94
2.52 Yellow cards 1.39
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.21
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

36% Wins 70%
21% Draws 9%
42% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
97% Over 1.5 goals 91%
79% Over 2.5 goals 82%
61% Over 3.5 goals 58%
33% Over 4.5 goals 30%
9% Over 5.5 goals 21%
85% Both teams scored 58%
6% Clean sheets 33%
9% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 52%
24% Draws 30%
36% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 85%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
18% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.69scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:29
Bayern Munich before this match, away
1.81points / match
2.44scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 39:29
Hoffenheim at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 2.44
1.81 Goals conceded 1.81
3.50 Total goals 4.25
15.75 Shots 17.50
5.69 Shots on target 6.56
13.69 Shots faced 11.81
5.69 Corners 6.25
3.81 Corners against 2.69
9.75 Fouls 9.25
2.56 Yellow cards 2.06
0.81 1st-half goals scored 1.25
1.06 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

31% Wins 56%
31% Draws 13%
38% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 94%
69% Over 2.5 goals 94%
50% Over 3.5 goals 75%
19% Over 4.5 goals 38%
13% Over 5.5 goals 19%
88% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 19%
13% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 56%
31% Draws 13%
44% Losses 31%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
19% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Darmstadt – Hoffenheim 0–6 (0–5) 4.754.501.62 1.36 3.20
03.05.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
26.04.24 Bochum – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–0) 2.154.002.90 1.44 2.75
20.04.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 4–3 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
30.03.24 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.30 3.50
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75
10.03.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.004.003.30 1.57 2.38
03.03.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 2–1 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 (2–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20
04.05.24 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 3–1 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
27.04.24 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 1.405.257.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.24 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 1–5 (0–2) 4.754.501.62 1.62 2.30
13.04.24 Bayern Munich – FC Koln 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.33 3.40
06.04.24 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 3–2 (0–2) 6.506.001.36 1.33 3.40
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Darmstadt – Bayern Munich 2–5 (1–2) 17.008.001.14 1.29 3.75
09.03.24 Bayern Munich – Mainz 8–1 (3–1) 1.257.0010.00 1.40 3.00
01.03.24 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
20.04.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 4–3 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75
03.03.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 2–1 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38
17.02.24 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
11.02.24 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 1–1 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.30
27.01.24 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–1) 1.674.504.33 1.50 2.50
19.12.23 Hoffenheim – Darmstadt 3–3 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.50 2.63
08.12.23 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (2–0) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.63

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 3–1 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
20.04.24 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 1–5 (0–2) 4.754.501.62 1.62 2.30
06.04.24 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 3–2 (0–2) 6.506.001.36 1.33 3.40
16.03.24 Darmstadt – Bayern Munich 2–5 (1–2) 17.008.001.14 1.29 3.75
01.03.24 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
18.02.24 Bochum – Bayern Munich 3–2 (2–1) 8.005.751.33 1.40 3.00
10.02.24 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 3–0 (1–0) 2.633.802.40 1.50 2.63
27.01.24 Augsburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–2) 8.505.751.30 1.40 3.00
20.12.23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (1–2) 6.505.751.36 1.40 3.00
09.12.23 Ein Frankfurt – Bayern Munich 5–1 (3–1) 9.005.501.30 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.24D1 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 3–0 (1–0) 1.149.0012.00 1.22 4.33
15.04.23D1 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.25 4.00
22.10.22D1 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–2 (0–2) 5.505.001.50 1.33 3.40
12.03.22D1 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–1) 4.754.751.55 1.28 3.75
23.10.21D1 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 4–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.20 4.50

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 33 27 6 0 87 23 +64 87
2 Bayern Munich 33 23 3 7 92 41 +51 72
3 Stuttgart 33 22 4 7 74 39 +35 70
4 RB Leipzig 33 19 7 7 75 37 +38 64
5 Dortmund 33 17 9 7 64 43 +21 60
6 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 13 9 49 48 +1 46
7 Hoffenheim 33 12 7 14 62 64 -2 43
8 Freiburg 33 11 9 13 44 56 -12 42
9 Heidenheim 33 9 12 12 46 54 -8 39
10 Augsburg 33 10 9 14 49 58 -9 39
11 Werder Bremen 33 10 9 14 44 53 -9 39
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 7 16 40 53 -13 37
13 M'gladbach 33 7 13 13 56 63 -7 34
14 Bochum 33 7 12 14 41 70 -29 33
15 Mainz 33 6 14 13 36 50 -14 32
16 Union Berlin 33 8 6 19 31 57 -26 30
17 FC Koln 33 5 12 16 27 56 -29 27
18 Darmstadt 33 3 8 22 30 82 -52 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 14 1 2 53 12 +41 43
2 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 45 10 +35 42
3 Stuttgart 16 12 3 1 46 15 +31 39
4 RB Leipzig 17 11 4 2 40 12 +28 37
5 Dortmund 16 9 3 4 33 22 +11 30
6 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 7 2 27 19 +8 28
7 Augsburg 17 6 6 5 26 26 0 24
8 Mainz 17 6 5 6 23 18 +5 23
9 Heidenheim 16 6 5 5 26 25 +1 23
10 Bochum 17 5 8 4 26 29 -3 23
11 Wolfsburg 16 6 4 6 24 22 +2 22
12 Werder Bremen 16 6 4 6 25 25 0 22
13 Freiburg 17 5 7 5 28 30 -2 22
14 M'gladbach 17 5 6 6 27 26 +1 21
15 Hoffenheim 16 5 5 6 27 29 -2 20
16 Union Berlin 16 6 2 8 20 29 -9 20
17 FC Koln 17 4 4 9 15 28 -13 16
18 Darmstadt 17 1 3 13 15 44 -29 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 17 14 3 0 42 13 +29 45
2 Stuttgart 17 10 1 6 28 24 +4 31
3 Dortmund 17 8 6 3 31 21 +10 30
4 Bayern Munich 16 9 2 5 39 29 +10 29
5 RB Leipzig 16 8 3 5 35 25 +10 27
6 Hoffenheim 17 7 2 8 35 35 0 23
7 Freiburg 16 6 2 8 16 26 -10 20
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 6 7 22 29 -7 18
9 Werder Bremen 17 4 5 8 19 28 -9 17
10 Heidenheim 17 3 7 7 20 29 -9 16
11 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 23 32 -9 15
12 Wolfsburg 17 4 3 10 16 31 -15 15
13 M'gladbach 16 2 7 7 29 37 -8 13
14 FC Koln 16 1 8 7 12 28 -16 11
15 Darmstadt 16 2 5 9 15 38 -23 11
16 Union Berlin 17 2 4 11 11 28 -17 10
17 Bochum 16 2 4 10 15 41 -26 10
18 Mainz 16 0 9 7 13 32 -19 9

Hoffenheim   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 33 6 27 2.8 1.2 23 3 7 92 41 72
2 7 Hoffenheim 33 7 26 1.9 1.9 12 7 14 62 64 43
3 13 M'gladbach 33 8 25 1.7 1.9 7 13 13 56 63 34
4 1 Leverkusen 33 9 24 2.6 0.7 27 6 0 87 23 87
5 3 Stuttgart 33 9 24 2.2 1.2 22 4 7 74 39 70
6 4 RB Leipzig 33 11 22 2.3 1.1 19 7 7 75 37 64
7 8 Freiburg 33 12 21 1.3 1.7 11 9 13 44 56 42
8 14 Bochum 33 12 21 1.2 2.1 7 12 14 41 70 33
9 5 Dortmund 33 13 20 1.9 1.3 17 9 7 64 43 60
10 10 Augsburg 33 13 20 1.5 1.8 10 9 14 49 58 39
11 18 Darmstadt 33 13 20 0.9 2.5 3 8 22 30 82 17
12 6 Ein Frankfurt 33 14 19 1.5 1.5 11 13 9 49 48 46
13 11 Werder Bremen 33 14 19 1.3 1.6 10 9 14 44 53 39
14 12 Wolfsburg 33 14 19 1.2 1.6 10 7 16 40 53 37
15 9 Heidenheim 33 16 17 1.4 1.6 9 12 12 46 54 39
16 16 Union Berlin 33 18 15 0.9 1.7 8 6 19 31 57 30
17 15 Mainz 33 19 14 1.1 1.5 6 14 13 36 50 32
18 17 FC Koln 33 22 11 0.8 1.7 5 12 16 27 56 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 16 3 13 2.8 0.6 13 3 0 45 10 42
2 13 M'gladbach 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 5 6 6 27 26 21
3 2 Bayern Munich 17 5 12 3.1 0.7 14 1 2 53 12 43
4 3 Stuttgart 16 4 12 2.9 0.9 12 3 1 46 15 39
5 7 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 1.7 1.8 5 5 6 27 29 20
6 11 Werder Bremen 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 25 25 22
7 18 Darmstadt 17 6 11 0.9 2.6 1 3 13 15 44 6
8 4 RB Leipzig 17 7 10 2.4 0.7 11 4 2 40 12 37
9 5 Dortmund 16 6 10 2.1 1.4 9 3 4 33 22 30
10 8 Freiburg 17 7 10 1.6 1.8 5 7 5 28 30 22
11 10 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 6 6 5 26 26 24
12 12 Wolfsburg 16 6 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 6 24 22 22
13 14 Bochum 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 5 8 4 26 29 23
14 9 Heidenheim 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 6 5 5 26 25 23
15 16 Union Berlin 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 6 2 8 20 29 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 7 7 2 27 19 28
17 17 FC Koln 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 15 28 16
18 15 Mainz 17 11 6 1.4 1.1 6 5 6 23 18 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 16 1 15 2.4 1.8 9 2 5 39 29 29
2 7 Hoffenheim 17 2 15 2.1 2.1 7 2 8 35 35 23
3 3 Stuttgart 17 5 12 1.6 1.4 10 1 6 28 24 31
4 4 RB Leipzig 16 4 12 2.2 1.6 8 3 5 35 25 27
5 13 M'gladbach 16 4 12 1.8 2.3 2 7 7 29 37 13
6 1 Leverkusen 17 6 11 2.5 0.8 14 3 0 42 13 45
7 6 Ein Frankfurt 17 6 11 1.3 1.7 4 6 7 22 29 18
8 8 Freiburg 16 5 11 1.0 1.6 6 2 8 16 26 20
9 14 Bochum 16 5 11 0.9 2.6 2 4 10 15 41 10
10 5 Dortmund 17 7 10 1.8 1.2 8 6 3 31 21 30
11 10 Augsburg 16 6 10 1.4 2.0 4 3 9 23 32 15
12 12 Wolfsburg 17 8 9 0.9 1.8 4 3 10 16 31 15
13 18 Darmstadt 16 7 9 0.9 2.4 2 5 9 15 38 11
14 9 Heidenheim 17 9 8 1.2 1.7 3 7 7 20 29 16
15 11 Werder Bremen 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 5 8 19 28 17
16 15 Mainz 16 8 8 0.8 2.0 0 9 7 13 32 9
17 16 Union Berlin 17 11 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 11 11 28 10
18 17 FC Koln 16 12 4 0.8 1.8 1 8 7 12 28 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40